are you retarded?
then you'll lose money...what the F do you think? it's hard to make the case that she's more likely than not to miss the board, and yet she's looking at paying $3.80-$4.20 right now, and I think the odds are much higher than 50% that she'll hit the board. As I said, it is a value play.
then you'll lose money...what the F do you think? it's hard to make the case that she's more likely than not to miss the board, and yet she's looking at paying $3.80-$4.20 right now, and I think the odds are much higher than 50% that she'll hit the board. As I said, it is a value play.
yeah...she got hit a tad bit more late in the place pools but if you figure based on the times she'd run and so forth that the place/show likelihoods were in the range of 60% and 80% then fair value would have been $3.60 to place and $2.60 to show...clearly to anyone that bets horses regularly, $4.60 and $3.60 represented some value, and would have been the case even if she'd lost. Everyone recognizes that even an 80% shot loses 1 out of 5 times.
