Murph, so are you saying it wouldn't matter which dogs you take just as long they are dogs with a pointspread that's got the .5 in it?
true.. but the recommended way of using freeplay is to use it (in bits if you dont have a big play) or use it as you would be making a bet anyway.. I personally recommend the dog backup bet.difficult to beat 70%
true.. but the recommended way of using freeplay is to use it (in bits if you dont have a big play) or use it as you would be making a bet anyway.. I personally recommend the dog backup bet.
Whenever you feel a dog has a fair chance (even if small) to win a game outright..use your freeplay for a ml wager and make your real wager on the spread.. or save the fp for baseball and you can get plenty of dog ml's as normal bets which means you do not have to come anywhere near 70% to capitalize on the fp.
For instance.. using a dog ml average of +150 (typical 3 pt spread in most sports or a small road dog in baseball).. if you go 5-5 (out of 10 plays)you would be 75% return.. this gives you the ability to actually pick your spots and have the chance at 8 or so wins for a greater than 120% conversion
you can also do similar with 2 or 3 team parlays.. if you have the plays in action anyway and are a parlay bettor.. save your fp to bet those as then you are risking quite less to achieve the same goal as a fp's value is 70%+ but the return still pays the same dollar per dollar
-murph
as explained below:
If you risk 1000$ total in cash on $100-3 team parlay 10 times and go 2-8 on them.. 8 times you lose $100.. 2 times you make 6 to 1 ..
so $1000 (10 parlays of 100) - $800 (8 losses) +$1200 (2X$600 (6 to 1)) = $1400 so $400 profit.
If you do that same thing with $1000 fp and go 2-8.. You lose 800fp (which in "70% conversion method is really only $560).. then you still win 6 to 1 on the 3 team parlays (2 of them).. = $1200 - $560 - $200(fp used to make the 2 parlays that won (you do not get to keep this)) = $440 Profit.
See the Parlay Conversion of 60% is not the best method based on both examples.. but if you want a "risk free" way of getting 70%+.. go for it puff_>>
-murph
no you lose money(Bonus Play) as only 1 of 8 can win in a 3 way parlay wheel
its not profit.. but the 3 team parlay pays 6 to 1.. your right I meant at least 60%.. my bad.
I will change those to not confuse anyone.. when I was considering 70%.. I was thinking of taking some +100 sides or ml dogs in baseball.. etc
-murph
I am saying to NOT bet the inquired about conversion method bud.. to play your own way and its very easy to beat out the conversion of 70% IMO based on both my examples of either you playing 3 team parlays OR you playing ML dogs of +150 or higher.
-murph
not 70%, not 60%, 75%
if you have $800....you play 8 $100 games...you win $600
$600 cash from $800 = 75%
not 70%, not 60%, 75%
if you have $800....you play 8 $100 parlays...you win $600
$600 cash from $800 = 75%
and I don't know if I would even try to mess with doing this on staggered vig like baseball or +100/-120...the #s will get really off
well all the more reason I was calling it 70%+.. lol wtf.. u made me confused dude.. wtf are you doing over there man.. make me change a bunch of stuff so I dont mislead someone.. now have to change back
-murph