Bye Weeks

[Feddz]

Hi all, I'm not posting much in here this year as I just don't have the time, but I thought I'd share this info at least with the rest of you degenerates. This will come as no shock to most of you, but teams have mandated bye weeks this year. So far 12 teams have had them, and I've been spot fading them, but maybe I should have blind faded them, as teams coming off the bye have struggled mightily. It could be a coincidence of course, as there is such a small sample, but the fact that these teams have 5+ days off, with no structured practices of any sort, has them coming out flat in their first game back.

So far, those 12 teams are a collective 3-8-1 on their first game back, and when you take out the 2 teams that each played each other off their respective byes (Leafs and Rangers), that record becomes 2-7-1. If you had made a 1-unit bet in those other 10 games on the bye team's opponent you'd be up a tidy 7.93 units. That seems like a decent ROI, and while that success rate is unlikely to continue, it's nonetheless noteworthy I think.

Below is what I've compiled:

	1st Game				Opponent	Unit Profit
Team and Bye Week	Back	Opponent	Result		Closing Line	/Loss
New York Islanders: Jan. 1-5	06-Jan	@Colorado	OTL 2-1		+138	138
Ottawa Senators: Jan. 2-6	07-Jan	Washington	L 1-0		-147	100
Pittsburgh Penguins: Jan. 1-7	08-Jan	Tampa Bay	W 6-2		+222	-100
Colorado Avalanche: Jan. 7-11	12-Jan	Anaheim	L 4-1		-155	100
Arizona Coyotes: Jan. 8-12	13-Jan	Winnipeg	W 4-3		-147	-147
New York Rangers: Jan. 8-12	13-Jan	Toronto	L 4-2	Leafs also off bye
Toronto Maple Leafs: Jan. 8-12	13-Jan	@Rangers	W 4-2	Rangers also off bye
Philadelphia Flyers: Jan. 16-20	21-Jan	New Jersey	L 4-1		+192	192
Florida Panthers: Feb. 4-8	09-Feb	LA Kings	L 6-3		+102	102
Edmonton Oilers: Feb. 6-10	11-Feb	Chicago	L 5-1		+123	123
New Jersey Devils: Feb. 7-11	12-Feb	San Jose	L 4-1		-123	100
Calgary Flames: Feb. 8-12	13-Feb	Arizona	L 5-0		+185	185
LA Kings: Feb. 10-14	16-Feb	Arizona		extra day off
Carolina Hurricanes: Feb. 12-16	17-Feb	Colorado
Chicago Blackhawks: Feb. 13-17	18-Feb	Edmonton
Montreal Canadiens: Feb. 13-17	18-Feb	Winnipeg
Nashville Predators: Feb. 13-17	18-Feb	@Minnesota
Tampa Bay Lightning: Feb. 12-16	18-Feb	@Dallas		extra day off
Washington Capitals: Feb. 12-16	18-Feb	@Detroit		extra day off
Boston Bruins: Feb. 13-17	19-Feb	@San Jose		extra day off
Dallas Stars: Feb. 19-23	24-Feb	Arizona
Buffalo Sabres: Feb. 20-24	25-Feb	@Colorado
Columbus Blue Jackets: Feb. 20-24	25-Feb	Islanders
San Jose Sharks: Feb. 20-24	25-Feb	@Vancouver		Canucks also off bye
Vancouver Canucks: Feb. 20-24	25-Feb	San Jose		Sharks also off bye
St. Louis Blues: Feb. 21-25	26-Feb	@Chicago
Minnesota Wild: Feb. 22-26	27-Feb	LA Kings
Detroit Red Wings: Feb. 22-26	28-Feb	@Vancouver		extra day off
Winnipeg Jets: Feb. 22-26	28-Feb	Minnesota		extra day off
Anaheim Ducks: Feb. 26 - March 2	03-Mar	Toronto
Total			3-8-1			793

No idea how this will perform going forward, but it's food for thought! GLTA

 

[JamesHat]

Feddz, this is awesome. Thanks very much for doing this. Cheers...

 

[powerz]

Feddz - Thanks for doing this - I faded CGY and edmonton and cashed nice tickets...

Will follow this chart the rest of the way

Arizona Vs LA COL At Car should be a nice juicy dog in the next couple of days

Thanks again for posting!

 

[VegasVic]

Great post Feddz

 

[brendanjack]

Great Info Good Stuff TY

 

[powerz]

They were talking about this on the Canucks pregame last night, Dan Coultier says the break really throws goalie timing off and the one practice they have prior to the game does not help most goalies....

Looks like you would be 9-3 betting the unrested team's total goals as well....

 

[Feddz]

Arizona - LA tonight fits the bill, and the Coyotes are up to +220. Having said that, as you can note on the spreadsheet above, the Kings have been back at the rink for a day already, so may not be as flat as we would expect. Who knows!?

 

[powerz]

Alternate PL is cashing nicely as well.....AV's +665 tonight....big test tomorrow 5 games...Have not seen this being talked about in any other forums which is good. This will the the last time I bump this thread.

So I will say Thanks Again Feddz for pointing it out.

Keep cashing Bros

 

[brendanjack]

colorado im just going to bet it and not think too much

 

[Feddz]

Alternate PL is cashing nicely as well.....AV's +665 tonight....big test tomorrow 5 games...Have not seen this being talked about in any other forums which is good. This will the the last time I bump this thread.

So I will say Thanks Again Feddz for pointing it out.

Keep cashing Bros

Suspect the Coyotes would have been a tasty PL bet last night as well! I didn't have the balls to bet it though haha

 

[Feddz]

colorado im just going to bet it and not think too much

yeah it's best you don't think about it haha. Cause then you'll realize that Colorado has 3 wins in their last 21 games, is on the tail end of a B2B and figure you must be lighting your money on fire by betting them!

 

[Feddz]

Holy shit Colorado is up to +260 against the Canes. I really like Carolina's team, but there's no way they should ever be laying that number - even against the Avs

 

[cloverleaf]

-1.5

 

[brendanjack]

Way to go feddz you filthy animal +265 chaching

 

[Feddz]

nom nom nom B2B big dogs. Hope some of you cashed!

 

[Ttratter]

I did Feddz, cheersgif. Where do you find the condensed schedule for these bye weeks for the rest of the season. Thank you for sharing.

 

[gander1]

Conversely, teams playing their last game (before entering their "bye" week) are also doing well. So you have a "double trend" on the Dallas Stars tonight. Dallas is playing their last game before the bye (and are at home as well) while the Tampa Bay Lightning are playing their first game back. Also, consider playing the Stars in the first period (1/2, +170). In the past two nights, even poor teams like Arizona and Colorado won the first period (as well as the game) against better opponents. This really is a great spot for Dallas tonight.

 

[Feddz]

I did Feddz, cheersgif. Where do you find the condensed schedule for these bye weeks for the rest of the season. Thank you for sharing.

top of the page!

 

[Feddz]

Conversely, teams playing their last game (before entering their "bye" week) are also doing well. So you have a "double trend" on the Dallas Stars tonight. Dallas is playing their last game before the bye (and are at home as well) while the Tampa Bay Lightning are playing their first game back. Also, consider playing the Stars in the first period (1/2, +170). In the past two nights, even poor teams like Arizona and Colorado won the first period (as well as the game) against better opponents. This really is a great spot for Dallas tonight.

Interesting. Thanks for adding to the thread!

 

[Feddz]

5 games today including 2 early ones with WAS-DET and MTL-WPG