Can Wildcats cover 16 over Hoosiers Saturday afternoon?

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is Kentucky good enough to warrant laying 16? Their stats seem to hold up to a galnce at any rate, but theu haven't been favored by this big a number for a while. Anyone with some insight on this one?
 

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Tough to say.

Did you happen to see and/or listen to the Indiana-TCU game from a few days ago? :think2:

Indiana really blew the Horned Frogs out of their house.

Now, the last game of significance Kentucky played was against the Miami Hurricanes at their house and they LOST!

I'm tempted to take the +16. Kentucky hasn't proved they should be 16 point favorites over anyone, have they? :think2:
 
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plus have I got it right that Kentucky's had more turnovers lately than they should be?
 

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I've only watched Kentucky a couple of times. They look like a young inexperienced bunch. Yes, prone to many turnovers.

Indiana is also a young bunch but with an EXCELLENT coach.

2 young inexperienced teams going at each other. Hmmmm... :think2:

Man, I want to take the +16 so badly!
 

The Gr8 1
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I am 51-20 in picking UK basketball games ...


Indiana is my play on Saturday.
That is too much to lay on UK.

UK is top 10 in turnovers. Indiana will keep this game closer than 16.

Too much for an unproven team in UK. There is some turmoil going on right now with Liggins and Gillespie. The fans are all over Gillespie for playing Porter more than Liggins, but Gillespie likes to prove a point to the fans that it is HIS ball team and he makes the call.

Like I said, UK turns the ball over too much to ever blow a team out.
This is a rivalry game for goodness sakes. Now way Indiana should be getting this many points.

Ramon Harris will be out this game as well. They will have to lean on Darius Miller to take that role over. Indiana has looked a little better over the last few games.

UK had all week off to prepare for this game, BUT they took off practice on Monday and Tuesday (not sure why).

I think UK wins this game by 8-11 points, but not 16.
They can't put together two good halves in one game.

The problem is they start off so slow in every game, they have to dig themselves out of a hole.

They were:
down by 13 to North Carolina in the first 6-7 minutes
down by 20 to Miami at half(before coming back)
up by 14 to Kansas St (Kansas St. came back to tie it)
down to VMI 14-3 in first 3 minutes. Down at one time by 23. Lost by 2
down by 10 to West Virginia at half (only scored 16 points)

If UK pieces 2 good halves together ... then look out for this team
BUT ...

I don't see that happening.
 
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how much of a ranking gap could there be between these two squads? 20 spots maybe?

but hoosiers are turnung it over a lot too. something like 25 each against wake and zags. apparently crean said they'd have to do a rep of running the stairs at their aud for every turnover they have, lol . . .
 
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wow jbragg, that's a very nice record on your team. Thanks for your input. Do you think Indiana's apparent tendency to turnover as well explains the number in part?
 

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IU averages too many turnovers. However, having seen pretty much every IU game this season, the one good thing (if that is possible) about their turnovers is they generally are not the type that lead to fastbreaks or run outs by the other team. They will throw it out of bounds, travel, 5 seconds, 3 seconds, stupid stuff like that.

IU is much improved since the Maui Invt. They defend hard and shoot the 3 fairly well.

Don't really like the game, but can't take UK in this spot. Also, I believe taking IU and you are in it until the end, if UK blows them out, they win by 20, so even still IU has a chance to be around the number. IU shows up and plays well, the likelihood of UK covering reduces greatly.
 

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IU averages too many turnovers. However, having seen pretty much every IU game this season, the one good thing (if that is possible) about their turnovers is they generally are not the type that lead to fastbreaks or run outs by the other team. They will throw it out of bounds, travel, 5 seconds, 3 seconds, stupid stuff like that.

IU is much improved since the Maui Invt. They defend hard and shoot the 3 fairly well.

Don't really like the game, but can't take UK in this spot. Also, I believe taking IU and you are in it until the end, if UK blows them out, they win by 20, so even still IU has a chance to be around the number. IU shows up and plays well, the likelihood of UK covering reduces greatly.

:aktion033 Excellent analysis!
 

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Indiana playing well as of late. Won by double digits at home against TCU and Cornell, both top ~100 (TCU is 104) RPI teams. Played Gonzaga tough on a neutral floor. I wouldn't give them 16 points in a rivalry game when they have confidence, despite the talent gap.
 

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wow jbragg, that's a very nice record on your team. Thanks for your input. Do you think Indiana's apparent tendency to turnover as well explains the number in part?

yes ... but I still think 16 is too much to give in a rivalry game.
I think the 16 comes from:
UK playing at home
UK having an entire week off to prepare (and they don't have another game until next Saturday ... so there is nothing to look forward too).
The general thought of betters that think IU sucks to the extreme
 
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yes ... but I still think 16 is too much to give in a rivalry game.
I think the 16 comes from:
UK playing at home
UK having an entire week off to prepare (and they don't have another game until next Saturday ... so there is nothing to look forward too).
The general thought of betters that think IU sucks to the extreme


plus big ten hoosiers are something like 2-6 ats vs SE conf . . .
 

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Jbragg, if you go to Kentucky U and you know a couple players on the team, pay them off on some plays...

16 is high here guys, but you can't sit and say "I think Kentucky wins by 12 so I'll take Indiana +16"

Indiana on the road = shit

Kentucky at home = SCORES POINTS ----->

Only game that Kentucky screwed up was against Miami, and Kentucky shot terrible 2/23 from the 3-pt line, and they out-rebounded Miami by 13 boards. Kentucky was also down by 20 at half at home...usually unheard of from big name teams.


I see no edge in this game, lean would be Kentucky. Rivalry MAY be a factor, but I doubt it.
 

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Kentucky is a terrible 3 point shooting team. They shoot 31% from deep and they average 20 turnovers per game.

IU is the play.
 

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I will be shocked if UK wins by more than 16.

Of course ... I have been shocked before.

You never know what you are going to get with either of these teams.
Sometimes they show up and play ... other times, they look like a high school team
 

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seems like a lot for kentucky, indiana has looked a little better then i had anticipated in all reality
 

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i played iu the other night and they covered big but they are terrible turnover machine dont know uk sounds like under
 

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