(44.0) NEW YORK JETS 24
(9.5) SAN DIEGO 28
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MONDAY NIGHTS MATCHUP IN MY OPINION FEATURES TWO OVERRATED TEAMS. SAN DIEGO LOST TWO TOUGH GAMES 24-26 TO CAROLINA (MORE OF A DEFENSIVE TEAM), AND 38-39 TO DENVER (MORE OF AN OFFENSIVE TEAM). JETS BEAT OUT A BAD MIAMI TEAM IN WEEK #1 20-14, AND THEM LOST TO A SUSPECT NEW ENGLAND TEAM WITHOUT QB BRADY 10-19. WE KNOW ONE THING FOR SURE NOW, THAT IS MIAMI AND NEW ENGLAND’S SECONDARY ARE SUSPECT, AND IN THOSE TWO GAMES THE JETS MANAGED TO ONLY SCORE AN AVERAGE OF 15 POINTS. GRANTED SAN DIEGO IS A POOR DEFENSIVE SQUAD, ESPECIALLY THEIR SECONDARY, BUT CAN QB BRETT FARVE EXPLOIT THEIR PASS DEFENSE WHEN HE COULD’NT MUSTER ENOUGH OFFENSE IN THE PAST TWO GAMES?. NOW BY COMPARISON WE KNOW THE JETS OFFENSE ISN’T AS EXPLOSIVE AS THE DENVER BRONCOS, AND DENVER SCORED 39 PTS, ( IF YOU CONSIDER THEN BLOWN FUMBLE CALL 31 PTS). SO PLAYING THE DEVIL’S ADVOCATE LET’S CRUNCH THE NUMBERS. JETS WON’T SCORE 30 PTS, AND BASED ON THEIR SEASON AVERAGE , THEY SHOULDN’T BE ABLE TO SCORE NO MORE THEN 23 TO 27 PTS VS SAN DIEGO. THE JET’S DEFENSE HASN’T BEEN TESTED WITH A TEAM WITH A RUNNING BACK LIKE LT, AND THE FIRE POWER THEY POSSESS ON OFFENSE OVERALL WITH QB PHILLIP RIVERS HAVING A GOOD SEASON. JETS SECONADARY FACED THE WEAK ARM OF PENNINGTON, AND THEN DEFENDED AGAINST THE BRADY = LESS PATRIOT FLUNKY CASSEL. NOW CRUNCH THESE NUMBERS. I CONSIDER CAROLINA WON OF THE BETTER NFL DEFENSE, AND YET SAN DIEGO MANAGED TO SCORE 24 POINTS AGAINST THEM. SO TAKE THEIR SEASON AVERAGE 31 PTS, AND TAKE THE 24 PTS THEY SCORED ON CAROLINA, AND THEN TAKE THE JETS DEFENSIVE AVERAGE 17 PTS. THIS WOULD AVERAGE OUT TO 24 PTS. NOW TAKE SAN DIEGO’S SEASON OFFENSIVE AVERAGE OF 31 AND MATCH IT WITH THE 24, AND THIS WILL TELL YOU THAT THE CHARGERS ARE CAPABLE OF SCORING ANYWHERE FROM 24 TO 28 POINTS VS THE JETS. THE JETS ARE A BETTER TEAM DEFENSIVELY THEN DENVER’S, AND A STEP BEHIND CAROLINA. SO I AM LOOKING FOR THE MEDIUM RESULT.
IN ANYCASE THIS SENARIO TELLS YOU THAT THIS GAME WILL BE DECIDED BY NO MORE THEN 1 TO 5 POINTS, OR LET’S CALL IT A TOUCHDOWN.<o></o>
HERE ARE MY REASONS TO CONSIDER: #1 SD RANKS 5<SUP>TH</SUP> IN SCORING, BUT HASN’T PLAYED A DOMINATE DEFENSE ALL SEASON. #2 JETS HAVE A DECENT DEFENSE 4<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND 13<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, WITH 8 DEFENSIVE SACKS. #3 SD HAS NO PASS RUSH WITHOUT MERRIMAN. #4 SD HAS ALLOWED 587 PASSING YARDS AND RANK 31<SUP>ST</SUP> ON PASS DEFENSE. #4 QB FARVE AND COMPANY HAVE AVERAGED ONLY 15 POINTS ON OFFENSE IN THEIR FIRST TWO GAMES. WILL THE 3<SUP>RD</SUP> BE A CHARM?. #5 SD IS ALLOWING AN ALARMING 5.3 YARDS PER CARRY ON DEFENSE. # 6 SAN DIEGO’S RB LT’S INJURED TOE HAS EFFECTED HIS PRODUCTIVITY. #7 SD CANNOT AFFORD TO FALL TO 0-3. #8 JETS LOST LAST WEEK AND WILL BE UP FOR THIS GAME SINCE THE PATRIOTS LOST, OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS TO CONTEND IN THEIR DIVISION.<o></o>
<o></o>
RECOMMENDATIONS: 9.5 POINTS IS TOO MUCH FOR SD TO LAY HERE. CONSIDER THE HUGE SPREADS IN THE NYGIANT/CINN GAME, AND THE MIAMI/NE GAME. THE JETS ARE DECENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST COVER THE LINE. <o></o>
MONEYLINE WINNER: SAN DIEGO<o></o>
ATS WINNER: NEW YORK JETS (+9.5)<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL; PLAY OVER THE TOTAL 44.0<o></o>
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IF YOUR BOOK ALLOWS YOU A TWO TEAM TEASER WITH THE ATS AND UNDER/OVER DO IT A LEAN TOWARDS THE JETS, AND LOWER THE TOTAL DOWN.<o></o>
<o></o>
GOOD LUCK TO ALL
<o></o>
BROOKLYNWORM<o></o>
:hugesmile
(9.5) SAN DIEGO 28
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>MONDAY NIGHTS MATCHUP IN MY OPINION FEATURES TWO OVERRATED TEAMS. SAN DIEGO LOST TWO TOUGH GAMES 24-26 TO CAROLINA (MORE OF A DEFENSIVE TEAM), AND 38-39 TO DENVER (MORE OF AN OFFENSIVE TEAM). JETS BEAT OUT A BAD MIAMI TEAM IN WEEK #1 20-14, AND THEM LOST TO A SUSPECT NEW ENGLAND TEAM WITHOUT QB BRADY 10-19. WE KNOW ONE THING FOR SURE NOW, THAT IS MIAMI AND NEW ENGLAND’S SECONDARY ARE SUSPECT, AND IN THOSE TWO GAMES THE JETS MANAGED TO ONLY SCORE AN AVERAGE OF 15 POINTS. GRANTED SAN DIEGO IS A POOR DEFENSIVE SQUAD, ESPECIALLY THEIR SECONDARY, BUT CAN QB BRETT FARVE EXPLOIT THEIR PASS DEFENSE WHEN HE COULD’NT MUSTER ENOUGH OFFENSE IN THE PAST TWO GAMES?. NOW BY COMPARISON WE KNOW THE JETS OFFENSE ISN’T AS EXPLOSIVE AS THE DENVER BRONCOS, AND DENVER SCORED 39 PTS, ( IF YOU CONSIDER THEN BLOWN FUMBLE CALL 31 PTS). SO PLAYING THE DEVIL’S ADVOCATE LET’S CRUNCH THE NUMBERS. JETS WON’T SCORE 30 PTS, AND BASED ON THEIR SEASON AVERAGE , THEY SHOULDN’T BE ABLE TO SCORE NO MORE THEN 23 TO 27 PTS VS SAN DIEGO. THE JET’S DEFENSE HASN’T BEEN TESTED WITH A TEAM WITH A RUNNING BACK LIKE LT, AND THE FIRE POWER THEY POSSESS ON OFFENSE OVERALL WITH QB PHILLIP RIVERS HAVING A GOOD SEASON. JETS SECONADARY FACED THE WEAK ARM OF PENNINGTON, AND THEN DEFENDED AGAINST THE BRADY = LESS PATRIOT FLUNKY CASSEL. NOW CRUNCH THESE NUMBERS. I CONSIDER CAROLINA WON OF THE BETTER NFL DEFENSE, AND YET SAN DIEGO MANAGED TO SCORE 24 POINTS AGAINST THEM. SO TAKE THEIR SEASON AVERAGE 31 PTS, AND TAKE THE 24 PTS THEY SCORED ON CAROLINA, AND THEN TAKE THE JETS DEFENSIVE AVERAGE 17 PTS. THIS WOULD AVERAGE OUT TO 24 PTS. NOW TAKE SAN DIEGO’S SEASON OFFENSIVE AVERAGE OF 31 AND MATCH IT WITH THE 24, AND THIS WILL TELL YOU THAT THE CHARGERS ARE CAPABLE OF SCORING ANYWHERE FROM 24 TO 28 POINTS VS THE JETS. THE JETS ARE A BETTER TEAM DEFENSIVELY THEN DENVER’S, AND A STEP BEHIND CAROLINA. SO I AM LOOKING FOR THE MEDIUM RESULT.
IN ANYCASE THIS SENARIO TELLS YOU THAT THIS GAME WILL BE DECIDED BY NO MORE THEN 1 TO 5 POINTS, OR LET’S CALL IT A TOUCHDOWN.<o
></o>HERE ARE MY REASONS TO CONSIDER: #1 SD RANKS 5<SUP>TH</SUP> IN SCORING, BUT HASN’T PLAYED A DOMINATE DEFENSE ALL SEASON. #2 JETS HAVE A DECENT DEFENSE 4<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN, AND 13<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS, WITH 8 DEFENSIVE SACKS. #3 SD HAS NO PASS RUSH WITHOUT MERRIMAN. #4 SD HAS ALLOWED 587 PASSING YARDS AND RANK 31<SUP>ST</SUP> ON PASS DEFENSE. #4 QB FARVE AND COMPANY HAVE AVERAGED ONLY 15 POINTS ON OFFENSE IN THEIR FIRST TWO GAMES. WILL THE 3<SUP>RD</SUP> BE A CHARM?. #5 SD IS ALLOWING AN ALARMING 5.3 YARDS PER CARRY ON DEFENSE. # 6 SAN DIEGO’S RB LT’S INJURED TOE HAS EFFECTED HIS PRODUCTIVITY. #7 SD CANNOT AFFORD TO FALL TO 0-3. #8 JETS LOST LAST WEEK AND WILL BE UP FOR THIS GAME SINCE THE PATRIOTS LOST, OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS TO CONTEND IN THEIR DIVISION.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATIONS: 9.5 POINTS IS TOO MUCH FOR SD TO LAY HERE. CONSIDER THE HUGE SPREADS IN THE NYGIANT/CINN GAME, AND THE MIAMI/NE GAME. THE JETS ARE DECENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST COVER THE LINE. <o
></o>MONEYLINE WINNER: SAN DIEGO<o
></o>ATS WINNER: NEW YORK JETS (+9.5)<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL; PLAY OVER THE TOTAL 44.0<o
></o><o
></o>IF YOUR BOOK ALLOWS YOU A TWO TEAM TEASER WITH THE ATS AND UNDER/OVER DO IT A LEAN TOWARDS THE JETS, AND LOWER THE TOTAL DOWN.<o
></o><o
></o>GOOD LUCK TO ALL
<o
></o>BROOKLYNWORM<o
></o>:hugesmile
