BROOKLYNWORM’S NFL PICKS AND PREDICTIONS FOR WEEK #5
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BEFORE WE GET STARTED THERE ARE 3 TRAP GAMES I CAME ACROSS, AND SOME UNUSUAL LINES SET BY VEGAS.<o></o>
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(42.0) WASHINGTON 17<o></o>
( -6.0) PHILADELPHIA 24<o></o>
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THE KEY FOR PICKING THE EAGLES IS THE HEALTH OF RB WESTBROOK. IF HE STARTS PLAY PHILLY, IF HE IS LISTED AS DOUBTFULL THEN TAKE THE SKINS WITH THE POINTS. THE EAGLES BACKUP RB BUCKHALTER PLAYING INJURED NOT AT 100%. WITHOUT WESTBROOK IN THE LINEUP THE EAGLES ONLY CONVERTED 28% ON THEIR 3<SUP>RD</SUP> DOWNS. WASHINGTON RANKS 27<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUSH, BUT HAS A GOOD SECONDARY. PHILA A TEAM WITH MANY BLITZ PACKAGES NEED TO PRESSURE WASH QB CAMPBELL OUT OF HIS COMFORT ZONE. CAMPBELL HASN’T THROWN AN INT THIS SEASON, AND HAS ADJUSTED TO THE NEW WEST COAST OFFENSE. THE EAGLES ARE #1 VS THE RUN, AND WILL STOP PORTIS. FORCING CAMPBELL INTO 3<SUP>RD</SUP> AND LONG, WILL SET UP PREDICTABLE PASSING DOWNS, AND THEIR CORNERS CAN COVER ONE ON ONE, SO HURRIES AND PRESSURES CAN ARRIVE AND TAKE CAMPBELL COMPLETELY OUT OF HIS GAME. THE SKINS LAST MONDAY NIGHT COME OFF A BIG ROAD WIN OVER DALLAS, AND NOW TAKE ON ANOTHER TOUGH HATED DIVISION RIVAL AND MAYBE IN FOR A LETDOWN. PHILLY ON THE OTHER HAND NEED TO WIN THIS GAME. THE EAGLES CANNOT AFFORD TO FALL TO 2 – 3.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THE HEALTH AND STATUS OF RB WESTBROOK IS ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW. I HANDICAPPED THIS GAME AS IF HE WAS STARTING.<o></o>
WASHINGTON CORNERBACK SHAWN SPRINGS IS OUT.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: PHILADELPHIA<o></o>
ATS WINNER: PHILADELPHIA –6 (IF WESTBROOK PLAYS)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 42.0<o></o>
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(44.5) CHICAGO 21<o></o>
(+3.5) DETROIT 24<o></o>
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BEARS COME OFF BIG WIN OVER PHILLY LAST WEEK, AND THE HAPLESS LIONS FINALLY FIRED THEIR GM MATT MILLEN. THE FIRING, THE HOME CROWD, AND PLAYERS TRYING TO KEEP THEIR JOBS, MAYBE THE WAKE UP CALL THE WINLESS LIONS NEEDED. THE OTHER REASON TO TAKE THE LOWLY LIONS IS THE PUBLIC’S MONEY (69%) IS ALL ON CHICAGO TO COVER THE NUMBER. BOTTOM LINE WE KNOW THAT THE BEARS ARE A BETTER TEAM . I THINK THAT CHICAGO’S SECONDARY IS BANGED UP ENOUGH THAT KITNA CAN CONNECT WITH HIS WIDE RECEIVERS IF HE GETS ANYTIME TO PASS FROM THE POCKET. THIS IS A DIVISION RIVAL GAME, AND THE BEARS MAYBE IN FOR A LETDOWN.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THIS IS A PLAY THAT DOESN’T FIGURE, BUT SINCE THE PUBLIC IS ALL OVER THE BEARS, I WILL GO WITH THE LIONS. OH MY!.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: DETROIT<o></o>
ATS WINNER: DETROIT +3.5 (UPSET SPECIAL)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 44.5<o></o>
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(44.5) SAN DIEGO 30<o></o>
(+6.5) MIAMI 23<o></o>
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I DON’T UNDERSTAND THIS LINE. WHEN THE NY JETS PLAYED SAN DIEGO A FEW WEEKS AGO , THEY WERE 9.5 DOGS. THE JETS SECONDARY AS BADLY BURNT AS IT WAS BY RIVERS, ARE STILL CONSIDERED A BETTER BACKFIELD THEN THE DOLPHINS. SO WHY IS SD ONLY 6.5 FAVS IN THIS MATCHUP?. WHEN MIAMI BEAT THE PATS, KEEP IN MIND THAT NEW ENGLAND IN 2008, IS NOT THE SAME TEAM THAT YOU SEEN LAST SEASON. THE DOLPHINS BEAT THEM WITH A NEW WRINKLE IN THEIR OFFENSE WITH THE WILD CAT PACKAGE (DIRECT SNAP TO RB RONNIE BROWN), THE SLOW PATRIOT LINEBACKER CORP, THEIR TERRIBLE SECONDARY PLAY, AND NO QB TOM BRADY WITH LACK OF OFFENSIVE FIRE POWER WITH QB CASSEL. THE CHARGERS ARE NOW WISE TO THE MIAMI DIRECT SNAP OFFENSE, THE CHARGERS HAVE THE OFFENSIVE FIRE POWER WITH QB RIVERS TO DESTROY THE DOLPHIN SECONDARY, AND SAN DIEGO’S SPECIAL TEAMS LEAD THE AFC IN AVERAGE PER KICK RETURN, AND THE DOLPHINS ARE LAST. <o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: I DON’T KNOW IF THIS A TRAP GAME, I SUGGEST YOU AVOID THIS GAME. WITH 67% OF THE MONEY ON SD, AND THE LOW ATS LINE FOR THEM TO COVER.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: SAN DIEGO<o></o>
ATS WINNER: SAN DIEGO –6.5<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.5<o></o>
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(38.5) KANSAS CITY 17<o></o>
(-9.5) CAROLINA 21<o></o>
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CAROLINA SELDOM COVERS AS A BIG HOME FAVORITE AGAINST THE SPREAD. KC RB LARRY JOHNSON CAN RUN FOR 100 PLUS YARDS VS THE PANTHERS 20<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED DEFENSE VS THE RUSH. CAROLINA RANKS 22<SUP>ND</SUP> ON DEFENSE SACKING THE OPPOSSING QB. CAROLINA HAS SOME HEALTH PROBLEMS. QB DELHOMME IS NOT 100% PLAYING WITH AN INJURED CALF. CAROLINA’S STARTING OFFENSIVE LINEMEN RIGHT TACKLE OTAH, AND LEFT TACKLE GROSS ARE BOTH OUT . ALTHOUGH ON PAPER THE PANTHERS SHOULD EASILY RUN ON THE CHIEFS 31<SUP>ST</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE, AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THEIR INEXPERIENCED SECONDARY, I JUST DON’T THINK THEY CAN COVER –9.5 SPREAD.<o></o>
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RECOMMEDATION: WHY GAMBLE ON THIS GAME EITHER WAY. TAKE A BAD KC TEAM WITH THE POINTS ON THE ROAD, OR TAKE A CAROLINA TEAM THAT HAS TROUBLE COVERING HIGH SPREADS AT HOME.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: CAROLINA<o></o>
ATS WINNER: KANSAS CITY (+9.5) <o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 38.5<o></o>
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(33.5) TENNESSEE 19<o></o>
(+1.0) BALTIMORE 16<o></o>
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HERE ARE TWO TEAMS ALMOST EVENLY MATCHED. BOTH TEAMS RANK #1 AND #2 RESPECTIVELY ON PASS DEFENSE, BOTH TEAM ALLOW LESS THEN 4 YARDS PER CARRY, BOTH TEAMS PROVIDE THEIR QB’S GOOD PASS PROTECTION. HOWEVER, WHEN YOU MATCHUP BOTH QB’S, ASK “WHICH ONE IS BETTER”.ANSWER TAKE AN EXPERIENCED KERRY COLLINS OVER THE ROOKIE FLACCO. QB COLLINS WILL GET BETTER PASS PROTECTION, AND WILL MAKE LESS MISTAKES, AND WILL RESULT IN LESS KEY TURNOVERS.HOWEVER, BALTIMORE PLAYS HARD AND THEIR PRIDE IS ON THE LINE SINCE THEY WERE SHOWN NO RESPECT BY VEGAS BY MAKING THEM A HOME UNDERDOG.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: IT’S ROCK’EM SOCK’EM TIME. BALTIMORE IS THE HOME TEAM, AND YET VEGAS MADE THEM THE DOG. 59% OF THE MONEY IS FOLLOWING THE TITANS. THE EMOTIONAL FACTOR OF THE RAVENS WILL DECIDE THIS VICTORY.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: BALTIMORE<o></o>
ATS WINNER: BALTIMORE +1.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 33.5<o></o>
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(40.5) ATLANTA 20<o></o>
(-3.5) GREEN BAY 17<o></o>
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LOOKS LIKE GREEN BAY’S QB RODGERS IS OUT. THE VEGAS LINE DROPPED ALL THE WAY TO –3.5 ON SATURDAY. THIS MAKES ALL THE DIFFERENCE IN THE WORLD WHEN HANDICAPPING THIS GAME. IF RODGERS WAS STARTING, I WOULD HAVE TAKEN GB TO WIN 28-17 AND COVER THE SPREAD. NOW THAT THEIR BACKUP QB FLYNN IS IN THE SPOT LIGHT TO LEAD THIS SQUAD, FORGET IT !. WITH FLYNN AT QB, THE FALCONS WILL PLAY 8 IN THE BOX TO TAKE AWAY THE RUN, AND WILL THEN RATTLE THE CAGE BY PRESSURING THE POCKET ON PASSING DOWNS. GREEN BAY RANKS 30<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE, AND THIS PLAYS INTO THE HANDS OF ATLANTA’S RUNNING BACK TURNER, WHO RUNS WELL WHEN THE MATCHUP IS IN HIS FAVOR. GB ON OFFENSE WILL HAVE NO CHOICE TO ADJUST THEIR GAME PLAN ON OFFENSE, AND RUN THE BALL MORE. ALSO KEEP IN MIND AL HARRIS IS OUT IN THE GREEN BAY SECONDARY,<o></o>
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RECOMMEDATION: JUMP ON ATLANTA, LOOKS LIKE TO ME RODGERS WON’T PLAY, CHECK HIS STATUS BEFORE GAME TIME. IF HE PLAYS LAY OFF THE FALCONS. <o></o>
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MONEYLINE: ATLANTA<o></o>
ATS WINNER: ATLANTA +3.5 (RODGERS INJURY)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 40.5<o></o>
*BEST BET<o></o>
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(48.0) INDIANAPOLIS 24<o></o>
(+3.0) HOUSTON 27<o></o>
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THIS IS A TRAP GAME, THE LINE IS COLTS ONLY –3.0 FAVS. VEGAS SHOULD HAVE MADE THEM AT LEAST 6 PT FAVS?. MAYBE THE COLTS ARE OVERRATTED, AND VEGAS KNOWS THIS. WE ALL KNOW HOW BAD THE TEXANS HAVE PLAYED THUS FAR, AND OF COURSE THE PUBLIC LOVES MANNING AND THE COLTS. AS OF SATURDAY 77% OF THE MONEY IS ON THE COLTS TO COVER. THE TEXANS HAVE ONE OF THE WORST NFL DEFENSES, AND RANK ONLY 29<SUP>TH</SUP> SACKING THE OPPOSSING QB. NOW TAKE MANNING, ADDAI, AND HARRISON , AND THIS FACTORS INTO A COLT BLOWOUT !. BUT DON’T YOU HEAR A BELL RINGING TELLING YOU THAT THIS –3 PT LINE IS TO GOOD TO BE TRUE. WELL, SO FAR THE PUBLIC HAS BEEN SUCKED IN. WHAT THE PUBLIC DOESN’T KNOW, IS AS POOR AS THE TEXANS ARE, THEY MAY WIN THIS GAME OUTRIGHT. HERE ARE MY REASONS. COLTS CAN’T STOP THE RUN W/O SANDERS, IF THE TEXANS ARE ABLE TO RUN, THIS WILL SET UP PLAY ACTION PASSING FOR QB SCHAUB TO BUY MORE TIME TO THROW BEHING HIS TERRIBLE OFFENSIVE LINE.<o></o>
THIS IS A RIVAL GAME BEING PLAYED IN HOUSTON THE AFTERMATH OF THE HURRICANE, AND THE TEXANS HATE THE COLTS AND WILL BE READY.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: TRAP GAME, BUYER BEWARE. VEGAS IS NOT IN BUSINESS TO MAKE YOU MONEY. <o></o>
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MONEYLINE: HOUSTON<o></o>
ATS WINNER: HOUSTON +3.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 48,0<o></o>
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(43.5) SEATTLE 14<o></o>
(-7.0) NY GIANTS 24<o></o>
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ALTHOUGH INGRAM, AND BRANCH RETURN TO THE LINEUP AFTER SERIOUS INJURIES, WILL THEY BE GAME READY?. IN ADDITION, QB HASSELBECK’S PASS SOMPLETION PERCENTAGE IS ONLY 48.5%. SEATTLE CANT STOP THE PASS, THEY RANK 23 RD , AND HAVE NO PASS RUSH. 8 OF THEIR 10 SACKS ON THE SEASON CAME IN WEEK #2, THEY HAVE HAD ONLY TWO SINCE. NY GIANTS RANK DEFENSIVELY 6<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, 10<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND RANK 4<SUP>TH</SUP> SACKING THE OPPOSSING QB. THIS IS AN EARLY EAST COAST START FOR SEATTLE, AND COACH HOLMGREN IS 2-11 ATS IN THESE SPOTS SINCE 2002. LOOK WHAT HAPPENED TO SEATTLE IN WEEK #1, WHEN THEY PLAYED AN EARLY GAME IN BUFFALO THIS SEASON. THE GIANTS GOT A WAKE UP CALL BEFORE THEIR BYE WEEK WHEN THEY ALMOST LOST TO THE HORRID BENGALS, AND DIDN’T COVER THE DOUBLE DIGIT SPREAD. <o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: MANNING SHOULD HAVE A HUGE DAY, AND THE GIANTS WILL COME OUT OF THE GATE. THEY ARE LAYING –7, BUT I LIKE THEIR CHANCES TO COVER.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: NY GIANTS<o></o>
ATS WINNER: NY GIANTS –7.0 ( IF YOU DON’T LIKE-7, TEASE IT DOWN)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.5<o></o>
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(46.5) TAMPA BAY 21<o></o>
(-3.0) DENVER 24<o></o>
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IS THIS A TRAP GAME OR WHAT?. DENVER IS ONLY LAYING 3 PTS AT HOME VS AN OVERRATTED TAMPA BAY TEAM?. THE LINE SHOULD HAVE BEEN –6 OR MORE. 67% OF THE MONEY IS ALREADY ON DENVER DENVER HAS AN EXPLOSIVE OFFENSE THAT CAN SCORE AT WILL, AND THEIR DEFENSE ALSO ALLOWS THEIR OPPONENTS TO DO THE SAME. BRONCOS RANK 28<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND 29<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, AND HAVE ONLY 6 SACKS ON THE SEASON. HOWEVER. THE BUCS RANK 25<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, ON DEFENSE, AND JUDGING FROM THAT STAT ALONE, ONE MIGHT CONCLUDE THAT DENVER WILL JUST OUTSCORE THEIR OPPONENT. DID YOU KNOW THAT TAMPA BAY RANKS 7<SUP>TH</SUP> IN OFFENSE, AND 13 TH IN DEFENSE. NOW CHECK THIS OUT. DENVER’S LAST 3 OPPONENTS HAD SUSPECT DEFENSES. SD RANKED 28<SUP>TH</SUP>, NEW ORLEANS RANKED 27<SUP>TH</SUP>, AND KC RANKED 30<SUP>TH</SUP>. THEY SQUEAKED PAST SD AND NEW ORLEANS, AND WAS BLOWN OUT BY THE CHIEFS. HOW WILL THE BRONCOS RESPOND WHEN THEY FACE THEIR FIRST DEFENSIVE TEST?. <o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THIS LINE SMELLS, AND TAMPA’S DEFENSE MAY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE IN THIS GAME. THE REASON WHY I DON’T JUMP ALL OVER TB, IS THAT THEIR SECONDARY HASN’T PLAYED WELL OR UP TO IT’S POTENTIAL.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: DENVER<o></o>
ATS WINNER: PASS<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 46.5<o></o>
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(44.5) BUFFALO 20<o></o>
(-1.0) ARIZONA 23<o></o>
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THIS IS MY BEST BET FOR WEEK #5. YOU NEED TO CONSIDER THE ARIZONA CARDINALS TO SNAG THIS GAME. HERE ARE MY REASONS. <o></o>
#1. BUFFALO COMES OFF A COMEBACK ROAD WIN LAST WEEK, AND NOW TRAVEL WEST TO ARIZONA.<o></o>
#2. ARIZONA WAS EMBARRASSED BY THE JETS BLOWOUT WK #4, AND PLAYED POORLY.<o></o>
#3. BUFFALO HAD TROUBLE ESTABLISHING THE RUN VS STL LAST WEEK, AND NOW FACE A CARDINAL DEFENSE THAT RANKS 11<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUSH.<o></o>
#4. STL LAST WEEK WAS GETTING TO BILL’S QB EDWARDS WITH A DEFENSIVE SACK RANK OF 20<SUP>TH</SUP>. NOW THEY FACE A CARDS TEAM RANK 13<SUP>TH</SUP>. <o></o>
#5. THE CARDS WILL TAKE AWAY THE BILLS RUNNING GAME, AND EDWARDS WILL HAVE TROUBLE MOVING THE FOOTBALL AND FORCE HIM INTO MISTAKES.<o></o>
#6. ARIZONA JUST CAME OFF TWO CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAMES ON THE EAST COAST, AND DIDN’T RETURN HOME FOR 2 WEEKS. NOW AT HOME , THEY WERE ABLE TO TRAIN AT THEIR OWN FACILITY, AND PROPERLY PREPARE FOR THIS MATCHUP.<o></o>
#7. THE CARDS WILL RALLY FOR THE INJURED BOLDIN, AFTER THAT CHEAP SHOT HE TOOK VS THE JETS.<o></o>
#8. ONE OF THE BILLS KEY BACKFIELD MEN IN THE SECONDARY MAYBE OUT, CHECK INJURY STATUS.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THIS IS MY TOP PLAY. JUMP ALL OVER ARIZONA. PLAY THE SPREAD, AND THE UNDER/OVER.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: ARIZONA(BEST BET)<o></o>
ATS WINNER: ARIZONA –1.0 (BEST BET)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.5 (BEST BET)<o></o>
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(44.5) CINCINNATI 10<o></o>
(-16.0) DALLAS 32<o></o>
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AFTER LAST WEEK’S DALLAS PERFORMANCE, LOOK FOR THE COWBOYS TO RUN UP THE SCORE ON THE LOWLY BENGALS. TO START , QB ROMO WILL HAVE ALL DAY TO SIT IN THE POCKET AND LOCATE HIS RECEIVERS SINCE THE BENGALS ONLY RECORDER 2 SACKS THUS FAR ON THE SEASON. CINNCY QB CARSON PALMER IS INJURED, AND DOESN’T LOOK LIKE HE WILL PLAY. THE BENGALS CAN’T EVEN RUN THE BALL VS POOR RUSH DEFENSES. THE BENGALS QB’S HAVE BEEN SACKED ALREADY 12 TIMES. LASTLY, THE BENGAL BACK UP QB FITZPATRICK STARTS , THIS WILL BE A BLOW OUT. FITZPATRICK IS HORRIBLE, AND SHOULDN’T EVEN BE IN THE NFL. EXPECT DALLAS TO PASS RUSH, PRESSURE, HURRY, SACK, AND FORCE A MULTITUDE OF MISTAKES AND TURNOVERS.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: I KNOW DALLAS IS DOUBLE DIGIT FAVORITES, AND 16 PTS IS A HUGE NUMBER TO GIVE AWAY IN THE NFL. THE PUBLIC THINKS THE BENGALS ARE A BUY AT THIS LINE AND 59% OF THE MONEY SAYS THAT DALLAS WON’T COVER. I BEG TO DIFFER, THE BOYS WILL BLOW THEM OUT. AFTER ALL, WOULD YOU EVEN CONSIDER BETTING ON THE BENGALS?.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: DALLAS<o></o>
ATS WINNER: DALLAS –16.0 (IF NUMBER TO HIGH TEASE DOWN)<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.5<o></o>
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(41.0) NEW ENGLAND 20<o></o>
(+3.0) SAN FRANCISCO 17<o></o>
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FOR NEW ENGLAND TO TRAVEL TO THE WEST COAST TO PLAY AN IMPROVED 49ER TEAM. NE COMES OFF THAT TERRIBLE LOSS TO THE DOLPHINS 2 WEEKS AGO, AND HAD A BYE WEEK TO PLAN FOR THIS GAME. SF IS 1<SUP>ST</SUP> IN SACKS ALLOWED, THEY DON’T HAVE A GOOD OFFENSIVE LINE. PROBLEM IS THE PATS EXPOSED THEIR WEAKNESSES ON BOTH SIDE OF THE AFTER THAT BLOW OUT DEFEAT. PATRIOTS SECONDARY IS TERIBLE, AND THEY ARE AGING AT LINEBACKER, AND HAVE SLOWED DOWN DEFENSIVELY. ON OFFENSE, WITH BRADY GONE, SO HAS THE MIGHTY OFFENSIVE POINT PRODUCTION VANISHED WITH QB CASSEL’S AS THEIR STARTER. ALSO DISAPPEARING IS WR RANDY MOSS, HE IS NOW THE INVISIBLE MAN. CASSELS CANT GET THE BALL TO HIM DEEP, AND MOSS HAS LOST HIS GAME. THE ONLY OTHER RELIABLE RECEIVER THEY HAVE IS WES WELKER. HE IS A TROOPER, BUT IS THE PATRIOT GAME PLAN GOING TO PASS THE BALL OVER 10 TIMES TO HIM?. SF 49ERS HAS A TOUGH SECONDARY , THE NINERS PROBLEM IS THEY CANT STOP THE RUSH. WHO DOES THE PATS HAVE AT RUNNING BACK TO REALLY EXPLOIT THEIR WEAKNESS?. <o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: TRAP GAME ALL THE WAY, 65% OF THE PUBLIC IS ALREADY ON NEW ENGLAND. I SAY PASS AT THIS GAME.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: NEW ENGLAND<o></o>
ATS WINNER: PASS<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 41.0<o></o>
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(36.0) PITTSBURGH 21<o></o>
(-5.0) JACKSONVILLE 20<o></o>
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PITTSBURGH HAS PLAYED SO POORLY THE PAST 2 WEEKS THAT THE BOOK MADE THEM –5 POINT DOGS IN THIS GAME. HOWEVER, I LOVE THE STEELERS IN THIS SPOT. THE STEELERS PLAYED BANGED UP VS TWO TOP NFL DEFENSES PHILADELPHIA, AND BALTIMORE. BY COMPARISON OF THE STEELERS OPPONENTS, THEY FACED PHILADELPHIA THAT RECORDED 17 SACKS ON THE SEASON, BALTIMORE THAT RECORDER 9 SACKS IN ONLY 3 GAMES, AND NOW FACE A JAGUAR TEAM THAT HAS ONLY RECORDED 5 SACKS. QB ROETHLISBERGER SHOULD FINALLY HAVE SOME TIME TO SET UP IN THE POCKET AND LOCATE HIS RECEIVERS WITHOUT NO PASS RUSH IN HIS FACE.. DON’T LET JACKSONVILLE FOOL YOU TO HOW GOOD THEY ARE. LAST IMPRESSIONS WHEN THEY PLAYED THAT TERRIBLE TEXAN TEAM LAST WEEK QB GERRARD LOOKED LIKE A STAR WHEN HE FACED THE TEXAN LOOUSY SECONDARY. IN REALITY, UP UNTIL THAT GAME COUNTING THE PRE SEASON, QB GERRARD HASN’T PRODUCED AGAINST GOOD DEFENSES. THE REASON WHY GERRARD HAD A GOOD GAME VS HOUSTON, THE TEXANS GAMBLED AND PLAYED 8 MEN IN THE BOX IN HOPES OF PRESSURING HIM SINCE THEY HAD NO PASS RUSH, AND THEY FEARED MAINLY TAYLOR, AND JONES RUSHING THE BALL. NOW QB GERRARD PLAYS A STOUT TOP PITTSBURGH DEFENSE THAT DOESN’T SACRIFICE THEIR DEFENSE TO PLAY 8 IN THE BOX. IN ADDITION, THIS IS A REVENGE GAME FOR THE STEELERS SINCE THEY LOST TO THE JAGS IN THE PLAYOFFS LAST SEASON.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: 57% OF THE PUBLIC IS ON JACKSONVILLE. PITTSBURGH IS THE PLAY HERE AND ONE OF MY BEST BETS.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: PITTSBURGH<o></o>
ATS WINNER: PITTSBURGH +5.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: OVER 36.0<o></o>
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(46.5) MINNESOTA 23<o></o>
(-3.0) NEW ORLEANS 21<o></o>
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LIKE THE VIKES, AND HERE ARE MY RESONS. <o></o>
#1. VIKES BRYANT MCKINNIE RETURNS TO THE LINE UP AFTER 4 GAME SUSPENSION. A GREAT RUNNING ATTACK BECOME LETHAL VS A SAINTS 29<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE.<o></o>
#2. ADRIAN PETERSON IS A BLU CHIP RUNNING BACK AND COULD RUSH FOR ALMOST 200 YARDS.<o></o>
#3. IF THE SAINTS PLAY 8 IN THE BOX. QB GUS FERROTTE, THE VETERAN THAT HE IS, WILL FEED OFF THE PLAY ACTION PASS, AND WILL EXPLOIT NEW ORLEANS SUSPECT SECONDARY.<o></o>
#4. MINNESOTA IS A TOP DEFENSE, AND THE SAINTS MAYBE SLOWED DOWN OFFENSIVELY.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: PLAY THE VIKES AND TAKE THE POINTS.<o></o>
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MONEYLINE: MINNESOTA<o></o>
ATS WINNER: MINNESOTA +3.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 46.5<o></o>
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BROOKLYNWORMS BEST BET PLAYS
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ATS SPREAD<o></o>
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ARIZONA –1.0<o></o>
MINNESOTA +3.0<o></o>
PITTSBURGH +5.0<o></o>
OVER/UNDER: BUFFALO/ARIZONA UNDER 44.5<o></o>
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10 POINT TEASER
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DALLAS –6.0<o></o>
NY GIANTS EVEN<o></o>
ATLANTA +10.5<o></o>
ARIZONA +9.0<o></o>
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GOOD LUCK TOO ALL<o></o>
BROOKLYNWORM<o></o>
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></o>BEFORE WE GET STARTED THERE ARE 3 TRAP GAMES I CAME ACROSS, AND SOME UNUSUAL LINES SET BY VEGAS.<o
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></o>(42.0) WASHINGTON 17<o
></o>( -6.0) PHILADELPHIA 24<o
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></o>THE KEY FOR PICKING THE EAGLES IS THE HEALTH OF RB WESTBROOK. IF HE STARTS PLAY PHILLY, IF HE IS LISTED AS DOUBTFULL THEN TAKE THE SKINS WITH THE POINTS. THE EAGLES BACKUP RB BUCKHALTER PLAYING INJURED NOT AT 100%. WITHOUT WESTBROOK IN THE LINEUP THE EAGLES ONLY CONVERTED 28% ON THEIR 3<SUP>RD</SUP> DOWNS. WASHINGTON RANKS 27<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUSH, BUT HAS A GOOD SECONDARY. PHILA A TEAM WITH MANY BLITZ PACKAGES NEED TO PRESSURE WASH QB CAMPBELL OUT OF HIS COMFORT ZONE. CAMPBELL HASN’T THROWN AN INT THIS SEASON, AND HAS ADJUSTED TO THE NEW WEST COAST OFFENSE. THE EAGLES ARE #1 VS THE RUN, AND WILL STOP PORTIS. FORCING CAMPBELL INTO 3<SUP>RD</SUP> AND LONG, WILL SET UP PREDICTABLE PASSING DOWNS, AND THEIR CORNERS CAN COVER ONE ON ONE, SO HURRIES AND PRESSURES CAN ARRIVE AND TAKE CAMPBELL COMPLETELY OUT OF HIS GAME. THE SKINS LAST MONDAY NIGHT COME OFF A BIG ROAD WIN OVER DALLAS, AND NOW TAKE ON ANOTHER TOUGH HATED DIVISION RIVAL AND MAYBE IN FOR A LETDOWN. PHILLY ON THE OTHER HAND NEED TO WIN THIS GAME. THE EAGLES CANNOT AFFORD TO FALL TO 2 – 3.<o
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></o>RECOMMENDATION: THE HEALTH AND STATUS OF RB WESTBROOK IS ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW. I HANDICAPPED THIS GAME AS IF HE WAS STARTING.<o
></o>WASHINGTON CORNERBACK SHAWN SPRINGS IS OUT.<o
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></o>MONEYLINE: PHILADELPHIA<o
></o>ATS WINNER: PHILADELPHIA –6 (IF WESTBROOK PLAYS)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 42.0<o
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></o>(44.5) CHICAGO 21<o
></o>(+3.5) DETROIT 24<o
></o><o
></o>BEARS COME OFF BIG WIN OVER PHILLY LAST WEEK, AND THE HAPLESS LIONS FINALLY FIRED THEIR GM MATT MILLEN. THE FIRING, THE HOME CROWD, AND PLAYERS TRYING TO KEEP THEIR JOBS, MAYBE THE WAKE UP CALL THE WINLESS LIONS NEEDED. THE OTHER REASON TO TAKE THE LOWLY LIONS IS THE PUBLIC’S MONEY (69%) IS ALL ON CHICAGO TO COVER THE NUMBER. BOTTOM LINE WE KNOW THAT THE BEARS ARE A BETTER TEAM . I THINK THAT CHICAGO’S SECONDARY IS BANGED UP ENOUGH THAT KITNA CAN CONNECT WITH HIS WIDE RECEIVERS IF HE GETS ANYTIME TO PASS FROM THE POCKET. THIS IS A DIVISION RIVAL GAME, AND THE BEARS MAYBE IN FOR A LETDOWN.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THIS IS A PLAY THAT DOESN’T FIGURE, BUT SINCE THE PUBLIC IS ALL OVER THE BEARS, I WILL GO WITH THE LIONS. OH MY!.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: DETROIT<o
></o>ATS WINNER: DETROIT +3.5 (UPSET SPECIAL)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 44.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(44.5) SAN DIEGO 30<o
></o>(+6.5) MIAMI 23<o
></o><o
></o>I DON’T UNDERSTAND THIS LINE. WHEN THE NY JETS PLAYED SAN DIEGO A FEW WEEKS AGO , THEY WERE 9.5 DOGS. THE JETS SECONDARY AS BADLY BURNT AS IT WAS BY RIVERS, ARE STILL CONSIDERED A BETTER BACKFIELD THEN THE DOLPHINS. SO WHY IS SD ONLY 6.5 FAVS IN THIS MATCHUP?. WHEN MIAMI BEAT THE PATS, KEEP IN MIND THAT NEW ENGLAND IN 2008, IS NOT THE SAME TEAM THAT YOU SEEN LAST SEASON. THE DOLPHINS BEAT THEM WITH A NEW WRINKLE IN THEIR OFFENSE WITH THE WILD CAT PACKAGE (DIRECT SNAP TO RB RONNIE BROWN), THE SLOW PATRIOT LINEBACKER CORP, THEIR TERRIBLE SECONDARY PLAY, AND NO QB TOM BRADY WITH LACK OF OFFENSIVE FIRE POWER WITH QB CASSEL. THE CHARGERS ARE NOW WISE TO THE MIAMI DIRECT SNAP OFFENSE, THE CHARGERS HAVE THE OFFENSIVE FIRE POWER WITH QB RIVERS TO DESTROY THE DOLPHIN SECONDARY, AND SAN DIEGO’S SPECIAL TEAMS LEAD THE AFC IN AVERAGE PER KICK RETURN, AND THE DOLPHINS ARE LAST. <o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: I DON’T KNOW IF THIS A TRAP GAME, I SUGGEST YOU AVOID THIS GAME. WITH 67% OF THE MONEY ON SD, AND THE LOW ATS LINE FOR THEM TO COVER.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: SAN DIEGO<o
></o>ATS WINNER: SAN DIEGO –6.5<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(38.5) KANSAS CITY 17<o
></o>(-9.5) CAROLINA 21<o
></o><o
></o>CAROLINA SELDOM COVERS AS A BIG HOME FAVORITE AGAINST THE SPREAD. KC RB LARRY JOHNSON CAN RUN FOR 100 PLUS YARDS VS THE PANTHERS 20<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED DEFENSE VS THE RUSH. CAROLINA RANKS 22<SUP>ND</SUP> ON DEFENSE SACKING THE OPPOSSING QB. CAROLINA HAS SOME HEALTH PROBLEMS. QB DELHOMME IS NOT 100% PLAYING WITH AN INJURED CALF. CAROLINA’S STARTING OFFENSIVE LINEMEN RIGHT TACKLE OTAH, AND LEFT TACKLE GROSS ARE BOTH OUT . ALTHOUGH ON PAPER THE PANTHERS SHOULD EASILY RUN ON THE CHIEFS 31<SUP>ST</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE, AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THEIR INEXPERIENCED SECONDARY, I JUST DON’T THINK THEY CAN COVER –9.5 SPREAD.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMEDATION: WHY GAMBLE ON THIS GAME EITHER WAY. TAKE A BAD KC TEAM WITH THE POINTS ON THE ROAD, OR TAKE A CAROLINA TEAM THAT HAS TROUBLE COVERING HIGH SPREADS AT HOME.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: CAROLINA<o
></o>ATS WINNER: KANSAS CITY (+9.5) <o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 38.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(33.5) TENNESSEE 19<o
></o>(+1.0) BALTIMORE 16<o
></o><o
></o>HERE ARE TWO TEAMS ALMOST EVENLY MATCHED. BOTH TEAMS RANK #1 AND #2 RESPECTIVELY ON PASS DEFENSE, BOTH TEAM ALLOW LESS THEN 4 YARDS PER CARRY, BOTH TEAMS PROVIDE THEIR QB’S GOOD PASS PROTECTION. HOWEVER, WHEN YOU MATCHUP BOTH QB’S, ASK “WHICH ONE IS BETTER”.ANSWER TAKE AN EXPERIENCED KERRY COLLINS OVER THE ROOKIE FLACCO. QB COLLINS WILL GET BETTER PASS PROTECTION, AND WILL MAKE LESS MISTAKES, AND WILL RESULT IN LESS KEY TURNOVERS.HOWEVER, BALTIMORE PLAYS HARD AND THEIR PRIDE IS ON THE LINE SINCE THEY WERE SHOWN NO RESPECT BY VEGAS BY MAKING THEM A HOME UNDERDOG.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: IT’S ROCK’EM SOCK’EM TIME. BALTIMORE IS THE HOME TEAM, AND YET VEGAS MADE THEM THE DOG. 59% OF THE MONEY IS FOLLOWING THE TITANS. THE EMOTIONAL FACTOR OF THE RAVENS WILL DECIDE THIS VICTORY.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: BALTIMORE<o
></o>ATS WINNER: BALTIMORE +1.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 33.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(40.5) ATLANTA 20<o
></o>(-3.5) GREEN BAY 17<o
></o><o
></o>LOOKS LIKE GREEN BAY’S QB RODGERS IS OUT. THE VEGAS LINE DROPPED ALL THE WAY TO –3.5 ON SATURDAY. THIS MAKES ALL THE DIFFERENCE IN THE WORLD WHEN HANDICAPPING THIS GAME. IF RODGERS WAS STARTING, I WOULD HAVE TAKEN GB TO WIN 28-17 AND COVER THE SPREAD. NOW THAT THEIR BACKUP QB FLYNN IS IN THE SPOT LIGHT TO LEAD THIS SQUAD, FORGET IT !. WITH FLYNN AT QB, THE FALCONS WILL PLAY 8 IN THE BOX TO TAKE AWAY THE RUN, AND WILL THEN RATTLE THE CAGE BY PRESSURING THE POCKET ON PASSING DOWNS. GREEN BAY RANKS 30<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE, AND THIS PLAYS INTO THE HANDS OF ATLANTA’S RUNNING BACK TURNER, WHO RUNS WELL WHEN THE MATCHUP IS IN HIS FAVOR. GB ON OFFENSE WILL HAVE NO CHOICE TO ADJUST THEIR GAME PLAN ON OFFENSE, AND RUN THE BALL MORE. ALSO KEEP IN MIND AL HARRIS IS OUT IN THE GREEN BAY SECONDARY,<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMEDATION: JUMP ON ATLANTA, LOOKS LIKE TO ME RODGERS WON’T PLAY, CHECK HIS STATUS BEFORE GAME TIME. IF HE PLAYS LAY OFF THE FALCONS. <o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: ATLANTA<o
></o>ATS WINNER: ATLANTA +3.5 (RODGERS INJURY)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 40.5<o
></o>*BEST BET<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(48.0) INDIANAPOLIS 24<o
></o>(+3.0) HOUSTON 27<o
></o><o
></o>THIS IS A TRAP GAME, THE LINE IS COLTS ONLY –3.0 FAVS. VEGAS SHOULD HAVE MADE THEM AT LEAST 6 PT FAVS?. MAYBE THE COLTS ARE OVERRATTED, AND VEGAS KNOWS THIS. WE ALL KNOW HOW BAD THE TEXANS HAVE PLAYED THUS FAR, AND OF COURSE THE PUBLIC LOVES MANNING AND THE COLTS. AS OF SATURDAY 77% OF THE MONEY IS ON THE COLTS TO COVER. THE TEXANS HAVE ONE OF THE WORST NFL DEFENSES, AND RANK ONLY 29<SUP>TH</SUP> SACKING THE OPPOSSING QB. NOW TAKE MANNING, ADDAI, AND HARRISON , AND THIS FACTORS INTO A COLT BLOWOUT !. BUT DON’T YOU HEAR A BELL RINGING TELLING YOU THAT THIS –3 PT LINE IS TO GOOD TO BE TRUE. WELL, SO FAR THE PUBLIC HAS BEEN SUCKED IN. WHAT THE PUBLIC DOESN’T KNOW, IS AS POOR AS THE TEXANS ARE, THEY MAY WIN THIS GAME OUTRIGHT. HERE ARE MY REASONS. COLTS CAN’T STOP THE RUN W/O SANDERS, IF THE TEXANS ARE ABLE TO RUN, THIS WILL SET UP PLAY ACTION PASSING FOR QB SCHAUB TO BUY MORE TIME TO THROW BEHING HIS TERRIBLE OFFENSIVE LINE.<o
></o>THIS IS A RIVAL GAME BEING PLAYED IN HOUSTON THE AFTERMATH OF THE HURRICANE, AND THE TEXANS HATE THE COLTS AND WILL BE READY.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: TRAP GAME, BUYER BEWARE. VEGAS IS NOT IN BUSINESS TO MAKE YOU MONEY. <o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: HOUSTON<o
></o>ATS WINNER: HOUSTON +3.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 48,0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(43.5) SEATTLE 14<o
></o>(-7.0) NY GIANTS 24<o
></o><o
></o>ALTHOUGH INGRAM, AND BRANCH RETURN TO THE LINEUP AFTER SERIOUS INJURIES, WILL THEY BE GAME READY?. IN ADDITION, QB HASSELBECK’S PASS SOMPLETION PERCENTAGE IS ONLY 48.5%. SEATTLE CANT STOP THE PASS, THEY RANK 23 RD , AND HAVE NO PASS RUSH. 8 OF THEIR 10 SACKS ON THE SEASON CAME IN WEEK #2, THEY HAVE HAD ONLY TWO SINCE. NY GIANTS RANK DEFENSIVELY 6<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, 10<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND RANK 4<SUP>TH</SUP> SACKING THE OPPOSSING QB. THIS IS AN EARLY EAST COAST START FOR SEATTLE, AND COACH HOLMGREN IS 2-11 ATS IN THESE SPOTS SINCE 2002. LOOK WHAT HAPPENED TO SEATTLE IN WEEK #1, WHEN THEY PLAYED AN EARLY GAME IN BUFFALO THIS SEASON. THE GIANTS GOT A WAKE UP CALL BEFORE THEIR BYE WEEK WHEN THEY ALMOST LOST TO THE HORRID BENGALS, AND DIDN’T COVER THE DOUBLE DIGIT SPREAD. <o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: MANNING SHOULD HAVE A HUGE DAY, AND THE GIANTS WILL COME OUT OF THE GATE. THEY ARE LAYING –7, BUT I LIKE THEIR CHANCES TO COVER.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: NY GIANTS<o
></o>ATS WINNER: NY GIANTS –7.0 ( IF YOU DON’T LIKE-7, TEASE IT DOWN)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 43.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(46.5) TAMPA BAY 21<o
></o>(-3.0) DENVER 24<o
></o><o
></o>IS THIS A TRAP GAME OR WHAT?. DENVER IS ONLY LAYING 3 PTS AT HOME VS AN OVERRATTED TAMPA BAY TEAM?. THE LINE SHOULD HAVE BEEN –6 OR MORE. 67% OF THE MONEY IS ALREADY ON DENVER DENVER HAS AN EXPLOSIVE OFFENSE THAT CAN SCORE AT WILL, AND THEIR DEFENSE ALSO ALLOWS THEIR OPPONENTS TO DO THE SAME. BRONCOS RANK 28<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND 29<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, AND HAVE ONLY 6 SACKS ON THE SEASON. HOWEVER. THE BUCS RANK 25<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, ON DEFENSE, AND JUDGING FROM THAT STAT ALONE, ONE MIGHT CONCLUDE THAT DENVER WILL JUST OUTSCORE THEIR OPPONENT. DID YOU KNOW THAT TAMPA BAY RANKS 7<SUP>TH</SUP> IN OFFENSE, AND 13 TH IN DEFENSE. NOW CHECK THIS OUT. DENVER’S LAST 3 OPPONENTS HAD SUSPECT DEFENSES. SD RANKED 28<SUP>TH</SUP>, NEW ORLEANS RANKED 27<SUP>TH</SUP>, AND KC RANKED 30<SUP>TH</SUP>. THEY SQUEAKED PAST SD AND NEW ORLEANS, AND WAS BLOWN OUT BY THE CHIEFS. HOW WILL THE BRONCOS RESPOND WHEN THEY FACE THEIR FIRST DEFENSIVE TEST?. <o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THIS LINE SMELLS, AND TAMPA’S DEFENSE MAY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE IN THIS GAME. THE REASON WHY I DON’T JUMP ALL OVER TB, IS THAT THEIR SECONDARY HASN’T PLAYED WELL OR UP TO IT’S POTENTIAL.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: DENVER<o
></o>ATS WINNER: PASS<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 46.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(44.5) BUFFALO 20<o
></o>(-1.0) ARIZONA 23<o
></o><o
></o>THIS IS MY BEST BET FOR WEEK #5. YOU NEED TO CONSIDER THE ARIZONA CARDINALS TO SNAG THIS GAME. HERE ARE MY REASONS. <o
></o>#1. BUFFALO COMES OFF A COMEBACK ROAD WIN LAST WEEK, AND NOW TRAVEL WEST TO ARIZONA.<o
></o>#2. ARIZONA WAS EMBARRASSED BY THE JETS BLOWOUT WK #4, AND PLAYED POORLY.<o
></o>#3. BUFFALO HAD TROUBLE ESTABLISHING THE RUN VS STL LAST WEEK, AND NOW FACE A CARDINAL DEFENSE THAT RANKS 11<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUSH.<o
></o>#4. STL LAST WEEK WAS GETTING TO BILL’S QB EDWARDS WITH A DEFENSIVE SACK RANK OF 20<SUP>TH</SUP>. NOW THEY FACE A CARDS TEAM RANK 13<SUP>TH</SUP>. <o
></o>#5. THE CARDS WILL TAKE AWAY THE BILLS RUNNING GAME, AND EDWARDS WILL HAVE TROUBLE MOVING THE FOOTBALL AND FORCE HIM INTO MISTAKES.<o
></o>#6. ARIZONA JUST CAME OFF TWO CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAMES ON THE EAST COAST, AND DIDN’T RETURN HOME FOR 2 WEEKS. NOW AT HOME , THEY WERE ABLE TO TRAIN AT THEIR OWN FACILITY, AND PROPERLY PREPARE FOR THIS MATCHUP.<o
></o>#7. THE CARDS WILL RALLY FOR THE INJURED BOLDIN, AFTER THAT CHEAP SHOT HE TOOK VS THE JETS.<o
></o>#8. ONE OF THE BILLS KEY BACKFIELD MEN IN THE SECONDARY MAYBE OUT, CHECK INJURY STATUS.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THIS IS MY TOP PLAY. JUMP ALL OVER ARIZONA. PLAY THE SPREAD, AND THE UNDER/OVER.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: ARIZONA(BEST BET)<o
></o>ATS WINNER: ARIZONA –1.0 (BEST BET)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.5 (BEST BET)<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(44.5) CINCINNATI 10<o
></o>(-16.0) DALLAS 32<o
></o><o
></o>AFTER LAST WEEK’S DALLAS PERFORMANCE, LOOK FOR THE COWBOYS TO RUN UP THE SCORE ON THE LOWLY BENGALS. TO START , QB ROMO WILL HAVE ALL DAY TO SIT IN THE POCKET AND LOCATE HIS RECEIVERS SINCE THE BENGALS ONLY RECORDER 2 SACKS THUS FAR ON THE SEASON. CINNCY QB CARSON PALMER IS INJURED, AND DOESN’T LOOK LIKE HE WILL PLAY. THE BENGALS CAN’T EVEN RUN THE BALL VS POOR RUSH DEFENSES. THE BENGALS QB’S HAVE BEEN SACKED ALREADY 12 TIMES. LASTLY, THE BENGAL BACK UP QB FITZPATRICK STARTS , THIS WILL BE A BLOW OUT. FITZPATRICK IS HORRIBLE, AND SHOULDN’T EVEN BE IN THE NFL. EXPECT DALLAS TO PASS RUSH, PRESSURE, HURRY, SACK, AND FORCE A MULTITUDE OF MISTAKES AND TURNOVERS.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: I KNOW DALLAS IS DOUBLE DIGIT FAVORITES, AND 16 PTS IS A HUGE NUMBER TO GIVE AWAY IN THE NFL. THE PUBLIC THINKS THE BENGALS ARE A BUY AT THIS LINE AND 59% OF THE MONEY SAYS THAT DALLAS WON’T COVER. I BEG TO DIFFER, THE BOYS WILL BLOW THEM OUT. AFTER ALL, WOULD YOU EVEN CONSIDER BETTING ON THE BENGALS?.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: DALLAS<o
></o>ATS WINNER: DALLAS –16.0 (IF NUMBER TO HIGH TEASE DOWN)<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 44.5<o
></o><o
></o>(41.0) NEW ENGLAND 20<o
></o>(+3.0) SAN FRANCISCO 17<o
></o><o
></o>FOR NEW ENGLAND TO TRAVEL TO THE WEST COAST TO PLAY AN IMPROVED 49ER TEAM. NE COMES OFF THAT TERRIBLE LOSS TO THE DOLPHINS 2 WEEKS AGO, AND HAD A BYE WEEK TO PLAN FOR THIS GAME. SF IS 1<SUP>ST</SUP> IN SACKS ALLOWED, THEY DON’T HAVE A GOOD OFFENSIVE LINE. PROBLEM IS THE PATS EXPOSED THEIR WEAKNESSES ON BOTH SIDE OF THE AFTER THAT BLOW OUT DEFEAT. PATRIOTS SECONDARY IS TERIBLE, AND THEY ARE AGING AT LINEBACKER, AND HAVE SLOWED DOWN DEFENSIVELY. ON OFFENSE, WITH BRADY GONE, SO HAS THE MIGHTY OFFENSIVE POINT PRODUCTION VANISHED WITH QB CASSEL’S AS THEIR STARTER. ALSO DISAPPEARING IS WR RANDY MOSS, HE IS NOW THE INVISIBLE MAN. CASSELS CANT GET THE BALL TO HIM DEEP, AND MOSS HAS LOST HIS GAME. THE ONLY OTHER RELIABLE RECEIVER THEY HAVE IS WES WELKER. HE IS A TROOPER, BUT IS THE PATRIOT GAME PLAN GOING TO PASS THE BALL OVER 10 TIMES TO HIM?. SF 49ERS HAS A TOUGH SECONDARY , THE NINERS PROBLEM IS THEY CANT STOP THE RUSH. WHO DOES THE PATS HAVE AT RUNNING BACK TO REALLY EXPLOIT THEIR WEAKNESS?. <o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: TRAP GAME ALL THE WAY, 65% OF THE PUBLIC IS ALREADY ON NEW ENGLAND. I SAY PASS AT THIS GAME.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: NEW ENGLAND<o
></o>ATS WINNER: PASS<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 41.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(36.0) PITTSBURGH 21<o
></o>(-5.0) JACKSONVILLE 20<o
></o><o
></o>PITTSBURGH HAS PLAYED SO POORLY THE PAST 2 WEEKS THAT THE BOOK MADE THEM –5 POINT DOGS IN THIS GAME. HOWEVER, I LOVE THE STEELERS IN THIS SPOT. THE STEELERS PLAYED BANGED UP VS TWO TOP NFL DEFENSES PHILADELPHIA, AND BALTIMORE. BY COMPARISON OF THE STEELERS OPPONENTS, THEY FACED PHILADELPHIA THAT RECORDED 17 SACKS ON THE SEASON, BALTIMORE THAT RECORDER 9 SACKS IN ONLY 3 GAMES, AND NOW FACE A JAGUAR TEAM THAT HAS ONLY RECORDED 5 SACKS. QB ROETHLISBERGER SHOULD FINALLY HAVE SOME TIME TO SET UP IN THE POCKET AND LOCATE HIS RECEIVERS WITHOUT NO PASS RUSH IN HIS FACE.. DON’T LET JACKSONVILLE FOOL YOU TO HOW GOOD THEY ARE. LAST IMPRESSIONS WHEN THEY PLAYED THAT TERRIBLE TEXAN TEAM LAST WEEK QB GERRARD LOOKED LIKE A STAR WHEN HE FACED THE TEXAN LOOUSY SECONDARY. IN REALITY, UP UNTIL THAT GAME COUNTING THE PRE SEASON, QB GERRARD HASN’T PRODUCED AGAINST GOOD DEFENSES. THE REASON WHY GERRARD HAD A GOOD GAME VS HOUSTON, THE TEXANS GAMBLED AND PLAYED 8 MEN IN THE BOX IN HOPES OF PRESSURING HIM SINCE THEY HAD NO PASS RUSH, AND THEY FEARED MAINLY TAYLOR, AND JONES RUSHING THE BALL. NOW QB GERRARD PLAYS A STOUT TOP PITTSBURGH DEFENSE THAT DOESN’T SACRIFICE THEIR DEFENSE TO PLAY 8 IN THE BOX. IN ADDITION, THIS IS A REVENGE GAME FOR THE STEELERS SINCE THEY LOST TO THE JAGS IN THE PLAYOFFS LAST SEASON.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: 57% OF THE PUBLIC IS ON JACKSONVILLE. PITTSBURGH IS THE PLAY HERE AND ONE OF MY BEST BETS.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: PITTSBURGH<o
></o>ATS WINNER: PITTSBURGH +5.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: OVER 36.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(46.5) MINNESOTA 23<o
></o>(-3.0) NEW ORLEANS 21<o
></o><o
></o>LIKE THE VIKES, AND HERE ARE MY RESONS. <o
></o>#1. VIKES BRYANT MCKINNIE RETURNS TO THE LINE UP AFTER 4 GAME SUSPENSION. A GREAT RUNNING ATTACK BECOME LETHAL VS A SAINTS 29<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED RUSH DEFENSE.<o
></o>#2. ADRIAN PETERSON IS A BLU CHIP RUNNING BACK AND COULD RUSH FOR ALMOST 200 YARDS.<o
></o>#3. IF THE SAINTS PLAY 8 IN THE BOX. QB GUS FERROTTE, THE VETERAN THAT HE IS, WILL FEED OFF THE PLAY ACTION PASS, AND WILL EXPLOIT NEW ORLEANS SUSPECT SECONDARY.<o
></o>#4. MINNESOTA IS A TOP DEFENSE, AND THE SAINTS MAYBE SLOWED DOWN OFFENSIVELY.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: PLAY THE VIKES AND TAKE THE POINTS.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE: MINNESOTA<o
></o>ATS WINNER: MINNESOTA +3.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: UNDER 46.5<o
></o><o
></o>BROOKLYNWORMS BEST BET PLAYS
<o
></o>ATS SPREAD<o
></o><o
></o>ARIZONA –1.0<o
></o>MINNESOTA +3.0<o
></o>PITTSBURGH +5.0<o
></o>OVER/UNDER: BUFFALO/ARIZONA UNDER 44.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>10 POINT TEASER
<o
></o>DALLAS –6.0<o
></o>NY GIANTS EVEN<o
></o>ATLANTA +10.5<o
></o>ARIZONA +9.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>GOOD LUCK TOO ALL<o
></o>BROOKLYNWORM<o
></o><o
></o>
