I love the fact I'm seeing everyone on Flo today. Penny better than Ponson?
Bottom line is that SF is 37-15 in game 2 of a series. 25-9 after a win. And overall 58-24 at home.
While Ponson was 0-3 last 3 starts and 3-7 overall with SF, two of those last 3 were games that SF sat starters after clinching. In those games, his ERA was 3.71
SF is 7-2 vs Flo last 3 years and 21-7 since 92 @Home.
While a case can be made for Penny, keep in mind he is 1-7 in day starts with a 6.52 ERA and opponents are hitting .351. Team W-L is 1-9. Ponson not much better during day 1-4, ERA 4.02 and a .299 average against. Team is 1-5. Penny has never beaten SF.
That all being said- I give a slight edge to Ponson and will take the overwhelming home/series dominated advantage with SF.
SF -65 6 units
Also 1 unit par=1.65
SF
Bos
good luck.