Can Beholder Run With The "Boys" and Take Them Down ?

[elevenblack301]

hno: Well, we are only a few days away from the weekend..................and of course, it's Breeder's Cup weekend.............

Been looking at the past performances and such, and was thinking " Can Beholder Beat The Boys Come Saturday ?".............

She's a great filly, and as much as I hate to take a filly against a bunch of colts ( learned many lessons with Fillies in the Derby ), I think she has a great chance, ...going to be fun to watch.

What do you think ?

Back soon with some wagers that I will be playing on Friday and Saturday.

Be well all....................

 

[Kaboom]

Hey buddy ... You ever here of Conduit Mare Profile ??? In the the CMP they have a Speed number and a Stamina number for every horse ... Beholder's Speed is Higher than his Stamina Number /// Speed 12 Stam 9 ... only 1 other time in the last 30 years ( 1987 ) Ferdinand did a classic winner have a higher Speed than stamina number .. Ferdinands numbers .. Speed 13 Stam 12 ...Now .. all trends falter ... and Beholder's Index is 1.47 ... the highest ever Index number being 1.13 ..Ferdinand ... pretty sure that's true ... Also with Beholder ...there has never been a 3rd Generation Storm Cat that's won the Classic ... There has been a second Gen Storm cat that won ... Broke down all the 3rd Gen of all past winners and this year's runners .. I look at the first horse in Bold Lettering in the 3rd Generation ..thinking that it's the most important position of inheriting genes ...Only 4 horses in this year's field match up with previous winners in the #rd Generation 1st Horse in Bold lettering ... Gleneagles ...who I hate ... Effinex ... interesting horse that many cappers have tossed ... Smooth Roller ... who is a Gelding ...( No Gelding has ever won ) and Hard Aces ... who has brutal form ,, but for some reason scares because I don't know what the trainer is thinking ?? AP will not be in any of my exotics ... After all said about Beholder ..I still have her on top ... few others on top as well ... feedback appreciated ... Good Luck

 

[elevenblack301]

Kaboom,

As always, appreciate your input, my friend. And some interesting stuff that you mentioned..........

Will be crunching numbers tonight and tomorrow so should know more of how I'm leaning then but for now...............

The 4 that you mentioned with 3rd gen...............Gleneagles is probably the only one I like, he's bred to run all day and then some, but still no handle on Effie, Roller and Aces...........just don't like any of these 4 at this moment...............will know more later.............

As to leaving AP out of all exotics, that's a tough call..............think he will come in the money, but not 1st................all year I have been pounding Frosted and will do the same in this race, with Beholder ( she intrigues the hell out of me ), Tonalist and Keen Ice..............with AP in the exotics...............will be back soon........

Thanks for the info......................much appreciated and will check into it more later...

 

[Gravy]

What happens if Beholder and AP run a speed duel than its might get interesting at the end

 

[LENBO]

What happens if Beholder and AP run a speed duel than its might get interesting at the end

Hoping that happens and taking a a shot with Honor Code.

 

[joeyp]

Hoping that happens and taking a a shot with Honor Code.

Victor will not get caught in a duel like the Travers

 

[GoodfellaLV]

Beholder scratched

 

[CannonBalls]

Beholder scratched

Such a shame she has problems shipping. Feel sorry for Mandella & Owners

 

[GoodfellaLV]

Such a shame she has problems shipping. Feel sorry for Mandella & Owners

It really is, I was looking forward to her running smh

 

[elevenblack301]

face)(*^% Sad.....................really was hoping to see Beholder run down the boys......................and I really thought she had a great chance to get the trophy..................but that will be for another day.............


That being said, here are my selections for the Classic,

----- Tonalist - hope he can run here, like he does at Belmont, simply a freak on the Belmont surface
----- Frosted - been riding him all year and will again
----- American Pharoah - has to be included in exotics
----- Gleneagles - Coolmore will win the Classic one year..............could this be the year ?
----- Keen Ice - can he repeat his Travers upset

Tickets will be ;

trifecta -
1,3,4 / 1,2,3,4,5 / all

superfecta

1,3,4,5 / 1,3,4,5 / 1,2,3,4,5 / all


#%() And for the rest of Saturday's card we will be going with the following.........

# 4 Turf Sprint
trifecta.
1,2,3,7,9,10,12 / 1,2,3,7,9,10,12 / 2,3,9
2,3,9 / 1,2,3,7,9,10,12 / 1,2,3,7,9,10,12


# 5 F & M Sprint
trifecta
3,7,10,14 / 3,7,10,14 / all


# 7 Sprint
trifecta
2,6,8,9,10,14 / 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,12,13,14,15 / 2,8,10

superfecta
3,6,8 / 3,4,5,6,7,8,9,12 / 3,4,5,6,7,8,9,12/ 3,6,8,10


# 8 Mile
trifecta
1,3,4,5,7,9,10,11,12 / 5,9 / 5,9,11,12
1,3,4,5,7,9,10,11,12 / 5,9,11,12 / 5,9


# 9 Juvenile
trifecta
1,3,4,7,8,9 / 1,3,4,7,8,9,12 / 1,2,3,4,7,8


# 10 Turf
trifecta
1,10 / 1,6,10 / 2,4,7,9,11
2,4,7,9,11 / 1,10 / 1,6,10

Wishing the best to all...............be well..............