Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

i just looked and dont see any pitching changes vs what i have in the pdws. if any of you know post it here and i change it when i get back

back in about an hour

 

[pops69]

BATR

go ahead if you got em

back to work

 

[BillDildeaux]

Pops I saw that it is supposed to get to 116deg in LV this week. I bet the casinos at least do well keeping all the tourists at the tables longer. But desert living is pretty nice considering it will be 116deg feels like 105deg because where I live it will be 95deg feels like 105deg.

 

[pops69]

Pops I saw that it is supposed to get to 116deg in LV this week. I bet the casinos at least do well keeping all the tourists at the tables longer. But desert living is pretty nice considering it will be 116deg feels like 105deg because where I live it will be 95deg feels like 105deg.

fuck no. hot is hot. only place to be is inside or at a casino period

 

[sinatrac]

<TABLE borderColor=#ffffff cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=3>Conditions</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=2>Game Time Temp</TH><TH class=bg0_sub>Heat Index</TH></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>MIL BREWERS
PIT PIRATES
Tue 4:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 3-8</TD><TD class=td>78 </TD><TD class=td>40 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CHI CUBS
WAS NATIONALS
Tue 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 4-9</TD><TD class=td>74 </TD><TD class=td>53 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SF GIANTS
CIN REDS
Tue 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 3-8</TD><TD class=td>78 </TD><TD class=td>46 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>PHI PHILLIES
HOU ASTROS
Tue 8:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 4-9</TD><TD class=td>80 </TD><TD class=td>82 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>NY METS
COL ROCKIES
Tue 8:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>89 </TD><TD class=td>22 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>ARZ DBACKS
STL CARDINALS
Tue 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 3-8</TD><TD class=td>84 </TD><TD class=td>45 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>FLA MARLINS
SD PADRES
Tue 10:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 4-9</TD><TD class=td>72 </TD><TD class=td>73 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>ATL BRAVES
LA DODGERS
Tue 10:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO CENTER 4-9</TD><TD class=td>85 </TD><TD class=td>36 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CLE INDIANS
DET TIGERS
Tue 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT 5-10</TD><TD class=td>77 </TD><TD class=td>43 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>MIN TWINS
NY YANKEES
Tue 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT CENTER 7-12</TD><TD class=td>76 </TD><TD class=td>41 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>TB DEVILRAYS
BOS RED SOX
Tue 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 6-11</TD><TD class=td>71 </TD><TD class=td>51 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SEA MARINERS
KC ROYALS
Tue 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 7-12</TD><TD class=td>86 </TD><TD class=td>56 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>91 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>BAL ORIOLES
CHI WHITE SOX
Tue 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT 5-10</TD><TD class=td>79 </TD><TD class=td>66 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>LA ANGELS
TEX RANGERS
Tue 8:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 70% CHANCE HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 5-10</TD><TD class=td>68 </TD><TD class=td>58 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>TOR BLUE JAYS
OAK A'S
Tue 10:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 7-12</TD><TD class=td>67 </TD><TD class=td>67 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD class=a1 align=left>Updated: Tue, Jul 3, 2007 at 2:55 PM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Dales]

BATR

go ahead if you got em

back to work

what is the range on the holly please?
is it still -8/+8, or has that changed?

 

[pops69]

what is the range on the holly please?
is it still -8/+8, or has that changed?

plus and minus 8 is max both ways, although there has never been a plus 8

 

[BillDildeaux]

Pops I noticed a mistake in the data.

On 5/15/07 all the games in respect to the league are switched.

 

[pops69]

Pops I noticed a mistake in the data.

On 5/15/07 all the games in respect to the league are switched.

was that week #7? i was just doing some data audits and found the about 14 teams switched?

 

[BillDildeaux]

was that week #7? i was just doing some data audits and found the about 14 teams switched?

yep week 7

 

[bet2win.us]

looks like everything is lining up for an under play in pitt humid temp ump etc.

this youmain is 6'4'' should be pretty interesting

GLTA

 

[cd329]

Pops,
Question for you. Can the guys that make the lines, like your friend could they beat their own numbers after they set them? In other words if they set a line on a game take for example the pitt game last night at 9.5, do they know {i know this sounds crazy because they are making the line} which side of that total really has the value that the bettors should be betting and could they beat their own numbers long term. I hope you can figure out what i mean, sometimes its hard to write exactly what am thinking about.

 

[pops69]

Pops,
Question for you. Can the guys that make the lines, like your friend could they beat their own numbers after they set them? In other words if they set a line on a game take for example the pitt game last night at 9.5, do they know {i know this sounds crazy because they are making the line} which side of that total really has the value that the bettors should be betting and could they beat their own numbers long term. I hope you can figure out what i mean, sometimes its hard to write exactly what am thinking about.

they are not allowed to bet at any casino or OS that buys they lines. if they do they are fired. and yes they have and can

 

[pops69]

looks like everything is lining up for an under play in pitt humid temp ump etc.

this youmain is 6'4'' should be pretty interesting

GLTA

i think you got the humidity thing ass backwards. 50-65 is the ideal range for unders. the humidity in pitt today is 24

 

[cd329]

they are not allowed to bet at any casino or OS that buys they lines. if they do they are fired. and yes they have and can

Pops,
I kinda of figured they couldnt, was just wondering if they could beat the lines they actually set.
So next question then is, since they have a good idea of what side has the value that the bettors should be betting, then how they make the line is more based on trying to get that 50-50 spilt based on knowing what the bettors will do and not so much as what the teams in the game should do, would that be a correct statement?

In other words back to my pitt total last night, they set the line at 9.5 and probably got equal action both ways, but inside they knew the bettors should have hit the over, would that sort of be correct.

I guess am trying to figure out how the oddsmakers think, even thou it will never happen.

thanks for answers Pops.

 

[twjd]

Pitching change for Arizona, Johnson out, Y Petit in. Line moved to 9.5.

 

[pops69]

Pops,
I kinda of figured they couldnt, was just wondering if they could beat the lines they actually set.
So next question then is, since they have a good idea of what side has the value that the bettors should be betting, then how they make the line is more based on trying to get that 50-50 spilt based on knowing what the bettors will do and not so much as what the teams in the game should do, would that be a correct statement?

In other words back to my pitt total last night, they set the line at 9.5 and probably got equal action both ways, but inside they knew the bettors should have hit the over, would that sort of be correct.

I guess am trying to figure out how the oddsmakers think, even thou it will never happen.

thanks for answers Pops.

i cant say that 4 sure, but will know more by the end of the week. but yes they try to put the number based on all the factors to where it's almost a coin flip as to which side people bet. it's when the bettors all believe that it can only be one or the others is when it become attractive

 

[pops69]

Pitching change for Arizona, Johnson out, Y Petit in. Line moved to 9.5.

tks tw, why didnt you tell me this 4 hours ago so i could have taken advantage of it

just make these changes in your pdws and the totals will correct themselves

petit 2.57 home and away and whip of 0.571

 

[twjd]

I played it at over 8.5, I'm sure they are going to cancel the bet.

 

[pops69]

I played it at over 8.5, I'm sure they are going to cancel the bet.

your bet is dead, always listed pitchers on ov/un or RL. it the ML that you can make out on if you know it going to happen. a stud vs a poppy dough boy