Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[cincy_]

Pops you got a take at the over in the colorado game. That is what I show on my system bs with an opener of 12 and .5 down move. I see it hovering at -20 so will probably go back up at game time. None of the stats like ump and pitchers and stuff measure up all that way most are at 50% there abouts. Don't like that high of a number but LAA and NYY went over last night.

13% humidity and 95 degree heat ... unless they plunge the balls in water, it should go over ... but with a holly fuck of -1 and a line difference of -1.7, it's tough to lay big lumber on it.

 

[DrLuck]

me dead tried to mail ctp 4 or 5 times

 

[pops69]

me dead tried to mail ctp 4 or 5 times

hit him again, he said his mail system is back to normal

 

[pops69]

all done with my scalps, going to go to the casino for dinner. plan to be back early, and if i get all the finals and pdws i'll put everything together and spend a few hours capping games for tomorrow. want to make sure i have not lost that magic feeling

back in a few

 

[CTP]

Just for bs purposes. That colo game the way the line ended at 12.5 that showed me an under which currently is 6-1 which I would have played but missed it none the less so now I don't care. Would like to see it come in under just for record keeping purposes.

 

[pops69]

Just for bs purposes. That colo game the way the line ended at 12.5 that showed me an under which currently is 6-1 which I would have played but missed it none the less so now I don't care. Would like to see it come in under just for record keeping purposes.

i was shocked when i saw the line at 12-, no fucken way would i be on an over that high at the roc for a night game and that large of a lm, didnt it open at 11-

 

[pops69]

I Been Out In The Yard Tying Up My Tomato Plants, Fucken Wabbits, Going To Have To Do A Elmer Fudd On Their Asses.

pull up you magic and toss up the humidity for the following few games

phil
cinn
nym
cards
zona (that was oudoors)
sfo
o's
det
cws
laa

tks

 

[pops69]

everything for tomorrow is uploaded to the ftp site

updates took much longer than i expected, so i'll hit the numbers early in the morning

nite and glta

 

[lefty357]

I'll Do It In The Morning Pops, Had A Old Style Nite Ooooooooohhhhhhhhhhhhhh. BUT THE CUBS WIN SO ALL IS GOOD.

 

[jacksonjohn]

Units won vs ROI ?

I know someone can answer this for me. Assume you had a data base of 1500 totals plays (all flat bet for $100) on two different cappers. Which would be more valid, the units won leader or the higher ROI?

 

[pops69]

Wednesday August 22rd

let's get it on.

just about have everything setup and ready to go for today. updates took a lot longer than expected. i'm going for stars and will do the pdws and wa nps summary for the thread and than if i have enough time to run numbers on a few games this morning

on the two lm yesterday was able to pick up a 11 scalp on houston but nothing moved on the cards. didnt get any calls yet for today, but will post if i do

back in a few

 

[cincy_]

I know someone can answer this for me. Assume you had a data base of 1500 totals plays (all flat bet for $100) on two different cappers. Which would be more valid, the units won leader or the higher ROI?

UNITS won

... especially since a capper could be scalping moneylines and coming up with minimal returns with ZERO risk.

... the key is to pick winners ... not maximize your return ...

• Player A goes 2-1 with -175 favorites
• Player B goes 1-2 with +220 dogs

Player B has a higher ROI, Player A wins more units. Which player would you rather be?

You can't even buy a cup of coffee with ROI.

 

[spesh]

UNITS won

... especially since a capper could be scalping moneylines and coming up with minimal returns with ZERO risk.

... the key is to pick winners ... not maximize your return ...

• Player A goes 2-1 with -175 favorites
• Player B goes 1-2 with +220 dogs

Player B has a higher ROI, Player A wins more units. Which player would you rather be?

You can't even buy a cup of coffee with ROI.

the +220 dogs are extremes....and we all know what happens in bases when u lay over 140 long term..key is get a system and stick to it..i dont lay more than 135 persoanlly ( and thats IF i play any chalk..could count them on 1 hand this yr).usually dogs and pick or -110 thats it..Yes pick winners is the key here also..

 

[pops69]

appears to be some pitching changes going on as some games are off the board or numbers changes

this is what i have so far in the pdws and wa nps below. let us know

 

[pops69]

only game that i got a call on this am was

laa ML even money vs the mighty nyy

they wanted to make laa a larger fav but os and casino would not buy into it because of the large group of blind men in the city with money

 

[CTP]

I did a dry run thru on picking up humidity myself. With my 200 kps or slower internet I will not be doing these. It will take me at least 45 minutes to run thru a full schedule. Something I don't use and putting in more time on this now than I care to. Need someone to step up to the plate on a consistent basis. I can grab the temps when I check the umps just no humidity.

 

[CTP]

There are several opening line that are different on the PDWS versus what gjupdate has. Don't know if I checked them last night or not. I probably assumed them to be correct or they changed them.

 

[pops69]

There are several opening line that are different on the PDWS versus what gjupdate has. Don't know if I checked them last night or not. I probably assumed them to be correct or they changed them.

i changed the pdws i have here as well to reflect what on gjupdate, just make sure it on the final you send me just in case i copy and paste from that one to the master vs the one i have. i like to make sure all the pitchers go and the updates on the umps b4 i start posting any data into the combined area

tks

 

[BillDildeaux]

I did a dry run thru on picking up humidity myself. With my 200 kps or slower internet I will not be doing these. It will take me at least 45 minutes to run thru a full schedule. Something I don't use and putting in more time on this now than I care to. Need someone to step up to the plate on a consistent basis. I can grab the temps when I check the umps just no humidity.

I can grab the humidity and email it to you in excel format so all you have to do is cut and paste. However it would be nice if lefty or sin would post the weather with humidity in the thread so in case I am not around I can use those numbers to email you.

 

[pops69]

not much in the way of moves, caught a few early so heading to the casino for bf and pick up my copy of bio shock

back in less than 2

ctp, disable java script from your browser and much of those problems your having will go away