Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

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to save some juice what i'll do on the games i post is just bet the game b4 they start if no LM or fade the line move if they go the same way

eg milk bet at 9- and than fade at 10, and laa at 9 than fade at 9-. chance of them hitting on one number are only 5% so, i'll just go with the play or fade on those to save the juice
 

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KC game is a good example of why the books always get the gamblers money in the long run. All i saw on the net today was guys saying no way can the angels get swept at home by the royals.
 

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KC game is a good example of why the books always get the gamblers money in the long run. All i saw on the net today was guys saying no way can the angels get swept at home by the royals.

plus look at the 5 ov/un Line Moves in the early games

milk 9- to 10 lost
cubs 9 to 9- won
sfo 8 to 7- won
laa 9 to 9- lost
sea 9 to 9- (losing)

just do pay to be with the majority moving up the numbers. no middle tries 4me in the late games, all LM fades
 

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4pm er's:

phil ov 9- from early this morning, no line move, so didnt have to fade it
clev ov 9 from 9-
tb ov 9 from 9-

not touching atl 8- to 8, they hit like shit vs lefty's, so i'll just watch that one.

still looking at a couple of late games, but need mo info
 

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plus look at the 5 ov/un Line Moves in the early games

milk 9- to 10 lost
cubs 9 to 9- won
sfo 8 to 7- won
laa 9 to 9- lost
sea 9 to 9- (losing)

just do pay to be with the majority moving up the numbers. no middle tries 4me in the late games, all LM fades


Exactly. You know what drives me crazy and i will probably go to my grave never understanding the answer is the fact that take your plays above as an example. Why do the line moves lose a majority of the time? The books have no control over how the games play out, so why didnt the line moves go 3-2 instead of 2-3? This is baffling to me
 

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Exactly. You know what drives me crazy and i will probably go to my grave never understanding the answer is the fact that take your plays above as an example. Why do the line moves lose a majority of the time? The books have no control over how the games play out, so why didnt the line moves go 3-2 instead of 2-3? This is baffling to me

lol, if all the bettors knew that the casino's and OS would all be broke and we wouldnt have any games to bet on

i guess it just that the odds makers, with all the info they have set the lines at a decent number. so when the majority believe it wrong and bet the other way and move those lines cause they know more than the odds makers and wind up losing
 

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got it cp

has anyone heard any info regarding a detroit DH tomorrow. let me know and i'll setup the pdws for two games, day night
 

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lol, if all the bettors knew that the casino's and OS would all be broke and we wouldnt have any games to bet on

You're right for LOL.

It's that mentality that gets us all in trouble. We think we're smarter than the OS and LV books. We rationalize the outcome so we get fucked. There's always an explanation to justify the bet and I'm one of those that got the hose up the ass times and again.
 

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zona roof open, 10% humidity, going against edding and the under move to 7- under money and taking

ov 7-, that it it does not drop to 7, which i doubt

that's all for tonight

already have the pdws from cp, so i'll get that knocked off and go out for a little r&r
 

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tks spesh

pdws is done for tomorrow, and i've uploaded it to the ftp share area

i'll do the final scores and master when i get back home tonight

tks and glta
 

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Pops,Always nice to make your money when you get your over in the 2nd inning.Love the hot humid weather in Cleveland when the Indians are at home.Gravy
 

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Today, E's strike zone isn't that large and they still can't score in single-digit humidity.

The great thing about E is that the batters know that they have to swing early in the count or they'll be down 0-2 or 1-2 real quick ... and if a pitch is 8 inches outside, they still have to swing ... it's what we call the self-fulfilling prophecy ...
 

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BATR

master is updated and on the ftp site.

only dumb ass betting made for a losing day. the early three fades that i had bet early is what's cost me, plus i knew as much as all the bettors that bet the atl under to not go against that fade as they were prob right. not

only one early game tomorrow pitt at florida

back early tomorrow
 

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So does the ball carry further when it is hot and humid in the day? in the night?
 

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BATR

master is updated and on the ftp site.

only dumb ass betting made for a losing day. the early three fades that i had bet early is what's cost me, plus i knew as much as all the bettors that bet the atl under to not go against that fade as they were prob right. not

only one early game tomorrow pitt at florida

back early tomorrow

actually, pops, sorry to burst ur bubble, but, here's the sked of gms for tomorrow:

oak @ cle along with pit @ fla @ 9:05, open up the day, tex @ det @ 10:05, tor @ min @ 10:10, lad @ ari @ 3:40, cin @ phi along with nyy @ bal @ 4:05, cws @ tb along with stl @ nym @ 4:10, and, col @ hou @ 5:05, closes out the day
 

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Thursday June 28th

shit, your right goy, a whole bunch of early games

not betting anything early, most of the lines are where they should be based on era, so i'll just wait for everyone to bet the can lose one's and cherry pick from there

going for stars, back in a few
 
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