Tough game to call. AFA has only played one team all year on BYU's level, which was Utah, and the Falcons were 439-191 in that game. Incredibly, they only managed to lose by 7 points. My gut instinct is that AFA is overrated, but Byu's defense leaves a lot to be desired. Really tough game to call IMO. Good luck though!
Utah is a better defensive team than BYU. AF will have some success running the ball here. I think this game comes down to who plays the cleaner game and don't turn the ball over. Both of these teams have an excellent turnover margin. AF (+12) and BYU (+10). But I have to favor the home running dogs getting 5.5 points at home.
AF's personell is always mediocre.....as is Navy's and Army's....that is what makes those teams so unique.......they should realistically lose every game on paper.....they are usually much slower and much smaller then their opponents.....but they are usually more efficient then their opposition......that is what makes them so dangerous!
What game were you watching? I watched that game from start to finish. Utah took the early lead and AF clawed their way back and led for the rest of the game. They should've won outright, Utah scored on their last drive to take the game. I believe AF got 10 pts and obviously covered. To say that Utah beat them much worse than the final score indicated is a gross misrepresentation of actual events.
Are you serious? Utah shut AFA down for the most part. I think they allowed AFA to rush for like 1.3 yards/rush (AFA only had 53 yards rushing for the game). Utah dominated AFA's OL. It was a minor act of God that AFA covered that game.
Utah had 24 first downs to AFA's 9 and outrushed the mighty Falcon running attack nearly 4-1.
The stats are nice... But the score is what counts...
Scoring Summary Utes - Falcons
1st Quarter
Utes TD Brian Johnson passed to David Reed to the left for 47 yard gain (Louie Sakoda made PAT) 7 - 0
Utes SY Ryan Harrison rushed up the middle for 10 yard loss. Safety 9 - 0
2nd Quarter
Falcons FG Ryan Harrison kicked a 44-yard field goal 9 - 3
Falcons TD Shea Smith passed to Kyle Lumpkin to the left for 8 yard gain (Ryan Harrison made PAT) 9 - 10
Falcons TD Brian Johnson fumbled. Jake Paulson recovered fumble and returned for 25 yards (2pt attempt failed, Brandon Geyer pass to Kevin Fogler) 9 - 16
3rd Quarter
Utes TD Darrell Mack rushed to the right for 8 yard gain (Louie Sakoda made PAT) 16 - 16
4th Quarter
Utes TD Darrell Mack rushed to the left for 1 yard gain (Louie Sakoda made PAT) 23 - 16
Falcons TD Savier Stephens rushed up the middle for 1 yard gain (Ryan Harrison made PAT) 23 - 23
Utes TD Darrell Mack rushed up the middle for 9 yard gain (Louie Sakoda made PAT) 30 - 23
The score is all that matters for that particular game, but evaluating AFA's true value moving forward requires more than just looking at the final score. That's all i am saying. If they played Utah 10 times, the Utes would beat them by double digits the majority of the time. Utah was clearly well ahead of AFA even though they only squeaked out a seven point win in that particular game.
5-0 SAT,
I too watched every play of the Utah vs. Air Force game and saw the game just as you did...unfortunately there will always be some people that see the game with rose tinted glasses, and until those people learn a little big more about handicapping it's going to be hard for them to make money long term in capping...good analysis bud...
I too watched every play of the Utah vs. Air Force game and saw the game just as you did...unfortunately there will always be some people that see the game with rose tinted glasses, and until those people learn a little big more about handicapping it's going to be hard for them to make money long term in capping...good analysis bud...
