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Brandin Cooks slips in Fabiano's latest one-man mock.

With the turn of the calendar to August and just a few short weeks until the start of the regular season, the fantasy football chatter is heating up across the NFL landscape. Who will be the biggest bust? (Matt Ryan). Who will make the biggest rookie impact? (Leonard Fournette). Which player's value is on the rise? (Isaiah Crowell). Knowledge is power of course, and knowing which players to draft and when to draft them is paramount to your championship hopes. So is practicing your draft strategies, and you can do that right here are NFL.com as mock drafts are now open! I'll give you a look into how those mocks might look with a mock of my own, as I continue the tradition of ramping up the draft content as we get deeper and deeper into the summer months. While the first round of this draft hasn't changed that much, you will see some serious movers and shakers over picks 11-50 (I'm looking at you, Joe Mixon, Tyreek Hill and Martavis Bryant). So grab your favorite summertime beverage, kick up your feet by the pool or hot tub and read about how the first 10 rounds of your upcoming fantasy football draft could look. Or not. There will be plenty more mock drafts to come!
 

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Round 1

1. David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Johnson recorded 2,000-plus scrimmage yards and 20 total touchdowns last season, scoring more fantasy points but all but three quarterbacks. He's also made it known that his goal for this season is to finish with 1,000 rushing and receiving yards.

2. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Bell missed four games last season due to suspension/rest, but he still finished fourth in fantasy points among backs. He also ranked second in fantasy points a game (20) behind Johnson, as his versatile skill set makes him an elite option.

3. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Elliott was better than all but five fantasy quarterbacks as a rookie, rolling for 1,631 rushing yards and 16 total touchdowns. There's been talk that he could in danger of being suspended for off-field issues, but for now he remains at No. 3.

4. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Brown has posted 371 catches for 4,816 yards with 35 touchdowns over the last three years, and he's finished no worse than sixth in fantasy points among wideouts in four straight seasons. He's durable as well, missing just one game since 2013.

5. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: Jones had some down weeks last season, but he also had the second-most top-10 finishes among wideouts based on points. While the offense will look a bit different under offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, Jones will continue to produce for owners.

6. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, New York Giants: Last season, Beckham put up a career-best 101 catches with 1,300-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns for the third time in his three-year NFL career. I don't see his numbers dropping, even with Brandon Marshall and Evan Engram in the mix.

7. LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills: McCoy ranked fourth in fantasy points among running backs last season, and he'll remain the offensive centerpiece under new head coach Sean McDermott. He'll also have less competition for backfield touches in the absence of Mike Gillislee (Patriots).

8. A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Green was on pace to finish fifth in fantasy points among wideouts before he went down with an injured hamstring last season, so don't let his finish (34th) fool you. The veteran out of Georgia remains a top-10 overall selection in fantasy drafts.

9. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Evans was a targets machine (173) en route to a career season that included personal bests in receptions (96), yards (1,321) and touchdowns (tie, 12). Even with the addition of DeSean Jackson and rookie O.J. Howard, Evans is still a first-rounder.

10. Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Gordon tied for fourth among runners in red-zone touches (57) and eighth in fantasy points in what was a breakout season. The Bolts didn't take a running back but took three offensive linemen in the NFL draft, which is great news for Flash.
 

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Round 2

11. Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: The Comeback Player of the Year in fantasy football, Nelson posted 1,257 yards and a career-best 14 scores last season. He's now recorded a combined 27 touchdowns in his last 32 regular-season games, and his quarterback is arguably the best in the NFL.

12. DeMarco Murray, RB, Tennessee Titans: Murray has ranked no worse than seventh in fantasy points among runners three times in the last four years. He's underrated, both on the field and in fantasy land, and should be considered a surefire top-15 selection in most seasonal leagues.

13. Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Freeman went from the top-scoring running back in fantasy football (2015) to sixth last season, but he scored just 13.3 fewer points in standard leagues. At age 25 and heading into a contract campaign, he should produce another terrific season.

14. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: Thomas experienced a bump after the Saints traded Brandin Cooks to New England, a move that left 117 targets and a boatload of fantasy points up for grabs. He's in a good position to equal or surpass his impressive rookie totals in 2017.

15. Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: Howard rushed for 100 yards seven times as a rookie, and he did it on a team that had Matt Barkley as it's leading passer. Mike Glennon is considered an upgrade, right? Howard also led all rookies in yards per attempt and yards after contact.

16. Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: Ajayi put up career bests across the board last season, and he did it despite seeing seven or fewer carries in his first four games while behind Arian Foster. He also rushed for an NFL-high 783 yards after contact, and his volume should increase.

17. T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Hilton led the NFL with 1,448 receiving yards, which is impressive when you consider the number of stud wideouts in the NFL. His lack of touchdowns (his career best in just seven) is what keeps Hilton from being picked higher in fantasy drafts.

18. Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Bryant scored eight times in 13 games and finished in the top 10 in points at the position five times during what was an up and down season in the stat sheets. While he had more value with Tony Romo at the helm, Bryant remains a firm second-rounder.

19. Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: Baldwin's numbers dropped almost across the board last season compared to his 2015 totals, but he still finished 10th in points among all wideouts. While he's not among the top-five elite at his position, Baldwin is a borderline No. 1 wideout.

20. Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: Gronkowski is a beast when he's on the football field, but the big man has missed 24 games over the last five seasons including most of the 2016 campaign. He is back at 100 percent health, however, and his potential is hard to overlook.
 

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Round 3

21. Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Cooper saw small increases in catches and yardage compared to his rookie season, but he scored just five times and finished in the top 10 in points among wideouts three times. His potential in a solid offense makes him well worth a look here.

22. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams: Gurley was the biggest running back bust in fantasy football, but he's young at 22 and there's hope in the form of new coach and offensive mind Sean McVay. The Rams should also be better on their offensive line, adding All-Pro Andrew Whitworth.

23. Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: The first rookie off the board in this mock, Fournette will be a featured runner for the Jaguars right out of the gate. An explosive playmaker in college, he should find success even if the offensive line isn't considered "top notch."

24. Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Crowell finished 14th in fantasy points among running backs last season, and he could be even better in 2017. That's due to the additions of Kevin Zeitler and J.C. Tretter to a Cleveland offensive line that could become one of the NFL's best.

25. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Nuk exploded in the faces of fantasy fans last season, but he's now considered a prime rebound candidate. Based on his talent, not to mention the trade of Brock Osweiler and addition of quarterback Deshaun Watson, Hopkins is a top-30 pick.

26. Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas had a bad season in the stat sheets, and he still finished 19th in points among wideouts. With Mike McCoy back as the team's offensive coordinator, I like D.T. to rebound in 2017. Maybe not to an elite level, but he'll be better.

27. Brandin Cooks, WR, New England Patriots: Cooks' move to New England is a lateral one, as he goes from Drew Brees to Tom Brady. The Patriots offense has more mouths to feed than the Saints, however, so a potential decrease in Cooks' overall fantasy production should be expected.

28. Marshawn Lynch, RB, Oakland Raiders: He's back ... this time, in Silver & Black. There's pros and cons, but Beast Mode will be running in a productive offensive behind one of the better run-blocking lines in the NFL. Barring injuries, I'd project him to score eight-plus times.

29. Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Miller failed to meet expectations last season with just over 1,000 yards on the ground and six touchdowns. And while the addition of rookie D'Onta Foreman might put a dent his carries a bit, I still see Miller as a legitimate No. 2 fantasy back.

30. Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: The more I research Mixon, the more excited I get about his prospects at the next level. The Bengals backfield is crowded to be certain, but the rookie should pass Jeremy Hill and Giovani Bernard on the depth chart. I'll take the risk right here.
 

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Round 4

31. Terrelle Pryor, WR, Washington Redskins: With DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon gone, Pryor should see plenty of targets in an offense that loves to throw the ball under Jay Gruden.

32. Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson was a major bust in fantasy circles a season ago, but his numbers did improve once Doug Marrone took over as the team's head coach.

33. Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills: Watkins should be motivated to produce big totals in what is now a contract year, but he'll slide in drafts because of his proneness to injuries.

34. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers: The rookie will see more touches than Jonathan Stewart, most notably in the passing game, and could record 1,200-plus scrimmage yards.

35. Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Reed is starting training camp on the PUP list due to a toe issue, so he could move down in future mock drafts if his status doesn't improve.

36. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers: I get it. Rodgers isn't going to last this long in most drafts that don't involve "experts." But his position has a big supply and small demand.

37. Ty Montgomery, RB, Green Bay Packers: Montgomery's arrow is pointing upward as he's now locked into the starting role in Green Bay, but rookies Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones loom.

38. Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Jeffery will be motivated to produce in what is another contract year, but there's a lot of mouths to feed in Philadelphia's pass attack.

39. Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins: Landry was a disappointment for a good part of last season, but he finished strong and will remain on the radar as a No. 2 fantasy wideout in drafts.

40. Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: Like Thomas, I think Sanders will have a much better season under McCoy than he did under Rick Dennison in 2016. He's in the WR2 conversation.
 

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Round 5

41. Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: A lot of folks are afraid to select Hyde in their fantasy football drafts. I'm not one of them, at least not if he falls into the fourth or fifth round.

42. Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Crabtree's yardage totals don't pop off the stat board, but he's scored 17 touchdowns since 2015 and finished higher than Cooper last season.

43. Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions: Tate has recorded 1,000-plus yards in two of his last three seasons and should be considered one of the better No. 3 wideouts in fantasy football.

44. Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Kelce will be hard pressed to duplicate the reception and yardage totals he posted a season ago, but he's still a top-four fantasy tight end.

45. Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints: Ingram is going to share at least some of the workload with Adrian Peterson, but he's still on the RB2/3 borderline in most fantasy leagues.

46. C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Anderson has fallen down rank lists with the addition of Jamaal Charles, but I still see him as more of a featured back in Denver's ground game.

47. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs: The surprising release of Jeremy Maclin will push Hill's targets and fantasy value upward. This kid is one of the league's brightest playmakers.

48. Martavis Bryant, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Bryant scored 15 total touchdowns in his first 21 games before being suspended last season. His upside is huge in Pittsburgh's pass attack.

49. Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: This is the round of the tight end run, as Olsen follows Kelce and Reed. He remains a threat to post 900-1,000 yards in the Panthers passing game.

50. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots: How do you make Brady an even better fantasy quarterback? You give him Cooks to go along with a host of incumbent playmakers in the pass attack.
 

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I have a bunch of info.....I`ll add to the thread almost daily.
 

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Fabiano's 2017 fantasy football projections: WRs.

Fantasy football analysis continues to develop and evolve as we become more and more advanced. No longer is it limited to a simple look at the rank of defenses against the pass and the run to determine starts or sits, as it was back in the late 1990s. (Wow, that seems like so long ago!) Now in the Information Age, the level of statistical projections, algorithms, metrics and research used to project a player's points and fantasy value are almost on the level of an NFL scout. While some information can be paralysis by analysis, a lot of it is useful in our quest to become champions.
In an effort to be a one-stop shop for the most important information as it pertains to your fantasy draft preparation, here's a look at my wide receiver projections for the 2017 season. I've also included a few of the more vital team stats from last season, including each team's wide receiver target and reception totals, the percentage of overall team targets and receptions that went to wideouts, and the percentage of overall team red-zone targets that went to the position. And of course, fantasy points against (strength of schedule) information is also included at the end.
Also included are a few nuggets, tidbits and analysis (for those who might be sick of all the numbers) on the most important fantasy players, in addition to the tendencies and trends of their coaches and coordinators. In some cases, you'll even see a quick historical breakdown of how well players have done (based on points) under the coaches and coordinators who'll be calling their plays in 2017.
 

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Arizona Cardinals

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Projections
Larry Fitzgerald: 90 rec, 1,009 yards, 6 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 134.9 fantasy points
John Brown: 58 rec, 890 yards, 5 TDs, 17 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 119.2 fantasy points
J.J. Nelson: 42 rec, 610 yards, 4 TDs, 57 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 88.7 fantasy points

The Cardinals ranked second in wide receiver targets and tied for fifth in red-zone targets last season. ... Larry Fitzgerald was the team's most targeted wide receiver (151). He's the lone wideout to score more than seven touchdowns in a single season under coach Bruce Arians in Arizona. ... J.J. Nelson was second in targets with 74. ... John Brown averaged 4.8 targets a game, but that total should rise as he returns from sickle cell trait. He's a potential middle- to late-round value. ... Arians was either a head coach or offensive coordinator in six consecutive seasons before taking over in Arizona. During that time, his system produced at least one top-20 fantasy wide receiver per season. However, Mike Wallace (2010-2011) was the lone wideout to finish better than 15th. ... In the last four years with the Cardinals, Arians' offense has produced just one top-10 wideout (Fitzgerald, 2015).
 

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Atlanta Falcons

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Projections
Julio Jones: 101 rec, 1,498 yards, 8 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 195.8 fantasy points
Taylor Gabriel: 53 rec, 622 yards, 5 TDs, 43 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 96.5 fantasy points
Mohamed Sanu: 55 rec, 626 yards, 5 TDs, 38 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 96.4 fantasy points

The Falcons finished 18th in wide receiver targets overall and 12th in red-zone targets. Surprisingly, superstar receiver Julio Jones finished 53rd at the position in red-zone chances. Veteran Mohamed Sanu led the Falcons wideouts with a mere 13 red-zone targets. That ranked 39th among wideouts around the league. Sanu would finish with just four touchdown catches, two behind Jones for the team lead among wide receivers. ... The Falcons ranked third in total red-zone targets (93), but almost a third of them went to running backs. ... Jones' 9.2 overall targets per game were down from the 12.7 he saw the previous season. However, those totals seem destined to rise under new offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian. ... Taylor Gabriel averaged five targets a game in his last seven games, but he averaged a touchdown per contest. He scored a sixth touchdown on his four rushing attempts.
 

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Baltimore Ravens

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Projections
Jeremy Maclin: 69 rec, 863 yards, 6 TDs, 6 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 120.9 fantasy points
Mike Wallace: 63 rec, 806 yards, 5 TDs, 21 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 112.7 fantasy points
Breshad Perriman: 50 rec, 639 yards, 4 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 87.9 fantasy points

The Ravens threw the ball more than any other team in the league last season, but their wideouts were targeted just 52.6 percent of the time. That ranked 31st in the league. Baltimore also finished 28th in terms of wideout red-zone targets. On the flip side, Ravens running backs were 13th in total target percentage and seventh in red-zone target percentage. ... In Marty Mornhinweg's last 10 seasons as a coach or offensive coordinator, his wide receivers have ranked in the top 20 in fantasy points just four times. Wallace was 24th under his watch one season ago. ... Jeremy Maclin ranked 38th, 12th, 32nd and 27th in his four seasons with Mornhinweg during their time together in Philadelphia. He averaged 64 catches for 863 yards and six touchdowns in those campaigns. ... The Ravens lost 102 targets from their pass attack from last year when Steve Smith Sr. decided to retire.
 

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Buffalo Bills

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Projections
Sammy Watkins: 68 rec, 1,046 yards, 6 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 140.6 fantasy points
Zay Jones: 54 rec, 636 yards, 5 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 93.6 fantasy points

The Bills finished 32nd in wideout targets and tied for 31st in red-zone chances last season. ... The team's two most targeted wideouts, Robert Woods (76) and Marquise Goodwin (68), are no longer on the roster. That means more targets for Sammy Watkins and Zay Jones, who are projected to start. ... Watkins has missed 11 contests over the last two years due to foot problems, but his 16-game average in that time is 113 targets, 67 catches, 1,125 yards and eight touchdowns. He's a risk-reward No. 2 fantasy wideout. ... New offensive coordinator Rick Dennison has had a combined six top-20 fantasy wideout performances in his last six seasons in that role between Houston and Denver. That includes Andre Johnson, who ranked in the top 12 three times during their time together with the Texans. ... In 2016, the Broncos ranked second in wideout target percentage under Dennison.
 

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Carolina Panthers

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Projections
Kelvin Benjamin: 65 rec, 902 yards, 6 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 126.2 fantasy points
Curtis Samuel: 41 rec, 497 yards, 3 TDs, 169 rush yards, 1 rush TDs, 88.6 fantasy points
Devin Funchess: 50 rec, 543 yards, 5 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 82.3 fantasy points

Carolina ranked tied for 17th in wide receiver targets and tied for 19th in red-zone targets a season ago. ... Kelvin Benjamin led the team in targets (118) and finished 20th in fantasy points among wideouts, but he put up double-digit fantasy points just five times. ... Mike Shula has been an offensive coordinator for nine seasons at the NFL level. During that time, Benjmain is the lone wideout to post 1,000 or more yards in his system. Over the last five seasons, just two Panthers wideouts (Benjamin - 2014-2016, Steve Smith - 2013) have seen 100-plus targets. What's more, tight end Greg Olsen has seen more targets than any wideout on the team since 2013. ... Ted Ginn, who ranked second in wideout targets, is no longer on the roster. That should mean more opportunities for Devin Funchess and Curtis Samuel, but neither is worth more than a late-rounder in drafts.
 

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Chicago Bears

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Projections
Cameron Meredith: 65 rec, 823 yards, 5 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 112.3 fantasy points
Kevin White: 66 rec, 698 yards, 5 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 97.8 fantasy points

The Bears finished 11th in wide receiver targets and eighth in red-zone targets in their first season under offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains. That had much to due with injuries to tight end Zach Miller and the lack of a pass catcher in the backfield. ... In addition to the two seasons he filled that role in Tennessee, Loggains' top wide receiver has averaged 111 targets. ... Cameron Meredith led the Bears in total targets a season ago, but Alshon Jeffery was first in targets-per-game average (7.8). With Jeffery now no longer on the roster, Meredith figures to reach the 100-target mark in 2017. He's a legitimate sleeper choice. ... Kevin White, a former first-round pick, has missed all but four games in his first two years due to injuries. While he's now back at full speed, White is still worth no more than a late-rounder based on his noted proneness to injuries at the NFL level.
 

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Cincinnati Bengals

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Projections
A.J. Green: 91 rec, 1,332 yards, 8 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 181.2 fantasy points
John Ross: 40 rec, 483 yards, 5 TDs, 79 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 84.2 fantasy points
Brandon LaFell: 38 rec, 410 yards, 4 TDs, 0 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 65 fantasy points
Tyler Boyd: 45 rec, 427 yards, 2 TDs, 11 rush yards, 0 rush TDs, 53.8 fantasy points

Cincinnati ranked 14th in wideout targets and 19th in red-zone chances in their first season under offensive coordinator Ken Zampese. ... A.J. Green was on pace to finish with 160 targets before he went down with an injured hamstring. That would have been his highest total since 2013. Green was also on pace for 105 catches and 1,542 yards, which would have both been career highs. His projected 16 red-zone targets would have ranked tied for 18th among wideouts. ... Brandon LaFell led the Bengals with 107 targets, but 61 (or 57 percent) of them came over the final seven games of the season during which time Green was injured. ... The addition of rookie John Ross will mean fewer targets for both LaFell and Tyler Boyd, neither of whom is worth more than a late-round flier in deeper leagues. As for Ross, he's worth a late look in drafts but has to be monitored after shoulder surgery.
 

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