Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

Pops,
are we talking about the stiff who owes cash?

no he does not, it's his life long friend and fellow highroller and bookmaker, like him, that does

that it for me for a few hours

only other game today that will prob have a line move is Phil. with respect to OL of 11 they are 50/50, but all other line move +/1 anything have all gone over. right now the LM is -.5

enjoy, back in a few

 

[BillDildeaux]

Heres the thing I dont understand about line moves. The linesmakers are supposed to be able to see where the "sharp" money is going and move the lines against them. But if this is true what a joke the sharp money is because they would be losing money about 6 days a week. This industry is so shady there is no telling what is going on but I dont think the Sharps are going broke.

 

[pops69]

Heres the thing I dont understand about line moves. The linesmakers are supposed to be able to see where the "sharp" money is going and move the lines against them. But if this is true what a joke the sharp money is because they would be losing money about 6 days a week. This industry is so shady there is no telling what is going on but I dont think the Sharps are going broke.

i dont know any sharps when it comes to mlb. they all put there pants on 1 leg at a time just like you and i

 

[BillDildeaux]

i dont know any sharps when it comes to mlb. they all put there pants on 1 leg at a time just like you and i

some might call you a sharp

 

[pops69]

some might call you a sharp

nope, no opinions on any game i bet, and try to only scalp if possible as i hate gambling

 

[cincy_]

nope, no opinions on any game i bet, and try to only scalp if possible as i hate gambling

The guy from Pinnacle (Simon Noble) once wrote that they classify a "sharp" as the player who always gets the best possible line - he wrote this when talking about football, but I think the same thing should be true for MLB.

 

[spesh]

POPS is that the spider prog for our books?..dont know if the same guy prob not..but my buddy scrapped his..kept running into some probs..if it is are you/he willing to share?

 

[TheWolf]

Fellas-- I just started reading some of this HUGE thread.......and Im still not exactly sure what it is you guys are betting. Can someone give me the cliff notes version.....and let me know if it has been profitable this year so far.

Thanks -Wolf

 

[spesh]

Fellas-- I just started reading some of this HUGE thread.......and Im still not exactly sure what it is you guys are betting. Can someone give me the cliff notes version.....and let me know if it has been profitable this year so far.

Thanks -Wolf

Below is good reading material for those that are new or just need to catch up on the entire thread and find posts of importance. The link basically has all important posts with any b.s. filtered out, so that way it may be easier to catch up or to learn something new. It is posted twice a week so enjoy.



http://download.yousendit.com/EC21BABA53D39DC8

All in here that and 20 yrs of sports betting and school of hard knocks..should get you in the door...now all you have to do is figure it out for yourself and tell us when you are done.

 

[ILMW]

Fellas-- I just started reading some of this HUGE thread.......and Im still not exactly sure what it is you guys are betting. Can someone give me the cliff notes version.....and let me know if it has been profitable this year so far.

Thanks -Wolf

Wolf it may take a few to read the link above but it is the revised version of the entire thread and it is worth it.

 

[pops69]

Fellas-- I just started reading some of this HUGE thread.......and Im still not exactly sure what it is you guys are betting. Can someone give me the cliff notes version.....and let me know if it has been profitable this year so far.

Thanks -Wolf

we have a group of about 50 people that have put together a mbb capping program that many of us use for betting etc. anyone is welcome to have the programs and data, but to be anyone you need to be a contributor in the thread on a regular basis, do special projects or weeks worth of pdws (pitcher data work sheet setup and data collection) and one week of data audits. read the thread show notes that were posted by ilmw as they have all the important posts in the thread since the beginning of this year.

what's it's not is a everyone post there pick's thread and units w/l

 

[pops69]

couple of hours b4 post time, and as of right now it does not look like any other plays for today. everything as back at the OL, so only one today was fla ov

i'll check again around 3:50pm

 

[sinatrac]

<TABLE class=rt_railbox_border2 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=TH vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=component_head align=middle>WEATHER</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR class=bg0_sub vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE borderColor=#ffffff cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=bg0_sub width="20%">Matchup</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=3>Conditions</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=2>Game Time Temp</TH><TH class=bg0_sub>Heat Index</TH></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>PIT PIRATES
FLA MARLINS
Thu 12:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM LEFT CENTER 10-15</TD><TD class=td>81 </TD><TD class=td>74 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>LA DODGERS
ARZ DBACKS
Thu 6:40 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>109</TD><TD class=td>9 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>104</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CIN REDS
PHI PHILLIES
Thu 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS, POSSIBLY SEVERE.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>83 </TD><TD class=td>69 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>STL CARDINALS
NY METS
Thu 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>81 </TD><TD class=td>74 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>COL ROCKIES
HOU ASTROS
Thu 8:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT CENTER 8-13</TD><TD class=td>85 </TD><TD class=td>67 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>92 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>OAK A'S
CLE INDIANS
Thu 12:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWERS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>74 </TD><TD class=td>66 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>TEX RANGERS
DET TIGERS
Thu 1:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 10-15</TD><TD class=td>74 </TD><TD class=td>59 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>TOR BLUE JAYS
MIN TWINS
Thu 1:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>H H H METRODOME </TD><TD class=td>No wind</TD><TD class=td>75</TD><TD class=td>Indoors</TD><TD class=td>75</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>NY YANKEES
BAL ORIOLES
Thu 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS, POSSIBLY SEVERE.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 6-11</TD><TD class=td>86 </TD><TD class=td>65 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>93 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CHI WHITE SOX
TB DEVILRAYS
Thu 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>TROPICANA FIELD (DOME) </TD><TD class=td>No wind</TD><TD class=td>75</TD><TD class=td>Indoors</TD><TD class=td>75</TD></TR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[pops69]

zona indoors

 

[pops69]

there were some 4 scalps 1st 5 inn lad and zona a few min ago +145 -141

 

[ENKI]

is indoors better for the over/under?

zona indoors

Looking thru the data - seems inconclusive.
Only 15 or so games this yr 5ov-8un - couple of pushes.

I was looking at the under with Johnson coming off the DL.
But zona hitting seems weak vs lefties

So i skipped it.

 

[Geppi]

don't know if this site will have the opening lines you're looking for but worth a look...

http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/odds/las-vegas/

 

[pops69]

looks like the bettor god have brough us one play for this evening. if i had an opinion on games i'd prob feel the same way about it myself. two of the worse hitting teams in baseball tonight playing so that why it been bet from OL of 8- to 8 as no way these two teams can score 8 runs in 12 innings let alone 8

so i'm going with:

mets ov 8

everything else is sitting like a rock, dead ass on the number

that all from me for the night, going out for dinner and a little r&r

for tomorrow, 1 early game, and only game with known ump will be houston.

cp, just use the rx live lines for your opening numbers, much better than don best anyway for both the open as well as the close

later, and glta

p.s. o's when to 9- from 9 as well, but AL LM numbers are a crap shoot, 50/50 each way, so pass on that one

 

[coachesplays]

pops, pdws is in the mail.

 

[pops69]

BATR

all updates and pdws for tomorrow have been uploaded to the ftp

also have a small text file with some info etc

couple of games not over, but i'm tired and going to hit the sack early

nite all from vegas land

1st game of a series for all but the houston game