Can Wisky slow down PSU?

[TheNoob]

Wisky has lost 2 in a row, one to a Michigan team that I cannot get a good read on and the other to Ohio ST who has very little firepower in their offense. Wisky beat 3 average to below average teams this year but PSU is the first real offense that Wisky will face.

<TABLE class="tablehead teamTop colOne" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3><TBODY><TR class=oddrow><TD>8/30</TD><TD align=left>Akron</TD><TD align=middle>1-0 (0-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 38-17</TD><TR class=evenrow><TD>9/06</TD><TD align=left>Marshall</TD><TD align=middle>2-0 (0-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 51-14</TD><TR class=oddrow><TD>9/13</TD><TD align=left>@ No. 21 Fresno State</TD><TD align=middle>3-0 (0-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 13-10</TD><TR class=evenrow><TD>9/27</TD><TD align=left>@ Michigan</TD><TD align=middle>3-1 (0-1)</TD><TD align=right>L 27-25</TD><TR class=oddrow><TD>10/04</TD><TD align=left>No. 14 Ohio State</TD><TD align=middle>3-2 (0-2)</TD><TD align=right>L 20-17</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

PSU is playing at the highest level they have been at since Micheal Robinson was there and this team has many more weapons than Robinson ever had. Clark can be erratic and seems to show some nerves early, but once he settles in PSU moves the ball very well.

They should have had 2 TD's instead of FG's this past week but both times players lost their footing and slipped just short of the goal line.
<TABLE class="tablehead teamTop colOne" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3><TBODY><TR class=oddrow><TD>
8/30
</TD><TD align=left>Coastal Carolina</TD><TD align=middle>1-0 (0-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 66-10</TD><TR class=evenrow><TD>9/06</TD><TD align=left>Oregon State</TD><TD align=middle>2-0 (0-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 45-14</TD><TR class=oddrow><TD>9/13</TD><TD align=left>@ Syracuse</TD><TD align=middle>3-0 (0-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 55-13</TD><TR class=evenrow><TD>9/20</TD><TD align=left>Temple</TD><TD align=middle>4-0 (0-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 45-3</TD><TR class=oddrow><TD>9/27</TD><TD align=left>No. 22 Illinois</TD><TD align=middle>5-0 (1-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 38-24</TD><TR class=evenrow><TD>10/04</TD><TD align=left>@ Purdue</TD><TD align=middle>6-0 (2-0)</TD><TD align=right>W 20-6</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

The question I have is can Wisky contain PSU, or can they play keep up if they get behind?

PSU is - 5 right now, is their value in getting PSU early before the line moves or wait and hope to get Wisky +7.

My first thought is to take PSU now, but looking for opinions.

Thanks

 

[TOOTIGHT]

I believe Wisky is a good team this year. The chances of them loosing 2 home games back to back is so slim even with a Penn St. team that looks like the real deal. This will be a hard fought game and will go down to the wire. If Wisconsin gets 7 they will be a large play for me. I cap this game at a pick em and there is great value in Wisky getting points at home.

The Ohio St team that beat the Wisconsin on a last min. drive is getting better each start that Pryor gets under his belt. I had no idea Pryor could throw the ball so well under pressure. Them losing last week at home doesn't lead me to believe they aren't still one of the best teams in the Big 10, especially at home.

 

[June_Jones]

wisconsin might win outright. it will be just as close as wisky's last home game, but i give the edge to the badgers. bielema wont lose three in a row

 

[nd2000]

Take Wisky or pass. Don't take Penn State.

 

[DayTraderNation]

i agree 100%, take wisc or dont bet it. Personally, I think the Badgers win outright. I cannot see them losing 2 straight at home. It isnt like Ohio St blew them out, that game could have went either way. They lost a close game against the buckeyes and I think their defense keeps them in the game against PSU and eventually wins it for them at the end.

 

[Cappin'Guru]

This Wisconsin team truly scares me. They show signs of being a Top Tier team in the country and then by the fourth quarter they have lost their demoner and something changes. It appears to me that the second half has been the stage that Wisconsin seems to choke on. Back to back weeks now Wisconsin has shoved the ball down teams throat but Ethridge has been unable to make plays when they are supposed to.

The last play of Wisconsin defense is still in my head with the linebackers looking at each other as the ball was snapped. Pryor was able to damage on his legs with confusing formations and motions. Now Penn State has a motion man that can REALLY do damage and a mobile QB in Williams and Clark.

BOL to everyone that plays this one, but Penn State should be able to march right into to Madison and run that offense the way it is supposed to be ran.

+++PLUS+++ ... They have Joe Pa!

 

[TheNoob]

i agree 100%, take wisc or dont bet it. Personally, I think the Badgers win outright. I cannot see them losing 2 straight at home. It isnt like Ohio St blew them out, that game could have went either way. They lost a close game against the buckeyes and I think their defense keeps them in the game against PSU and eventually wins it for them at the end.

This is my struggle, I don't buy the "they can't drop 3 in a row thought process" and I think PSU's offense is well above Ohio States.

This Wisconsin team truly scares me. They show signs of being a Top Tier team in the country and then by the fourth quarter they have lost their demoner and something changes. It appears to me that the second half has been the stage that Wisconsin seems to choke on. Back to back weeks now Wisconsin has shoved the ball down teams throat but Ethridge has been unable to make plays when they are supposed to.

The last play of Wisconsin defense is still in my head with the linebackers looking at each other as the ball was snapped. Pryor was able to damage on his legs with confusing formations and motions. Now Penn State has a motion man that can REALLY do damage and a mobile QB in Williams and Clark.

BOL to everyone that plays this one, but Penn State should be able to march right into to Madison and run that offense the way it is supposed to be ran.

+++PLUS+++ ... They have Joe Pa!

I have to admit that this is what I'm thinking as well, I believe PSU will score 28 to 35 points. Can Wisky keep up?

 

[Cappin'Guru]

I have to admit that this is what I'm thinking as well, I believe PSU will score 28 to 35 points. Can Wisky keep up?

Noob,

It would be my best thinking to say if they are going to put up 28 or 35 points I would go out on a limb and say that PSU would have to handle every quarter. If PSU applies the heat early and gets a nice early lead then Wisconsin will be forced to go to the pass a little bit more than last week.

You seeing eye to eye here?

 

[bigtendominator]

I am probably not touching this game, but that could change.

I agree with many people's contention that it is tough to go against Wisky at home and the fact that they could easily been unbeaten as they are 3-2.

The biggest problem I see for Wisky in this game is that Penn State's receivers are much, much better than Ohio State's. OSU receivers were wide open many times down the field and Penn State has a real tight end who is a pass catching threat (Quarless, I think). He is going to be a nightmare for Wisky, OSU did not provide that threat. Clark can run like Pryor, so that will cause Wisky to come of receivers at times and leave guys open deep.

I am not suggesting to take Penn State, but I think PSU's offense is going to be tough to stop.

 

[krk1030]

I dont see how Wisconsin losing 2 in a row has any affect on this 3rd game. "They wont lose 3 in a row" is does not make a lot of sense.

 

[Smartass]

I dont see how Wisconsin losing 2 in a row has any affect on this 3rd game. "They wont lose 3 in a row" is does not make a lot of sense.

Generally agree. I think the larger issue is that Wisconsin has lost two home games since 2003. Penn State scored 3 points both times they played at Camp Randall since then.

Yes, this is a different PSU team. But PSU has played two road games this year and both were against horrible defensive teams, and I want to see them prove they can move the ball consistently against a legitimate defense on the Big-10 road.

If this game was played two weeks ago, Wisconsin would have been favored. Now they're catching over a field goal. In a game that could easily be decided by a FG, getting five points is plenty for me.

 

[Smartass]

Wisconsin's mental psyche could be a real issue here, but I think the crowd and Bielema make sure that's not a factor.

 

[June_Jones]

I dont see how Wisconsin losing 2 in a row has any affect on this 3rd game. "They wont lose 3 in a row" is does not make a lot of sense.

wisconsin will not lose three games in a row. what don't you understand? penn st hasnt played anybody of note on the road

 

[ZipLock]

I've been a season ticket holder since I graduated back in 98 at Camp Randall. This badger team is tough as nails on D, but Evridge has been very inconsistent. Way too many 3 and outs, although it doesn't help when the coaching staff seems to forget we have the one of best TE in the country..... And the O-line has been underachieving big time in the running game, alltough I think its more PJ Hill not attacking the cutback lanes. John Clay on the other hand has been pounding the ball lately, and the talk around here is that he'll be getting more touches this week.

If the badgers play the game like they're supposed to, it'll be a controlled running attack with play action roll outs.....if they are able to do this, the badgers will beat this team straight up.

State has definitely not seen a D like wisky yet.

 

[ZipLock]

and as funny as this sounds, the UW band was suspended last week because of "misconduct". A night game in Madison with no band????

so there's another HUGE angle in bucky's favor. :lol:

 

[DaDegenerate]

Penn State has trouble away from happy valley especially in the Big ten. This game will def be tight. I agree with a lot of the above posters that this is Wisconsin or notin

 

[sportzwhiz]

This will be a close game until Penn St. pulls away at the end. Penn St. should take care of wisconsin and barely cover. Wisconsin looks over rated to me.

 

[lionking]

penn state destroyed wisky last year in happy valley, but playing away from home has been a problem with psu in the past, IF joe doesnt bottle up the offense like he tends to do on the road then this wont even be a game midway through the 3rd quarter, if he doesnt, it could be very close

i personally would stay away from this game but i also believe that psu wins big (not confident enough to put $ on it though, would rather enjoy the game)

my prediction:

PSU - 34
Wisky - 20

hopefully this thread can stay towards the top pages and i can come back and see if my prediction is right on saturday night!!!

this psu team is for real, their offense is going to be tough to stop, it will be up to JoePa if he is going to release the hounds or keep it close to the vest, if he releases the hounds then the score could be around what i am predicting, if he doesnt, could be more of a 17-14 type game...im thinking he releases the hounds :drink:

 

[TheNoob]

To me, it seems so far this year Joe has let this team go full tilt. I hope he continues to here. :aktion033

 

[TheNoob]

Some food for thought.

1. Wisky is 0 - 6 in the last two years against teams who defense holds their opponents to under 120 yards per game rushing. PSU holds teams to 80.2 Rushing yards per game.

2. Wisky struggles against mobile QB's. Clark is very mobile and has the highest QB rating in the Big ten.

3. Wisky D Backs are just average. OSU had tons of missed opportunity down field -- PSU's wide receivers will have a field day.

4. PSU is first in the Big Ten in Rushing -- RB Royster is 3rd in the Big Ten in rushing.

5. PSU averages 499.7 YPG evenly split between rush and pass.

6. Jordon Norwood, PSU's top receiver who sat out the last 2 games returns. He leads the team in receptions, yet missed 2 weeks.

7. PSU's D is 8th in the country and tops in the Big Ten.

BOL on your play whatever you decide to do!