Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

Now, the Mets and Cards don't play again til Tuesday but the rotation should be that Jim Reynolds comes to the plate.

Is that right or am I going the wrong way?

that is correct, but always double check when a games break between, plus not a bad idea to check the next day on all of them, especially if you have a key ump going

 

[fatchickhater]

fwiw, recently oakland has completely dominated seattle.

ahtletics are 16-5 in last 21 games in seattle.
athletics are 18-2 in last 20 games vs mariners.
athletics are 38-13 in last 51 games vs mariners.

haren 2006 vs mariners 20 innings 1.35 era 0.95 whip
haren career vs mariners 43.1 innings 2.89 era 1.17 whip
haren career at safeco 15 innings 2.40 era 0.87 whip

hernandez 2006 vs athletics 9 innings 6.00 era 2.11 whip
hernandez career vs athletics 23 innings 3.52 era 1.39 whip
hernandez career at sefeco 144.2 innings 3.24 era 1.08 whip

 

[sinatrac]

St Lou

Wind now OUT 18mph 1st base dugout-l/field corner

 

[ILMW]

Wind seems like it is all over the place......

 

[cd329]

the wind is coming out of the west south west, which would make it blowing across the third baseline, this is according to the ball park dimensions from the league.

 

[EasyMoney9]

How does the day/night affect average scoring? More runs at night or during the day?

 

[cd329]

is utah gonna lose its 12th straight to the spread today? houston starting to open the lead up now. Anybody using a chase system playing utah is now dead broke after 11 spread losses.

 

[fatchickhater]

you are correct, not sure you know how to correct it but the entire range was not selected, found it the other day when we were trying to figure why last years was not matching with the changes were put in this year, and it was about 200 of the last games

after noticing that the pivot table was missing games i just messed around with the pivot table wizard hoping to find an angle to play with regards to over/under umps and different run lines. it took me a little while, but i did finally get a pivot table that worked. i couldn't find anything significant about the umps but i did find out that thing about games with a run line of 8 or less and games with a run line of 10.5 or more which i posted earlier.

thanks pops for your help, this thread, and the data you provide.

 

[Ramonskee]

Anyone doing any live betting on the baseball game tonight? I've never used Bodog's live baseball betting before.

 

[pops69]

Wind now OUT 18mph 1st base dugout-l/field corner

mucho better, much grass, sure shaping up as an ov bet

 

[Brooklynbomber]

the wind is coming out of the west south west, which would make it blowing across the third baseline, this is according to the ball park dimensions from the league.

w / sw in that park means wind blowing in from left field / left field line

 

[pops69]

Anyone doing any live betting on the baseball game tonight? I've never used Bodog's live baseball betting before.

daw had done that, i personally never have. i know in football you sure get some big moves either way during the course of the game

 

[fatchickhater]

How does the day/night affect average scoring? More runs at night or during the day?

the ball usually carries better during the day. one of pops' spreadsheets has all the info regarding overs/unders with regards to day/night games.

 

[EasyMoney9]

Thanks FCH. I'll look for it in the spreadsheets.

 

[leisure]

I am going under....We have two aces going combined with a few things I liked on the 06 SS
GLTA

 

[mlfp]

fwiw, recently oakland has completely dominated seattle.

ahtletics are 16-5 in last 21 games in seattle.
athletics are 18-2 in last 20 games vs mariners.
athletics are 38-13 in last 51 games vs mariners.

haren 2006 vs mariners 20 innings 1.35 era 0.95 whip
haren career vs mariners 43.1 innings 2.89 era 1.17 whip
haren career at safeco 15 innings 2.40 era 0.87 whip

hernandez 2006 vs athletics 9 innings 6.00 era 2.11 whip
hernandez career vs athletics 23 innings 3.52 era 1.39 whip
hernandez career at sefeco 144.2 innings 3.24 era 1.08 whip

You wanna talk domination? I'm a 23 year Mariners fan and it's almost a tradition for our home opener that we lose to Oakland. In my heart of hearts this is the year! But...

 

[Ramonskee]

I'm on the Mets/Cards over 8.

The Mets ML moved from +130 to +127 in the last few minutes. Late money is slowly being thrown at New York.

Some interesting prop bets..


Most Hits+Runs+RBIs
Beltran +145
Pujols -175

You have to figure that Beltran has a lot more talent hitting infront of and behind him. So he'll have more RBI opps and will get pitched around less. Pujols on the other hand doesn't have nearly as much talent infront of behind him. Beltran is a very good bet here.


Player to hit 1st HR of game
David Wright +1000

He was +2000 literally 30 minutes ago. I should've thrown at least $10 on that one lol. Yadier Molina is +2500. The guy has some pop especially against lefties w/ the wind blowing out to leftfield.


Most Hits + RBIs
Delgado -130
Rolen EVEN

I like Rolen here. He has more RBI opps because of the lesser talent around him. Delgado may lose his RBIs IF he can even hit Carpenter.

 

[teazeman]

keeping my powder dry tonight gl to all that wager on this one.

 

[ILMW]

Go Cards, too many on Mets.

 

[Atlanta1978]

Im on the over 4 (at plus money) for the mets team total. Should have waited later but had to go grab some food (went back down to 3.5).

GL you guys
ATL