ATS: 7-7, +1.0 unit, 50%
Actually not having as bad of a year as the record indicates. Took the first 3 weeks off, started posting week 4. Only up one unit obviously, but on a week to week basis am generally winning and doing well. One really bad week where I went 1-4, -7 units is all that is holding me back.
I go over a buddys house and watch all games on 6 TVs and have a good feel for the teams.
Last week: 3-1, +5.9 units ATS
Have a few plays today, getting the first one up:
2* Green Bay Packers +4 -110
Love Green Bay in this spot.
The undefeated Titans did it in primetime vs. Peyton Manning and now the public loves these Titans. Tennessee is a very solid team but this is a tough spot for them.
The Titans typically play tight, ground oriented, defensive football games, and I think as the year progresses they will show difficulty covering games that are 4 or higher. Titans are 7-0 ATS this year, and that obviously won't last forever.
Titans are 0-5 ATS under Jeff Fisher on the Sunday game following a Monday Nighter.
Green Bay is off a bye week and if anyone needed a bye week it was Green Bay. They were playing good football but their key pieces (Rodgers and Grant) were dinged up and this week gives them a chance to get healthy, and focus up on how to stop the Titans.
Green Bay has the perfect balance on offense, a playmaking QB, and a quality ground game when healthy (which it is now) to get it done. Green Bay has shown progress this season to get better as they continue to open up the offense more as Rodgers has shown he is more than able to run the offense and take on more of the playbook. GB actually averages more points on the road (32PPG), then they do overall (27PPG). Their defense in the last 3 games has shown improvement and holding opponents to 19PPG. And their rush defense is improving, giving up 140 this year, but 120 in their last 3 games.
Bottom line, GB is a team on the rise as they are healthy, with balance, a maturing QB, and a improving defense. They can play on the road as they are and outstanding 11-3 ATS last 14 road games.
Meanwhile, this Titans team, although winning and covering, is beginning to get overvalued. You wouldnt know it by looking at their high profile score on MNF. But the Titans dont bounce back well on short weeks and they dont bounce back well after good offensive performances. Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. They also dont play significantly better at home. Rather, they stay the course and play steady football.
After such a big important win for them vs. the Colts, and to beat their division rivals, it is natural to expect the let down on a short week vs. an out of conference opponent. Titans have the bullseye on their back now and everyone is gunning for them. GB i the exact type of team to take them down. With Rodgers in the game and his dangerous receivers, they will test this Titan secondary and even if they get outplayed, I love having the backdoor open with a slinger QB, and a team that will sit on the ball.
Titans in this spot on the short week just want to try and find a way to win the game, I dont think they roll here even if they somehow manage to win this game.
Packers 27
Titans 23
Actually not having as bad of a year as the record indicates. Took the first 3 weeks off, started posting week 4. Only up one unit obviously, but on a week to week basis am generally winning and doing well. One really bad week where I went 1-4, -7 units is all that is holding me back.
I go over a buddys house and watch all games on 6 TVs and have a good feel for the teams.
Last week: 3-1, +5.9 units ATS
Have a few plays today, getting the first one up:
2* Green Bay Packers +4 -110
Love Green Bay in this spot.
The undefeated Titans did it in primetime vs. Peyton Manning and now the public loves these Titans. Tennessee is a very solid team but this is a tough spot for them.
The Titans typically play tight, ground oriented, defensive football games, and I think as the year progresses they will show difficulty covering games that are 4 or higher. Titans are 7-0 ATS this year, and that obviously won't last forever.
Titans are 0-5 ATS under Jeff Fisher on the Sunday game following a Monday Nighter.
Green Bay is off a bye week and if anyone needed a bye week it was Green Bay. They were playing good football but their key pieces (Rodgers and Grant) were dinged up and this week gives them a chance to get healthy, and focus up on how to stop the Titans.
Green Bay has the perfect balance on offense, a playmaking QB, and a quality ground game when healthy (which it is now) to get it done. Green Bay has shown progress this season to get better as they continue to open up the offense more as Rodgers has shown he is more than able to run the offense and take on more of the playbook. GB actually averages more points on the road (32PPG), then they do overall (27PPG). Their defense in the last 3 games has shown improvement and holding opponents to 19PPG. And their rush defense is improving, giving up 140 this year, but 120 in their last 3 games.
Bottom line, GB is a team on the rise as they are healthy, with balance, a maturing QB, and a improving defense. They can play on the road as they are and outstanding 11-3 ATS last 14 road games.
Meanwhile, this Titans team, although winning and covering, is beginning to get overvalued. You wouldnt know it by looking at their high profile score on MNF. But the Titans dont bounce back well on short weeks and they dont bounce back well after good offensive performances. Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. They also dont play significantly better at home. Rather, they stay the course and play steady football.
After such a big important win for them vs. the Colts, and to beat their division rivals, it is natural to expect the let down on a short week vs. an out of conference opponent. Titans have the bullseye on their back now and everyone is gunning for them. GB i the exact type of team to take them down. With Rodgers in the game and his dangerous receivers, they will test this Titan secondary and even if they get outplayed, I love having the backdoor open with a slinger QB, and a team that will sit on the ball.
Titans in this spot on the short week just want to try and find a way to win the game, I dont think they roll here even if they somehow manage to win this game.
Packers 27
Titans 23
