CAROLINA AT GREEN BAY (-3.0)
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WEATHER SHOULD BE ABOUT 35 DEGREES AT GAME TIME WIND 15 –25 MPH, AND A 40% CHANCE OF RAIN. CAROLINA CANNOT STOP THE RUN, AND THEIR DEFENSE HAS STRUGGLED AS OF LATE. THE PANTHERS HAVE BEEN HEAVILY PENALIZED DURING THE SEASON. GREEN BAY HAS IT’S ISSUES WITH EXCESSIVE TURNOVERS, AND HAS BEEN HAVING PROBLEMS IN THEIR SECONDARY. THIS MATCHUP LOOKS LIKE A CLOSE GAME, AND THE HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE WEIGHS HEAVILY IN FAVOR OF GB. MUST WIN FOR THE PACKERS .UNLESS CHICAGO AND MINNESOTA TIE ON SUNDAY NIGHT THE PACK WILL BE TWO GAMES BACK FROM A PLAYOFF SPOT.I RATHER NOT WAGER THIS GAME, IT COULD GO EITHER WAY.<o></o>
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CAROLINA 23<o></o>
GREEN BAY 24<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: GREEN BAY<o></o>
ATS: CAROLINA +3.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 41.5<o></o>
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NEW ORLEANS AT TAMPA BAY (-4.0)<o></o>
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THIS IS A DIVISIONAL RIVAL WHERE BOTH TEAMS ARE FAMILIAR WITH THEIR OPPONENTS PLAYBOOKS. THE BUCS HAVE A BETTER DEFENSE THEN THE SAINTS, HOWEVER, TAMPA BAY DOESN’T HAVE THAT EXPLOSIVE OFFENSE LIKE THE SAINTS, AND ONLY HAVE A MEDIOCRE RUNNING GAME. THE SAINTS DREW BREES IS ON FIRE HOT AT QB. RECALL WEEK #1 WHEN BREES BURNT THE BUC SECONDARY FOR 3 TOUCHDOWNS. THE SAINTS ON DEFENSE WILL TRY TO NEUTRALIZE THE BUC OFFENSE BY PLAYING 8 IN THE BOX, TRYING TO CREATE 3<SUP>RD</SUP> AND LONG SITUATIONS, FORCING TAMPA BAY TO PASS. IF THE SAINTS ARE SUCCESSFUL THEY WILL WIN, SAINTS ON OFFENSE WILL USE THE PASS TO SET UP THE RUN. SAINTS MUST WIN OR THEY WILL BE OUT OF THE PLAYOFFS. 55 % OF THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ON THE SAINTS.<o></o>
I SAY GO WITH THE HOT HAND AND PLAY BREES AND THE SAINTS. I THINK TAMPA BAY IS OVERRATTED, AND NOT PLAYING THAT WELL OF LATE.<o></o>
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NEW ORLEANS 24<o></o>
TAMPA BAY 23<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: NEW ORLEANS<o></o>
ATS: NEW ORLEANS +4.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 46.0<o></o>
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NY GIANTS AT WASHINGTON (+3.5)<o></o>
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73% OF THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ON THE GIANTS, AND THAT SCARES ME. I HATE THE REDSKINS, AND AFTER DOING MY HOMEWORK, AGAINST MY BETTER JUDGEMENT I AM STILL STICKING WITH THE G-MEN. BOTH TEAMS HAVE SOLID RUSH OFFENSES, AND ARE BOTH SOLID IN THE TRENCHES STOPPING THE RUN. SO THE ADVANTAGE OR THE EDGE IS A TOSS UP. HOWEVER, IF THE GIANTS STOP PORTIS(ONLY ALLOWED ONE 60 YARD PLUS RUSHING GAME SINCE WEEK #8), THE SKINS OFFENSE IS NON EXISTENT. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GIANTS HAVE MANNING, AND AN EXCELLENT CORP OF RECEIVERS TO MOVE THE FOOTBALL. UNDER PRESSURE SITUATIONS I WOULD PICK MANNING OVER CAMPBELL AT QB. WASHINGTON HAS BEEN PLAYING SLOPPY FOOTBALL OF LATE, AND THE GIANTS ARE A GREAT ROAD TEAM. THE REDSKINS LAST COVERED A SPREAD BACK ON OCTOBER 5, 2008.THE ONLY X FACTOR I CAN USE AGAINST THE GIANTS IS THAT THEY PLAYED AN EMOTIONAL, PHYSICAL GAME LAST WEEK IN ARIZONA, AND MAY COME OUT FLAT. THEN AGAIN THIS IS A HATED DIVISIONAL GAME.<o></o>
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NY GIANTS 24<o></o>
WASHINGTON 17<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: NY GIANTS<o></o>
ATS: NY GIANTS –3.5<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: PUSH<o></o>
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INDIANAPOLIS AT CLEVELAND (+4.5)<o></o>
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THIS LOOKS LIKE A TRAP, BUT THERE IS NO WAY I WILL PLUNK ANY MONEY ON THE BROWNS IN THIS CONTEST. THE COLTS WENT FROM A MEDIOCRE OVERRATTED TEAM IN THE FIRST HALF, TO ONE OF THE HOTTEST TEAMS IN THE NFL. MANNING IS RETURNING TO PRO BOWL FORM, WR MARVIN HARRISON HAS 15 CATCHES IN THE LAST TWO GAMES. THE OFFENSE IS AVERAGING 26.7 POINTS PPG IN THE LAST 3. LASTLY, THEIR DEFENSE IS PLAYING BETTER. MANNING VS CLEVELAND’S 23 RD RANKED PASS DEFENSE. ADDAI VS CLEVELAND’S 27<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE. CLEVELAND DEFENSE OVERALL IS AWFUL, THE WEATHER WILL BE NO FACTOR, AND FINALLY THE COLTS NEED TO WIN THIS GAME SO THAT THEY DON’T GET KNOCKED OUT OF THE PLAYOFF PICTURE.<o></o>
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INDIANAPOLIS 27<o></o>
CLEVELAND 20<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: INDIANAPOLIS<o></o>
ATS: INDIANAPOLIS –4.5 (BEWARE OF TRAP 81% $ ON COLTS)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 44.5<o></o>
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DENVER AT NY JETS (-9.0)<o></o>
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WOW, LINE JUMPED FROM –7 TO –9 JETS AS FAVS, AND YET ONLY 57% OF THE MONEY IS FOLLOWING THE JETS?. THIS COULD BE A TRAP LINE, AND VEGAS WANTS YOU TO TAKE THE BRONCOS WITH THE POINTS. JETS MAY BE FLAT AFTER KNOCKING OFF THE UNDEFEATED TITANS LAST WEEK, AND BEATING A DIVISON RIVAL THE WEEK BEFORE THAT. AGAIN, I HAVE TROUBLE TRYING TO GET MYSELF TO TAKE THE 9 PTS WITH DENVER AND BE HAPPY. JETS ARE THE BETTER TEAM, AND THEY MAY NOT COVER, BUT SURE CAN WIN THE GAME. HERE IS WHY YOU MUST CONSIDER THE NY JETS. #1 BRETT FARVE PRESENCE/LEADERSHIP ON THE FIELD, #2 JETS AS A TEAM AS A WHOLE ARE PLAYING GREAT FOOTBALL, #3 JETS HAVE A BETTER RUNNING GAME WITH THE ONE –TWO PUNCH OF JONES AND WASHINGTON. DENVER IS DOWN TO THEIR 3<SUP>RD</SUP> STRING RUNNING BACKS, DENVER TRAVELS EAST FOR AN EARLY EAST COAST START, #4 DENVER’S DEFENSE HIS HORRID RANKS 29<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND 30<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS ON DEFENSE. DENVER ON THE OTHER HAND HAS QB JAY CUTLER THAT HAS BEEN INCONSISTENT ALL SEASON, BUT HAS THE ARM TO BURY THE NY JETS WEAK SECONDARY , AND FIND TIME IN THE POCKET TO PASS AGAINST A SUSPECT JET PASS RUSH.KEEP THIS IN MIND, THE LAST 5 GAMES, THE JETS ARE THE #1 RANKED OFFENSE IN THE NFL, AND RANKED 7<SUP>TH</SUP> ON DEFENSE. THE DEFENSE IMPROVED FROM 15<SUP>TH</SUP> TO 7<SUP>TH</SUP> IN THE LAST 5 GAMES.DENVER HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 5 ON OFFENSE FROM 22<SUP>ND</SUP> TO 26<SUP>TH</SUP>, AND THEIR DEFENSE THROUGHOUT THE SEASON RANKS 29<SUP>TH</SUP>.<o></o>
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DENVER 17<o></o>
NY JETS 30<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: NY JETS<o></o>
ATS: NY JETS –9.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER TOTAL: OVER 48.5<o></o>
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MIAMI AT ST LOUIS (+9.0)<o></o>
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I DON’T UNDERSTAND HOW THE BOOKS CAN MAKE THE DOLPHINS A 9 POINT FAVORITE ON THE ROAD. HOW DOES MIAMI MERIT SUCH RESPECT ON THE ROAD?. MY GUESS IS THAT THE RAMS ARE ONCE AGAIN PLAYING BAD FOOTBALL, AND MAY NOT HAVE THE THEIR KEY OFFENSIVE PLAYER IN THE LINEUP STEVEN JACKSON WHO IS QUESTIONABLE.(CHECK INJURY STATUS ON SUNDAY IF HE IS OUT). EVEN WITH OR WITHOUT STEVE JACKSON, ST LOUIS IS A BOTTOM DWELLER IN THE PAST 5 GAMES. ST LOUIS HAS DROPPED OFFENSIVELY FROM 31<SUP>ST</SUP> TO 32<SUP>ND</SUP>, AND FELL FROM 30<SUP>TH</SUP> TO 31<SUP>ST</SUP> DEFENSIVELY. MEANWHILE, THE DOLPHINS IMPROVED BOTH OFFENSIVELY, AND DEFENSIVELY SINCE THE START OF THE SEASON BUT ARE ONLY A MEDIOCRE, MIDDLE OF THE ROAD TEAM IN A PLAYOFF HUNT.AFTER BEING HUMILIATED AT HOME AND LOSING TO THE PATRIOTS 48 28, THEY SHOULD HAVE MORE SUCCESS VS A TEAM WITHOUT A LOT LESS FIRE POWER. IN ADDITION, THE RAMS PLAY SOFT, AND ARE’NY PHYSICAL ENOUGH,AND MIAMI HAS A HUGE ADVANTAGE AT THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE. WATCH MIAMI RB RONNIE BROWN GO OVER 100 YARDS RUSHING VS THE 30<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE. IN THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER THE ST LOUIS DEFENSE HAS ALLOWED AN AVERAGE OF 35.8 PPG.<o></o>
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MIAMI 29<o></o>
ST LOUIS 17<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: MIAMI<o></o>
ATS: MIAMI –9.0 ( I CANT TAKE STL THEY ARE BAD)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 44.0<o></o>
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BALTIMORE AT CINCINNATI ( +7.0)<o></o>
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THE BIG DIFFERENCE THAT I SEE IN THE RAVENS IN THE LAST FIVE GAMES IS THEIR OFFENSIVE PLAY. THE RAVENS HAVE IMPROVED FROM BEING 11<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED , TO 3<SUP>RD</SUP> RANKED. WHEN IS THE LAST TIME YOU HAVE EVER SEEN BALTIMORE MAKE SUCH A SURGE ON OFFENSE?. THEIR DEFENSE REMAINS SOLID, AND RANKS 5<SUP>TH</SUP> OVERALL IN THE NFL. THE RAVENS ARE A MORE PHYSICAL TEAM THEN THE BENGALS. THE PROBLEM WITH THE BENGALS IS THAT THEIR DEFENSE STAYS ON THE FIELD TOO LONG, AND TIRES IN THE 4<SUP>TH</SUP> QUARTER.THE RAVEN FRONT 7 SHOULD DOMINATE THE BENGAL RUNNING ATTACK. WHEN THEY LAST FACED EACH OTHER THE BENGALS ONLY MANAGED 2.9 YPG, WHILE THE RAVEN BACKS RUSHED FOR 5.0 YPG. THE BENGALS HAVE NO PASS RUSH.WE ALL KNOW HOW BAD THE PITTSBURGH OFFENSIVE LINE IS ALLOWING SACKS. WELL THE BENGALS PLAYED THEM TWICE THIS SEASON AND RECORDED ZERO,ZIP,0, SACKS.<o></o>
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BALTIMORE 27<o></o>
CINCINNATI 17<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: BALTIMORE<o></o>
ATS: BALTIMORE –7.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 35.5<o></o>
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SAN FRANCISCO AT BUFFALO (-7.0)<o></o>
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BUFFALO HASN’T BEEN PLAYING GOOD FOOTBALL OF LATE TO MERIT TO BE A –7 PT FAVORITE. BILLS QB EDWARDS HAS BEEN SLUMPING, AND IF SF SHUTS DOWN THE BILLS RUNNING GAME EDWARDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE. THIS IS A STRONG POSSIBILITY SINCE THE 49ERS RANK 9<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE. SF HAS FRANK GORE TO ATTACK THE BILLS ON THE GROUND AND CONTROL THE CLOCK. THE BILLS HAVE A MEAGER PASS RUSH, AND THEIR SECONDARY IS BANGED UP. ALTHOUGH THE BILLS ARE AT HOME, AND THE WEATHER MIGHT BECOME A FACTOR. THERE ARE TOO MANY NEGATIVES FOR ME TO TAKE BUFFALO.IN CONCLUSION, NEW HEAD COACH MIKE SINGLETARY IS MAKING HIS TEAM A TOUGHER UNIT.<o></o>
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SAN FRANCISCO 23<o></o>
BUFFALO 20<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: SAN FRANCISCO<o></o>
ATS: SAN FRANCISCO +7.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.0<o></o>
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ATLANTA AT SAN DIEGO (-4.5)<o></o>
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THIS CAN TURN INTO A HIGH SCORING GAME.BOTH SIDES HAVE THE FIREPOWER ON OFFENSE. HOWEVER, SAN DIEGO HAS REALLY DROPPED OFFENSIVELY IN POINTS SCORED. IN THE FIRST HALF RANKED 7<SUP>TH</SUP>, AND IN THE LAST 5, RANK ONLY 24<SUP>TH</SUP>. SD FELL DOWN 17 SPOTS. ATLANTA RANKS 8<SUP>TH</SUP> OFFENSIVELY , AND THEIR ISSUES WILL BE WITH THEIR DEFENSE. THE FALCONS MAY HAVE TROUBLE DEFENDING THE PASS FROM THEIR SAFETY POSITION. ON TOP OF THAT, THEY RANK 26<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN AND THEY FACE RB TOMLINSON.SAN DIEGO IS SHOWING AN IMPROVED DEFENSE, THE CHARGERS ARE AT HOME, AND IT IS DUE OR DIE FOR SAN DIEGO. IF THEY LOSE AND FALL TO 4-8, THEY CAN FORGET THE PLAYOFFS.<o></o>
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ATLANTA 23<o></o>
SAN DIEGO 30<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: SAN DIEGO<o></o>
ATS: SAN DIEGO –4.5<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 48.0 (BEST BET)<o></o>
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PITTSBURGH AT NEW ENGLAND (-1.0)<o></o>
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IN THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER, THE PATRIOTS REALLY IMPRESSED ME WIN OR LOSE. THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING INJURED IN KEY POSITIONS, AND THE SUBSTITUTE PLAYERS THEY INSERT JUST PICK UP THE PACE. IN ADDITION QB CASSEL’S PERFORMANCE IN MIAMI LAST WEEK WAS OUTSTANDING. I BELIEVE THAT CASSEL HAS NOW GAINED THE EXPERIENCE, LEADERSHIP, AND CONFIDENCE THAT IS NEEDED TO BE A SUCCESSFUL NFL QUARTERBACK.THIS WILL BE ONE PHYSICAL AFC CONFERENCE GAME, ALMOST A PLAYOFF TYPE OF ATMOSPHERE. THE STEELERS NEED TO MAKE A STATEMENT. THE STEELERS DEFENSE IS THEIR SIGNATURE, AND THEIR MIND SET IS BLITZ, AND BLITZ AGAIN. IN THE LAST 5 GAMES THEY ALLOWED THEIR OPPONENT ONLY 14.2 PPG. THE PROBLEM WITH PITTSBURGH IS THEIR OFFENSIVE LINE. THEY NEED TO PROTECT QB ROETHLISBERGER, IF THEY EXPECT TO WIN THIS GAME. YOU BETTER BELIEVE THAT NE HEAD COACH BILL BELICHICK HAS SCHEMED UP A BLITZ PACKAGE TO HURRY AND PRESSURE ROETHLISBERGER TO ENTIRE GAME. THE STEELERS CANNOT GENERATE ENOUGH OFFENSIVE FIREPOWER IN THIS MATCHUP, AND ON OFFENSE ARE ONLY AVERAGING 19.0 PPG IN THEIR LAST 5.ONE FACT THAT I AM STANDING BY IS THAT PITTSBURGH HASN’T BEEN CONSISTENT ALL SEASON, AND THEIR LAST IMPRESSIVE WIN DATES BACK TO OCTOBER 19, 2008 DEFEATING WASHINGTON 23-6. THAT’S OVER 6 WEEKS AGO?.THE PATRIOTS PLAY SO MUCH BETTER FOOTBALL AT HOME, AND GET ONLY STRONGER AS THE CROWD GETS STRONGER. <o></o>
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PITTSBURGH 17<o></o>
NEW ENGLAND 20<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: NEW ENGLAND<o></o>
ATS: NEW ENGLAND –1.0 (BEST BET)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 39.5<o></o>
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KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND (-3.0)<o></o>
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BOTTOM LINE IS THIS. KC RANKS 32<SUP>ND</SUP> LAST IN THE NFL VS THE RUN. OAKLAND’S ATTACK IS RUNNING THE BALL WITH VARGAS, AND ROTATING THEIR BACKS. THE RAIDERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO EXPLOIT THE CHIEFS FRONT SEVEN. KC CANNOT STACK 8 IN THE BOX TO STOP THE RUN, SINCE THEY RANK 29<SUP>TH</SUP> ON PASS DEFENSE, AND ONLY HAVE 6 SACKS. SINCE KC HAS FOUND A QB THIGPEN, THEIR OFFENSIVE INPUT WENT FROM 27<SUP>TH</SUP> TO 14<SUP>TH</SUP> IN POINTS SCORED IN THEIR LAST 5. IN ADDITION, RB LARRY JOHNSON SHOULD BE BACK IN THE LINEUP. OAKLAND IS 0-6 AS FAVORITES ATS SINCE 2006. I EXPECT A HIGH SCORING GAME.<o></o>
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KANSAS CITY 23<o></o>
OAKLAND 24<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: OAKLAND<o></o>
ATS: KANSAS CITY +3.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 41.5<o></o>
CHICAGO AT MINNESOTA (-3.5)<o></o>
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TEAMS ARE ABOUT EVEN IN THEIR MATCHUPS, EXCEPT THAT MINN RB ADRIAN PETERSON MAKES THE DIFFERENCE. THIS IS CHICAGO’S 3<SUP>RD</SUP> CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAME.THE BEARS JUST LOST CB VASHER OUT FOR THE SEASON, AND ADDS TO THEIR DEPLETED INJURED RIDDLED SECONDARY. THE VIKES ARE TOUGH AT HOME ONLY LOSS CAME TO THE COLTS IN WEEK #2 AFTER FAILING TO HOLD A 16-0 LEAD.CHICAGO’S QB ORTON IS NOT 100%. THE HOME TEAM IN THIS MATCHUP IS 10-2. IT WILL STILL BE A TOUGH PHYSICAL GAME SINCE THIS IS A HATED DIVISIONAL RIVAL GAME.<o></o>
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CHICAGO 20<o></o>
MINNESOTA 24<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: MINNESOTA (BEST BET)<o></o>
ATS: MINNESOTA –3.5 (BEST BET ONLY IF USED IN A TEASER)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 41.0<o></o>
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I AM NOT TOO THRILLED WITH ALL THESE 3.5 LINES, AND MOST OF THE LINES IN GENERAL. AT THIS POINT OF THE SEASON, YOU HAVE TO CHANGE YOUR MINDSET ON HOW YOU APPROACH EACH GAME. BY NOW YOU KNOW WHO THE CRAP TEAMS ARE, AND WHO IS THE CREAM OF THE CROP. BARING ANYKIND OF LETDOWN, THE TEAM ON PAPER WITH THE BEST STATS IS THE PLAY. GOOD LUCK, AND I WILL HAVE MONDAY’S SELECTION TOMMORROW.<o></o>
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BROOKLYNWORM’S BEST BET PLAYS<o></o>
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MONEY LINE<o></o>
MIAMI<o></o>
INDIANAPOLIS<o></o>
BALTIMORE<o></o>
NEW ENGLAND<o></o>
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AGAINST THE SPREAD<o></o>
NEW ENGLAND –1.0<o></o>
INDIANAPOLIS –4.5<o></o>
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7 PT TEASER PLAY<o></o>
BALTIMORE EVEN<o></o>
NEW ENGLAND +6.0<o></o>
INDIANAPOLIS + 2.5<o></o>
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10 PT TEASER PLAY<o></o>
MIAMI +1.0<o></o>
MINNESOTA +6.5<o></o>
NEW ENGLAND +9.0<o></o>
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GOOD LUCK TO ALL<o></o>
BROOKLYNWORM<o></o>
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>WEATHER SHOULD BE ABOUT 35 DEGREES AT GAME TIME WIND 15 –25 MPH, AND A 40% CHANCE OF RAIN. CAROLINA CANNOT STOP THE RUN, AND THEIR DEFENSE HAS STRUGGLED AS OF LATE. THE PANTHERS HAVE BEEN HEAVILY PENALIZED DURING THE SEASON. GREEN BAY HAS IT’S ISSUES WITH EXCESSIVE TURNOVERS, AND HAS BEEN HAVING PROBLEMS IN THEIR SECONDARY. THIS MATCHUP LOOKS LIKE A CLOSE GAME, AND THE HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE WEIGHS HEAVILY IN FAVOR OF GB. MUST WIN FOR THE PACKERS .UNLESS CHICAGO AND MINNESOTA TIE ON SUNDAY NIGHT THE PACK WILL BE TWO GAMES BACK FROM A PLAYOFF SPOT.I RATHER NOT WAGER THIS GAME, IT COULD GO EITHER WAY.<o
></o><o
></o>CAROLINA 23<o
></o>GREEN BAY 24<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: GREEN BAY<o
></o>ATS: CAROLINA +3.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 41.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>NEW ORLEANS AT TAMPA BAY (-4.0)<o
></o><o
></o>THIS IS A DIVISIONAL RIVAL WHERE BOTH TEAMS ARE FAMILIAR WITH THEIR OPPONENTS PLAYBOOKS. THE BUCS HAVE A BETTER DEFENSE THEN THE SAINTS, HOWEVER, TAMPA BAY DOESN’T HAVE THAT EXPLOSIVE OFFENSE LIKE THE SAINTS, AND ONLY HAVE A MEDIOCRE RUNNING GAME. THE SAINTS DREW BREES IS ON FIRE HOT AT QB. RECALL WEEK #1 WHEN BREES BURNT THE BUC SECONDARY FOR 3 TOUCHDOWNS. THE SAINTS ON DEFENSE WILL TRY TO NEUTRALIZE THE BUC OFFENSE BY PLAYING 8 IN THE BOX, TRYING TO CREATE 3<SUP>RD</SUP> AND LONG SITUATIONS, FORCING TAMPA BAY TO PASS. IF THE SAINTS ARE SUCCESSFUL THEY WILL WIN, SAINTS ON OFFENSE WILL USE THE PASS TO SET UP THE RUN. SAINTS MUST WIN OR THEY WILL BE OUT OF THE PLAYOFFS. 55 % OF THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ON THE SAINTS.<o
></o>I SAY GO WITH THE HOT HAND AND PLAY BREES AND THE SAINTS. I THINK TAMPA BAY IS OVERRATTED, AND NOT PLAYING THAT WELL OF LATE.<o
></o><o
></o>NEW ORLEANS 24<o
></o>TAMPA BAY 23<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: NEW ORLEANS<o
></o>ATS: NEW ORLEANS +4.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 46.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>NY GIANTS AT WASHINGTON (+3.5)<o
></o><o
></o>73% OF THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ON THE GIANTS, AND THAT SCARES ME. I HATE THE REDSKINS, AND AFTER DOING MY HOMEWORK, AGAINST MY BETTER JUDGEMENT I AM STILL STICKING WITH THE G-MEN. BOTH TEAMS HAVE SOLID RUSH OFFENSES, AND ARE BOTH SOLID IN THE TRENCHES STOPPING THE RUN. SO THE ADVANTAGE OR THE EDGE IS A TOSS UP. HOWEVER, IF THE GIANTS STOP PORTIS(ONLY ALLOWED ONE 60 YARD PLUS RUSHING GAME SINCE WEEK #8), THE SKINS OFFENSE IS NON EXISTENT. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GIANTS HAVE MANNING, AND AN EXCELLENT CORP OF RECEIVERS TO MOVE THE FOOTBALL. UNDER PRESSURE SITUATIONS I WOULD PICK MANNING OVER CAMPBELL AT QB. WASHINGTON HAS BEEN PLAYING SLOPPY FOOTBALL OF LATE, AND THE GIANTS ARE A GREAT ROAD TEAM. THE REDSKINS LAST COVERED A SPREAD BACK ON OCTOBER 5, 2008.THE ONLY X FACTOR I CAN USE AGAINST THE GIANTS IS THAT THEY PLAYED AN EMOTIONAL, PHYSICAL GAME LAST WEEK IN ARIZONA, AND MAY COME OUT FLAT. THEN AGAIN THIS IS A HATED DIVISIONAL GAME.<o
></o><o
></o>NY GIANTS 24<o
></o>WASHINGTON 17<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: NY GIANTS<o
></o>ATS: NY GIANTS –3.5<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: PUSH<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>INDIANAPOLIS AT CLEVELAND (+4.5)<o
></o><o
></o>THIS LOOKS LIKE A TRAP, BUT THERE IS NO WAY I WILL PLUNK ANY MONEY ON THE BROWNS IN THIS CONTEST. THE COLTS WENT FROM A MEDIOCRE OVERRATTED TEAM IN THE FIRST HALF, TO ONE OF THE HOTTEST TEAMS IN THE NFL. MANNING IS RETURNING TO PRO BOWL FORM, WR MARVIN HARRISON HAS 15 CATCHES IN THE LAST TWO GAMES. THE OFFENSE IS AVERAGING 26.7 POINTS PPG IN THE LAST 3. LASTLY, THEIR DEFENSE IS PLAYING BETTER. MANNING VS CLEVELAND’S 23 RD RANKED PASS DEFENSE. ADDAI VS CLEVELAND’S 27<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE. CLEVELAND DEFENSE OVERALL IS AWFUL, THE WEATHER WILL BE NO FACTOR, AND FINALLY THE COLTS NEED TO WIN THIS GAME SO THAT THEY DON’T GET KNOCKED OUT OF THE PLAYOFF PICTURE.<o
></o><o
></o>INDIANAPOLIS 27<o
></o>CLEVELAND 20<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: INDIANAPOLIS<o
></o>ATS: INDIANAPOLIS –4.5 (BEWARE OF TRAP 81% $ ON COLTS)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 44.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>DENVER AT NY JETS (-9.0)<o
></o><o
></o>WOW, LINE JUMPED FROM –7 TO –9 JETS AS FAVS, AND YET ONLY 57% OF THE MONEY IS FOLLOWING THE JETS?. THIS COULD BE A TRAP LINE, AND VEGAS WANTS YOU TO TAKE THE BRONCOS WITH THE POINTS. JETS MAY BE FLAT AFTER KNOCKING OFF THE UNDEFEATED TITANS LAST WEEK, AND BEATING A DIVISON RIVAL THE WEEK BEFORE THAT. AGAIN, I HAVE TROUBLE TRYING TO GET MYSELF TO TAKE THE 9 PTS WITH DENVER AND BE HAPPY. JETS ARE THE BETTER TEAM, AND THEY MAY NOT COVER, BUT SURE CAN WIN THE GAME. HERE IS WHY YOU MUST CONSIDER THE NY JETS. #1 BRETT FARVE PRESENCE/LEADERSHIP ON THE FIELD, #2 JETS AS A TEAM AS A WHOLE ARE PLAYING GREAT FOOTBALL, #3 JETS HAVE A BETTER RUNNING GAME WITH THE ONE –TWO PUNCH OF JONES AND WASHINGTON. DENVER IS DOWN TO THEIR 3<SUP>RD</SUP> STRING RUNNING BACKS, DENVER TRAVELS EAST FOR AN EARLY EAST COAST START, #4 DENVER’S DEFENSE HIS HORRID RANKS 29<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND 30<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS ON DEFENSE. DENVER ON THE OTHER HAND HAS QB JAY CUTLER THAT HAS BEEN INCONSISTENT ALL SEASON, BUT HAS THE ARM TO BURY THE NY JETS WEAK SECONDARY , AND FIND TIME IN THE POCKET TO PASS AGAINST A SUSPECT JET PASS RUSH.KEEP THIS IN MIND, THE LAST 5 GAMES, THE JETS ARE THE #1 RANKED OFFENSE IN THE NFL, AND RANKED 7<SUP>TH</SUP> ON DEFENSE. THE DEFENSE IMPROVED FROM 15<SUP>TH</SUP> TO 7<SUP>TH</SUP> IN THE LAST 5 GAMES.DENVER HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 5 ON OFFENSE FROM 22<SUP>ND</SUP> TO 26<SUP>TH</SUP>, AND THEIR DEFENSE THROUGHOUT THE SEASON RANKS 29<SUP>TH</SUP>.<o
></o><o
></o>DENVER 17<o
></o>NY JETS 30<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: NY JETS<o
></o>ATS: NY JETS –9.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER TOTAL: OVER 48.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>MIAMI AT ST LOUIS (+9.0)<o
></o><o
></o>I DON’T UNDERSTAND HOW THE BOOKS CAN MAKE THE DOLPHINS A 9 POINT FAVORITE ON THE ROAD. HOW DOES MIAMI MERIT SUCH RESPECT ON THE ROAD?. MY GUESS IS THAT THE RAMS ARE ONCE AGAIN PLAYING BAD FOOTBALL, AND MAY NOT HAVE THE THEIR KEY OFFENSIVE PLAYER IN THE LINEUP STEVEN JACKSON WHO IS QUESTIONABLE.(CHECK INJURY STATUS ON SUNDAY IF HE IS OUT). EVEN WITH OR WITHOUT STEVE JACKSON, ST LOUIS IS A BOTTOM DWELLER IN THE PAST 5 GAMES. ST LOUIS HAS DROPPED OFFENSIVELY FROM 31<SUP>ST</SUP> TO 32<SUP>ND</SUP>, AND FELL FROM 30<SUP>TH</SUP> TO 31<SUP>ST</SUP> DEFENSIVELY. MEANWHILE, THE DOLPHINS IMPROVED BOTH OFFENSIVELY, AND DEFENSIVELY SINCE THE START OF THE SEASON BUT ARE ONLY A MEDIOCRE, MIDDLE OF THE ROAD TEAM IN A PLAYOFF HUNT.AFTER BEING HUMILIATED AT HOME AND LOSING TO THE PATRIOTS 48 28, THEY SHOULD HAVE MORE SUCCESS VS A TEAM WITHOUT A LOT LESS FIRE POWER. IN ADDITION, THE RAMS PLAY SOFT, AND ARE’NY PHYSICAL ENOUGH,AND MIAMI HAS A HUGE ADVANTAGE AT THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE. WATCH MIAMI RB RONNIE BROWN GO OVER 100 YARDS RUSHING VS THE 30<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE. IN THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER THE ST LOUIS DEFENSE HAS ALLOWED AN AVERAGE OF 35.8 PPG.<o
></o><o
></o>MIAMI 29<o
></o>ST LOUIS 17<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: MIAMI<o
></o>ATS: MIAMI –9.0 ( I CANT TAKE STL THEY ARE BAD)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 44.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>BALTIMORE AT CINCINNATI ( +7.0)<o
></o><o
></o>THE BIG DIFFERENCE THAT I SEE IN THE RAVENS IN THE LAST FIVE GAMES IS THEIR OFFENSIVE PLAY. THE RAVENS HAVE IMPROVED FROM BEING 11<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED , TO 3<SUP>RD</SUP> RANKED. WHEN IS THE LAST TIME YOU HAVE EVER SEEN BALTIMORE MAKE SUCH A SURGE ON OFFENSE?. THEIR DEFENSE REMAINS SOLID, AND RANKS 5<SUP>TH</SUP> OVERALL IN THE NFL. THE RAVENS ARE A MORE PHYSICAL TEAM THEN THE BENGALS. THE PROBLEM WITH THE BENGALS IS THAT THEIR DEFENSE STAYS ON THE FIELD TOO LONG, AND TIRES IN THE 4<SUP>TH</SUP> QUARTER.THE RAVEN FRONT 7 SHOULD DOMINATE THE BENGAL RUNNING ATTACK. WHEN THEY LAST FACED EACH OTHER THE BENGALS ONLY MANAGED 2.9 YPG, WHILE THE RAVEN BACKS RUSHED FOR 5.0 YPG. THE BENGALS HAVE NO PASS RUSH.WE ALL KNOW HOW BAD THE PITTSBURGH OFFENSIVE LINE IS ALLOWING SACKS. WELL THE BENGALS PLAYED THEM TWICE THIS SEASON AND RECORDED ZERO,ZIP,0, SACKS.<o
></o><o
></o>BALTIMORE 27<o
></o>CINCINNATI 17<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: BALTIMORE<o
></o>ATS: BALTIMORE –7.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 35.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>SAN FRANCISCO AT BUFFALO (-7.0)<o
></o><o
></o>BUFFALO HASN’T BEEN PLAYING GOOD FOOTBALL OF LATE TO MERIT TO BE A –7 PT FAVORITE. BILLS QB EDWARDS HAS BEEN SLUMPING, AND IF SF SHUTS DOWN THE BILLS RUNNING GAME EDWARDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE. THIS IS A STRONG POSSIBILITY SINCE THE 49ERS RANK 9<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE. SF HAS FRANK GORE TO ATTACK THE BILLS ON THE GROUND AND CONTROL THE CLOCK. THE BILLS HAVE A MEAGER PASS RUSH, AND THEIR SECONDARY IS BANGED UP. ALTHOUGH THE BILLS ARE AT HOME, AND THE WEATHER MIGHT BECOME A FACTOR. THERE ARE TOO MANY NEGATIVES FOR ME TO TAKE BUFFALO.IN CONCLUSION, NEW HEAD COACH MIKE SINGLETARY IS MAKING HIS TEAM A TOUGHER UNIT.<o
></o><o
></o>SAN FRANCISCO 23<o
></o>BUFFALO 20<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: SAN FRANCISCO<o
></o>ATS: SAN FRANCISCO +7.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>ATLANTA AT SAN DIEGO (-4.5)<o
></o><o
></o>THIS CAN TURN INTO A HIGH SCORING GAME.BOTH SIDES HAVE THE FIREPOWER ON OFFENSE. HOWEVER, SAN DIEGO HAS REALLY DROPPED OFFENSIVELY IN POINTS SCORED. IN THE FIRST HALF RANKED 7<SUP>TH</SUP>, AND IN THE LAST 5, RANK ONLY 24<SUP>TH</SUP>. SD FELL DOWN 17 SPOTS. ATLANTA RANKS 8<SUP>TH</SUP> OFFENSIVELY , AND THEIR ISSUES WILL BE WITH THEIR DEFENSE. THE FALCONS MAY HAVE TROUBLE DEFENDING THE PASS FROM THEIR SAFETY POSITION. ON TOP OF THAT, THEY RANK 26<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN AND THEY FACE RB TOMLINSON.SAN DIEGO IS SHOWING AN IMPROVED DEFENSE, THE CHARGERS ARE AT HOME, AND IT IS DUE OR DIE FOR SAN DIEGO. IF THEY LOSE AND FALL TO 4-8, THEY CAN FORGET THE PLAYOFFS.<o
></o><o
></o>ATLANTA 23<o
></o>SAN DIEGO 30<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: SAN DIEGO<o
></o>ATS: SAN DIEGO –4.5<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 48.0 (BEST BET)<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>PITTSBURGH AT NEW ENGLAND (-1.0)<o
></o><o
></o>IN THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER, THE PATRIOTS REALLY IMPRESSED ME WIN OR LOSE. THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING INJURED IN KEY POSITIONS, AND THE SUBSTITUTE PLAYERS THEY INSERT JUST PICK UP THE PACE. IN ADDITION QB CASSEL’S PERFORMANCE IN MIAMI LAST WEEK WAS OUTSTANDING. I BELIEVE THAT CASSEL HAS NOW GAINED THE EXPERIENCE, LEADERSHIP, AND CONFIDENCE THAT IS NEEDED TO BE A SUCCESSFUL NFL QUARTERBACK.THIS WILL BE ONE PHYSICAL AFC CONFERENCE GAME, ALMOST A PLAYOFF TYPE OF ATMOSPHERE. THE STEELERS NEED TO MAKE A STATEMENT. THE STEELERS DEFENSE IS THEIR SIGNATURE, AND THEIR MIND SET IS BLITZ, AND BLITZ AGAIN. IN THE LAST 5 GAMES THEY ALLOWED THEIR OPPONENT ONLY 14.2 PPG. THE PROBLEM WITH PITTSBURGH IS THEIR OFFENSIVE LINE. THEY NEED TO PROTECT QB ROETHLISBERGER, IF THEY EXPECT TO WIN THIS GAME. YOU BETTER BELIEVE THAT NE HEAD COACH BILL BELICHICK HAS SCHEMED UP A BLITZ PACKAGE TO HURRY AND PRESSURE ROETHLISBERGER TO ENTIRE GAME. THE STEELERS CANNOT GENERATE ENOUGH OFFENSIVE FIREPOWER IN THIS MATCHUP, AND ON OFFENSE ARE ONLY AVERAGING 19.0 PPG IN THEIR LAST 5.ONE FACT THAT I AM STANDING BY IS THAT PITTSBURGH HASN’T BEEN CONSISTENT ALL SEASON, AND THEIR LAST IMPRESSIVE WIN DATES BACK TO OCTOBER 19, 2008 DEFEATING WASHINGTON 23-6. THAT’S OVER 6 WEEKS AGO?.THE PATRIOTS PLAY SO MUCH BETTER FOOTBALL AT HOME, AND GET ONLY STRONGER AS THE CROWD GETS STRONGER. <o
></o><o
></o>PITTSBURGH 17<o
></o>NEW ENGLAND 20<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: NEW ENGLAND<o
></o>ATS: NEW ENGLAND –1.0 (BEST BET)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 39.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND (-3.0)<o
></o><o
></o>BOTTOM LINE IS THIS. KC RANKS 32<SUP>ND</SUP> LAST IN THE NFL VS THE RUN. OAKLAND’S ATTACK IS RUNNING THE BALL WITH VARGAS, AND ROTATING THEIR BACKS. THE RAIDERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO EXPLOIT THE CHIEFS FRONT SEVEN. KC CANNOT STACK 8 IN THE BOX TO STOP THE RUN, SINCE THEY RANK 29<SUP>TH</SUP> ON PASS DEFENSE, AND ONLY HAVE 6 SACKS. SINCE KC HAS FOUND A QB THIGPEN, THEIR OFFENSIVE INPUT WENT FROM 27<SUP>TH</SUP> TO 14<SUP>TH</SUP> IN POINTS SCORED IN THEIR LAST 5. IN ADDITION, RB LARRY JOHNSON SHOULD BE BACK IN THE LINEUP. OAKLAND IS 0-6 AS FAVORITES ATS SINCE 2006. I EXPECT A HIGH SCORING GAME.<o
></o><o
></o>KANSAS CITY 23<o
></o>OAKLAND 24<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: OAKLAND<o
></o>ATS: KANSAS CITY +3.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 41.5<o
></o>CHICAGO AT MINNESOTA (-3.5)<o
></o><o
></o>TEAMS ARE ABOUT EVEN IN THEIR MATCHUPS, EXCEPT THAT MINN RB ADRIAN PETERSON MAKES THE DIFFERENCE. THIS IS CHICAGO’S 3<SUP>RD</SUP> CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAME.THE BEARS JUST LOST CB VASHER OUT FOR THE SEASON, AND ADDS TO THEIR DEPLETED INJURED RIDDLED SECONDARY. THE VIKES ARE TOUGH AT HOME ONLY LOSS CAME TO THE COLTS IN WEEK #2 AFTER FAILING TO HOLD A 16-0 LEAD.CHICAGO’S QB ORTON IS NOT 100%. THE HOME TEAM IN THIS MATCHUP IS 10-2. IT WILL STILL BE A TOUGH PHYSICAL GAME SINCE THIS IS A HATED DIVISIONAL RIVAL GAME.<o
></o><o
></o>CHICAGO 20<o
></o>MINNESOTA 24<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: MINNESOTA (BEST BET)<o
></o>ATS: MINNESOTA –3.5 (BEST BET ONLY IF USED IN A TEASER)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 41.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>I AM NOT TOO THRILLED WITH ALL THESE 3.5 LINES, AND MOST OF THE LINES IN GENERAL. AT THIS POINT OF THE SEASON, YOU HAVE TO CHANGE YOUR MINDSET ON HOW YOU APPROACH EACH GAME. BY NOW YOU KNOW WHO THE CRAP TEAMS ARE, AND WHO IS THE CREAM OF THE CROP. BARING ANYKIND OF LETDOWN, THE TEAM ON PAPER WITH THE BEST STATS IS THE PLAY. GOOD LUCK, AND I WILL HAVE MONDAY’S SELECTION TOMMORROW.<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>BROOKLYNWORM’S BEST BET PLAYS<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE<o
></o>MIAMI<o
></o>INDIANAPOLIS<o
></o>BALTIMORE<o
></o>NEW ENGLAND<o
></o><o
></o>AGAINST THE SPREAD<o
></o>NEW ENGLAND –1.0<o
></o>INDIANAPOLIS –4.5<o
></o><o
></o>7 PT TEASER PLAY<o
></o>BALTIMORE EVEN<o
></o>NEW ENGLAND +6.0<o
></o>INDIANAPOLIS + 2.5<o
></o><o
></o>10 PT TEASER PLAY<o
></o>MIAMI +1.0<o
></o>MINNESOTA +6.5<o
></o>NEW ENGLAND +9.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>GOOD LUCK TO ALL<o
></o>BROOKLYNWORM<o
></o>
