Calgary vs. Winnipeg Week 5

[caseymcgillis]

I am leaning on Winnipeg +6.

Calgary isnt that great on the road, Winnipeg is desperate and they cant lose forever ( if that is a good reason to bet on them haha ).

JoJuan Armour out for Calgary, Stegall out for Winnipeg still and Dinnwiddie starting.

Over 51 also seems low. Calgary is averaging 32 by themselves this year. I figure Winnipeg is good for 24 or so.

Thoughts ?

 

[ivan722]

For whatever reason and I can't stop thinking about it, Winnipeg does scare me somewhat tonight Casey and I'm wondering if this could be their night on home field?
(Naw, it can't happen; can it?) :think2:

 

[caseymcgillis]

it just feels like the bombers cant possibly go 0 - 5. they played well enough last week i thought to win in bc granted they kind of gave it up late in the 4th. but i think dinwiddie coming in gives them a new life. although simpson, charlton and stegall out is big

 

[SportSavant]

The total last night was 53 and im not sure why it dropped all of a sudden to 51, I am seeing 51.5's pop up now.

As for the side, +7 -110 was available for a long time last night at Bookmaker, so I would be hard pressed to take +6 when I could have had +7 last night.

I know its not a sharp move, but I bought a 1/2 point at Betcris last night so im on the bombers +7.5 -120

 

[caseymcgillis]

spread on this game opened at 55 and is down to 51 at my book. not sure the reason. i figure calgary even if they lose will put up a number in the 28 - 31 range meaning winnipeg winning will push this total over. you just cant stop that calgary offence especially missing charlton, simpson

 

[OTK]

I'm on Winnipeg and I think this game goes under. I'm thinking a 26-23 type of game with the Bombers winning. To be honest I don't even consider Winnipeg winning as an upset. They're at home and they are actually a good team. Calgary is good, I won't deny that, but they are far from a dominant team and are missing their top defensive player.

 

[caseymcgillis]

winnipeg is a good team when fully healthy that is true. but they arent healthy and calgarys offense has been rolling putting up 32 a game.

that means if they continue their average all winnipeg has to do is grab 20 points and whether that is because the game is competitive or they are grabbing a late TD in a blowout I think they do it to push it over.