BALTIMORE 39.5 AT DALLAS –4.0
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THIS IS THE LAST HOME GAME AT TEXAS STADIUM. THIS WILL BE AN EMOTIONAL NIGHT FOR THE FANS (12<SUP>TH</SUP> FAN AND NATIONAL TV COVERAGE)AND THE PLAYERS, DALLAS HAS WON 11 CONSECUTIVE NIGHT GAMES, AND THEYARE PLAYING WITH SUPER CONFIDENCE. A MUST WIN SITUATION FOR THE COWBOYS WILL HAVE THE ADVANTAGE AT HOME, AND WILL PUT ROOKIE , INEXPERIENCED, RAVEN QB JOE FLACCO IN AN EXTREAM PRESSURE SITUATION ON THE ROAD. THE ONLY QUESTION IS HOW DALLAS QB ROMO RESPONDS TO THAT BACK INJURY HE SUFFERED VS THE GIANTS LAST WEEK.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
BALTIMORE 16
DALLAS 21
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MONEY LINE: DALLAS
ATS: DALLAS –4.0
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 39.5
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MIAMI 38.5 AT KANSAS CITY +3.5
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HERE’S A SLEEPER. KC AT HOME IS GETTING +3.5 PTS ?. 61% OF THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ON THE DOLPHINS. THIS IS KC LAST HOME GAME OF THE SEASON, WHICH WILL MAKE THEM PLAY EXTRA HARD. THE CHIEFS HAVE PLAYED COMPETITIVE FOOTBALL, BUT THEY ARE YOUNG AND FIGURE ON WAYS BY THE 4<SUP>TH</SUP> QUARTER TO SELF DESTRUCT. THE GAME TIME WEATHER SHOULD BE 2 DEGREES, WITH THE WIND BLOWING AT 18 MILES PER HOUR. KC IS 13-6 ATS IN THE MONTH OF DECEMBER, THEY ARE 10-3 ATS FINAL HOME GAME. THE DOLPHINS MAYBE THINKING AHEAD TO THEIR BIG DIVISIONAL RIVAL GAME AGAINST THE JETS NEXT WEEK, AND MAY NOT BE FOCUSED ON THIS ONE. BESIDES MIAMI STRUGGLES TO JUST BEAT THEIR OPPONENTS AT HOME. THIS GAME IN COLD WEATHER WILL HINDER MIAMI’S PERFORMANCE.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
MIAMI 16
KANSAS CITY 17
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MONEY LINE: KANSAS CITY
ATS: KANSAS CITY (BEST BET- ATS, AND PLAY IN 10 PT TEASER)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 38.5
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NEW ORLEANS 50.5 AT DETROIT +7.0
DETROIT MAY RID THEIR LONG LOSING STREAK. I KNOW THE MEDIA, AND SOME PROFESSIONAL TOUTS SAY THIS EVERY WEEK, AND PREDICT A LION UPSET. WELL, THIS IS MY CHANCE TO RING IN AND STATE THAT WEEK #16 WILL END DETROIT’S LOSING STREAK.HERE’S MY REASONS. SAINTS PLAY AWAY, NOT AS EXPLOSIVE AS THEY ARE AT HOME . SAINTS ARE OUT OF THE PLAYOFFS, NOTHING TO PLAY FOR, DETROIT WAS PLAYED BETTER EACH WEEK AND HAVE BEEN COMPETITIVE. THEY COME UP SHORT SIMPLY BECAUSE THEY CAN’T PUT THEIR OPPONENTS AWAY. WELL, WATCH THE LIONS PLAY EVEN HARDER IN THIS CONTEST, AND GO OVER THE TOP AND UPSET THE SAINTS.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
NEW ORLEANS 23
DETROIT 24
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MONEYLINE: DETROIT
ATS: DETROIT +7.0 (BEST BET TAKE THE SEVEN AN TEASE/SHADE IT)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 50.5
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CINCINNATI 32.5 AT CLEVELAND –3.0
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IS THIS A TRAP LINE?. HOW CAN THE BROWNS BE FAVORITE ESPECIALLY THE WAY THEY HAVE PLAYED?. 54 % OF THE PUBLIC LIKE THE BENGALS, AND I TOO LOVE THE BENGALS IN THIS SPOT. SIMPLE REASONING. THE BENGALS HAVE SHOWED ME A LOT LAST WEEK WHEN THEY BEAT THE REDSKINS AND KNOCKED THEM OUT OF THE PLAYOFFS. THE RECENT TIE WITH PHILADELPHIA WAS WELL FOUGHT AS THE UNDERDOG. WHAT I AM TRYING TO STATE IS THAT CINCINNATI IS HAS BEEN PLAYING WITH PRIDE, INITIATIVE, AND DETERMINATION THESE PAST 3 WEEKS. CLEVELAND IS THE COMPLETE OPPOSITE IN RECENT WEEKS, AND THEIR LACK OF MOTIVATION WAS SEEN ON NATIONAL TV WHEN THEY WERE TRUMPED BY PHILADELPHIA. TEAMS COMING OFF LOSSES OF 17 PLUS POINTS OR MORE AFTER A MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME ARE 15-27 ATS.
AGAIN, AS GOOD AS IT LOOKS, BEWARE THE TRAP.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
CINCINNATI 15
CLEVELAND 13
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MONEY LINE: CINCINNATI
ATS: CINCINNATI +3.0 (BEST BET-BACK UP WITH A TEASER PLAY)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 32.5
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SAN DIEGO 42.5 AT TAMPA BAY –3.5
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TAMPA BAY’S DEFENSE WILL STOP SAN DIEGO’S OFFENSE. HERE’S WHY THE BUC’S WILL DEFEAT THE CHARGERS. TAMPA BAY HAS THE BETTER HEAD COACH, THEY PLAY MORE CONSISTENT, AND THEY PLAY BETTER AT HOME. SAN DIEGO PLAYS A 1PM GAME ON THE EAST COAST. TEAMS TRAVELING FROM THE WEST COAST, TO PLAY AN EARLY START ON THE EAST COAST ALWAYS STRUGGLE. HEAD COACH NORV TURNER SINCE HE HAS BEEN WITH SAN DIEGO IS 0-3 ATS. ALSO NORV IS 1-5 ATS ON HIS SECOND CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAME. TAMPA’S HOME RECORD ATS SINCE 2007 IS 10-5. SD WILL NOT BE ABLE TO WATCH THE SCOREBOARD FOR DENVER, SINCE IT IS A 4:05 PM START EST.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
SAN DIEGO 13
TAMPA BAY 20
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MONEY LINE: TAMPA BAY
ATS: TAMPA BAY –3.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 42.5
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SAN FRANCISCO 43.5 AT ST LOUIS +5.5
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WHY IS SF –5.5 FAVS ON THE ROAD WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FRANK GORE BEING OUT WITH THAT SORE ANKLE. YOU NEED TO FIND OUT ON GAME DAY IF GORE WILL PLAY. IF NOT, THIS FACTORS MORE IN FAVOR OF THE RAMS COVERING THE SPREAD. STL HAS STEVEN JACKSON IN THE LINEUP, AND THE RAMS PLAY BETTER WITH HIM IN THE LINEUP. ALTHOUGH SF HAS BEEN A BETTER TEAM UNDER THEIR NEW HEAD COACH, THEY PLAY THIS CONTEST AWAY. IF STL DOESN’T TURNOVER THE BALL LIKE THEY HAVE BEEN THIS ENTIRE SEASON, THEY HAVE A SHOT TO WIN THIS GAME. OVERALL, THE RAMS HAVE A BETTER CORE OF PLAYERS OFFENSIVELY. THIS GAME WILL BE CLOSE, AND COULD GO EITHER WAY.
I SAY NO BET ON THIS TURKEY.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
SAN FRANCISCO 23
ST LOUIS 20
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MONEY LINE: SAN FRANCISCO (IF GORE PLAYS)
ATS: ST LOUIS +5.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.5
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PITTSBURGH 34.5 AT TENNESSEE +1.0
ANOTHER TRAP LINE?. THE TITANS ARE ONLY GETTING ONE POINT WITH DE KYLE VANDEN BOSCH, AND DT ALBERT HAYNESWORTH OUT?.FORGET ABOUT POINT SPREADS FOR A SECOND. WITHOUT THE BACKBONE OF TWO OF THEIR LEADERS ON DEFENSE, HOW CAN THEY EXPECT TO EVEN WIN?.
TENNESSEE IS SHORTHANDED WITH BIG INJURIES ON DEFENSE, PITTSBURGH IS RELATIVELY HEALTHY ON DEFENSE, AND THEY ARE A TOUGHER UNIT. PITTSBURGH DEFENSE HAS BEEN CAUSING THEIR OPPONENTS HAVOC. THE STEELERS CREATE CONFUSION, FORCE MISTAKES, AND CAPITALIZE ON TURNOVERS. THIS WILL BE THE DIFFERENCE IN THIS GAME. BEWARE, 64% OF THE MONEY IS ON THE STEELERS ONLY LAYING –1 PT ?.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
PITTSBURGH 20
TENNESSEE 17
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MONEY LINE: PITTSBURGH
ATS: PITTSBURGH –1.0 ( BEST BET-BUT BEWARE OF TRAP)
OVER/UNDER: OVER 34.5
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ARIZONA 45.0 AT NEW ENGLAND –9.0
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THE WAY THE CARDS PLAYED LAST WEEK AT HOME, TELLS YOU ALL YOU HAVE TO KNOW ABOUT THIS TEAM. THE TEAM KNOWS THEY ARE IN THE PLAYOFFS, AND THE PLAYERS ARE TRYING TO AVOID INJURIES, AND JUST PLAY OUT THE REGULAR SEASON WITHOUT ANY SERIOUS EFFORT. AS OF SATURDAY AFTERNOON, IT’S SNOWING VERY HARD IN NEW ENGLAND, AND IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL CONTINUE INTO GAME DAY. THERE IS ABOUT 8 TO 12 INCHES ACCUMULATED, AND IT IS COLD. ARIZONA DOESN’T HAVE A RUNNING GAME PERIOD. NOW THAT HAVE NO RUNNING GAME WHEN THE PLAYING CONDITIONS CALL FOR IT. NEW ENGLAND IS IN A MUST WINN SITUATION, AND CANT AFFORD TO LOSE EITHER OF THEIR LAST TWO GAMES. THE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH THE WIND AND COLD WILL DEFLATE THE CARDINAL PASSING GAME. QB WARNER WILL NOT BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE OUTSIDE ELEMENTS, AND I EXPECT AT LEAST 3-4 ARIZONA TURNOVERS. ALSO, THE CARDS HAVEN’T SHOWN ME THAT THEY CAN WIN A BIG GAME ON THE ROAD.LOOKS LIKE THE CARDS WILL MAIL ANOTHER GAME IN.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
ARIZONA 17
NEW ENGLAND 27
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MONEY LINE: NEW ENGLAND
ATS: NEW ENGLAND –9.0 ( TEASE THE LINE DOWN, EASY WIN)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 45.0
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HOUSTON 44.0 AT OAKLAND +7.0
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I SEE A MEANINGLESS GAME, THAT HAS SOME MEANING. LET’S FACE IT, OAKLAND IS PLAIN OUT TERRIBLE. EARLIER IN THE SEASON, THEIR OFFENSE STRUGGLED. IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE SEASON, BOTH THE OFFENSE, AND DEFENSE ARE DEAD. SO YOU HAVE A STRUGGLING RAIDER TEAM VS A RED HOT TEXAN TEAM THAT IS PSYCHED UP AND READY TO ROLL. THE RAIDERS ARE LEARNING HOW TO ROLL OVER AND PLAY DEAD. THE TEXANS WANT TO FINISH WITH AN ABOVE .500 RECORD, FOR THE FIRST TIME IN FRANCHISE HISTORY. I CALLED THE TEXAN UPSET LAST WEEK VS TENNESSEE. HOUSTON WENT ALL OUT, AND PLAYED THAT GAME LIKE A PLAYOFF CONTEST. NOW THAT THEY GOT OVER THEIR TOUGHEST HUMP, THERE WILL BE NO LET DOWN WITH THE RAIDERS. THE PLAYERS WILL BE MOTIVATED, AND THEIR GOAL IS CLEAR TO WIN OUT THE REST OF THE SEASON.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
HOUSTON 24
OAKLAND 13
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MONEY LINE: HOUSTON
ATS: HOUSTON –7.0 (BEST BET)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.0
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NEW YORK JETS 43.0 AT SEATTLE +3.5
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UPSET SPECIAL, MY BEST BET PLAY. THE JETS HAVE BEEN PLAYING LOUSY FOOTBALL SINCE THEIR UPSET OVER THE TITANS WEEKS AGO. THE JETS ON PAPER MAY HAVE THE EDGE WITH THEIR QB AND OFFENSIVE LINE, HOWVER, CONSIDER THESE INTANGIBLES. THIS IS A BIG EMOTIONAL GAME FOR SEATTLE’S HEAD COACH HOLMGREN. THIS WILL BE HIS LAST HOME GAME AS A SEAHAWK HEAD COACH, AND I EXPECT HIS PLAYERS TO STEP IT UP A NOTCH,ESPECIALLY WITH THE SUPPORT OF THEIR HOME CROWD. SEATTLE IS A TOUGH PLACE TO PLAY IF YOU ARE THE VISITOR. MOST EAST COAST TEAMS WHEN THEY PLAY ON THE WEST COAST STRUGGLE. IN THIS CASE, HEAD COACH MANGINI IS 0-3 ATS WHEN COACHING JETS ON THE WEST COAST AGAINST THE SPREAD. BESIDES 67% OF THE MONEY IS ON THE JETS. JETS LOST OUTRIGHT VS 6-8 SD, 5-9 SF, 3-11 RAIDERS, ALL ON THE WEST COAST. FARVE STATS DOESN’T PLAY WELL ON THE ROAD, AS WELL AS THE JET OFFENSIVE LINE. JETS WILL BE LOOKING AHEAD TO MIAMI NEXT WEEK.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
NEW YORK JETS 20
SEATTLE 21
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MONEY LINE: SEATTLE
ATS: SEATTLE +3.5 (THIS IS MY BEST BET 5 STAR PLAY)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.0
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BUFFALO 45.0 AT DENVER –6.0
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IF SAN DIEGO LOSSES EARLIER (1PM START EST) AT TAMPA BAY, WHICH I AM PREDICTING, DENVER WON’T HAVE ANYTHING TO PLAY FOR. EVEN IF THE CHARGERS WIN, THEY PROBABLY WON’T BE MENTALLY FOCUSED FOR THE 6-8 BUFFAL BILLS. DENVER QB CUTLER AND HIS WIDE RECEIVERS VS BUFFALO’S RUNNING GAME. DENVER IS 0-7 ATS WHEN FAVORITE BY 3.5 POINTS OR MORE. BUFFALO IS 16-11 ATS AS DOGS UNDER HEAD COACH DICK JAURON.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
BUFFALO 20
DENVER 23
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MONEY LINE: DENVER (IF SAN DIEGO LOSSES, BILLS WILL UPSET)
ATS: BUFFALO +6.0
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 45.0
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ATLANTA 43.0 AT MINNESOTA –3.5
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THIS IS A TOUGH GAME TO FIGURE.MINNESOTA DOESN’T NEED TO WIN THIS GAME. ALL THEY NEED IS A SINGLE VICTORY OR JUST ONE BEARS LOSS. THE FALCONS NEED THIS GAME A LITTLE MORE.THE KEY HERE IS THE ABSENCE OF DEFENSIVE LINEMAN PAT WILLIAMS. HE IS THE HEART AND SOLE OF THE VIKING #2 DEFENSE VS THE RUSH. THIS WILL ALLOW ATLANTA’S MICHAEL TURNER RUNNING ROOM. THE VIKES WILL COUNTER WITH THEIR LEADING NFL RUSHER PETERSON , VS THE FALCON SUSPECT DEFENSIVE LINE. IF THE RUNNING GAMES FOR BOTH SIDES BECOMES A WASH. THEN LOOK AT THE BETTER PASSING TEAM, AND DEFENSIVE SECONDARY. ATLANTA’S QB MATT RYAN IS THE OBVIOUS CHOICE VS MINNESOTA’S INEPT SECONDARY. THE VIKINGS JACKSON WILL HAVE TROUBLE PASSING ON ONE OF THE BETTER SECONDARIES IN THE NFL. THE BETTING IS ALMOST EVEN, ATLANTA 52%, AND MINNESOTA AT 48%.I WOULDN’T BET THIS GAME, BUT IS WOULD TAKE THE FALCONS AND THE POINTS.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
ATLANTA 20
MINNESOTA 17
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MONEY LINE: ATLANTA
ATS: ATLANTA +3.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.0
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PHILADELPHIA 38.5 AT WASHINGTON +4.5
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THE SKINS DID THEMSELVES IN LAST WEEK IN CINCINNATI. THE REDSKINS ARE FINISHED, AND THEY NOW FACE A CONFIDENT DONOVAN MC NABB AND A RED HOT EAGLES TEAM.THE PROBLEM IS THAT THE LINE IS FAVORS THE SKINS, HOWEVER, THE PUBLIC’S MONEY (71%) IS ON PHILADELPHIA. I HATE WHEN A TEAM THAT I LIKE ATTRACTS TO MUCH ATTENTION TO THE GENERAL PUBLIC. ALTHOUGH THE LINE IS SUSPECT, I WILL NOT PLAY WASHINGTON. EVEN IF 3 OUT OF 4 PEOPLE ARE TAKING THE EAGLES, I AM TAKING THE EAGLES TOO. BOTH TEAMS ARE PLAYING WELL DEFENSIVELY, AND I EXPECT SOMEWHAT OF A LOW SCORING GAME, WITH MC NABB AND WESTBROOK THE DIFFERENCE HERE.THE SKINS ARE STRUGGLING TOO MUCH TO TAKE.TEAMS THAT WIN THEIR GAMES BY 17 POINTS OR MORE ON MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL HAVE DONE WELL VS THE SPREAD THE WEEK FOLLOWING. ANDY REID IS 4-1 ATS AFTER A MONDAY NIGHT WIN PLUS 17 PTS.ANDY REID IS 6-3 ATS IN A DIVISIONAL REVENGE GAME.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
PHILADELPHIA 20
WASHINGTON 13
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MONEY LINE: PHILADELPHIA
ATS: PHILADELPHIA –4.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 38.5
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CAROLINA 37.5 AT NEW YORK GIANTS –3.0
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CAROLINA GIVES UP THEIR 8-0 HOME RECORD, AND TRAVEL ON THE ROAD TO NEW YORK WITH A 3-3 ROAD RECORD. THOSE 3 ROAD WINS WERE AGAINST TEAMS WITH LOSING RECORDS. THEIR 3 LOSSES ON THE ROAD WERE TO ATLANTA , TAMPA BAY, AND MINNESOTA FOR A COMBINED SCORE OF 92-41.IN ADDITION, THE GIANTS WERE WITHOUT RB JACOBS VS DALLAS LAST WEEK, AND THE LATEST NEWS IS THAT JACOBS WILL PLAY ON SUNDAY. EXPECT BOTH TEAMS TO BE CONSERVATIVE, AND RUN THE FOOTBALL PLENTY. GIANTS HAVE THE BETTER DEFENSE, AND THE WEATHER MAY FOIL THE PANTHER’S PASSING GAME.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
CAROLINA 12
NEW YORK GIANTS 17
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MONEYLINE: NY GIANTS
ATS: NY GIANTS –3.0
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 37.5 ( LIKE THE UNDER PLAY HERE)
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GREEN BAY 41.0 AT CHICAGO –4.0
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HOLD THE PHONE !. SUNDAY’S RESULT’S WILL DICTATE MY MONDAY NIGHT’S PLAY. EVERYTHING ON SUNDAY DEPENDS ON THE OUTCOME OF THE MINNESOTA VS ATLANTA GAME. IF THE VIKES WIN, THE BEARS SEASON IS OVER, AND NOTHING TO PLAY FOR. IF THE VIKES LOSE, CHICAGO WILL REMAIN A PLAYOFF CANDIDATE, HOWEVER, COMES MONDAY NIGHT, THEY WILL BE IN A MUST WIN SITUATION.I WILL POST MY THREAD ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.
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GOOD LUCK TO ALL. THE WAY I FIGURE WEEK #16, EXPECT MANY UPSETS, OR THE DOGS TO COVER THE SPREAD. WEATHER WILL MAKE A DIFFERENCE AND PRODUCE MANY LOW SCORING GAMES.
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BROOKLYNWORM
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THIS IS THE LAST HOME GAME AT TEXAS STADIUM. THIS WILL BE AN EMOTIONAL NIGHT FOR THE FANS (12<SUP>TH</SUP> FAN AND NATIONAL TV COVERAGE)AND THE PLAYERS, DALLAS HAS WON 11 CONSECUTIVE NIGHT GAMES, AND THEYARE PLAYING WITH SUPER CONFIDENCE. A MUST WIN SITUATION FOR THE COWBOYS WILL HAVE THE ADVANTAGE AT HOME, AND WILL PUT ROOKIE , INEXPERIENCED, RAVEN QB JOE FLACCO IN AN EXTREAM PRESSURE SITUATION ON THE ROAD. THE ONLY QUESTION IS HOW DALLAS QB ROMO RESPONDS TO THAT BACK INJURY HE SUFFERED VS THE GIANTS LAST WEEK.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
BALTIMORE 16
DALLAS 21
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MONEY LINE: DALLAS
ATS: DALLAS –4.0
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 39.5
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MIAMI 38.5 AT KANSAS CITY +3.5
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HERE’S A SLEEPER. KC AT HOME IS GETTING +3.5 PTS ?. 61% OF THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ON THE DOLPHINS. THIS IS KC LAST HOME GAME OF THE SEASON, WHICH WILL MAKE THEM PLAY EXTRA HARD. THE CHIEFS HAVE PLAYED COMPETITIVE FOOTBALL, BUT THEY ARE YOUNG AND FIGURE ON WAYS BY THE 4<SUP>TH</SUP> QUARTER TO SELF DESTRUCT. THE GAME TIME WEATHER SHOULD BE 2 DEGREES, WITH THE WIND BLOWING AT 18 MILES PER HOUR. KC IS 13-6 ATS IN THE MONTH OF DECEMBER, THEY ARE 10-3 ATS FINAL HOME GAME. THE DOLPHINS MAYBE THINKING AHEAD TO THEIR BIG DIVISIONAL RIVAL GAME AGAINST THE JETS NEXT WEEK, AND MAY NOT BE FOCUSED ON THIS ONE. BESIDES MIAMI STRUGGLES TO JUST BEAT THEIR OPPONENTS AT HOME. THIS GAME IN COLD WEATHER WILL HINDER MIAMI’S PERFORMANCE.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
MIAMI 16
KANSAS CITY 17
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MONEY LINE: KANSAS CITY
ATS: KANSAS CITY (BEST BET- ATS, AND PLAY IN 10 PT TEASER)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 38.5
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NEW ORLEANS 50.5 AT DETROIT +7.0
DETROIT MAY RID THEIR LONG LOSING STREAK. I KNOW THE MEDIA, AND SOME PROFESSIONAL TOUTS SAY THIS EVERY WEEK, AND PREDICT A LION UPSET. WELL, THIS IS MY CHANCE TO RING IN AND STATE THAT WEEK #16 WILL END DETROIT’S LOSING STREAK.HERE’S MY REASONS. SAINTS PLAY AWAY, NOT AS EXPLOSIVE AS THEY ARE AT HOME . SAINTS ARE OUT OF THE PLAYOFFS, NOTHING TO PLAY FOR, DETROIT WAS PLAYED BETTER EACH WEEK AND HAVE BEEN COMPETITIVE. THEY COME UP SHORT SIMPLY BECAUSE THEY CAN’T PUT THEIR OPPONENTS AWAY. WELL, WATCH THE LIONS PLAY EVEN HARDER IN THIS CONTEST, AND GO OVER THE TOP AND UPSET THE SAINTS.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
NEW ORLEANS 23
DETROIT 24
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MONEYLINE: DETROIT
ATS: DETROIT +7.0 (BEST BET TAKE THE SEVEN AN TEASE/SHADE IT)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 50.5
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CINCINNATI 32.5 AT CLEVELAND –3.0
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IS THIS A TRAP LINE?. HOW CAN THE BROWNS BE FAVORITE ESPECIALLY THE WAY THEY HAVE PLAYED?. 54 % OF THE PUBLIC LIKE THE BENGALS, AND I TOO LOVE THE BENGALS IN THIS SPOT. SIMPLE REASONING. THE BENGALS HAVE SHOWED ME A LOT LAST WEEK WHEN THEY BEAT THE REDSKINS AND KNOCKED THEM OUT OF THE PLAYOFFS. THE RECENT TIE WITH PHILADELPHIA WAS WELL FOUGHT AS THE UNDERDOG. WHAT I AM TRYING TO STATE IS THAT CINCINNATI IS HAS BEEN PLAYING WITH PRIDE, INITIATIVE, AND DETERMINATION THESE PAST 3 WEEKS. CLEVELAND IS THE COMPLETE OPPOSITE IN RECENT WEEKS, AND THEIR LACK OF MOTIVATION WAS SEEN ON NATIONAL TV WHEN THEY WERE TRUMPED BY PHILADELPHIA. TEAMS COMING OFF LOSSES OF 17 PLUS POINTS OR MORE AFTER A MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME ARE 15-27 ATS.
AGAIN, AS GOOD AS IT LOOKS, BEWARE THE TRAP.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
CINCINNATI 15
CLEVELAND 13
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MONEY LINE: CINCINNATI
ATS: CINCINNATI +3.0 (BEST BET-BACK UP WITH A TEASER PLAY)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 32.5
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SAN DIEGO 42.5 AT TAMPA BAY –3.5
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TAMPA BAY’S DEFENSE WILL STOP SAN DIEGO’S OFFENSE. HERE’S WHY THE BUC’S WILL DEFEAT THE CHARGERS. TAMPA BAY HAS THE BETTER HEAD COACH, THEY PLAY MORE CONSISTENT, AND THEY PLAY BETTER AT HOME. SAN DIEGO PLAYS A 1PM GAME ON THE EAST COAST. TEAMS TRAVELING FROM THE WEST COAST, TO PLAY AN EARLY START ON THE EAST COAST ALWAYS STRUGGLE. HEAD COACH NORV TURNER SINCE HE HAS BEEN WITH SAN DIEGO IS 0-3 ATS. ALSO NORV IS 1-5 ATS ON HIS SECOND CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAME. TAMPA’S HOME RECORD ATS SINCE 2007 IS 10-5. SD WILL NOT BE ABLE TO WATCH THE SCOREBOARD FOR DENVER, SINCE IT IS A 4:05 PM START EST.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
SAN DIEGO 13
TAMPA BAY 20
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MONEY LINE: TAMPA BAY
ATS: TAMPA BAY –3.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 42.5
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SAN FRANCISCO 43.5 AT ST LOUIS +5.5
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WHY IS SF –5.5 FAVS ON THE ROAD WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FRANK GORE BEING OUT WITH THAT SORE ANKLE. YOU NEED TO FIND OUT ON GAME DAY IF GORE WILL PLAY. IF NOT, THIS FACTORS MORE IN FAVOR OF THE RAMS COVERING THE SPREAD. STL HAS STEVEN JACKSON IN THE LINEUP, AND THE RAMS PLAY BETTER WITH HIM IN THE LINEUP. ALTHOUGH SF HAS BEEN A BETTER TEAM UNDER THEIR NEW HEAD COACH, THEY PLAY THIS CONTEST AWAY. IF STL DOESN’T TURNOVER THE BALL LIKE THEY HAVE BEEN THIS ENTIRE SEASON, THEY HAVE A SHOT TO WIN THIS GAME. OVERALL, THE RAMS HAVE A BETTER CORE OF PLAYERS OFFENSIVELY. THIS GAME WILL BE CLOSE, AND COULD GO EITHER WAY.
I SAY NO BET ON THIS TURKEY.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
SAN FRANCISCO 23
ST LOUIS 20
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MONEY LINE: SAN FRANCISCO (IF GORE PLAYS)
ATS: ST LOUIS +5.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.5
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PITTSBURGH 34.5 AT TENNESSEE +1.0
ANOTHER TRAP LINE?. THE TITANS ARE ONLY GETTING ONE POINT WITH DE KYLE VANDEN BOSCH, AND DT ALBERT HAYNESWORTH OUT?.FORGET ABOUT POINT SPREADS FOR A SECOND. WITHOUT THE BACKBONE OF TWO OF THEIR LEADERS ON DEFENSE, HOW CAN THEY EXPECT TO EVEN WIN?.
TENNESSEE IS SHORTHANDED WITH BIG INJURIES ON DEFENSE, PITTSBURGH IS RELATIVELY HEALTHY ON DEFENSE, AND THEY ARE A TOUGHER UNIT. PITTSBURGH DEFENSE HAS BEEN CAUSING THEIR OPPONENTS HAVOC. THE STEELERS CREATE CONFUSION, FORCE MISTAKES, AND CAPITALIZE ON TURNOVERS. THIS WILL BE THE DIFFERENCE IN THIS GAME. BEWARE, 64% OF THE MONEY IS ON THE STEELERS ONLY LAYING –1 PT ?.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
PITTSBURGH 20
TENNESSEE 17
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MONEY LINE: PITTSBURGH
ATS: PITTSBURGH –1.0 ( BEST BET-BUT BEWARE OF TRAP)
OVER/UNDER: OVER 34.5
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ARIZONA 45.0 AT NEW ENGLAND –9.0
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THE WAY THE CARDS PLAYED LAST WEEK AT HOME, TELLS YOU ALL YOU HAVE TO KNOW ABOUT THIS TEAM. THE TEAM KNOWS THEY ARE IN THE PLAYOFFS, AND THE PLAYERS ARE TRYING TO AVOID INJURIES, AND JUST PLAY OUT THE REGULAR SEASON WITHOUT ANY SERIOUS EFFORT. AS OF SATURDAY AFTERNOON, IT’S SNOWING VERY HARD IN NEW ENGLAND, AND IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL CONTINUE INTO GAME DAY. THERE IS ABOUT 8 TO 12 INCHES ACCUMULATED, AND IT IS COLD. ARIZONA DOESN’T HAVE A RUNNING GAME PERIOD. NOW THAT HAVE NO RUNNING GAME WHEN THE PLAYING CONDITIONS CALL FOR IT. NEW ENGLAND IS IN A MUST WINN SITUATION, AND CANT AFFORD TO LOSE EITHER OF THEIR LAST TWO GAMES. THE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH THE WIND AND COLD WILL DEFLATE THE CARDINAL PASSING GAME. QB WARNER WILL NOT BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE OUTSIDE ELEMENTS, AND I EXPECT AT LEAST 3-4 ARIZONA TURNOVERS. ALSO, THE CARDS HAVEN’T SHOWN ME THAT THEY CAN WIN A BIG GAME ON THE ROAD.LOOKS LIKE THE CARDS WILL MAIL ANOTHER GAME IN.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
ARIZONA 17
NEW ENGLAND 27
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MONEY LINE: NEW ENGLAND
ATS: NEW ENGLAND –9.0 ( TEASE THE LINE DOWN, EASY WIN)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 45.0
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HOUSTON 44.0 AT OAKLAND +7.0
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I SEE A MEANINGLESS GAME, THAT HAS SOME MEANING. LET’S FACE IT, OAKLAND IS PLAIN OUT TERRIBLE. EARLIER IN THE SEASON, THEIR OFFENSE STRUGGLED. IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE SEASON, BOTH THE OFFENSE, AND DEFENSE ARE DEAD. SO YOU HAVE A STRUGGLING RAIDER TEAM VS A RED HOT TEXAN TEAM THAT IS PSYCHED UP AND READY TO ROLL. THE RAIDERS ARE LEARNING HOW TO ROLL OVER AND PLAY DEAD. THE TEXANS WANT TO FINISH WITH AN ABOVE .500 RECORD, FOR THE FIRST TIME IN FRANCHISE HISTORY. I CALLED THE TEXAN UPSET LAST WEEK VS TENNESSEE. HOUSTON WENT ALL OUT, AND PLAYED THAT GAME LIKE A PLAYOFF CONTEST. NOW THAT THEY GOT OVER THEIR TOUGHEST HUMP, THERE WILL BE NO LET DOWN WITH THE RAIDERS. THE PLAYERS WILL BE MOTIVATED, AND THEIR GOAL IS CLEAR TO WIN OUT THE REST OF THE SEASON.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
HOUSTON 24
OAKLAND 13
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MONEY LINE: HOUSTON
ATS: HOUSTON –7.0 (BEST BET)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.0
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NEW YORK JETS 43.0 AT SEATTLE +3.5
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UPSET SPECIAL, MY BEST BET PLAY. THE JETS HAVE BEEN PLAYING LOUSY FOOTBALL SINCE THEIR UPSET OVER THE TITANS WEEKS AGO. THE JETS ON PAPER MAY HAVE THE EDGE WITH THEIR QB AND OFFENSIVE LINE, HOWVER, CONSIDER THESE INTANGIBLES. THIS IS A BIG EMOTIONAL GAME FOR SEATTLE’S HEAD COACH HOLMGREN. THIS WILL BE HIS LAST HOME GAME AS A SEAHAWK HEAD COACH, AND I EXPECT HIS PLAYERS TO STEP IT UP A NOTCH,ESPECIALLY WITH THE SUPPORT OF THEIR HOME CROWD. SEATTLE IS A TOUGH PLACE TO PLAY IF YOU ARE THE VISITOR. MOST EAST COAST TEAMS WHEN THEY PLAY ON THE WEST COAST STRUGGLE. IN THIS CASE, HEAD COACH MANGINI IS 0-3 ATS WHEN COACHING JETS ON THE WEST COAST AGAINST THE SPREAD. BESIDES 67% OF THE MONEY IS ON THE JETS. JETS LOST OUTRIGHT VS 6-8 SD, 5-9 SF, 3-11 RAIDERS, ALL ON THE WEST COAST. FARVE STATS DOESN’T PLAY WELL ON THE ROAD, AS WELL AS THE JET OFFENSIVE LINE. JETS WILL BE LOOKING AHEAD TO MIAMI NEXT WEEK.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
NEW YORK JETS 20
SEATTLE 21
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MONEY LINE: SEATTLE
ATS: SEATTLE +3.5 (THIS IS MY BEST BET 5 STAR PLAY)
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.0
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BUFFALO 45.0 AT DENVER –6.0
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IF SAN DIEGO LOSSES EARLIER (1PM START EST) AT TAMPA BAY, WHICH I AM PREDICTING, DENVER WON’T HAVE ANYTHING TO PLAY FOR. EVEN IF THE CHARGERS WIN, THEY PROBABLY WON’T BE MENTALLY FOCUSED FOR THE 6-8 BUFFAL BILLS. DENVER QB CUTLER AND HIS WIDE RECEIVERS VS BUFFALO’S RUNNING GAME. DENVER IS 0-7 ATS WHEN FAVORITE BY 3.5 POINTS OR MORE. BUFFALO IS 16-11 ATS AS DOGS UNDER HEAD COACH DICK JAURON.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
BUFFALO 20
DENVER 23
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MONEY LINE: DENVER (IF SAN DIEGO LOSSES, BILLS WILL UPSET)
ATS: BUFFALO +6.0
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 45.0
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ATLANTA 43.0 AT MINNESOTA –3.5
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THIS IS A TOUGH GAME TO FIGURE.MINNESOTA DOESN’T NEED TO WIN THIS GAME. ALL THEY NEED IS A SINGLE VICTORY OR JUST ONE BEARS LOSS. THE FALCONS NEED THIS GAME A LITTLE MORE.THE KEY HERE IS THE ABSENCE OF DEFENSIVE LINEMAN PAT WILLIAMS. HE IS THE HEART AND SOLE OF THE VIKING #2 DEFENSE VS THE RUSH. THIS WILL ALLOW ATLANTA’S MICHAEL TURNER RUNNING ROOM. THE VIKES WILL COUNTER WITH THEIR LEADING NFL RUSHER PETERSON , VS THE FALCON SUSPECT DEFENSIVE LINE. IF THE RUNNING GAMES FOR BOTH SIDES BECOMES A WASH. THEN LOOK AT THE BETTER PASSING TEAM, AND DEFENSIVE SECONDARY. ATLANTA’S QB MATT RYAN IS THE OBVIOUS CHOICE VS MINNESOTA’S INEPT SECONDARY. THE VIKINGS JACKSON WILL HAVE TROUBLE PASSING ON ONE OF THE BETTER SECONDARIES IN THE NFL. THE BETTING IS ALMOST EVEN, ATLANTA 52%, AND MINNESOTA AT 48%.I WOULDN’T BET THIS GAME, BUT IS WOULD TAKE THE FALCONS AND THE POINTS.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
ATLANTA 20
MINNESOTA 17
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MONEY LINE: ATLANTA
ATS: ATLANTA +3.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.0
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PHILADELPHIA 38.5 AT WASHINGTON +4.5
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THE SKINS DID THEMSELVES IN LAST WEEK IN CINCINNATI. THE REDSKINS ARE FINISHED, AND THEY NOW FACE A CONFIDENT DONOVAN MC NABB AND A RED HOT EAGLES TEAM.THE PROBLEM IS THAT THE LINE IS FAVORS THE SKINS, HOWEVER, THE PUBLIC’S MONEY (71%) IS ON PHILADELPHIA. I HATE WHEN A TEAM THAT I LIKE ATTRACTS TO MUCH ATTENTION TO THE GENERAL PUBLIC. ALTHOUGH THE LINE IS SUSPECT, I WILL NOT PLAY WASHINGTON. EVEN IF 3 OUT OF 4 PEOPLE ARE TAKING THE EAGLES, I AM TAKING THE EAGLES TOO. BOTH TEAMS ARE PLAYING WELL DEFENSIVELY, AND I EXPECT SOMEWHAT OF A LOW SCORING GAME, WITH MC NABB AND WESTBROOK THE DIFFERENCE HERE.THE SKINS ARE STRUGGLING TOO MUCH TO TAKE.TEAMS THAT WIN THEIR GAMES BY 17 POINTS OR MORE ON MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL HAVE DONE WELL VS THE SPREAD THE WEEK FOLLOWING. ANDY REID IS 4-1 ATS AFTER A MONDAY NIGHT WIN PLUS 17 PTS.ANDY REID IS 6-3 ATS IN A DIVISIONAL REVENGE GAME.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
PHILADELPHIA 20
WASHINGTON 13
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MONEY LINE: PHILADELPHIA
ATS: PHILADELPHIA –4.5
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 38.5
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CAROLINA 37.5 AT NEW YORK GIANTS –3.0
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CAROLINA GIVES UP THEIR 8-0 HOME RECORD, AND TRAVEL ON THE ROAD TO NEW YORK WITH A 3-3 ROAD RECORD. THOSE 3 ROAD WINS WERE AGAINST TEAMS WITH LOSING RECORDS. THEIR 3 LOSSES ON THE ROAD WERE TO ATLANTA , TAMPA BAY, AND MINNESOTA FOR A COMBINED SCORE OF 92-41.IN ADDITION, THE GIANTS WERE WITHOUT RB JACOBS VS DALLAS LAST WEEK, AND THE LATEST NEWS IS THAT JACOBS WILL PLAY ON SUNDAY. EXPECT BOTH TEAMS TO BE CONSERVATIVE, AND RUN THE FOOTBALL PLENTY. GIANTS HAVE THE BETTER DEFENSE, AND THE WEATHER MAY FOIL THE PANTHER’S PASSING GAME.
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PREDICTED SCORE:
CAROLINA 12
NEW YORK GIANTS 17
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MONEYLINE: NY GIANTS
ATS: NY GIANTS –3.0
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 37.5 ( LIKE THE UNDER PLAY HERE)
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GREEN BAY 41.0 AT CHICAGO –4.0
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HOLD THE PHONE !. SUNDAY’S RESULT’S WILL DICTATE MY MONDAY NIGHT’S PLAY. EVERYTHING ON SUNDAY DEPENDS ON THE OUTCOME OF THE MINNESOTA VS ATLANTA GAME. IF THE VIKES WIN, THE BEARS SEASON IS OVER, AND NOTHING TO PLAY FOR. IF THE VIKES LOSE, CHICAGO WILL REMAIN A PLAYOFF CANDIDATE, HOWEVER, COMES MONDAY NIGHT, THEY WILL BE IN A MUST WIN SITUATION.I WILL POST MY THREAD ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.
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GOOD LUCK TO ALL. THE WAY I FIGURE WEEK #16, EXPECT MANY UPSETS, OR THE DOGS TO COVER THE SPREAD. WEATHER WILL MAKE A DIFFERENCE AND PRODUCE MANY LOW SCORING GAMES.
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BROOKLYNWORM
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