Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[ILMW]

Another Question

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=650 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#f97f1a><TH></TH></TR><TR bgColor=#f97f1a><TH>903 Fight Total Rnds - De La Hoya vs Mayweather Jr</TH></TR><TR bgColor=#17654b><TH>Sat 5/5 11:00PM (EST)</TH></TR><TR><TD>

<TABLE cellSpacing=5 cellPadding=5 width=650 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#f8f5bd><TD>903 Over 11.5 Rounds </TD><TD> -260 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#cdeab8><TD>904 Under 11.5 Rounds </TD><TD> +210 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
If the fight is only 12 rounds and it appears they are setting the stakes high that it may go that, would it make sense to be either a decision or draw?

 

[mlfp]

A lot Mayweather's fights have seemed to go the distance lately, and his big fights always seem to go that way, so I feel like that's where the Over 11.5 juice is coming from and there's no doubt a lot of people think it's a lock. I'm not betting on rounds, but if I had to there's only value in one side there...

 

[mlfp]

Had my daughters first holy communion today and I am already three sheets mlfp, gonna be a long night, or a short one for that matter. Hope I make it to the fight.

Hopefully you make it to the fight, I have to be to work at 3 pt so I'm missing the derby, the fight, and damn near everythinga bout Cinco De Mayo. What a bust. Glad you're having a good day though, my best to the family.

 

[mlfp]

Alright gentlemen, enjoy Cinco Deporte, adios.

 

[ILMW]

Thanks ml, tough break working all night, will toast in your honor.

 

[$4nothing]

KENTUCKY DERBY PRICES:
#7 Street Sense 11.80 6.40 4.60
#8 Hard Spun 9.80 7.00
#2 Curlin 5.60

$2 Exacta (7-8) 101.80
$2 Trifecta(7-8-2) 440.00

 

[$4nothing]

5/05/07
04:08:10 MLB Baseball MLB Baseball: Gm# 929 Blue Jays (OF) Vernon Wells (flu) IS expected to be in the starting lineup tonight vs the Rangers.

 

[spesh]

man these OS rob ya when it comes to payout on the ponies..here is my $10 ex box winner..

<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TD>Risk / To Win Amount:</TD><TD>60.00 / (USD) Accepted 5/5/2007 5:19 PM - EST</TD></TR><TR><TD>Amount Paid: </TD><TD>449.00</TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Desc: </TD><TD>May-05 CHU R10 10.00 USD EXX 2,7,8


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
over $50 for their part...

 

[coachesplays]

PDWS column AB goes 2-0 today making them 11-3-2 last 16 or so

 

[$4nothing]

SPESH:
some O/S's have "limits" on horses...which as u say, sux...but many pay FULL.

Think that's your reference here.
congrats...woulda been even sweeter had #8 held on to win.

 

[spesh]

SPESH:
some O/S's have "limits" on horses...which as u say, sux...but many pay FULL.

Think that's your reference here.
congrats...woulda been even sweeter had #8 held on to win.

i know it...was just happy to win..lol

 

[bullets]

So what is Pops doing today?

Derby then Boxing match?

 

[jacksonjohn]

Wtf?

PDWS column AB goes 2-0 today making them 11-3-2 last 16 or so

Someone please tell me how I screwed this up. I go 0-2 by taking the highest in col. AB and playing it over (makes sense that the highest ERAs will go over, right?) and I take the lowest (LAA) and go under. I lose and everyone else wins... what else is new?

 

[BillDildeaux]

Feel like I got hammered last night, but definitely didn't. Put in a 17 hour day on a movie set, now I have to go do a soccer game today, we'll see if I make it. I wouldn't touch the Sea/Nyy game either way today personally, but that's not doing any research and only based on surface level analysis. My card looks like 7 Street Sense and 8 Hard Spun across the board, Mayweather Jr. by TKO/KO/DQ +425, Sdg Ov, Pit Ov, Bos Un. GL today gentlemen, I'll be sipping juice on the couch for the Derby until work. Yankees/Mariners spreadsheet for tomorrow's game for sure.

Wow, nice card mlfp. Might have to jump on Mayweather with you. Gl

 

[cd329]

Someone please tell me how I screwed this up. I go 0-2 by taking the highest in col. AB and playing it over (makes sense that the highest ERAs will go over, right?) and I take the lowest (LAA) and go under. I lose and everyone else wins... what else is new?

Jack,
you go opposite what the 2 plays were telling you. The highest era was an under play, not over. And you reverse the other game as well.

 

[jacksonjohn]

Jack,
you go opposite what the 2 plays were telling you. The highest era was an under play, not over. And you reverse the other game as well.

I don't understand the logic, but thank you. It's really not important that I understand, huh?

 

[tbonestk]

I don't understand the logic, but thank you. It's really not important that I understand, huh?

JJ, the logic here is to take the most extreme numbers on both end of the spectrum and fade them... also means we don't have faith in those values at this point yet and there's room for adjustment ....

 

[mlfp]

Shit, just finished the Mariners/Yankees sheet for the day and will post up before game time on that one. Worked until 11, went to a party with friends afterward, then came home at 2am to work on the SS and watch the De La Hoya/Mayweather fight which I recorded. What do you know the tape ran out during Floyd's introduction. I have avoided anything that could tell me the result, including my book, so if you could be so kind don't tell me who won the fight as I'm searching everywhere for a copy of the fight or a replay on pay-per-view, or anything I can get my hands on. 3-0 baseball, hit 1 & 2 in the Derby, we'll see if I finished the day on the same note. G'night and GL.

 

[jacksonjohn]

JJ, the logic here is to take the most extreme numbers on both end of the spectrum and fade them... also means we don't have faith in those values at this point yet and there's room for adjustment ....

Thanks tbone; the "we don't have faith in those values ..." is what I was looking for. Now it makes sense. Would you mind explaining the "Holly fuck" plays so I don't make any mistakes with it. Really appreciate your taking the time.

 

[pops69]

Sunday May 6th

AND NEW!!!!, sweet

start and get may ass to work on the pdws

back in a few