Boxslayer's NBA Tuesday Play

Search

UF. Champion U.
Joined
Nov 2, 2004
Messages
12,281
Tokens
9-3, +16.15 units, 75%

3* Cleveland Cavs 1st Half -1 -110

FYI I think Cleveland is a big fat square play tonight. Every Joe Blow couhc potato that thinks they know sports says "No way Lebron loses this game."

Newsflash: Shit happens.

Lebron is 24, hasn't hit his prime yet, has limited supporting cast, and doesn't appear to have developed his own killer instinct yet to close out games. Orlando has shown no reason why they shouldn't be favored here on their home floor. Without Lebron's miracle chuck, we are looking at a potential 3-0 series here.

So, not really sure what happens over the course of a full game here.

What I do know is that the Cavs are in a MUST-WIN situation. I also know the Cavs have gotten out to fast starts in each game in this series, leading Orlando by double digits at half time in the 1st 2 games, and trailing only by 1 in Game 3 in Orlando.

Sometimes in the NBA, even in the playoffs, your superstar cruises through the games that don't mean much in the 1st half, and tries to steal a win late.

Cavs can't afford that type of mentality tonight. I think Lebron puts his head down and barrels towards the rim right out of the gate, and starts putting people in foul trouble early. I think Lebron doesn't hold anything back here, right from the tip off, and I think his team is confident that they can support him as evidenced by The Guarantee.

Lebron's miracle shot seems like decades ago, and the honeymoon for the Cavs and that shot is over. Time to get back to work and get back to business and that starst at tip off for the Cavs.

I may have a play for the 2nd half, and my gut tells me the Magic win this game in the end. But for the 1st half, I really feel like Cleveland goes balls to the wall, and goes for the jugular early and goes into half up 6-10 points.
 

ATP

New member
Joined
Apr 16, 2007
Messages
5,713
Tokens
was on orlando the other night, im on cleveland as well, but for the game... king james evens the series
 

New member
Joined
Sep 22, 2004
Messages
1,755
Tokens
Surprised mostly to see this as a bigger play than your game play yesterday......
I've originally felt this was an ORL play - even though I love Lebron - 'cause they have proven even with the MVP playing his best ball of the year now, they match up too well with CLEV and give them fits with their shooting....

I have gotten nervous with this fact in reading about the assigned refs tonight that include a character that made 304 calls in 4 months to Donaghy.........and don't we all believe Stern wants CLEV in the finals??!!!

Was looking at the ORL TT O93 as they have not scored less than this against CLEV but once in the last 2 years..............
The convern would be Howard being forced out of the game with 5 fouls to open the door for this CLEV team to win and continue the series.

Man - wish I had gone bigger yesterday so I could just sit back and watch this one.............but what fun would that be??? LOL!!!!

GLTU and continued success in the playoffs and beyond Boxslayer!! :103631605
 

UF. Champion U.
Joined
Nov 2, 2004
Messages
12,281
Tokens
Surprised mostly to see this as a bigger play than your game play yesterday......
I've originally felt this was an ORL play - even though I love Lebron - 'cause they have proven even with the MVP playing his best ball of the year now, they match up too well with CLEV and give them fits with their shooting....

I have gotten nervous with this fact in reading about the assigned refs tonight that include a character that made 304 calls in 4 months to Donaghy.........and don't we all believe Stern wants CLEV in the finals??!!!

Was looking at the ORL TT O93 as they have not scored less than this against CLEV but once in the last 2 years..............
The convern would be Howard being forced out of the game with 5 fouls to open the door for this CLEV team to win and continue the series.

Man - wish I had gone bigger yesterday so I could just sit back and watch this one.............but what fun would that be??? LOL!!!!

GLTU and continued success in the playoffs and beyond Boxslayer!! :103631605


I like that 2nd paragraph.

Of course the last one isn't bad either. lol
 

UF. Champion U.
Joined
Nov 2, 2004
Messages
12,281
Tokens
1* Cleveland Cavs 2nd Half +3 -110

Love fading the potential middle for Cavs full game bettors as the books lay the Magic -3 in an effort to get people off their winning Cavs bets to go for the middle.

It's easy to see what the strategy is for Cleveland in this game: Get everyone else involved, rest Lebron, ease him into the game at the end of the 2nd half, and play a very balanced attack 1st half. The Cavs shooters got plenty of looks, plenty of shots, plenty of chances to get into a rhythm - and they did. Now Lebron is fresh so he can drive and finish, or dish it off with confidence to shooters that have been shooting all game and not witnessing.

Cavs should have Lebron and co. close this out and just in case this turns into a free throw shooting contest at the end, love having the Cavs +3 here for the 2nd half - essentially Cavs -5 for the game.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 22, 2004
Messages
1,755
Tokens

What I do know is that the Cavs are in a MUST-WIN situation. I also know the Cavs have gotten out to fast starts in each game in this series, leading Orlando by double digits at half time in the 1st 2 games, and trailing only by 1 in Game 3 in Orlando.

Sometimes in the NBA, even in the playoffs, your superstar cruises through the games that don't mean much in the 1st half, and tries to steal a win late.

Cavs can't afford that type of mentality tonight. I think Lebron puts his head down and barrels towards the rim right out of the gate, and starts putting people in foul trouble early. I think Lebron doesn't hold anything back here, right from the tip off, and I think his team is confident that they can support him as evidenced by The Guarantee.

Continued brilliance Boxslayer.................a bit worried before they go on a 9-0 run and close the half out STRONG!!!! @)
 

RX Member
Joined
Dec 10, 2008
Messages
1,114
Tokens
1* Cleveland Cavs 2nd Half +3 -110

Love fading the potential middle for Cavs full game bettors as the books lay the Magic -3 in an effort to get people off their winning Cavs bets to go for the middle.

It's easy to see what the strategy is for Cleveland in this game: Get everyone else involved, rest Lebron, ease him into the game at the end of the 2nd half, and play a very balanced attack 1st half. The Cavs shooters got plenty of looks, plenty of shots, plenty of chances to get into a rhythm - and they did. Now Lebron is fresh so he can drive and finish, or dish it off with confidence to shooters that have been shooting all game and not witnessing.

Cavs should have Lebron and co. close this out and just in case this turns into a free throw shooting contest at the end, love having the Cavs +3 here for the 2nd half - essentially Cavs -5 for the game.

Good reasoning here B/S... Can't dispute your logic... Will place half of the first half winnings on Cleveland for the 2nd... BOL..:103631605
 

New member
Joined
Sep 22, 2004
Messages
1,755
Tokens
Wish we hadn't talk ourselves off ORLANDO for the game.........
All the conspiracy talk got me off the team that has beat this CLEV team every game - other than that last second 3-pointer by LeBron..............

Would love to hear your thoughts / play on tomorrows game....... the obvious play is on DEN + all those points..............the obvious play, not necessarily the right play - or is it????
 

UF. Champion U.
Joined
Nov 2, 2004
Messages
12,281
Tokens
In my original writeup I felt Orlando would win in the end. But after I saw Lebron basically just hanging out 1st half, and Cleveland was able to go into halftime with the lead - I thought with a rested Lebron this may get ugly.

Wish I would have stuck with my original thoughts, but it is what it is - another winning night and I'll take it everytime.

The truth of the matter is Lebron is an extremely talented player, EXTREMELY talented, but there is no doubt that he doesn't have that killer instinct yet. The Lebron apologists and talking heads will spin it any way they can to make the NBA's poster child look as good as humanly possible because the sport needs superstars like Lebron. But the fact of the matter is now that this is 2 games in a row where the 4th quarter has hit, and he has become a turnover machine, and a free throw misser. For all of his wonderful stats lines....Bottom line is if Lebron makes his 4th quarter free throws tonight the Cavs probably win in regulation, and if he makes his 4th quarter free throws last game we are looking at a whole new 1-possession ballgame at the end.

He doesn't know how to close yet.

Back tomorrow, and congrats again to the winners.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,946
Messages
13,575,480
Members
100,886
Latest member
ranajeet
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com