Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

bullets · May 29, 2007

ILMW said:
nice hit big fella

Thanks.

These lines are so tight they could go either way. The under only covered by 2 1/2. This shouldn't have been a big play for me but the money is in my account now.

I hate to see others lose because of my plays so I am more happy about that than what I made today.

On to the next.

mlfp · May 29, 2007

Fvck me, what a day. You guys would have no reason to believe anything that happened so I won't even bother, but I'll let it suffice to say that it was a good day. Now if the Mariners Un 9- rolls in it will be a great day. GL and nice hit Bullets, I like the reverse jinx

NickFantana · May 29, 2007

mlfp said:
Fvck me, what a day. You guys would have no reason to believe anything that happened so I won't even bother, but I'll let it suffice to say that it was a good day. Now if the Mariners Un 9- rolls in it will be a great day. GL and nice hit Bullets, I like the reverse jinx

I like to hear crazy stories. Plus I remember earlier you said there might be hot girls involved. Promise to believe you :thumbsup:

pops69 · May 30, 2007

fuck the stories, get to work

tomorrow pdws is posted in the link below

i'll finish up the updates and send them to geppi

nite all

mlfp · May 30, 2007

NickFantana said:
I like to hear crazy stories. Plus I remember earlier you said there might be hot girls involved. Promise to believe you :thumbsup:

At Pops' request I won't get in to the story, but here's a very brief summary:
I shot 7 models today for Comcast On-Demand.
One model took a liking to me.
She requested that I smack her ass, I obliged.
She then tricked me into letting her make me do the motorboat on her.

All in all I got to smack a model's ass, have my face rubbed in her tits

, and I get paid for it all... Loving life right now.

mlfp · May 30, 2007

Cash the Mariners under and it's a great day. Time for some hot tub action to relax this battered body after 9 hours of lugging a 35 pound camera on the shoulder.

jacksonjohn · May 30, 2007

pdws RED vs. GREEN

twjd said:
I saw alot of red on the SS, the line dropped to 9, so I said no play with Line move, then when it went back to 9-, I said with an under ump its a better play.

All things being equal I have been going under on the highlighted red teams and over on the green. Starting to see more losers last week or two. Is there a point in the season where these should be faded or should they be expected to stay at a 60% clip?

Just like to hear how others are using this info. Thanks.

pops69 · May 30, 2007

Wednesday May 30th

morning, looks like geppi just did the old fashion method, forwarded the large master zip file

see we have 3 early games today, so let see what's shaking

jj: the data is a good indication of which way the lines are going to move, very low era will be bet down and very high ones get bet up. i use this for my larger early plays for scalp action and get on them either the night b4 or early in the am, that go the other way once they get bet as expected. than i'll spend the rest of the day looking for any specific trents that dont appear to be bet one way or the other, than close to game time and decent line move fades.

there a bunch of data, you just need to find the confort zone and go with it.

i know that at least 4 are working on trying to do something with HOLLY, but the data is so fucken complex, and have not hit the sweet spot yet, although were trying

later

BillDildeaux · May 30, 2007

Pops, what did yall come up with in regards to tracking the effect of the sun in Milwaukee day games?

pops69 · May 30, 2007

IMPORTANT:

data audit, i'll be sending out an email to everyone either today or tomorrow. but were going to need a data audit check, so those that have done pdws, you will need to audit the al & nl combined for the week that you did pdws

it shouldnt take that long to do your week, everything will be on the don best scores page, you will need to click on the boxscore for a couple of items namely the ump and game time temp. i'll have everything in a email, and not a rush type project, but i would expect it to take at least 1 hour of your time

that is all

pops69 · May 30, 2007

Bill Dildeaux said:
Pops, what did yall come up with in regards to tracking the effect of the sun in Milwaukee day games?

nothing that i can find regarding the sun issue with either open or closed. i believe it might be a outfielding issue vs a batter thing. not sure if we have enough open/closed history to see any major diff like a couple of others

pops69 · May 30, 2007

Oil, Sin or anyone close to the cubs stadium. they opened the game at 10- based on what i consider a very low 13 mph to left field which was immediately bet down to 10 under because of a couple of decent breaking ball pitchers. that game is not until 8pm, what are the actual conditions there vs projected tonight. i know the guy that makes that number and i just cant see him being way that high w/o a good reason

twjd · May 30, 2007

jacksonjohn said:
All things being equal I have been going under on the highlighted red teams and over on the green. Starting to see more losers last week or two. Is there a point in the season where these should be faded or should they be expected to stay at a 60% clip?

Just like to hear how others are using this info. Thanks.

The red/green is a starting point on what to look for. Example: today there is a alot of red in the TEX/OAK game, however there is one major green that shows a 6-1 for a day game. I probably won't bet it either way unless there is a line move to the under. I personally don't fade the data, just wait for the line move to go in my favor and bet or like Pops said bet it early before the line moves then look for a scalp.

ILMW · May 30, 2007

Any idea if the Brewers roof will be open or close this afternoon?

twjd · May 30, 2007

Pops, don't know if this will answer your question or not! Chance of thurderstorms tonight also.

961. Florida at 962. Chicago Cubs
7:05 PM CDT on May 30, 2007

All data forecasted for the time encompassing the beginning and end of the game. The data represents 3, 3 hour forecasts.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=470 align=center bgColor=sandybrown border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=lightyellow>Compass</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=lightyellow><NOBR>Stadium Orientation*</NOBR></TD><TD align=middle bgColor=lightyellow colSpan=3>Wind Direction and Speed</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>

</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>

</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>

South at <NOBR>10 MPH</NOBR>
7:00 PM</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>

South at <NOBR>9 MPH</NOBR>
10:00 PM</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>

South at <NOBR>9 MPH</NOBR>
1:00 AM</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE height=130 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=250 align=center bgColor=#31844d border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom align=middle>81