Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[ILMW]

The only thing that concerns me about the Brewers total is Capuano who can pitch well. His last outing he left early I read from getting hit in the leg with a ball, but I assume he is over that now.

 

[Ruleof72]

seems to me that a number of things have to lineup correctly for this to stay under, pitcher is questionable after being injured, roof is closed which means the bats come alive..... seems easy to me

 

[ILMW]

seems to me that a number of things have to lineup correctly for this to stay under, pitcher is questionable after being injured, roof is closed which means the bats come alive..... seems easy to me

Makes alot of sense. Hard to pass up that number as well.

 

[bullets]

That sir is or was a classic newleywed post, what quarter, ha ha ha.

I am probably one of the few on this forum who liked the guy. I always read his posts to see who was following his crazy stuff.

He got kicked down so many times because some of the things he posted but he always came right back like it was no big deal.

 

[k_t]

Managed to get some U9 in the Cards game .

Cards night games at home this season, unders are 6-2-1

 

[ILMW]

Pretty nice wager got going now with over in the brewers and under in the cards, same thing locked in at 9 in the cardinals game, what a steal. Got 8.5 in the brewers game and think that game it soars over the listed total.

 

[k_t]

The only thing that concerns me about the Brewers total is Capuano who can pitch well. His last outing he left early I read from getting hit in the leg with a ball, but I assume he is over that now.

Look at Chico , horrible ,Wash bullpen should be busy early on tonight.

 

[ILMW]

Look at Chico , horrible ,Wash bullpen should be busy early on tonight.

Yeah after losing to the Cubs in the extra innings and pretty much letting that game slip away i dont think they will be up for much of anything. Do like it know after looking at the big picture, good luck tonight.

 

[sinatrac]

<TABLE class=rt_railbox_border2 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=TH vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=component_head align=middle>WEATHER</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR class=bg0_sub vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE borderColor=#ffffff cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=bg0_sub width="20%">Matchup</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=3>Conditions</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=2>Game Time Temp</TH><TH class=bg0_sub>Heat Index</TH></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>LA DODGERS
FLA MARLINS
Mon 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM LEFT 11-16</TD><TD class=td>77 </TD><TD class=td>49 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SD PADRES
ATL BRAVES
Mon 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>CLEAR.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>68 </TD><TD class=td>29 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>HOU ASTROS
CIN REDS
Mon 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 7-12</TD><TD class=td>68 </TD><TD class=td>38 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>WAS NATIONALS
MIL BREWERS
Mon 8:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT 10-15</TD><TD class=td>63 </TD><TD class=td>64 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>COL ROCKIES
STL CARDINALS
Mon 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 10-15</TD><TD class=td>78 </TD><TD class=td>57 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>PHI PHILLIES
ARZ DBACKS
Mon 9:40 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>89 </TD><TD class=td>12 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>NY METS
SF GIANTS
Mon 10:15 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 10-15</TD><TD class=td>77 </TD><TD class=td>35 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CLE INDIANS
BAL ORIOLES
Mon 12:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM LEFT CENTER 8-13</TD><TD class=td>64 </TD><TD class=td>34 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SEA MARINERS
NY YANKEES
Mon 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 6-11</TD><TD class=td>62 </TD><TD class=td>36 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD class=a1 align=left>Updated: Mon, May 7, 2007 at 4:05 PM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[pops69]

BATR

what a cluster fuck this morning, must have hit every fuck light on the way to the apt, and the only RR crossing in all of las vegas had a 200 car train going but, so 5 min late cost me an extra two hour wait

stop at the casino for a few drinks to cool down, they got the cards at 8 and milk 9 -130 over. i can see how a combination of shit in cards game is bringing the numbers way down. take a couple of teams that cant hit for shit, hook them up with a 20 mph wind directly to HP from the outfield and throw in edding who never call any ball and you have the prefect mix of a 7-

i'm going to relax for a few but i'll be here working and catching up on all my emails.

 

[Cappin'Guru]

Hey pops I emailed you back in the beginning of the season and was wondering when I could get my dirty work down and start getting the plays sent to email or text message or however you guys are going about this. Just let me know when I need to complete the spread sheet. (I just got the internet back and am ready to ROCK)

Thanks.

 

[CTP]

Probably been covered but damn if I can find it. On the PDWS where does the Team ERA come from.

 

[pops69]

Hey pops I emailed you back in the beginning of the season and was wondering when I could get my dirty work down and start getting the plays sent to email or text message or however you guys are going about this. Just let me know when I need to complete the spread sheet. (I just got the internet back and am ready to ROCK)

Thanks.

do you have excel 2007? the spreadsheets wont work if you dont

 

[pops69]

Probably been covered but damn if I can find it. On the PDWS where does the Team ERA come from.

statfox home and away ytd

 

[pops69]

just bet this one as well for tonight

zona ov 9, very low humidity 7%, plus roof open 89 deg, so nothing curve balls with no breaks tonight etc and two avg pitchers at best. philly loves hitting the fast ball and should carry well tonight for both sides

 

[bet2win.us]

On a tear lately hitting 25 of my last 30 let's see if we can keep it up tonight going following this evening

Cin o
Stl u
Ari o
Atl u
Fla o
Mil o

GL gentleman

 

[mlfp]

Off to work for a bit, posted the M's sheet last night so it's somewhere in the last few pages. GL tonight gentlemen

 

[bullets]

My gg came out to post in the NBA.

I'm going to wait until halftime to see if there is a possible fade. I have lost only one play fading him.

If the numbers are correct against his plays, he is usually my deciding factor.

 

[shale]

pitching and head to head match-ups

LOS ANGELES AT FLORIDA
lad: penny (r)
33-41 4.49 road
12-12 3.56 may
0-1 8.18 vs fla
57-45 3.60 nite
26-14 3.64 at fla

fla: nolasco (r)
5-5 5.05 home
3-2 6.62 may
n/a vs lad
10-9 4.35 nite
5-5 5.05 at fla

lad: 3-0 LY / 6-4 L3Y at fla
O 2-1 LY / O 4-5 L3Y

SAN DIEGO AT ATLANTA
sdp: young (r)
14-4 3.35 road
6-1 2.57 may
1-1 9.00 vs atl
19-14 4.30 nite
n/a at atl

atl: james (l)
7-2 3.74 home
0-0 5.1 ip 5.06 may
1-0 5 ip 9.00 vs sdp
11-4 3.24 nite
7-2 3.74 at atl

sdp: 1-2 LY / 5-4 L3Y at atl
o 0-2 LY / o 2-5 L3Y at atl


HOUSTON AT CINCINNATI
hou: oswalt (r)
46-30 3.56 road
10-13 3.03 may
18-1 2.46 vs cin
70-32 3.04 nite
5-1 3.72 at cin

cin: lohse (r)
27-24 4.62 home
9-9 3.96 may
1-3 4.05 vs hou
41-45 4.93 nite
2-2 4.08 at cin

hou: 3-4 LY / 11-12 L3Y at cin
O 2-2 LY / O 12-9 L3Y at cin



WASHINGTON AT MILWAUKEE
was: chico (l)
0-3 7.62 road
0-1 3.2 ip 12.27 may
n/a vs mil
2-3 5.40 nite
n/a at mil

mil: capuano (r)
(coming off a baseball hit to the calf area last outing in the 3rd inning)
21-17 3.84 home
4-6 3.50 may
0-1 2.51 vs was
27-23 3.97 nite
19-14 3.82 at mil

was: 3-0 LY / 4-6 L3 at mil
O 2-1 LY / O 5-4 L3Y at mil


COLORADO AT ST. LOUIS
col: francis (l)
13-18 5.20 road
6-6 4.52 may
3-1 2.20 vs stl
21-23 5.20 nite
1-1 4.61 at b2

stl: reyes (r)
3-5 4.89 home
1-1 3.00 may
0-1 5.1 ip 10.12 vs col
3-9 5.16 nite
3-5 4.99 at b2

col: 1-5 LY / 4-9 L3Y at stl
O 2-3 LY / O 5-7 L3Y at stl


PHILADELPHIA AT ARIZONA
phi: garcia (r)
(injured leg sunday nite running into a golf cart shagging fly balls in the outfield....still listed as pitching)
62-32 4.06 road
19-13 4.45 may
0-0 7 ip 1.29 vs ari
69-58 4.31 nite
18-13 4.87 dome
n/a at ari

ari: davis (l)
34-27 4.00 home
13-17 4.34 may
1-1 3.46 vs phi
44-43 4.34 nite
15-13 3.77 dome
2-0 2.45 at ari


phi: 3-0 LY / 7-2 L3Y at ari
O 1-2 LY / O 4-5 L3Y at ari

NEW YORK METS AT SAN FRANCISCO
nym: perez (l)
13-19 5.26 road
5-5 4.62 may
0-3 6.60 vs sfg
20-30 4.80 nite
0-1 5.62 at sfg

sfg: zito (l)
52-32 3.68 home
11-7 2.97 may
n/a vs nym
69-40 3.41 nite
2-3 4.17 at sfg
(hover below 50 first month with a high 4's era for his career in april.....may is where he gets much, much better....second best month for his career)


nym: 2-1 LY / 4-5 L3Y at sfg
O 1-2 LY / o 3-6 L3Y at sfg
SEATTLE AT NY YANK-MEES
sea: batista (r)
30-51 4.20 road
19-15 3.83 may
2-2 4.58 vs nyy
44-62 4.76 nite
1-2 6.35 at nyy

nyy: desalvo (r)
minor league stats ytd:
3-0 1.05 era
23-13 k/bb
25.2 ip (5 starts)
aaa scranton

hi-lited some leans and key stats
leaning towards lad, sdp, hou and phi and sfg.....decent prices for some favorable pitching match-ups

sdp-atl: could be a toss-up, but young pitches so well on the road and san diego does decent against lhp and on the road, plus sd has won more than lost at atl last 3 yrs

lad-fla: basis on penny pitching back in fla and i believe that this is nolasco's second start of the year and dogders have won more than they have lost in florida the past 3 yrs

hou-cin: how can you not ignore oswalt 18-1 vs cinc and 5-1 at new park...strictly a pitcher play getting a good price and astros are 11-12 at cin last 3

phi-ari: going on team trend here.....worked this past weekend when nym won 3/4 against arizona until randolph sat 3 players yesterday with a pitcher who needed a win for confidance....wft???? phi is 7-2 at arizon last 3 ...only thing that scares me is they are 3-8 vs lhp this year

nym-sfg: basis on zito getting back to form past 2+ weeks.....worth a shot against perez whom has not had good success against the giants in the past....sfg 7-4 against lefties, but nym 6-2 vs lefties to good a price for zito who is starting to heat it up

 

[cd329]

houston umpire
Umpires: HP: Rick Reed. 1B: Chuck Meriwether. 2B: Alfonso Marquez. 3B: Tim Timmons.
Weather: 77 degrees, clear.
Wind: 5 mph, In from CF.