Brooklynworm's nfl picks and predictions for week #1.

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GREEN BAY (50) @ CHICAGO (+6.5)
GAME EVALUATION: Although the Packers lost J. Nelson for the entire season, they have tremendous depth, and can replace him. QB Rodgers, is the best QB in the NFL, however, the offensive line is in disarray, and Rodgers needs protection in the pocket. The other issue is, that GB has lapses in defending the run at times, and is questionable going into this game. Overall, the Packers had a mediocre preseason, and nothing to write home about. As for the Chicago Bears. New Head Coach, new system, and Jay Cutler? That sums it all up in 2015, and what you can expect. On the bright side, the Bears awful looking defense in recent years, looked improved during their preseason. The biggest problem of all with the Bears, is that they didn’t add enough talent in the off season, to improve their roster. The Bears will execute a more balanced 50/50 offense this season. PREDICTED SCORE: Green Bay 29 Chicago 17. Play Under the total (50), and lay the -6.5 points to the Bears.
INDIANAPOLIS (46) BUFFALO (+2.5)
GAME EVALUATION: This could be an interesting clash that could result in a Buffalo Bill victory. Indianapolis had a lousy preseason. Not that winning games in the preseason means anything, it’s the way the Colts executed in camp. On the other hand, Buffalo had an excellent preseason, and appear to be ready to start the season at home. The Colts did nothing to improve their offensive line in the off season, and it showed even worst in camp. If their pass protection gives way into the regular season, Luck, will have trouble carrying this offense. The Colts always had good Defensive Ends that could pass rush in the past. Now, that pass rush had faded to mediocrity. Don’t get me wrong about the Colt offense, they have plenty of weapons to help luck. The only question I have, is their offensive line. Now with that in mind, let’s look at their matchup with the Bills. Buffalo, has suited up one of the best defensive units in the NFL in 2015. Going into this game however, we cannot predict the effectiveness of a third string QB . Tyrod Taylor , at the helm, and the availability of Le Sean McCoy? The Bills do have plenty of depth on their roster. So I expect that a Rex Ryan team, will play defense first, and offense second, meaning that you can expect plenty of low scoring games. PREDICTED SCORE: Buffalo 28 Indianapolis 21. Take the Over the total (46), and take Buffalo (+2.5). This is an upset pick.

CLEVELAND (39.5) @ NY JETS (-3)
GAME EVALUATION: Some things never change, and that’s the best way to describe the Cleveland Browns in 2015. Their offense by comparison to all the other NFL teams, fields the least talent. The offensive line is suspect, and starting Josh McCown at QB , isn’t a good call. The problems on offense is primarily, they don’t have any go to guys at running back, or at wide receiver. Their preseason camp rating overall was fair, and their defense ranks good, but not outstanding. The Jets are in the same boat, and things never change, Or what can go wrong, will go wrong. The offense is terrible, and without Geno Smith (not that it matters). Although they landed two big off season prizes in Revis, and Cromartie, the defense isn’t that good, especially with DT Richardson serving a four game suspension. I wonder now about Revis. He is now older, and may become complacent, since scoring that huge contract with the Jets. However, there is a bright side to all this. Fitzpatrick will be their starting QB. I look at it as an upgrade to Geno Smith. The new Head Coach Todd Bowles has displayed discipline, and is changing the culture in NYC. His positive approach as head coach, showed on the field in preseason. After spending all that big money of free agents, the overall depth of the team weakened. Meaning, that injuries during the regular season, could become costly. The defense will have some more validity, once Richardson comes off suspension. In this match up, either team can win. I don’t like the lines out of Vegas for this game, and would pass. However, here is my prediction. PREDICTED SCORE: Cleveland 23 NY Jets 21. Play the Over (39.5).
KANSAS CITY (41.0) @ HOUSTON (-1)
GAME EVALUATION: Let’s start with KC. The Chiefs in the off season addressed their inept offense with some talented weapons. Recall, in 2014, the Chiefs didn’t score on a passing TD all season. Now, KC has more fire power, besides Jamal Charles. In the preseason exhibition games, they managed to score 8 of their 11 TD’s via the pass. With that said, let’s now examine their issues. The offensive line is questionable, and struggled in the preseason. Injuries have creeped up on them, and they lost one of their talented players, Defensive Tackle, Poe. The defensive line without Poe, will not be able to stop the run. Overall, I rank the KC defense coming into this season 26[SUP]th[/SUP] out of 32 teams. Besides that, they have one of the toughest NFL schedules in 2015, and I expect them to struggle in the first half of the season. As for the Texans, had an excellent preseason, however, they will have trouble scoring without Arian Foster’s presence on the field. The defense is their bread and butter, with Wilfork, JJ Watt, and Clowney. Added to the mix is K. Johnson. This will be a defense to be reckoned with. The QB position is questionable, and the choice of starting Brian Hoyer may be a mistake. In the meantime, Houston without Foster will be a pass first team, with great depth at the position. The offensive line has also improved. In this match up, I will take Houston’s defense to win this game. PREDICTED SCORE: Houston 20 Kansas City 19, take the under the total (41.0), (I don’t like this play at all, the game could swing either way)
MIAMI (43) @ WASHINGTON (+4)
GAME EVALUATION: Miami has improved its team this off season, but can you really trust them just on paper? QB Tannehill had a solid preseason, the only question is if he can translate that high level of play during the regular season. Tannehill now is surrounded with talented offensive players, and there shouldn’t be no excuses. The Dolphins have a new look defense, and their front seven is stout vs. the run. They added Suh to the defensive line, and their defense is solid there. The jury is still out on their secondary, and we should get a better idea about their pass defense, in the next few games. The problem with Miami every season, is that they struggle in December. Washington, has their own issues, starting with their pass defense. The secondary is a work in progress, meaning that they can be beaten. They added some talent to the front seven in the off season, and this group defended the rush pretty well during the exhibition season. However, I raked them 31[SUP]st[/SUP], out of 32 teams on defense. Their offense is in disarray, with the RG3 situation, an awful offensive line, and simply not enough weapons on offense. That’s why a rated them 27[SUP]th[/SUP] out of 32 teams in this category. PREDICTED SCORE: Miami 21 Washington 17. Miami to win, but Cover the spread? Take Miami (-4), and play under the total (43).


CAROLINA (41.0) @ JACKSONVILLE (+3.0)
GAME EVALUATION: For openers, I think the Jaguars will be a better team in 2015. No longer will they be the NFL’s doormat. There problem was scoring points in the last three seasons, and this will improve during the course of the year. However, in week #1, don’t expect much from their offense. The Jags face one of the elite defenses in the NFL. The Carolina defense is expected to carry this team. In the preseason, the Panthers lost their top offensive weapon, Kelvin Benjamin for the year, QB Cam Newton, didn’t have a good preseason, they have no wide receivers to go to, expect Greg Olson. They failed to improve their offensive line. As for the Jaguars, QB Bortles will show improvement now, with NFL experience under his belt. Wide receiver Allen Robinson makes a huge difference for Bortles, with his talent, and ability. Overall their receivers are inexperienced. In this match up, you have to take Carolina’s defense to win this low scoring affair. PREDICTED SCORE: Carolina 20 Jacksonville 16. Play the UNDER the total (41.0).
SEATTLE (41.0) @ ST. LOUIS (+4.0) GAME EVALUATION: On paper Seattle appears to be a team destined to return to the Super Bowl, and why not? The only unanswered question that I have, is how good will their retooled offensive line play? Their offensive line didn’t show much in the preseason, and you wonder how long into the regular season will it take for their line to gel? This is important, since the Seahawks predicate their offense by running the football, and playing defense. Obviously, the Seahawks will have to pass more, especially now with Graham, and Lockett injected into the offense. DE Frank Clark is outstanding, as well as the Seattle defense. St. Louis, Has a great front seven that can stop the run. Their weakness is in their secondary. The problem is with the Rams, is their offense. Their offensive line is horrible, and they struggled in the preseason by not protecting their QB. Questionable is their new starting QB Foles, the talent of their Wide receivers, and running backs. Besides their devastating pass rush on defense, I don’t see much else. In this match up, it looks like a low scoring game, and both defense will dictate the final score of this game. PREDICTED SCORE: Seattle 21 St. Louis 14. I wouldn’t take Seattle and lay the four points on the road. Under the total, looks like a solid play (41.0)

NEW ORLEANS (48) @ ARIZONA (-2.5) GAME EVALUATION: New Orleans could be in for a long season. Their division may keep them competitive, however, beyond that brings up serious doubt. The Saint defense is inconsistent. They played poorly in the preseason, shown no discipline by committing numerous penalties. Just in four exhibition games, they allowed 121 points, 14 TD’s. They also have serious injuries to their secondary. Their offense is there only hope, by hanging on the arm of Drew Brees. In 2014, Brees tied with Ben Roethlisberger for the most passing yardage. Expect more of the same in 2015. Simply because Brees will have to air out the ball often, when they fall far behind in games too early. Arizona Cardinals, has something to look forward to. They have a healthy Carson Palmer back at quarterback. The Cards added more offensive talent in the off season. They added many free agents on defense. However, their offensive line has many upgrades, but with issues. They suffered many injuries, and a suspension. If this line is suspect, the question is will Carson Palmer be protected in the pocket? The other question, can there new defensive coordinator, scheme, and maintain their level of play? We won’t know this until the season actually starts. In this match up, you have to like Arizona at home. PREDICTED SCORE: Arizona 27 New Orleans 21. I don’t like the under/over in this contest. Arizona should be able to cover -2.5 points.
DETROIT (46.0) @ SAN DIEGO (-3.0) GAME EVALUATION: This game looks like a good match up, and will be interesting to watch. Detroit lost their best defender, Suh, to Miami. So the question is, will the Lion defense go forward or regress. I know that the lion offense took a step forward. In the off season, they upgraded their offensive line, and added talent to their skilled positions. Despite the loss of Suh, the defense played well during the exhibition season. Overall, Detroit had a good preseason, and I ranked their offense 11 th in the league, and 9[SUP]th[/SUP] defensively. San Diego, will put the 2014 season behind them. Recall, the injury bug took a toll on their running backs earlier that season, and the Chargers had no rushing attack. In addition, QB Rivers was injured, and is now healthy for the 2015 season. The offensive line has vastly improved. So let’s say, the Charger offense is back on track. Their defense is more aggressive, and played well in the exhibition season. They recovered four turnovers, and recorded 12 sacks. This game could go either way, and be won in the closing seconds with a field goal. Tread lightly. PREDICTED SCORE: San Diego 23 Detroit 21.Go with UNDER the total (46.0).
TENNESSEE (41.0) @ TAMPA BAY (-3.0) GAME EVALUATION: How can I put this in a nice way? Both Tampa Bay, and Tennessee, are in the rebuilding stages. Meaning, don’t expect much from either team this season. However, they open up their season going head to head, and let’s look at who the lucky winner will be. Tennessee’s Rookie QB, top draft pick, Marcus Mariota , has opened some eyes in the preseason. He completed 70% of his passes, and has shown signs of a veteran under center. The problem Mariota will have in the regular season, is that he doesn’t have the offensive weapons to surround him. Exhibition games are one thing, Regular season games is another. However, the Titans showed flashes of a running game in the preseason, by averaging 109.3 yards per game. The Titan defense made improvements, however, the real test will come in the regular season. Expect growing pains in 2015. In Tampa Bay, they have the other top draft pick, Jameis Winston. The NFL isn’t college ball, and Winston was a turnover machine in college. He can’t make those kind of mistakes in the NFL, or he will be buried. The good news is, that the Bucs have talented returning players at the skilled positions, and QB Josh McCown came be an upgrade, while Winston learns the ropes. Jameis was awful in the preseason. He threw for zero TD’s, completed under 50% of his passes, two interceptions, seven times sacked, and one rushing TD. Some of his poor play, could be blamed on their offensive line. This line is suspect, and I question their ability. With all this said about both teams, which team really has the edge? I can’t see Tampa Bay winning this game by more than a field goal, or lose this game outright. I will play the underdog in this spot, just for giggles, and no more than that. PREDICTED SCORE: Tennessee 16 Tampa Bay 15. Play the UNDER the total (41.0).
CINCINNATI (43.5) @ OAKLAND (+3.5) GAME EVALUATION: The Oakland Raiders may have had one of their best preseason camps in years. This is a team that made major improvements, starting with their first round pick, Amari Cooper.QB Derek Carr is developing into an NFL QB, heading into his second season, and the defense has improved. The game plan will be, run first, and pass second. Once the game is established, its bomb’s away to his wide receivers Cooper, and Crabtree. Did I mention, that the Raiders actually have an improved offensive line? Hard to find any negatives with the Raiders this season. The only question is, can they carry over their preseason, to the regular season. One thing for sure, they will be competitive. Now, let’s look at their opponent, Cincinnati. They too had a good preseason, and the Raider defense will be tested. The Bengals have one of the elite offensive lines in football. On offense they have many talented players, at all their skilled positions. QB Dalton , now has the support, to bring his game to another level. Besides the talent, this team has depth on their roster. In the preseason, their one – two punch rushing attack consists of Jeremy Hill, and Giovani Bernard, and averaged 126 yards in 4 exhibition games. The problem with the Bengals is their shaky defense. They shown improvement in the preseason, however we don’t know what defense will show up in 2015? Although the Raiders improved, the Bengals have more horses. PREDICTED SCORE: Cincinnati 23 Oakland 20. Tough play here, and I would take the +3.5 at home, and play the UNDER the total (43.5).
BALTIMORE (53.0) @ DENVER (-4.5) GAME EVALUATION: Baltimore made sure in the off season, to shower Flacco with talent. With his skilled players on offense, Flacco could be bound for a big season. The problem is, that they lost their #1 draft pick Breshard Perriman in the preseason with a knee injury, and Williams has been a big disappointment. On top of that, the Ravens played horrid defense, in their four exhibition games. The defense gave up 12 TD’s, 8 turnovers, during their preseason. Although John Harbaugh is an excellent Head Coach, and has yet to have a losing record with the Ravens in his seven year tenure, and has to wonder if Baltimore is overrated. Denver on the other hand, has the talent, and the skilled players, and played a solid preseason. Their defense is one of the best, led by their swarming pass rush. This is the best defense in Denver in years, and they know how to hurry the opposing QB. The offensive line lacks experience, however, the game plan is to run the football more, pass less, and play a physical defense. The philosophy here is to keep Peyton Manning healthy throughout the season. In this match up, Baltimore has to take their act on the road, and their defense worries me. Denver’s personnel, appears to have their act together coming off the preseason. PREDICTED SCORE: Denver 26 Baltimore 23. Play the UNDER, and take Baltimore (+4.5).

NY GIANTS (51.5) @ DALLAS (-6)
I expect another disappointing season for the NY Giants. They lost two elite playmakers Pierre-Paul, and Beatty, and have struggled throughout the preseason. The Defense is in bad shape, with other starters lost to injuries. The Giant running game is unpredictable, and QB Eli Manning commits too many turnovers. On the bright side, this can be a high octane offense, as long as all the players at the skilled offensive positions stay healthy. Eli now knows, and adjusted to their new offensive schemes, and has Beckham Jr., and Victor Cruz to help him. Overall, I expect the Giants to score, but on the other hand, give up many points on defense. The Dallas Cowboys, come off a great 2014 season. Despite Demarco Murray’s departure, the Cowboys have an elite offensive line that will open holes for his replacement. They improved their front seven on defense, and their secondary is questionable. In the preseason, the offense hasn’t shown much, like last in 2014, and they will not have DE Hardy, and McClain, for the first four games of the regular season. In this matchup, I expect a high scoring affair. However, Vegas set the bar on the Under/Over at 51 ½ points? May be a stretch to go over the total. PREDICTED SCORE: Dallas 30 NY Giants 24. I like Dallas across the board.
PHILADELPHIA (55.0) @ ATLANTA (+3.0) GAME EVALUATION: With all the commotion, and race cards directed at Head Coach Chip Kelly, after revamping the Eagle offense, is wrong. QB Bradford is a perfect fit to run Chip’s unique offense. The additions a Marcus Murray, provides them with more options in their back field. This is a team loaded with talent, and enjoyed at great preseason. They are functioning as a unit, and the defense also looks better in the preseason. The Eagles are impressive, on paper, and the preseason> they should be able to keep this engine running into the regular season, and I see them going deep into the playoffs. Atlanta Falcons, started the preseason on the right foot. They didn’t suffer many injuries in the preseason, as years past. The defense is improved, a new head coach, with a new offensive scheme, and keep in mind Dan Quinn coached the number one defense in Seattle. Their QB Ryan, is underrated, and the Falcons could be a sleeper in 2015. Overall, their new head coach, has them playing aggressive, and physical football, and has changed the atmosphere of their clubhouse. The issues that I now see is their offensive line. The positives that I see is their two new wide receivers, Hankerson, and Hardy. In this matchup, I think the Falcons could give the Eagles a game, however, I also think that the Eagles will pull away in the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter. I like the over in this game, and the Eagles to cover the number. PREDICTED SCORE: Philadelphia 33 Atlanta 23.
MINNESOTA (41.5) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+2.5) GAME EVALUATION: Let me just say this. Minnesota is my biggest sleeper going into the 2015 season. I really think they are capable to win over 9 games, and make the playoffs. QB Bridgewater, after one season of NFL experience, is playing like an aged veteran. Adrian Peterson’s return is a plus, and with the addition of WR Mike Wallace. This could become a “sweet, offensive club. The defense looks solid, and should keep the Vikings close in most of their games. They had a terrific camp, and they have the young talent to show for it. San Francisco, demolished their entire team in the off season, and they are rebuilding it around QB Kaepernick. Reports are, that Kaepernick, worked hard this off season with Kurt Warner. The results appear to have paid off in the preseason, and he has found his foot work, and touch, when dropping back to pass from the pocket. The Niners also added new bootleg plays, to play into Kaepernick’s strength. The Niners may surprise, and not become the door mat of the league, after losing all their talent. My problem with SF, was there offense during their four exhibition games. The 49ers , only managed 3 touchdowns in the air, and none rushing. Kaepernick, didn’t see much action in the preseason. He dropped back 16 times to pass, and was sacked three times. In this matchup, I will take Minnesota, to cover the spread, and win this game outright. PREDICTED SCORE: Minnesota 23 San Francisco 20.








[FONT=&quot]PITTSBURGH (55.0) @ NEW ENGLAND (-6.5)
GAME EVALUATION: Both sides have lost a lot after the 2014 season, while entering the NFL season opener this Thursday night. Pittsburgh’s outstanding defense started to dwindle in the second half of last year. Troy Polamalu is gone, along with their defensive wizard Dick LeBeau. In 2015, the Steelers have too many inexperienced, and young players, to fill those defensive roles. In the preseason, the Steeler defense was awful, and looked more pitiful than in their 2014 Champaign. Besides the Steelers defensive woes, we now turn the the offensive side of the football. Pittsburgh, will be missing three key offensive players for the game at Foxboro Stadium. Levon Bell, Martavis Bryant, and Maurice Pouncey. The Steeler offense is the strength to carry this team, by outscoring their opponents. However, their scoring potential could be challenged in week #1. On the bright side, they have Andre Brown, and Marcus Wheaton, to help pull up the slack. Did you know that Roethlisberger in 2014, tied Drew Brees for the most passing yardage thrown by an NFL QB 4.952? Pittsburgh’s problem in this game is, that they won’t be able to establish the run, and can be facing many third down, and longs. This will enable the Patriots to take more chances on defense. On top of all that, the Steelers lost two place kickers during the preseason. On the flip side, the New England Patriots, have their own issues. First, was the Tom Brady distractions? Secondly, how physically, and mentally ready is Tom Brady for the opener? Third, how will the Pats play without their two best cornerbacks, that helped lead them to a Super Bowl? Lastly, what about the injury status of their two offensive weapons, Edleman, and La Fell ? Another item to note. The Patriots secondary, failed to pick off a pass in any of their preseason games. Overall, on paper, the Patriots are the better prepared team coming into this tilt. Pittsburgh, had a terrible preseason camp, and they are starting to fade as a defensive unit. There are too many unknown factors in this game at present. It certainly isn’t a runaway game for the Patriots. So tread lightly on this game. PREDICTED SCORE: New England 27 Pittsburgh 20. Play under the total.[/FONT]
 
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Thanks Ace, Glad to see you still on this Board. You have many years. I always like what you post as a handicapper. Good Luck today. BROOKLYNWORM.
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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Great read my friend..... good luck today!!!
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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B/worm..........always good to see your thoughts...........lov the write ups...........BOL with all your action............indy
 

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logged in for first time in years just to say hallelujah the worm is back!!! looking like a sharp week 1 nice capping BW.

:103631605
 

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