Bradshawbookie11 Saturday Plays 10/18

[bradshawbookie11]

7-3 since joining two weeks ago;Not bad but there is more room for improvement
Last Week:
Oklahoma (-6.5) LOST
Penn State (-5.5) WON
Kansas (-14) WON
Central Florida (+17) WON
Army (-1) WON



THIS WEEK:

-24 Boise St
UNDER on BSU/Hawaii

I will post later tonight with my picks on these games...

Georgia Tech vs. Clemson
Mississippi State vs. Tennessee
LSU vs. South Carolina
Memphis vs. East Carolina
Kansas vs. Oklahoma
California vs. Arizona
Ohio State vs. Michigan State

GAMES TO STAY AWAY FROM!!!!!!!!
These don't look like successful bets because of new clock rules, injuries, turnovers, and/or future schedule...

Michigan vs. (Penn State -24) PSU trap game because of play next week vs. Ohio State; get by game for them even though Michigan is garbage

Arkansas vs. (Kentucky -11)- Both teams show inconsistency; Turnover battle and a lot of hype from Arkansas line because of a win over a mediocre Auburn.

North Carolina -4.5 vs. Virginia- Although NC is the better team, they are coming off a big win over ND for the program. Injuries are going to hurt the tar heels this week. Virginia is the latest team to beat a flimsy East Carolina. Both teams are exceeding their potential. Too close to call and either WAY over or WAY under the total (44.5)

 

[bradshawbookie11]

Georgia Tech vs. Clemson (+2.5) and Over 38.5- It seems that everyone has left Clemson to dry especially after the resigning of head coach Tommy Bowden and their Offensive Coordinator. The remaining assistants are left to pick up the pieces and savor the remaining games. Don't pay much attention to the injuries from clemson; the only matchup that is important is the clemson o-line vs. ga tech d-line. Even though Tech wins that advantage, Clemson gets the homedog adv. Lots of ground game here.

Mississippi State (+7.5) vs. Tennessee- It has been a rough two months for the Volunteers and it doesn't get any easier. Before the season started, this started as a scratch off game for Tennessee. Now with State proving at least somewhat of a headache for most SEC teams, the Volunteers have to dedicate a majority of their focus on this game instead of next week (hosting Alabama). In addition, when Mississippi State gets the ball, they usually hold on to it for a LONG time. If this spread hits 7, buy a .5 point for insurance.

LSU (+2.5) vs. South Carolina- If LSU would have won last week in Ben Hill, I would fade towards Carolina. HOWEVER, they did not win, they got crushed and that is not good news for the gamecocks. Carolina was not impressive verse Kentucky last week and got sloppy with turnovers. Carolina will be prone to some turnovers due to LSU's defense showing up a week later. This a no-brainer bet but vegas wants you to sweat with the line. LSU wins this outright...

Memphis (+8) vs. East Carolina- East carolina has finally been put back to earth, by their losses to houston and two lower talented ACC teams. Memphis is coming off a loss in back and forth game verse Louisville. This is a noon game which means that the home has a efficiency problem (unless two unmatched teams) Memphis will stick east carolina with big 3rd down conversions and time of possession. E. Carolina will win close at the end but it won't be enough to cover.

Kansas (+19.5) vs. Oklahoma- Had Oklahoma not played the red river rivaly last week I would lean heavy on Oklahoma. Unfortunately the sooners schedule has one more test before they can relax with Kansas State. Kansas has won, but not in pretty fashion this year. Had it not been for turnovers, the jayhawks could be looking a three loss record (a win is a win though). Kansas offense will keep oklahoma busy, the only question is if they show up in the first quarter. Look for another big game offensively by the sooners. Oklahoma will win by double digits but nothing more than 17.

California vs. Arizona (+2.5) - The bears are ranked again after they defeated a deflated arizona st team. Arizona is coming off their close battle with stanford. California knows whats its like to be in the AP as there were there earlier this year before falling to a flaky Maryland. I only mention that game because this game verse Arizona has the same implications. Arizona has made great strides this year and has the personnel to challenge Cal. Buy one point for Zona for the insurance cover.

Ohio State vs. Michigan State (+3.5) - Ohio State had this game on their mind last week while playing Purdue. This will be their mindset for this matchup verse Michigan State (Playing Penn State next week). Pryor is going to have fits with this Michigan State defense. Michigan State comes into this game with a six game streak which does not look all that impressive. Their success heavily relies on their running back J. Ringer. I don't expect the Buckeyes to cover so take the Spartans with the points. Buy a .5 point if the line slips back to 3.

There is an ongoing trend of underdog saturdays hitting and I have a strong opinion that this is one of those weekends. Review of the picks:
Clemson (+2.5) and OVER 38.5
Mississippi State (+7.5)
LSU (+2.5)
Memphis (+8)
Kansas (+19.5)
Arizona (+2.5) BUY POINT (+3.5)
Michigan State (+3.5)

BOL to all and happy cashing in!

 

[EMOCKE]

where u get that LSU line??????hno:

 

[bradshawbookie11]

My bad LSU -2.5 buy no points... sry for the confusion

 

[bradshawbookie11]

Boise State vs. Hawaii Under 53 WIN
Boise State -24 LOSS

8-4

 

[bradshawbookie11]

Clemson (+2.5) and OVER 38.5LOSS and LOSS
Mississippi State (+7.5)
LSU (+2.5)
Memphis (+8) LOSS
Kansas (+19.5) WIN
Arizona (+2.5) BUY POINT (+3.5)
Michigan State (+3.5) LOSS

1-4 on the day; 9-5 overall