Cappers are out to confuse people!!!!

[concu]

Have a question though...

On a normal syndicate capper list...There are usually around 15-25 cappers.

My observation is that they somehow have the same amount of picks.
For example tonight game: Cinny vs SFlorida

there will be 6 picking Cinny and maybe 8-10 picking SFlorida

So my question is: Are they out there just to confuse us?

I followed them weeks in and weeks out but I never can be sure that the game i'm betting on is really a sure one. there would always be some cappers that took the opposite side.

 

[BigPete]

I read a good article on that 'consensus', misplaced it, but the moral of the story was not to follow that strategy.

 

Take South Florida and avoid the confusion!

There will always be cappers on both sides of a game as long as there are 2 sides to bet on con cu. You have to remember the old adage opinions are like a$$holes...everybody's got one! We just try to take in all the information possible and pick the winning side against the spread. If the 100 percent winners were out there then there would be no books taking bets because they would all be broke!

Hope that helps...remember you're still dealing with human beings when betting on sports so it really can never be a guarantee. Just my .02 (which I'm putting on S Fla and the Under tonight).

sb

 

[Wo168]

the more u know the more u are likely to screw ur own picks....just look at a few cappers and take the 50/50 chance ..pretty much like flipping a coin..i d rather loose on my own picks then someone elses picks

 

[gemba]

5 out of 6 of my cappers have S FLORIDA! That seems to be the play!

 

[BigPete]

It goes a lil something like this:

Say you have 10 cappers and you only play their consensus, you then take the averages of all those cappers and basically average them together, so if one fella is say 58% and the other is 52%, 53, etc and you only play the plays that are in agreeance and not play the 58% guys plays throughout, the lower guys will keep you from playing the other guys winning picks so you will be missing out on his winners.

Another example is Wagerlines Top 10% cappers, when in agreeance over 60% they only average around 50% winners...

So pick a guy that is consistent, and follow him.

 

[glennlovecolleen3]

What I do is....

Watch the teams play (so u can feel the chemistry and speed)
Study the stats (find teams strengths/tendencies)
Schedule (W L records are overrated, it's how they battle)
Check for injuries (any major ones)
And use your instincts (imagine the energy and how the game will play out)

Ofcourse all this, for me anyways, won't matter if the books post the correct spread for the game.

 

[silver7]

That`s exactly why many yrs ago I decided to make this a hobby not an investment. For one thing, besides all the variables I don`t have the time or the energy that`s required to do it full time. For a person such as Lem Banker to spend a lifetime at it and live the good life is amazing. I love FB and look forward to the Fall, but I keeep it in perspective. If at the end of the yr I`m ahead that`s gravy. Otherwise days like having a 21 pt lead w/4mins to go and losing coud drive a man to drink.

 

[LUCKYLINZ]

What I try to do, and I can't say that it is all that successful, is to try to go with the hottest services. I think it works best, if you like the pick anyway.

This website rates them. I don't know how recent their percentages are.

http://www.sportsmonitor.com/pages/topserve.htm