Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[jacksonjohn]

Root plays

last early ump, mets reilly HP

mbb stopped over, going with him for a couple of hours, should be back by late games

early games for me:

both root users plus

tor un
bost ov
pitt ov
nat un

back in a couple

If there were root plays tonight, I did not get the notification. Anyone else?

 

[presscoverage]

If there were root plays tonight, I did not get the notification. Anyone else?

Mr. Root is in the hospital until further notice.

PC

 

[ILMW]

Root 2-0 tonight +269, track it and see if it picks back up the pace, 2-0 tonight.

 

[ILMW]

i am


5/8 1-1 +23
5/9 1-2 -73
5/10 1-1 +28
5/11 1-0 +127
5/12 1-2 -78
5/13 1-0 +178


All based on $100

This was since the 8th of may.

 

[coachesplays]

New lab rat testing system played by me was 2-2 yesterday +$325 on $100 plays. I am playing them myself and tracking them.

Todays would be as follows

Pitt -2 1/2 runs +260 Florida
Philly -2 1/2 +245 Mil
NYM -2 1/2 +240 Chi
SD -2 1/2 +260 Cincy
LAD -2 1/2 +240 St. Louis

I can tell you there will be some bad days on these but if I can make %20 roi over 100 games or so, I will post the methodology. Looks funny but I think there may be something to it. Good luck.

Update on new system test at 5 dimes:
Monday, went 2-3 +220 on $100 plays. Cumulative 2 day total is 4-5 +$545 for Sunday and Monday. Back with more on Tuesday morning.

 

[pops69]

BATR

2-2 for the night but a couple of nice root user wins

let me get to work and get the updates out for tomorrow

 

[mlfp]

Pops,

Getting close to having a template for a fully automated team SS, with the only human element being to change conditions on one sheet, insert lineups and update pitcher ID#'s. It may be possible to maintain one for each team with the format I have now and it would not take much to keep things updated. I will keep you posted on my progress.

 

[pops69]

finished with all the updates, pdws for tues is in the link below, updates will be sent to geppi in about 30 min

tks and glta

 

[pops69]

Pops,

Getting close to having a template for a fully automated team SS, with the only human element being to change conditions on one sheet, insert lineups and update pitcher ID#'s. It may be possible to maintain one for each team with the format I have now and it would not take much to keep things updated. I will keep you posted on my progress.

mbb gave me the outline as to how a spreadsheet should be put together, it sounds easy but it would need a bunch of lookup tables etc, not sure if i want to tackle another project. gl

 

[punter]

Wow! the visiting teams have some gargantuan whips.

 

[pops69]

Wow! the visiting teams have some gargantuan whips.

remember that could be from only a few inning pitched away and having a few very bad innings

 

[punter]

Thanks, I will look at in the AM. Goodnight.

 

[pops69]

Tuesday May 15th

beautiful morning in vegas land. already got my stars and getting right to work on updating all the HF for 15 day avg. the final pieces of the puzzle are to add the era and whip numbers into the data (they are in the data but not useable)

about half the umps for today are 1st game of a series, and all night games tonight (love it) so a bunch of time to get everything done and sent to everyone

i will send out an update on to the master with this info as it's one of the most critical factors in the decision

glta

 

[cd329]

current trends


<TABLE height=260 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=595 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD background=http://images.covers.com/wagerline/brick_headers/blue_head_595.gif height=21>MLB LEAGUE TRENDS

</TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE class=bottom cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top align=left height=565><SELECT class=smtext2 id=ddlLastDays name=lastSelect> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season.html selected>Season to Date</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season1.html>Previous Day</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season7.html>Last 7 Days</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season30.html>Last 30 Days</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season60.html>Last 60 Days</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season90.html>Last 90 Days</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season120.html>Last 120 Days</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season150.html>Last 150 Days</OPTION> <OPTION value=/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season180.html>Last 180 Days</OPTION></SELECT>
Season to Date

Straight Up (Won Loss)

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD width="50%">Category</TD><TD width="25%">Record</TD><TD width="25%">Percent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>264-296</TD><TD class=datacell>47.14%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>296-264</TD><TD class=datacell>52.86%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>335-217</TD><TD class=datacell>60.69%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>217-335</TD><TD class=datacell>39.31%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>106-63</TD><TD class=datacell>62.72%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>154-229</TD><TD class=datacell>40.21%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>229-154</TD><TD class=datacell>59.79%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>63-106</TD><TD class=datacell>37.28%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Against The Spread (ATS)

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD width="50%">Category</TD><TD width="25%">Record</TD><TD width="25%">Percent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>320-240</TD><TD class=datacell>57.14%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>240-320</TD><TD class=datacell>42.86%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>243-317</TD><TD class=datacell>43.39%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>317-243</TD><TD class=datacell>56.61%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>73-70</TD><TD class=datacell>51.05%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>247-170</TD><TD class=datacell>59.23%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>170-247</TD><TD class=datacell>40.77%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>70-73</TD><TD class=datacell>48.95%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Over vs. Under

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD>Category</TD><TD>Overs</TD><TD>Percent</TD><TD>Unders</TD><TD>Percent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Extra Inning Games</TD><TD class=datacell>19</TD><TD class=datacell>41.30%</TD><TD class=datacell>27</TD><TD class=datacell>58.70%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Non-Extra Inning Games</TD><TD class=datacell>234</TD><TD class=datacell>48.85%</TD><TD class=datacell>245</TD><TD class=datacell>51.15%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>All Games</TD><TD class=datacell>253</TD><TD class=datacell>48.19%</TD><TD class=datacell>272</TD><TD class=datacell>51.81</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[cd329]

teams vs lefty/righty


vs. Lefties

<TABLE class=grey_1><TBODY><TR><TD>Tigers</TD><TD>8-2</TD><TD>+6.47</TD></TR><TR><TD>Mariners</TD><TD>6-2</TD><TD>+6.38</TD></TR><TR><TD>Brewers</TD><TD>9-4</TD><TD>+5.18</TD></TR><TR><TD>Devil Rays</TD><TD>6-4</TD><TD>+5.08</TD></TR><TR><TD>Padres</TD><TD>7-3</TD><TD>+4.46</TD></TR><TR><TD>Athletics</TD><TD>9-5</TD><TD>+4.06</TD></TR><TR><TD>Mets</TD><TD>7-3</TD><TD>+2.82</TD></TR><TR><TD>Dodgers</TD><TD>7-4</TD><TD>+2.46</TD></TR><TR><TD>Giants</TD><TD>8-6</TD><TD>+2.12</TD></TR><TR><TD>Red Sox</TD><TD>6-3</TD><TD>+2.08</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pirates</TD><TD>5-4</TD><TD>+1.64</TD></TR><TR><TD>Blue Jays</TD><TD>6-5</TD><TD>+0.72</TD></TR><TR><TD>Braves</TD><TD>9-8</TD><TD>+0.11</TD></TR><TR><TD>Nationals</TD><TD>5-8</TD><TD>-0.14</TD></TR><TR><TD>Orioles</TD><TD>6-7</TD><TD>-0.75</TD></TR><TR><TD>Indians</TD><TD>4-6</TD><TD>-1.47</TD></TR><TR><TD>White Sox</TD><TD>4-5</TD><TD>-1.67</TD></TR><TR><TD>Rangers</TD><TD>3-5</TD><TD>-1.97</TD></TR><TR><TD>Cardinals</TD><TD>4-5</TD><TD>-2.17</TD></TR><TR><TD>Angels</TD><TD>5-6</TD><TD>-2.33</TD></TR><TR><TD>Cubs</TD><TD>2-4</TD><TD>-3.57</TD></TR><TR><TD>Diamondbacks</TD><TD>3-7</TD><TD>-4.44</TD></TR><TR><TD>Astros</TD><TD>4-7</TD><TD>-4.55</TD></TR><TR><TD>Rockies</TD><TD>3-7</TD><TD>-4.66</TD></TR><TR><TD>Phillies</TD><TD>5-10</TD><TD>-4.91</TD></TR><TR><TD>Marlins</TD><TD>3-8</TD><TD>-5.65</TD></TR><TR><TD>Reds</TD><TD>4-11</TD><TD>-6.16</TD></TR><TR><TD>Yankees</TD><TD>3-6</TD><TD>-6.44</TD></TR><TR><TD>Twins</TD><TD>5-9</TD><TD>-7.32</TD></TR><TR><TD>Royals</TD><TD>0-9</TD><TD>-9.00</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
vs. Righties

<TABLE class=grey_1><TBODY><TR><TD>Red Sox</TD><TD>19-8</TD><TD>+9.90</TD></TR><TR><TD>Indians</TD><TD>17-8</TD><TD>+8.58</TD></TR><TR><TD>Brewers</TD><TD>16-8</TD><TD>+8.46</TD></TR><TR><TD>Braves</TD><TD>15-5</TD><TD>+7.91</TD></TR><TR><TD>Dodgers</TD><TD>16-11</TD><TD>+3.96</TD></TR><TR><TD>Diamondbacks</TD><TD>17-12</TD><TD>+3.89</TD></TR><TR><TD>White Sox</TD><TD>14-11</TD><TD>+3.78</TD></TR><TR><TD>Angels</TD><TD>16-11</TD><TD>+3.27</TD></TR><TR><TD>Astros</TD><TD>14-12</TD><TD>+2.98</TD></TR><TR><TD>Twins</TD><TD>13-10</TD><TD>+2.69</TD></TR><TR><TD>Mets</TD><TD>16-10</TD><TD>+2.58</TD></TR><TR><TD>Tigers</TD><TD>15-11</TD><TD>+1.47</TD></TR><TR><TD>Rockies</TD><TD>13-15</TD><TD>+0.65</TD></TR><TR><TD>Orioles</TD><TD>12-13</TD><TD>+0.61</TD></TR><TR><TD>Phillies</TD><TD>12-10</TD><TD>+0.06</TD></TR><TR><TD>Marlins</TD><TD>13-13</TD><TD>-0.08</TD></TR><TR><TD>Giants</TD><TD>11-12</TD><TD>-0.72</TD></TR><TR><TD>Royals</TD><TD>12-17</TD><TD>-0.77</TD></TR><TR><TD>Reds</TD><TD>11-12</TD><TD>-1.83</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pirates</TD><TD>11-16</TD><TD>-2.18</TD></TR><TR><TD>Athletics</TD><TD>10-12</TD><TD>-2.48</TD></TR><TR><TD>Mariners</TD><TD>11-14</TD><TD>-2.59</TD></TR><TR><TD>Cubs</TD><TD>15-14</TD><TD>-3.27</TD></TR><TR><TD>Rangers</TD><TD>12-17</TD><TD>-3.91</TD></TR><TR><TD>Nationals</TD><TD>7-17</TD><TD>-4.54</TD></TR><TR><TD>Padres</TD><TD>13-15</TD><TD>-5.33</TD></TR><TR><TD>Cardinals</TD><TD>11-15</TD><TD>-5.66</TD></TR><TR><TD>Devil Rays</TD><TD>9-18</TD><TD>-6.44</TD></TR><TR><TD>Yankees</TD><TD>14-13</TD><TD>-6.80</TD></TR><TR><TD>Blue Jays</TD><TD>9-17</TD><TD>-10.06</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[ILMW]

Update on new system test at 5 dimes:
Monday, went 2-3 +220 on $100 plays. Cumulative 2 day total is 4-5 +$545 for Sunday and Monday. Back with more on Tuesday morning.

Like to see how it plays out, are you going to go into depth if it pans out?

 

[pops69]

about 10 more days to go to finish up all the HF with the 15 day avg, i wont go to the casino for bf until everything is finished

 

[CTP]

Pops could you go into a bit of detail on the std. dev. thing. I see Det has a 1.1 number what is this compared to. Is higher better? Can it be used for sides? This number is in col DI on the WA_NPS.

 

[CTP]

CD 329 is the chart for o/u or sides. I could add the totals if someone is interested.

 

[coachesplays]

-2 1/2 plays are going well. Monday, went 2-3 +220 on $100 plays. Cumulative 2 day total is 4-5 +$545 for Sunday and Monday.

I am playing these at 5 dimes and think I have something that could be good. Anyway, column AB PDWS plays made a profit but when dipped below 60% I cut it loose. Something similar will apply here. Looking for a 20%r.o.i. and well above that in the early stages of course.

Tuesday plays:
PHilly -2 1/2 runs +270 Milwaukee
NYM -2 1/2 runs +240 Chicago Cubs
Houston -2 1/2 +255 SF
Colorado -2 1/2 +285 AZ
LAD -2 1/2 +240 St. Louis
TB -2 1/2 +220 Texas
Seattle -2 1/2 +280 LAA

Good luck if you are playing along.