Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[maniilaq]

something will not let me post into this thread anymore

1

going to the casino for b4, back in less than too. too quiet here, need the rug rats back

also shit going on in the OS, cant even find a dollar scalp, so time for a break

later

 

[maniilaq]

for some reason i can not post too this thread ...

 

[ILMW]

Thread Highlights

Below you will see a link which will take you to thread highlights regarding the important posts in this thread. It was created when this thread was opened by Pops back in April and really will bring all new readers up to speed as well as old readers that need to become refreshed. Yes it contains alot of posts but it does explain what is going on here. Read and enjoy.


http://download.yousendit.com/2741EEE048C7C8DD

 

[teazeman]

great job with the thread highlights ILMW, if you ever step down or want a break from putting the highlights together let me know.

 

[maniilaq]

Below you will see a link which will take you to thread highlights regarding the important posts in this thread. It was created when this thread was opened by Pops back in April and really will bring all new readers up to speed as well as old readers that need to become refreshed. Yes it contains alot of posts but it does explain what is going on here. Read and enjoy.

Thank you !
I will start reading it when i get done with todays games.

 

[pops69]

for some reason i can not post too this thread ...

BATR

you just did w/o any problem

 

[Suedehead]

Pops, please post the games you are betting today. Last week I picked up some of your plays and went 6-0, but then you didn't post your bets on Sat or Sun. I think I am developing a system around your plays that may be working well for me. I analyze the small handful of plays that you wager each day and comb them for lowest or highest (depending on if you are going OV/UN) SP/BP ERA/WHIP over the last three games only. One I get the lowest/highest available from all your plays, I wager that ONE game only. I have been increasing my bet by half the previous unit after two consecutive wins. Tonight I'm going for win #7 so as you can see, this wager is going to be a 3X play.

Please help me free-load off your work. I need your bets. Thanks

 

[Suedehead]

Pops

And Pops...I couldn't believe you went OVER on the Chris Young/Cole Hamels game last week. Under was 8-0 in C. Young's previous 8 home starts going into that game. Can you please explain the methodology/rationale you used to make that pick? I want to keep you on a pedestal, but that pick ROCKED my faith. I laid off it but watched it out of curiosity due to your action, and the game ended 1-0.

 

[pops69]

Pops, please post the games you are betting today. Last week I picked up some of your plays and went 6-0, but then you didn't post your bets on Sat or Sun. I think I am developing a system around your plays that may be working well for me. I analyze the small handful of plays that you wager each day and comb them for lowest or highest (depending on if you are going OV/UN) SP/BP ERA/WHIP over the last three games only. One I get the lowest/highest available from all your plays, I wager that ONE game only. I have been increasing my bet by half the previous unit after two consecutive wins. Tonight I'm going for win #7 so as you can see, this wager is going to be a 3X play.

Please help me free-load off your work. I need your bets. Thanks

i try not to post any of my bets unless i fishing for a number etc, and the ones i do, are as close to game time as possible. 99% of the total dollars i bet are on scalps or hedges. eg just bet fla ML +115 and zona ML -112

no early positions on any games today, all 1st games of series for umps and every game in wa nps holly is very close to zero and as is all the games avg scores vs OL

with respect to sd, had nothing to do with them, but philly as well as TB are both over machines with those great pitching staffs so just like to be on the overs when they play regardless, as i dont like to pick and choose

 

[Suedehead]

Pops, I also wanted to ask you this for a long time...what is your favorite book in LV? Is it the Hilton?

 

[Suedehead]

Maybe one day when you have time you can run down the list of prominent LV casino books and give your impression of what type of bettor goes there.

 

[Suedehead]

What do you think of that baby book at the El Cortez?

 

[pops69]

Pops, I also wanted to ask you this for a long time...what is your favorite book in LV? Is it the Hilton?

any of the coast casino, earliest for lines going up, and largest bet amounts accross the board vs the limited action at some of the others

 

[pops69]

What do you think of that baby book at the El Cortez?

is that the little dive by nellis? they got there own book or just a leroy's in there. are you in the AF

 

[sinatrac]

<TABLE class=rt_railbox_border2 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=TH vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=component_head align=middle>MLB WEATHER</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR class=bg0_sub vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE borderColor=#ffffff cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=bg0_sub width="20%">Matchup</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=3>Conditions</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=2>Game Time Temp</TH><TH class=bg0_sub>Heat Index</TH></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>MIL BREWERS
CIN REDS
Mon 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM LEFT CENTER 6-11</TD><TD class=td>80 </TD><TD class=td>40 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>LA DODGERS
HOU ASTROS
Mon 8:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 7-12</TD><TD class=td>87 </TD><TD class=td>49 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SD PADRES
COL ROCKIES
Mon 9:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO CENTER 8-13</TD><TD class=td>83 </TD><TD class=td>31 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>FLA MARLINS
ARZ DBACKS
Mon 9:40 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 7-12</TD><TD class=td>98 </TD><TD class=td>31 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>101</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>ATL BRAVES
SF GIANTS
Mon 10:15 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 10-20, GUSTY</TD><TD class=td>66 </TD><TD class=td>75 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>BOS RED SOX
CLE INDIANS
Mon 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM LEFT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>74 </TD><TD class=td>47 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>MIN TWINS
TOR BLUE JAYS
Mon 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 5-10</TD><TD class=td>74 </TD><TD class=td>53 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>DET TIGERS
CHI WHITE SOX
Mon 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM LEFT 6-11</TD><TD class=td>78 </TD><TD class=td>43 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>NY YANKEES
KC ROYALS
Mon 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWERS EARLY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>78 </TD><TD class=td>68 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SEA MARINERS
TEX RANGERS
Mon 8:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 7-12</TD><TD class=td>85 </TD><TD class=td>54 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>OAK A'S
LA ANGELS
Mon 10:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 7-12</TD><TD class=td>79 </TD><TD class=td>53 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD class=a1 align=left>Updated: Mon, Jul 23, 2007 at 3:40 PM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[sportsman]

wind out to right, 30% humidity to bad lefties in the desert, public on under, might be a good over for FL/AZ

 

[BillDildeaux]

wind out to right, 30% humidity to bad lefties in the desert, public on under, might be a good over for FL/AZ

it will be 100deg roof will be probably be closed



There is a nice trend for overs in Cinci when the humidty is below 50%

 

[ILMW]

great job with the thread highlights ILMW, if you ever step down or want a break from putting the highlights together let me know.

Thanks, I think college was alot harder as it seemed like we had 20 or more pages going and was def. a job to keep up with, baseball much slower pace. thanks for the compliment.

 

[pops69]

almost no games moving off of the dime today. recommend you all use the Zero line move with the avg runs data in the holly wip pivot

did i post a pdws and wa nps for todays games. i thought i did

let me know if i didnt

 

[BillDildeaux]

Pops are there any of our fav umps going today? Ive lost track.