Capping the National Championship Game

WCBias · Oct 10, 2004

Lots of football left, and guaranteed to be a few suprise losses, so this is all for fun.

USC - Oklahoma: 1:2
USC - Miami: 2:1
Oklahoma - Miami: 3:1
USC - Purdue: 6:1
USC - Auburn: 7:1 (I think Auburn will lose at least once)

USC certainly could lose, but they have a favorable schedule the rest of the way. Oklahoma has games at Texas A&M and Oklahoma State..but also should go unscathed.

Miami's biggest hurdle is at Virginia. Auburn still has to make it through the SEC and the championship game, which won't be easy.

The surprise team here could be Purdue, who has Michigan and Wisconsin at home and would be deserving if they finish undefeated.

As undefeated teams lose it will be interesting to see where they get reslotted. Oklahoma got favorable treatment last year after losing at the end of the year...and probably would get the same treatment this year. But if USC, Purdue, or Auburn lose, they will likely be KO'd.

Teams like Florida State and Georgia still have an outside shot given their losses occurred in the first half of the year.

Personally I'd love to see a suprise team like Purdue or Auburn make it. I hate the way the system is set up from the get go with USC, Oklahoma, Miami getting top billing before a game is played.

WinOne likes no rankings until Oct. 1, but what difference would their be at this point...not much, except teams like Oklahoma State and Arizona State, who have impressive road wins, would likely be ranked higher.

EveryGamblersDream · Oct 10, 2004

I don't believe in Georgia as a team but on paper they have a real great shot at making it. If they were to win the rest of their games & win the SEC title game, they wouldn't be shut out unless there were 2 undefeated teams.

Auburn has a moron at the helm coaching, don't worry about them making it. Lets hear it for Boise State & Purdue!

WinOne · Oct 10, 2004

WCB,
Did you know that Sagarin ranks the Pac10 as the top conference this year. It really helps when you play D1 teams and win a few. I think they had the best non conference record going into this week at 18-9.

Ranking teams in October stops teams like Texas from being ranked #5 preseason. Teams like Utah and L'Ville, LSU, FL St would have better or worst rankings. Boise and L'Ville were not ranked before the season began. If they were ranked beginning in October, we would see that they are pretty decent teams and it would eliminate the "FLUFF" that stood between them and #1. ASU was not ranked pre-season. They've been fortunate so far as they have not played anyone of note but get SC this week.
If I could rank the teams based on their play, it would be something like this:

1) So Cal
2) Oklahoma
3) Auburn
4) Miami
5) Virginia
6) L'Ville
7) California
8) Tennessee
9) Purdue
10) LSU
11) Florida St
12) Oklahoma St
13) Utah
14) Boise St
15) Wisconsin
16) So Mississippi
17) Georgia
18) Arizona St
19) Minnesota
20) Texas
21) Missouri
22) No Illinois
23) Missouri
24) Ga Tech
25) UCLA

Just my thought.

WinOne!!

WCBias · Oct 10, 2004

Win one,

I'm not going to say the Pac 10 is the best conference, but it is rediculously underrated..i.e. WC Bias. Feel free to check which conference has the best BCS record...what the bowl record was for Pac 10 teams last year...it is the same **** every year...do you think ASU or UCLA would get a sniff in the top 10?

I like that you have Louisville in the top 10...However, I will not rank a team ahead of another team with the same record that they lost to...I think that should be a rule in voting...you can't do better than head to head.

So why do you have LSU...with two losses and three missed extra points away from another...ahead of Georgia?

WinOne · Oct 10, 2004

Glad that you ask about LSU. I think that they are a work in progress and only getting better. They play solid defense and are trying to work in a young inexperienced QB with a 5th yr senior. If that team had a average QB, any average QB they would be much better as they have tons of skilled players. UGa just the opposite. They have an overrated defense and a QB that is a stiff. He's an average college qb who probably will not get a sniff from the nfl. They have a backup qb kid named Shockley who is exciting but he can't get on the field because the coach keeps him benched. UGa has not been impressive other than the win over LSU. Look at what a young Tennesse offense did against them. And they still have to go to Arkansas and Auburn and cocktail party with Florida.

I also agree with you in ranking teams behind another when they won head to head. But one of the things I look at is where it was played, how they played, and how they played against other teams. Perfect example LSU and UGa. LSU got drilled by UGa, but bounced back by going to Florida and won. Character. UGA drilled LSU and hosted a young, inexperienced Vols team, and got beat up pretty good. They made it close at the end but they were manhandled all day. Then ask yourself if they played on a neutral site, who'd be favored and who'd win. I have not doubt that if LSU played UGa here in Dallas, LSU would be favored and would probably win the game.

EGD - Agree that Auburn has a moron as HC, but they have two 1st class coordinators. They play defense like they own the patent. They also can run the ball and milk the clock when they get ahead. Purdue still has some tough games. I like L'Ville and because of the idiot at QB for Miami, I would love to see that game at Popa Johns. But I expect Cards to give Miami all the can handle. On a neutral site, I would play Lville. They are talented on the defensive side of the ball.

Boys, there is such a long way to go in this season, but I think SC has the best chance of getting there. They get ASU this week and they will beat ASU by 20 easily because Devils are one dimensional. They may get a test at Oregon St if the weather is rainy and bad, but I doubt it. UCLA may be interesting at the end because they run and pass well.

GL,
WinOne!!