Bradyisgod's Sunday Picks 10.11.15

[bradyisgod]

Hope everyone is having a great week. Here are my picks for Sunday, short reasoning listed below. Having a great season so far and hope everyone else is having one too.


2 Unit Play

Cincinatti -2.5


1 Unit Plays

Buffalo -2.5
New England -7


I hope everyone gets the line at -3 for Cinci while Marshawn Lynch is ruled out. It's still -3 on book maker. He's been hurt and I figured he either wasn't going to play or was going to be in there playing off an injury. Those are usually nice spots to take. I'm surprised the line is only at -3 because they really need beast mode in to get their offense jump started. I think this is a really good pick, possibly pick of the year material but definitely pick of the week for me - especially after watching Seattle struggle at home vs. a broken Lions team.

I think New England should cover the -8. I have them covering by 9.5+ but I took a point because the spread was so high. If I can get the game down within a touch down I'll take the juice. It's something I'm experimenting with this year in two spots: when teams historically play each other close and when spreads are over a touch down. Spreads that high are a nightmare to cap. So far it's working very well. Limited sample tough to say if it's worth it long term, my guess would be that it is.

Buffalo has looked great all year and I just think that they have more value than -2.5 from watching them play. That game was a simple cap for me.

BOL all!

 

[bradyisgod]

Also - I think Washington is a nice pick at +7 here. I'll probably add that to my card. The public saw ATL destroy Houston so that line looks a little high to me. Redskins have a great defense, it will be no cake walk for ATL like Houston was. Matt Ryan plays well at home. I'm still leaning Skins here. Would like to hear some of your thoughts and opinions on that game! Hope you all cash this weekend.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

You can get the Bills at a Pk right now.......

The Skins will be a huge play for me........I think if Atlanta wins, they win by 3-6.

 

[United]

Strong looking card

good luck Brady

 

[thesandman1]

Buffalo has a lot of injuries and is down to third string RB, which is why spread has gone from -2.5 down to PK. They also had way to many flags against the Giants last week. Love your Cinc play and I also like Wash + points if you play them.

 

[bradyisgod]

Got Washington +7.5 on the board. BOL this weekend!

 

[bradyisgod]

Buffalo has a lot of injuries and is down to third string RB, which is why spread has gone from -2.5 down to PK. They also had way to many flags against the Giants last week. Love your Cinc play and I also like Wash + points if you play them.

Hey buddy! I think Buffalo still has a lot of value. I like their defense better. Also like their QB. Mariota is a rookie and Rex Ryan generally knows how to exploit that and force rookie mistakes. Mariota has a lot of potential, though. I am a fan of his. BOL!!!!

 

[nbvikes]

good luck

 

[chonce]

With you on NE and against you on CINCI (though I got 3.5 -120) so we can both win. I am conflicted on Buff. Leaned OVER but my card is full enough. GL

 

[bradyisgod]

Boom! 4-1 today. Lost the spread on buffalo but also was able to get in another bet when for some reason it went down to PK. Gotta take the half point on Seattle/Cinci. Let's bink the Sunday night game. Hope everyone had a great weekend!

 

[bradyisgod]

Giants -6.5

Bought half a point here. Been experimenting with it when spreads are around a touchdown or more or teams play each other close and it's been paying off. Small sample so not sure how good it is overall but it makes sense. BOL!

 

[NegroGrande]

On the other side +7.5 - here's to a 7 point Giants win!

 

[bradyisgod]

On the other side +7.5 - here's to a 7 point Giants win!

Thats not a bad bet! 7.5 points is a lot to cover for any team. I just can't get behind kapernick. Feel like he's playing like one of the worst QBs in the league. Here's to a 7 point cover buddy!! BOL!!

 

[United]

Nice call on he Pats. You either bet them or don't bet against them right now. Dallas needs to go to Cassell or get someone else in that can throw passes deeper than 15 yards. Their D got to Brady 5 times and they still got smoked!