Can anyone help me on SSI's system?

MightyMoe · Jul 3, 2005

I was wondering at what money back does he play a home team, such as +$107 versus playing the alternate run line such as -1.5 @ + $231? I would like to use the system but want to do it right! Any input would be greatly appreciated!

SSI · Jul 3, 2005

moe, there is no right or wrong way,,,, as long as your getting the home team at plus juice -- while flat betting.. thats it... if you want to go for the better payback, then go for it....

I do however, try to take the ML when possible, even to the point of only taking the ML (+1.00)..... this doesnt make it right, just makes it the way that i do it..

yesterday i went 6-10 and not 7-9, as i had boston -2.5 and that was a loser.. however i only dropped (-1.45 units) on a 6-10 record..

31 day total of: 195-216 (+52.51 units)

High point of units was at (+59.02 units), so we are in a slight pullback,,, anymore questions ask.. ill be in and out..

SSI · Jul 3, 2005

sundays plays:

stl -2.5

mets/reds/det/oak/balt/kc, all on ml.

everone else of runline (-1.5)...phil/mil/cubs/sd/lad/bos/minn/sea.

MightyMoe · Jul 3, 2005

SSI, Thanks for the feedback! I was stuck on a few like Seattle +1.00 / Balt +1.04 / and Oak +1.05 , so I did the run line on Seat and Balt and staight money on Oak. Hope I'm not kicking myself later. One of the reasons (other than winning $$$) that I like to do a system, is that I don't beat myself up for playing or not playing a hunch and being wrong. Good luck today and enjoy the great weekend, I hope your weather is as good as ours! On my way to the beach!

dottom · Jul 3, 2005

SSI, have you looked at large road favs at alternate runlines, at plus juice?

While not a home team, that also means they get 9 innings vs. 8 when leading, and often in top-9th is when the team ahead will go for that always useful "insurance run".

Stupid Boston last night had leadoff double bottom 8th with Damon up but he strike out. Edgar struck out. Ortiz intentionally walked and Manny couldn't get a hit.

You'd think Damon would be able to lay a sac bunt down, get that guy to third, and Edgar/Ortiz/Manny all with a chance to get a run home with an out. :think2:

SSI · Jul 3, 2005

before i did this system, if i ever used the runline, it was almost always on a large road favorite.. this system is based on the home team winning, which it does more times than not..

there is only 1 NL team that has a winning road record (Cardinals), everyone else has a losing record, and its my theroy that the one run RL losses by the home teams will be outpaced by the large paybacks on the plus juice.. just a theroy, it was on fire and has now cooled down, probably to do with the matchups...

Moe, good luck with those RL's, nothing wrong with going for the larger payback.