thanks, this is great. i've already spotted a scalp opportunity between SIA and pinny..
conservative minority +225 (SIA) 100 to win 225
conservative majority +1800 (SIA) 15 to win 285
Which party will win more seats? Liberals +140 (pinny) 100 to win 140
this isn't mathematically a scalp since there are other possible outcomes, but if the libs/conservatives are the #1 and #2 parties (which is basically gonna happen barring some sort of political disaster), your money is pretty safe..
disclaimer. i'm not on this scalp personally but it's available to anyone who wants it.
i'm personally only NDP Under 21.5 seats +124 at pinny.. with the conservatives taking the lead in the polling and riding the momentum, you can expect the "strategic voting" card to come out to shift votes to the liberals from the ndp to keep the conservatives out..