Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

almost done for the day, got everything locked in on the larger ones, now just doing some fishing for a few to pay for dinner tonight

i'll see if i like anything on the ov/un with the line moves in about 30 min, should be finished with everything else

 

[pops69]

fyi, there still 25 diff in the spread on the nyy alt run lines, i'm max out at all of my OS accounts, and still have a couple of runners casino hopping, so it's there if you have OS's that have it

 

[Coaster]

As I'm sure most of you are getting up to crunch data and start looking at games, I just got home and am going to bed. Looks like the SS's did their job on totals like I designed them and took my money on sides, but somehow I'm not surprised. Interleague and massive scale doesn't seem to be in the stars for the SS at the moment, but tomorrow's another day. Times fall just right so I'll be up in 5 hours and crunch TB/Fla, then Col/Bal, Hou/Cws, possibly LAA/Stl, and then wrap it up with the later games crunching Oak/SF, Sea/SD, Tor/LAD, and Bos/Ari. I'm going to hate myself for putting myself on the hook for all this, but oh well. Head to pillow, adios.

L-3 totals were all winners, and I thank you! Hit Sea hard.
Trend with mariners...Over...goanna try again today!

Coaster

 

[Dales]

a couple of decent scalps were nyy again on alt, and nat, also see if you have the total home vs Vis total as won on that yesterday as well

still waiting for a few more places to put up some alt lines but that all i see so far

don't have home vs vis totals but i do have overall total.
friday was 142.5 and that over hit, easily.
not sure what it was yesterday but 140 today...avg/game 9.333 which seems a good under number for a sunday.

 

[pops69]

going with the following for today:

florida vs TB Over

 

[mlfp]

SS's for first two games are up on FTP @ in inboxes, napping until lineups come out for next game.

 

[cd329]

SS's for first two games are up on FTP @ in inboxes, napping until lineups come out for next game.

MLFP,
which box on your sheet are we supposed to use? unfiltered, filtered or average?
also why on the average tab does the lean go opposite of what the play should be.
case in point, balt game has an average of 9.79 with the total being 9 yet the lean is to the under. shouldnt lean be to the over?
thanks
cd

 

[pops69]

lol, 10 min b4 game time and they finally moved the pitt and nyy alt run numbers, no more scalps avail

 

[tbonestk]

Got it downloaded. What's the next step? How do I access what Pops is sending? Thanks in advance.

JJ, you don't need either of those FTP software to download files from the ftp server. Your internet browser would allow you to download when you click on the link.

A few weeks back, geppi sent out an email with a link to an ftp server along with the name/password to use when prompted. If you click that link on the email, your web browser (Firefox or IE) would have taken you to that site, and you should see a pops folder, click on it to go deeper and it'll allow you to download the daily Master files.

Don't need NO STINKING CuteFTP or CoreFTP if all you do is downloading files from the FTP server.

 

[bet2win.us]

Afternoon gents just wanted to say hello it's been awhile. All this data and especiallly having all in onw place has really helped me step up my game.

really like the following today

Cin/Cle o
Stl/Laa o
Ari/Bos o

Anyways taht's my 2 cents GLTA

Also If you get a chance go see the movie Knocked up it is f'ing hilarious

 

[pops69]

just about finished for the day, still looking a a few later games that are close to the numbers, but everything else is locked it regardless of the outcome.

i'll be around for a few hours, still working on plans for later

p.s. tue is my date at ucla, so flying out of vegas to lax very early on tues am, and prob not back until after most of the games have started. i'll have everything updated on monday night. hamilton, i'll touch base with you on how to pick up the humidity numbers on tues sometime tomorrow.

i'll be around

 

[mlfp]

MLFP,
which box on your sheet are we supposed to use? unfiltered, filtered or average?
also why on the average tab does the lean go opposite of what the play should be.
case in point, balt game has an average of 9.79 with the total being 9 yet the lean is to the under. shouldnt lean be to the over?
thanks
cd

This is the .9 run rule I've been talking about every few days. If the Proj Avg (which is the one we look at primarily, but check against the range as well) is less than .9 runs higher than the line, historically the under wins at a greater rate.

 

[mlfp]

SS's for next couple games are in inboxes and on FTP.

 

[pops69]

couple i really like starting at 1pm

sd over
sf under

later

 

[oilbarrel]

Had the Det 10 u today, don't need to wait around for the result already know...pops do you have your recommendations switched? Cain has gotten knocked around at home. while young has been lights out at home? MBB have any views on today college bases?

 

[twjd]

going with the following for today:

florida vs TB Over

I bet early when it was at 10, you probably got 9-. I sure didn't it would get bet down, with the ERA's that high. Well at least I got the yankees at 10, instead of 10-, not that it mattered.

 

[pops69]

couple i really like starting at 1pm

sd over
sf under

later

forget it, saw something i didnt like on both, so dropping them as a play

 

[mlfp]

SS's are in inboxes and on FTP for Sea/SD and Oak/SF. Last two for the day, going to try and revive myself with some food and relax for the day. GL all

 

[cincy_]

going with the following for today:

florida vs TB Over

I took it last night for a HUGE amount ... and the thought was that it would climb to 10.5 or 11 ... so I could scalp and/or go for a middle ... and the damn line drops to 9.5 by game-time ... wtf are these people thinking?????? They weren't looking at ERA, they weren't considering how good Tampa's offense is, and they weren't taking into account how bad the bullpen is ... geez

 

[cincy_]

I bet early when it was at 10, you probably got 9-. I sure didn't it would get bet down, with the ERA's that high. Well at least I got the yankees at 10, instead of 10-, not that it mattered.

Oops .. just wrote the same thing.