Calculated Stats Plays

[jersey_dude]

Day 9 / Tuesday, Jun 24, 2025

Lithuania 1: Kauno Zalgiris - FK Panevezys @ 18:00
2.8 U: Kauno Zalgiris -1 1.89 (Pinnacle)

Gold Cup: Guadeloupe - Guatemala @ 01:00, Jun 25
0.6 U: Guadeloupe +0.5 1.94 (Pinnacle)

Gold Cup: Panama - Jamaica @ 01:00, Jun 25
0.6 U: Jamaica +0.5 1.69 (Pinnacle)

Colombia 1: Santa Fe - Ind. Medellin @ 02:30, Jun 25
0.8 U: Ind. Medellin 0 1.95

Gold Cup: Honduras - Curacao @ 04:00, Jun 25
2.2 U: Honduras 0 1.62 (Pinnacle)

 

[jersey_dude]

Results - Tuesday

Kauno Zalgiris - FK Panevezys => 3:0
2.8 U: Kauno Zalgiris -1 1.89 => W 2.492 U

Guadeloupe - Guatemala => 2:3
0.6 U: Guadeloupe +0.5 1.94 => L 0.6 U

Panama - Jamaica => 4:1
0.6 U: Jamaica +0.5 1.69 => L 0.6 U

Santa Fe - Ind. Medellin => 0:0
0.8 U: Ind. Medellin 0 1.95 => P

Honduras - Curacao => 2:1
2.2 U: Honduras 0 1.62 => W 1.364 U

W 2 - L 2 - P 1 => W 2.656 U

Overall: W 21 (20.5) - L 20 (18) - P 4 => L 0.58 U

 

[jersey_dude]

Day 10 / Wednesday, Jun 25, 2025

Euro U21: England U21 - Netherlands U21 @ 18:00
3.2 U: Netherlands U21 +0.5 1.78

USA 1: CF Montreal - FC Cincinnati @ 01:30, Jun 26
0.8 U: CF Montreal +0.25 1.85

USA 1: New England Revolution - Nashville SC @ 01:30, Jun 26
0.8 U: Nashville SC 0 1.83

USA 1: Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union @ 02:30, Jun 26
0.8 U: Philadelphia Union +0.5 1.90

USA 1: Vancouver Whitecaps - San Diego FC @ 04:30, Jun 26
0.8 U: San Diego FC +0.5 1.85

 

[jersey_dude]

Results - Wednesday

England U21 - Netherlands U21 => 2:1
3.2 U: Netherlands U21 +0.5 1.78 => L 3.2 U

CF Montreal - FC Cincinnati => 1:3
0.8 U: CF Montreal +0.25 1.85 => L 0.8 U

New England Revolution - Nashville SC => 2:3
0.8 U: Nashville SC 0 1.83 => W 0.664 U

Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union => 0:1
0.8 U: Philadelphia Union +0.5 1.90 => W 0.72 U

Vancouver Whitecaps - San Diego FC => 3:5
0.8 U: San Diego FC +0.5 1.85 => W 0.68 U

W 3 - L 2 => L 1.936 U

Overall: W 24 (23.5) - L 22 (20) - P 4 => L 2.516 U

 

[jersey_dude]

Day 11 / Thursday, Jun 26, 2025 - Part 1

China 1: Shanghai Port - Dalian Yingbo @ 13:35
5.8 U: Dalian Yingbo +1.5 1.66

China 1: Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen @ 14:00
1.6 U: Yunnan Yukun +0.25 1.70

 

[jersey_dude]

Part 2

Latvia 1: BFC Daugavpils - Grobina @ 17:00
0.6 U: BFC Daugavpils -0.5 1.80 (Pinnacle)

Argentina Cup: Tigre - Banfield @ 00:30, Jun 27
0.6 U: Tigre -0.25 2.01 (Pinnacle)

Brazil 2: CRB - America MG @ 02:35, Jun 27
0.6 U: CRB -0.25 1.95

 

[jersey_dude]

Results - Thursday

Shanghai Port - Dalian Yingbo => 3:0
5.8 U: Dalian Yingbo +1.5 1.66 => L 5.8 U

Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen => 2:1
1.6 U: Yunnan Yukun +0.25 1.70 => W 1.12 U

BFC Daugavpils - Grobina => 3:2
0.6 U: BFC Daugavpils -0.5 1.80 => W 0.48 U

Tigre - Banfield => 2:0
0.6 U: Tigre -0.25 2.01 => W 0.606 U

CRB - America MG => 1:2
0.6 U: CRB -0.25 1.95=> L 0.6 U

W 3 - L 2 => L 4.194 U

Overall: W 27 (26.5) - L 24 (22) - P 4 => L 6.71 U

 

[jersey_dude]

Day 12 / Friday, Jun 27, 2025

Peru 1: Ayacucho - Los Chankas @ 20:00
9 U: Ayacucho -0.25 1.72

Peru 1: Juan Pablo II - Cienciano @ 22:15
1.2 U: Cienciano +0.5 1.73

Peru 1: Binacional - Sport Huancayo @ 00:30, Jun 28
0.6 U: Binacional +0.5 1.83

Brazil 2: Criciuma - Avai @ 01:30, Jun 28
0.6 U: Criciuma -0.25 1.83

Ecuador 1: Dep. Cuenca - Mushuc Runa @ 02:00, Jun 28
0.8 U: Dep. Cuenca -0.5 1.81

 

[jersey_dude]

Results - Friday

Ayacucho - Los Chankas => 1:2
9 U: Ayacucho -0.25 1.72 => L 9 U

Juan Pablo II - Cienciano => 2:2
1.2 U: Cienciano +0.5 1.73 => W 0.876 U

Binacional - Sport Huancayo => 1:0
0.6 U: Binacional +0.5 1.83 => W 0.498 U

Criciuma - Avai => 1:2
0.6 U: Criciuma -0.25 1.83 => L 0.6 U

Dep. Cuenca - Mushuc Runa => 1:0
0.8 U: Dep. Cuenca -0.5 1.81 => W 0.648 U

W 3 - L 2 => L 7.578 U

Overall: W 30 (29.5) - L 26 (24) - P 4 => L 14.288 U

 

[jersey_dude]

Day 13 / Saturday, Jun 28, 2025

USA 1: CF Montreal - New York City @ 01:30, Jun 29
9.4 U: New York City 0 1.69 (Pinnacle)

USA 1: DC United - Nashville SC @ 01:30, Jun 29
1.8 U: Nashville SC -0.25 1.65

USA 1: New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United @ 01:30, Jun 29
1.8 U: Minnesota United +0.5 1.70 (Pinnacle)

USA 1: Orlando City - FC Cincinnati @ 01:30, Jun 29
2.4 U: Orlando City -0.25 1.67 (Pinnacle)

USA 1: San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy @ 04:30, Jun 29
1.8 U: San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 1.68

 

[jersey_dude]

Results - Saturday

CF Montreal - New York City => 1:0
9.4 U: New York City 0 1.69 => L 9.4 U

DC United - Nashville SC => 0:1
1.8 U: Nashville SC -0.25 1.65 => W 1.17 U

New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United => 2:2
1.8 U: Minnesota United +0.5 1.70 => W 1.26 U

Orlando City - FC Cincinnati => 1:2
2.4 U: Orlando City -0.25 1.67 => L 2.4 U

San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy => 1:1
1.8 U: San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 1.68 => L 1.8 U

W 2 - L 3 => L 11.17 U

Overall: W 32 (31.5) - L 29 (27) - P 4 => L 25.458 U

 

[jersey_dude]

Day 14 / Sunday, Jun 29, 2025

Norway 1: Haugesund - Kristiansund @ 14:30
10 U: Kristiansund 0 1.62

Norway 1: Fredrikstad - Tromso @ 17:00
1.8 U: Fredrikstad 0 1.77

Norway 1: Molde - KFUM Oslo @ 17:00
2 U: KFUM Oslo +0.75 1.70

USA 1: Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union @ 00:00, Jun 30
4.2 U: Columbus Crew -0.5 1.83

USA 1: Los Angeles FC - Vancouver Whitecaps @ 03:30, Jun 30
4 U: Los Angeles FC -0.5 1.73

 

[jersey_dude]

Results - Sunday

Haugesund - Kristiansund => 0:0
10 U: Kristiansund 0 1.62 => P

Fredrikstad - Tromso => 0:1
1.8 U: Fredrikstad 0 1.77 => L 1.8 U

Molde - KFUM Oslo => 2:3
2 U: KFUM Oslo +0.75 1.70 => W 1.40 U

Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union => 1:0
4.2 U: Columbus Crew -0.5 1.83 => W 3.486 U

Los Angeles FC - Vancouver Whitecaps => 0:1
4 U: Los Angeles FC -0.5 1.73 => L 4 U

W 2 - L 2 - P 1 => L 0.914 U

Overall: W 34 (33.5) - L 31 (29) - P 5 => L 26.372 U

 

[jersey_dude]

Day 15 / Monday, Jun 30, 2025

Norway 1: Brann - Sandefjord @ 19:00
10 U: Sandefjord +1 1.80

Sweden 1: Djurgarden - Norrkoping @ 19:00
3.2 U: Djurgarden -0.75 1.80

Sweden 1: Mjallby - Malmo FF @ 19:00
1.2 U: Mjallby 0 1.75

Brazil 2: Paysandu PA - Ferroviaria @ 00:00, Jul 1
2.8 U: Ferroviaria +0.5 1.71

Brazil 2: Cuiaba - Botafogo SP @ 02:00, Jul 1
7.6 U: Cuiaba -0.5 1.62

 

[jersey_dude]

Results - Monday

Brann - Sandefjord => 1:0
10 U: Sandefjord +1 1.80 => P

Djurgarden - Norrkoping => 1:1
3.2 U: Djurgarden -0.75 1.80 => L 3.2 U

Mjallby - Malmo FF => 1:1
1.2 U: Mjallby 0 1.75 => P

Paysandu PA - Ferroviaria => 2:1
2.8 U: Ferroviaria +0.5 1.71 => L 2.8 U

Cuiaba - Botafogo SP => 0:1
7.6 U: Cuiaba -0.5 1.62 => L 7.6 U

L 3 - P 2 => L 13.6 U

Overall: W 34 (33.5) - L 34 (32) - P 7 => L 39.972 U

 

[jersey_dude]

This experiment went really quick into a demonstration of "how to destroy quick a bankroll".
The only good thing about it is that did not take a lots of time daily to chose the plays and to calculate the wagers and place the bets, and of course I had a bankroll of just $200, which allowed to make the smallest bets permitted by the bookie ($1.20 representing 0.6 U).

To those curious about the details, I post some explanations.

 

[jersey_dude]

A. I have used exclusively the predictions from www.soccer-rating.com, simply playing on the side which was indicated to be winning, including situations when the site gave "No bet", but the prediction was "5/10-4/10" (in these cases going with the team having the "5/10").

B. The 5 matches chosen for each day were according just to the order of rankings of the competitions for that particular day.
I used average team values from "Transfermarkt".
Respecting this order I went every day until I got my 5 matches of the day, skipping any match which Soccer-Rating predicted with "No bet" because "5/10-4/10".

C. I had established 5 labby lines at the start (day 1).
I had a rule for the first wager to be "0.6 U", and the biggest possible wager to be "10 U".
I had some other rules, like if in a Labby which is going very bad, for the day being the wager needed should be over "10 U", the extra over 10 U should be redistributed to all the other Labbys.

D. Every day I have placed the matches chosen in the different Labbys by the order of these criteria:
1: start time of match
2: if start is at same time, the one shown first at Oddsportal.com is first
Example: When all matches in "Norway 1" and "Sweden 1" start at 19:00, all "Norway 1" matches are before all "Sweden 1" matches, because Norway comes before Sweden at Oddsportal (just because of alphabetical order). Same with more matches in the same competition, the deciding is the alphabetical order order in which are shown.

 

[jersey_dude]

I knew from the start that I should expect in the long run just about a 50% overall win ratio, even if the average odds are bad, no more than about 1.76.
This because I am observing Soccer-rating for many years, I even ran many-many trial "Strategies" which have proven to be totally useless. It is very clear to me that the predictions of this site used "as it is" are totally useless, the site can be used just like one of the many criteria a serious handicapper uses when making a play.

I also knew that when expecting 50% win ratio, a Labby line would work very nice, but just if there is not a very bad stretch somewhere, like a high number of losses over a segment af days. This same is valid for no matter how many Labbys we have - in this case were 5.
The order of placing the plays in the 5 Labby was totally irrelevant to any handicapping rationament, but it is simply impossible to come up with a handicapping rationament to placing the plays, when choosing the plays was done by something like shown in "B".

So all this betting system was supposed to have a strong "Hail Mary" factor in order to be functional.
But how the hell can work, when for the first Labby (the Labby which always had the first play of the day) I had these results:

L - L - L0.5 - L - L - L0.5 - L - W - W - L - L - L - L - P - P <=> W 2 - L 11 (10) - P 2 ?

 

[jersey_dude]

CORRECTION:

B. The 5 matches chosen for each day were according just to the order of rankings of the competitions for that particular day.
I used average team values from "Transfermarkt".
Respecting this order I went every day until I got my 5 matches of the day, skipping any match which Soccer-Rating predicted with "No bet" because "5/10-4/10".

Correctly should read: "No bet" because "4/10-4/10".