Brooklynworm's 2016 nfl picks, and predictions, week #5.

Search
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
3,148
Tokens
First, Last week, my picks were a nightmare, and I plan on rebounding this weekend.

ARIZONA (42 ½) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+3)
Arizona has played up to their expectations, thus far, this season. QB Carson Palmer , hasn’t played well this entire year. Now, Palmer may be out for this game, pending his concussion protocol. The good news is, that San Francisco’s secondary is awful, and the Cardinal backup quarterback, is capable of getting the football to his playmaker receivers. If you watched week #4, San Francisco’s best defender, LB Navarro Bowman, was injured, and lost for the season. Before his injury, Dallas couldn’t run on the niners. As soon as he was knocked out, the flood gates opened the door for the Cowboy running attack. So if SF can’t stop the run, expect Arizona RB David Johnson to have a big day. San Francisco, is hindered at quarterback. Blaine doesn’t have the arm strength to throw the football, deep, vertically. Arizona, has a pass rush, and Gabbert will be exposed to pressure, and limited to short passes. Arizona has trouble stopping the run, so expect SF RB Carlos Hyde, to become the 49 er offense. As of today, both offenses have issues, and Arizona, now has the better defense, with San Francisco’s best defender out. PREDICTED SCORE: ARIZONA 21 SAN FRANCISCO 17. TAKE ARIZONA -3, AND PLAY UNDER 42 ½.
HOUSTON (40.0) @ MINNESOTA (-6)
Minnesota’s defense is outstanding thus far, this season. They can pass rush at will, their secondary play is tenacious, and Houston doesn’t have a RB , or an offensive line , that is capable of beating the Vikings defensive front seven in the trenches. If Eli Manning was frustrated by the Vikings, how can you expect Houston’s QB Osweiler, to do any better? Going down the list, Bradford, has made the adjustments at QB, the running game is good behind a great offensive line. Houston, can’t stop the run without JJ Watt. You have to like Minnesota’s chances, especially at home. PREDICTED SCORE: MINNESOTA 29 HOUSTON 19, TAKE MINNESOTA -6, AND PLAY OVER 40.0.
TENNESSEE (43 ½) @ MIAMI (-3 ½)
I am currently watching that Hurricane, that is approaching Miami, and vicinity, this weekend. Who knows if the game has to be shifted to Tennessee, or what the game time conditions would be like? So I will do my best, to tout this game. Miami will get Pouncey back at Center. You see what happened to the Miami’s offensive line last week versus Cincinnati. It could handle the Bengal pass rush, and Tannehill was hurried the entire game. Now with their Center back, the Dolphins may have a shot of slowing the outstanding pass rush of the Titans. This means that Tannehill will have more time in the pocket. Just like Cincinnati last week, Tennessee will win the war in the trenches. Miami hasn’t a running game. Don’t expect Tennessee to do much on the ground, vs. the Miami front seven on defense. Mariota, should produce a good game, against a horrid Miami secondary. Tennessee, has a good enough offensive line, to keep the pocket clean for Mariota. One trend to consider, Miami is 7 -20 against the spread, when favorites of -3 ½ points or more since 2008.PREDICTED SCORE: TENNESSEE 19 MIAMI 17, TAKE TENNESSEE +3 ½, O/U PLAY UNDER 43 ½.
NEW ENGLAND (46 ½) @ CLEVELAND (+11)
After losing in a shutout, to their division rivals last week, expect the Patriots to go one the war path. Brady, Gronkowski, and Nickovich , all return. Regardless of how rusty Brady may be, Tom will overcome any of his physical limitations, with tremendous emotion. Brady’s emotions, will translate onto the field with his team mates, and a 100% effort will be given by all. Brady , will ease into this game, by utilizing his running back Blount, to find the holes against an inept Cleveland front seven, that can’t stop the run. Once the run is established, next comes play action passing, and deep throws down field, to beat the Browns suspect safety coverage. New England defensively, need to shutdown Cleveland’s offensive weapon, Terrelle Pryor. You better believe, that Coach Belichick, has a game plan already mapped out to stop Pryor. Take away Pryor, and what does Cleveland have on offense? I expect the Patriots to get back on track. PREDICTION NEW ENGLAND 27 CLEVELAND 13, TAKE NEW ENGLAND -11, AND PLAY THE UNDER 46 ½.
NEW YORK JETS (48 ½) @ PITTSBURGH (-7)
Pittsburgh last week, answered their wake up call, beating Kansas City 43 -14. The NY Jets, on the other hand, allowed the phone to ring. If there is any sense of urgency regarding the Jet season, it’s now! Jets lose this game, and they fall to 1-4. Their faith, rest on the arm, and quarterback play of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Costly interceptions, and bad decisions, have compromised a team’s quest to make the playoffs. So now, Fitzpatrick, needs to stand up like a true professional, and rebound this Sunday. So I expect Ryan to have a good game. He will have that chance, since the Steeler secondary has been awful at times. Even if Fitzpatrick plays outstanding, this alone will not assure the Jets a victory. The Jets secondary, is also in shambles. To add, Cornerback Revis, has come up lame with a hamstring, and might not play. Both teams, with their front seven on defense, is capable of shutting down each other’s running game. So expect QB Ben Roethlisberger, to look and exploit the Jets with his arm. All I see, is a high scoring game. Pittsburgh is the better team, but the Jets should be playing out of desperation. Even if the Jets can’t upset, they should cover. PREDICTED SCORE: PITTSBURGH 30 NY JETS 27, TAKE NY JETS +7, AND PLAY OVER 48 ½.
WASHINGTON (45 ½) @ BALTIMORE (-3 ½).
Baltimore last week, lost to Oakland 28-27. Why I bring that game up, is that the Raider defense, especially their secondary, is just as bad as Washington’s. The Ravens, have a respectable offensive line, and Flacco, should have another big day, and the Ravens should score often. In addition, the Redskins have problems stopping the rush, and RB Terrance West, is coming off a big game, and should achieve the same result vs. the Raiders. On the other side of the coin, Baltimore doesn’t have consistent pass rush. So QB Cousin, should have time in the pocket, to look his targets, in the Ravens suspect secondary. The only question for Washington, which Cousins will show up to play the game? Baltimore is the better team, and I don’t trust Cousins. PREDICTED SCORE: BALTIMORE 24 WASHINGTON 20, TAKE BALTIMORE -3 ½, AND PLAY Under 45 ½.
PHILADELPHIA (46.0) @ DETROIT (+3)
Detroit Lions are a mess, and are banged up on the defense. That could help explain why they lost to the lowly Chicago Bears last week. As it stands, Detroit has no pass rush, have injured Linebackers, that can’t stop the run, and a secondary that is suspect. This leaves the door wide open for QB Carson Wentz. Wentz should have his was with the Lion defense, and pick their secondary apart. To make matters worse for Detroit, on offense, their line has trouble blocking. In addition, the Detroit offensive line can’t run block on the Philly stout front seven. This game should be a runaway for the Eagles, only if both the injured Ansah, and Levy , are officially ruled out. PREDICTED SCORE: PHILADELPHIA 27 DETROIT 17. TAKE PHILADELPHIA -3, AND PLAY UNDER 46.0.
CHICAGO (47 ½) @ INDIANAPOLIS (-5)
If you watched that game Indianapolis played in London last week, you have a pretty good idea, how bad this team really is. Their QB Andrew Luck, was no pass protection. If Luck has time to throw the football, his receivers drop catchable balls. The Colt defense is awful. If it weren’t for WR TY Hilton, the Colts wouldn’t have any offense at all. If Chicago could score on an inept Lion defense last week, the Bears should be able to score against a shaky Colt defense. The problem with Chicago, is that their own defense is banged up, and it could keep Luck, and the Colts close in the game. PREDICTED SCORE: INDIANAPOLIS 20 CHICAGO 17. (TAKING COLTS ONLY TO WIN BECAUSE OF LUCK), TAKE CHICAGO +5, AND PLAY UNDER 47 ½.
ATLANTA (47 ½) @ DENVER (-6)
Atlanta has established the fact, that they will put points up on the scoreboard often. They are an offensive scoring machine. However, they finally face a defense that will put them through the test. The Denver Broncos have an outstanding pass rush, and a stout defense. Their only weakness at times, lies within their secondary. Atlanta features a secondary, with playmakers that can cover the Broncos wide receivers. The issues with Atlanta on defense is, that they haven’t a pass rush, and they are weak versus the run. The Falcons have a kind of team that constantly needs to score, to make up for their poor defense, in order to win. Denver’s QB Sieman, should face little pressure in the pocket, and will have time to execute his passes. Here is the biggest issue that I have with Denver in this matchup. This is a non-conference game. After this game, the Broncos have a short week, and must play their rivals, the San Diego Chargers, on Thursday night. I don’t think the Broncos will be completely focused, and the Falcons have proven they can score. PREDICTED SCORE: DENVER 28 ATLANTA 24, TAKE ATLANTA +6, AND PLAY OVER 47 ½.
BUFFALO (40.0) @ LOS ANGELES (-2 ½)
The question I raise about the Bills is, will they come up flat versus the Rams this Sunday? After defeating, and shutting out their nemesis, can they keep that intensity going? Keep in mind, LA, has an excellent defense. Offensively, Buffalo only has Robert Woods, and Shady McCoy , as their offensive weapons. The Rams, have a good secondary, plus, their front seven on defense, can stop the run. If that isn’t enough, LA has a pass rush. The only promising player, that can make a difference in this game, is the return of Marcel Dareus, back from suspension. The Bills have lacked a bonafide pass rush, since he’s been out, and now they have a legitimate pass rusher. This is going to be low scoring game. When in doubt on which side to choose, I always will side with the underdog. PREDICTED SCORE: BUFFALO 17 LA RAMS 14, TAKE BUFFALO +2 ½, AND PLAY UNDER 40.0.
SAN DIEGO (50.0) @ OAKLAND (-4)
This is a rivalry game, will be a shootout. Both sides are banged up, and both teams have issues on defense. Oakland has no pass rush, and QB Rivers, is on top of his game. In addition, SD, has a running back named Melvin Gordon that should be able to run on the Raiders front seven. QB Carr, as well has he done thus far into the season, but may have more of a difficult time attacking San Diego’s secondary. However, On Wednesday the Chargers announced cornerback Jason Verrett will miss the remainder of the season with a partially torn ACL. So it looks like bombs away. Flip a coin on the winner of this game. PREDICTED SCORE: OAKLAND 30 SAN DIEGO 27. TAKE SAN DIEGO +4, AND PLAY OVER 50.0.
CINCINNATI (45 ½) @ DALLAS (+1)
The Bengals thought they were getting back their TE Tyler Eifert this Sunday. However, he reinjured himself, and is now ruled out for this game. This is important, since Andy Dalton, relies on Eifert, for the bulk of his go to guy passes. Although Dallas has over achieved thus far this season, Cincinnati, now has issues. The Bengal secondary is suspect, and Dallas can pass on them. Cincinnati’s offense, has trouble scoring touchdowns in the Red Zone. Dallas gets back DeMarcus Lawrence from suspension, and will revive the Cowboy pass rush. The key to my pick, now all rest on the health status of Dez Bryant, and if he will play. Keep updated after this post. Meantime, my PREDICTED SCORE: DALLAS 21 CINCINNATI 20, TAKE DALLAS +1, AND PLAY UNDER 45 ½.
NEW YORK GIANTS (48.0) @ GREEN BAY (-7 ½)
Beckham, is becoming more of a distraction, and less of an asset to his team. The Giants backs are against the wall, and the pitiful play of Eli Manning has cost them. If that’s the best effort Eli’s offensive line provided for him in Minnesota, the Giants are in serious trouble. Green Bay, opened the season to a slow start, and have played below expectations. However, Aaron Rodgers, is probably licking his chops, to get a shot at the Giants banged up secondary. Last week, if Bradford , could beat the Giants by two touchdowns, imagine what an elite QB like Rodgers can do. However, there is hope for the Giants. Green Bay, doesn’t have a pass rush like Minnesota exhibited last week. So I am assuming, that the inept offensive line will provide him with better protection. Keep in mind, the Giants don’t have a running game, and Eli needs time in the pocket, to connect with his receivers. If Manning gets that time, I can see the Giants hanging in there, and the game going down to the wire. PREDICTED SCORE: GREEN BAY 27 NY GIANTS 24, TAKE NY GIANTS +7 ½, AND PLAY OVER 48.0.
CAROLINA (OFF) @ TAMPA BAY (-7) (not the official line)
My post for this game, couldn’t wait on the playing status of Can Newton, and the concussion protocol. So, if Vegas is holding off on their line on this game, let’s go forward, and assume Newton will be playing, and the Panthers to be favorite by 6 -7 points. , and let us assume that the Over/Under will be 48.0. Both sides have awful secondaries. Tampa Bay, is missing their key players. The Buc’s don’t have a pass rush, to go along with their string of injuries. So if Ca, m Newton plays, look for Benjamin, and Ginn, to have a big game. Like I said about Carolina’s secondary, is nowhere to be found. So I expect Winston and Evans to hook up often Bottom line, if Newton starts, my PREDICTED SCORE: CAROLINA 27 TAMPA BAY 21, TAKE TAMPA BAY +7, PLAY UNDER 48.0 (PLEASE KEEP POSTED ON THE CAM NEWTON WATCH, AND THE UPCOMING OFFICIAL LINES)

MY RECORD TO DATE AFTER WEEK #4: STRAIGHT UP 38 -25 -0, AGAINST THE SPREAD 35- 28-0, OVER/UNDER 36 -25 -1.
 

New member
Joined
Aug 4, 2012
Messages
2,884
Tokens
Week after week. Simply the best write-ups with great information. Priceless. GLTA. Thanks Worm for posting.
 

New member
Joined
May 25, 2016
Messages
872
Tokens
Dallas over achieving??? By beating skins, bears and niners??? Couldn't disagree more. Moreover it seems u hate to give them any credit every week haha. They are beating teams that they are supposed to beat. Great oline, good rookie rb, corners that are playing much better than last year, rookie qb playing mistake free ball, I can go on. Not starting argument with u by any means but to say that they are over achieving is wrong. I'm a humble realist fan,...I'm not excited being 3-1 because they beat the teams that they should. Furthermore Dez isn't daks guy. Coles absence would hurt Dak a lot more. Dez absence would hurt Romo a lot more. It's style of play and reads of each qb, to each his own.

Listen. I'm a fan of your threads. Appreciate the time and writeups u do every week. Honestly. But I think your view on this Dallas squad is a shy off. Trust me and this coming from a huge Dallas fan,...in no friggin way should they be #8 in the power rankings. Hell nahhhhhh. But to say they over achieving by beating those 3 awful teams I mentioned I disagree.

Best of luck Brook!!!!!
 
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
3,148
Tokens
Dallas over achieving??? By beating skins, bears and niners??? Couldn't disagree more. Moreover it seems u hate to give them any credit every week haha. They are beating teams that they are supposed to beat. Great oline, good rookie rb, corners that are playing much better than last year, rookie qb playing mistake free ball, I can go on. Not starting argument with u by any means but to say that they are over achieving is wrong. I'm a humble realist fan,...I'm not excited being 3-1 because they beat the teams that they should. Furthermore Dez isn't daks guy. Coles absence would hurt Dak a lot more. Dez absence would hurt Romo a lot more. It's style of play and reads of each qb, to each his own.

Listen. I'm a fan of your threads. Appreciate the time and writeups u do every week. Honestly. But I think your view on this Dallas squad is a shy off. Trust me and this coming from a huge Dallas fan,...in no friggin way should they be #8 in the power rankings. Hell nahhhhhh. But to say they over achieving by beating those 3 awful teams I mentioned I disagree.

Best of luck Brook!!!!!

Easy for you to say that now. So go back six weeks ago, before game one of the regular season.Beating Washington, Chicago, and SF, weren't teams listed that they were suppose to beat. The Media, the fans, and the players, were wondering about the absence of Romo, and all the key players that were suspended on defense.Unless you were living under a rock, nobody expected QB Prescott to lead this team to victory. Now , after week 4, and Dallas is at 3-1, your beating your chest like a typical Cowboy fan, and your throwing me under the bus?. We will see how good Dallas really is. After Cincinnati, they play Green Bay, Philadephia, and after Cleveland, Pittsburgh . So let's check back again in week 11 or so, and see if they are still over achieving. Thanks for your comment, and Thanks for your kind words. Good Luck.
 

New member
Joined
May 25, 2016
Messages
872
Tokens
How was I beating my chest like a typical Dallas fan??? And NO WAY was i throwing u under the bus lol. Saying i simply disagree using "over achieving" is not throwing someone under the bus. Example of throwing someone under the bus would be to call u out on the forum if i tailed one of your plays that lost and talking shit about it. Im the one that basically said they are avg hence my quote "no way should they be #8 in power rankings" I also basically stated they have tough stretch of games coming up. Im the one that said Dallas fans shouldn't get excited FOR BEATING TEAMS THEY SHOULD BEAT. In no way shape or form am I beating my chest. Again I said I wasn't in here arguing just saying that over achieving I disagree with. Now if they opened up beating let's say Denver, Vikings, Patriots then yeah THAT'S over achieving and definitely waiting for the other shoe to drop lol. I'm not your typical Dallas fan from new Jersey. I'm a realist fan. Believe me on that lol. First game ever saw live was when Tony Dorsett ran that rock. I wasn't busting your balls at all Brooklyn I'm not that type of person that does that shit on this forum. Others can vouch for that.
 
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
3,148
Tokens
How was I beating my chest like a typical Dallas fan??? Im the one that basically said they are avg hence my quote "no way should they be #8 in power rankings" I also basically stated they have tough stretch of games coming up. Im the one that said Dallas fans shouldn't get excited FOR BEATING TEAMS THEY SHOULD BEAT. In no way shape or form am I beating my chest. Again I said I wasn't in here arguing just saying that over achieving I disagree with. Now if they opened up beating let's say Denver, Vikings, Patriots then yeah THAT'S over achieving and definitely waiting for the other shoe to drop lol. I'm not your typical Dallas fan from new Jersey. I'm a realist fan. Believe me on that lol. First game ever saw live was when Tony Dorsett ran that rock. I wasn't busting your balls at all Brooklyn I'm not that type of person that does that shit on this forum. Others can vouch for that.

Okay now, time to move on . You made your point, and I made mine. This isn't going to become a pissing contest. See you after week 11.
 

New member
Joined
May 25, 2016
Messages
872
Tokens
Hahaha was trying to make a passing contest. Just didn't want u to think I was coming across being a dick that's all brotha. BTW I love your giants play. Still waiting for their offense to explode and Sunday night seems like a good spot for them to do so
 

New member
Joined
May 25, 2016
Messages
872
Tokens
Shit Brooklyn I'd be happy if they came out around .500 after week 11 but that's a tall task.
 
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
3,148
Tokens
Shit Brooklyn I'd be happy if they came out around .500 after week 11 but that's a tall task.

That's the point ReBorn, They were over achievers, with a lot of unknowns. Now they are winning, and since they are America's team, they are expected to win. Let's see how Philadelphia plays out . Wentz isn't a guarantee.
 

New member
Joined
May 25, 2016
Messages
872
Tokens
Well said Brooklyn. I get what u saying now. I agree with you 100% I definitely over analyzed your point earlier. My apologies. I see where u are coming from now after your last reply.
 
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
3,148
Tokens
Well said Brooklyn. I get what u saying now. I agree with you 100% I definitely over analyzed your point earlier. My apologies. I see where u are coming from now after your last reply.

Okay Brother, Glad we are on the same page. Do you know if Dez will be playing Sunday?. That's very important, if they want to beat the Bengals.
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
hey worm i am with you with eagles -3 bears +4.5 and giants +7.5!!!!! on the opposite side with bengals -1 and texans +6.5 :ohno:


good luck my friend this weekend


cheers



tsf:toast:
 

I can't dance
Joined
Dec 20, 2004
Messages
1,098
Tokens
Hi BW, as usual as the others posters posted, great write ups again.

The Buffalo Los Angeles game, is kind of those moment of truth games.

Seems like Buffalo has turned the corner. Their season opener they weren't good, their second game days later on a Thrusday was not good, then they first fire the offensive co-ordinator and next coach Ryan was widely acknowledged to have out coached Bruce Arinais and Bill Belichick in convincing back to back wins. But that won't mean nothing if they cannot beat this very beatable Rams teams.

This Rams team, defense is good, but the offense is all smoke and mirrors. Out their four games, the offense was only able to produce 1 touchdown from a sustained drive. All the touchdowns the Rams offense has scored over four games, one was setup by the red zone by the defense and one was big punt return. All others were big plays of 40+ yards.

If Buffalo on offense does not turn the ball over and on defense prevent the big play, they should win. Does not seem that complicated a game plan. But, that's why they play the game.

Best of luck to your plays this weekend BW!
 

New member
Joined
May 25, 2016
Messages
872
Tokens
Working all night but word of mouth to me is that dez playing? Pretty sure
 
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
3,148
Tokens
Hi BW, as usual as the others posters posted, great write ups again.

The Buffalo Los Angeles game, is kind of those moment of truth games.

Seems like Buffalo has turned the corner. Their season opener they weren't good, their second game days later on a Thrusday was not good, then they first fire the offensive co-ordinator and next coach Ryan was widely acknowledged to have out coached Bruce Arinais and Bill Belichick in convincing back to back wins. But that won't mean nothing if they cannot beat this very beatable Rams teams.

This Rams team, defense is good, but the offense is all smoke and mirrors. Out their four games, the offense was only able to produce 1 touchdown from a sustained drive. All the touchdowns the Rams offense has scored over four games, one was setup by the red zone by the defense and one was big punt return. All others were big plays of 40+ yards.

If Buffalo on offense does not turn the ball over and on defense prevent the big play, they should win. Does not seem that complicated a game plan. But, that's why they play the game.

Best of luck to your plays this weekend BW!

Totally agree with you Polaris. I feel that LA Ram's QB, is no better than Brissett with New England . The added factor....Marcel Dareus, back from suspension. The Bills have lacked a bonafide pass rush, since he’s been out, and now they have a legitimate pass rusher.
 

New member
Joined
Feb 12, 2009
Messages
1,541
Tokens
Thanks for posting BK.


Just wanted to offer a suggestion for the future if you don't mind. It would be easier for yourself and everyone to read if you simply put a space or two after one write up and started the next game underneath it so it's not all jumbled. Not a big deal just something I've always noticed haha BOL today bud.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,810
Messages
13,573,480
Members
100,871
Latest member
Legend813
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com