Brotherwo's PGA 2012

[Brotherwo]

David Tom does not win Humana -590 (he should come back to earth soon and with the way this course is playing 30 golfers are within striking distance, this is great paylay material)
Chappel over DiMarco -110
Taylor over Campbell +105

 

[Brotherwo]

My full tournament selections really failed me this week but still a positive week in the end.

Humana 6-4-1 +1.591units
YTD 22-12-7 +6.773

Date Tournament Round Bet Risk Odds Grade W/L
1/19/2012 Humana FT (FT)Gay over Snedeker -135 (favorite play) 1 -135 L (1.000)
1/19/2012 Humana FT (FT)Kelly over Campbell -125 1 -125 W 0.800
1/19/2012 Humana FT (FT)Moore over Crane -105 1 -105 L (1.000)
1/19/2012 Humana FT (FT)Haas over Mickelson -125 1 -125 L (1.000)
1/19/2012 Humana FT (FT)Haas over Kuchar +115 1 115 L (1.000)
1/19/2012 Humana FT (FT)Estes over Slocum -105 1 -105 W 0.952
1/19/2012 Humana FT (FT)Potter over Davis -125 1 -125 W 0.800
1/20/2012 Humana 2 Gay over Kim -130 1 -130 W 0.769
1/20/2012 Humana 2 Garrigus over McNeil +105 1 105 W 1.050
1/21/2012 Humana 3 David Tom does not win Humana -590 1 -590 W 0.169
1/21/2012 Humana 3 Chappel over DiMarco -110 1 -110 Push -
1/21/2012 Humana 3 Taylor over Campbell +105 1 105 W 1.050
Total 1.591

 

[Brotherwo]

Tournament winner long shot
+24000 Sutherland - while he hasnt played great recently he has a great track record at Torrey, worth a small wager

FT Plays
Points over Woodland +105
Crane over Els -125

 

[Brotherwo]

adding FT Plays
Snedeker over Yang -135
Imada over Molder +159
Leishman over de Jonge +130
Sutherland over Baird -119
Watney over Mickelson -115

 

[Brotherwo]

1st Round
de Jonge over M. Thompson -120

 

[varkeyboy]

Out of curiosity, how long have u been wagering on golf? I don't know much about it. But wouldn't mind wagering on it depending on how much you know. Thanks for the insight!

 

[varkeyboy]

adding FT Plays
Snedeker over Yang -135
Imada over Molder +159
Leishman over de Jonge +130
Sutherland over Baird -119
Watney over Mickelson -115

On 5dimes, it says (Tourn) next to the name. So are the above plays stand for Final Tournament? Thanks for clarifying for me.

 

[varkeyboy]

$10 to win $2400 on Sutherland?? WHY the heck not! I'm in.

 

[Brotherwo]

Out of curiosity, how long have u been wagering on golf? I don't know much about it. But wouldn't mind wagering on it depending on how much you know. Thanks for the insight!

First of all, tail at your own risk. I'm not a professional and the last thing I want is for people to lose money off my selections.

I've been following golf a lot longer than I've been wagering on golf. However in the last three years I've become more serious about betting golf simply because I've become exposed to books that offer a wider range of betting options which gave more likelihood of finding value in their offered match-ups. I use a variety of gauges to determine plays but my top 3 are: current level of play, history at course and public perception.

Most of my plays are match-up plays, full tournament or individual round. I havent had much success with future bets but with value like +24000 I can't pass up, Nathan Green is another at +48500(!)

The reason I see value in Sutherland at +24000 is due to his course history, while he has never won the tournament and he has played in this tournament 16 times, with 4 top 10 finishes. Last 5 years, T-14, T-15, T-35, T-13, T-14

Anyways, GL on what ever action you decide!

 

[varkeyboy]

So what dies FT mean?

Thanks for the explanation above.

 

[Brotherwo]

So what dies FT mean?

Thanks for the explanation above.

Full Tournament

 

[varkeyboy]

1st Round
de Jonge over M. Thompson -120

Did we win this one? I see him being up right now....

 

[varkeyboy]

Sutherland currently sitting at -5. NOT BAD at all!!!

 

[Brotherwo]

Did we win this one? I see him being up right now....

haha, you're making bets you dont even know how to grade, degenerate! @)
Yep, that was a easy 6 stroke winner. de Jonge -2, Thompson +4. Rarely are round matchups that easy, more like 1-3 stroke variance

Sutherland, had a nice opening round of -5 which will keep him in the mix but he is heading over to the more difficult South Course tomorrow. If he is sitting at -8 going into the weekend Ill be happy. Either way with the +24000 odds, that is a bet you cant pass up.

 

[Brotherwo]

Round 2
Gates over Trahan -125

 

[varkeyboy]

haha, you're making bets you dont even know how to grade, degenerate! @)
Yep, that was a easy 6 stroke winner. de Jonge -2, Thompson +4. Rarely are round matchups that easy, more like 1-3 stroke variance

Sutherland, had a nice opening round of -5 which will keep him in the mix but he is heading over to the more difficult South Course tomorrow. If he is sitting at -8 going into the weekend Ill be happy. Either way with the +24000 odds, that is a bet you cant pass up.

Thank you!!! hahaha....love it.

 

[varkeyboy]

Round 2
Gates over Trahan -125

On it!!

 

[Brotherwo]

Adding one other rd 2 play
Rose over Els -120

 

[TlankfordAU]

Nice to see some cappers doing golf betting. My 2nd favorite sport to bet on after football.

With you on Rose > Els. Also taking Snedeker again today over Yang. Beat him by 7 strokes yesterday on the hard course. Sned should post a 5-8 under today and I don't think Yang can keep up with that. -.5 @ -123 odds is a good price

 

[the1yankee]

First of all, tail at your own risk. I'm not a professional and the last thing I want is for people to lose money off my selections.

I've been following golf a lot longer than I've been wagering on golf. However in the last three years I've become more serious about betting golf simply because I've become exposed to books that offer a wider range of betting options which gave more likelihood of finding value in their offered match-ups. I use a variety of gauges to determine plays but my top 3 are: current level of play, history at course and public perception.

Most of my plays are match-up plays, full tournament or individual round. I havent had much success with future bets but with value like +24000 I can't pass up, Nathan Green is another at +48500(!)

The reason I see value in Sutherland at +24000 is due to his course history, while he has never won the tournament and he has played in this tournament 16 times, with 4 top 10 finishes. Last 5 years, T-14, T-15, T-35, T-13, T-14

Anyways, GL on what ever action you decide!

thanks to u and to everyone that posts opinions and plays:
in regards to your post you are not holding a gun to anybodys head telling them bet this or i will kill u. i get pissed sometimes if i follow a pick n it loses n i wanna bash thAT person but i go back to my 1st sentence. more people should use this moto cuz bashers have chased away many a good cappers who feel why waste my time if im gonna be blatantly disrespected and underappreciated every day(especially if that person is tearin shit up record and unit wise),if someone has feedback about somethin either use it or don't, its that simple!!