2008 Overall: 31-18, +26.80 units, 63%
2007 Overall: 60-42, +45.45 units, 59%
2006 Overall: 65-36, +45.49 units, 64%
3-Year Total: 156-96, +117.74 units, 62%
Last Week: 5-3, +4.00 units
22-9 past 4 weeks.
I have always used some kind of an Excel sheet as a tool to assist in capping in every sport. I usually keep this private, however during baseball season 2 years ago I released one of them to the public in a "system" I was trying to do. The Excel sheet helps keep you grounded, doesn't let you get biased, or effected by the media's horrific opinions that shape lines due to public perception. The Excel sheet uses Web Queries to go out automatically and grab the latest data on every team and update all of the rankings and stats automatically. So all you have to do is basically open the Excel sheet and you have all of the updated stuff. If you know how to use Excel in an advanced way with formulas, etc this requires 5-6 hours to set up, and then an hour each week to tweak. You also have to write the formulas, and I do it based on my capping. I weigh defense more than offense, red zone defense more than red zone offense, special teams more than turnovers and turnovers more than penalties. Everything is tweaked and tweaked and tweaked each week.
Long story short, I went back over a few games I didn't play last week, and the Excel sheet is hitting at an incredible rate. I went back to the week before that, and it was more of the same and so on. Big plays, small plays, etc when I matched up line value for a lot of games that I layed off, the sheet was hitting at a near 85% clip on the games that I checked. It's way too time consuming to go back and check them all, but my sample size was about 40 plays - and obviously all of my wagers the past 3 years use the Excel sheet as a reference in some way.
That being said, I am going to add some of the plays that stand out on the Excel sheet as plays. I will also post some of the rankings that it gives based on the formulas that I have devised.
Sit tight.
2007 Overall: 60-42, +45.45 units, 59%
2006 Overall: 65-36, +45.49 units, 64%
3-Year Total: 156-96, +117.74 units, 62%
Last Week: 5-3, +4.00 units
22-9 past 4 weeks.
I have always used some kind of an Excel sheet as a tool to assist in capping in every sport. I usually keep this private, however during baseball season 2 years ago I released one of them to the public in a "system" I was trying to do. The Excel sheet helps keep you grounded, doesn't let you get biased, or effected by the media's horrific opinions that shape lines due to public perception. The Excel sheet uses Web Queries to go out automatically and grab the latest data on every team and update all of the rankings and stats automatically. So all you have to do is basically open the Excel sheet and you have all of the updated stuff. If you know how to use Excel in an advanced way with formulas, etc this requires 5-6 hours to set up, and then an hour each week to tweak. You also have to write the formulas, and I do it based on my capping. I weigh defense more than offense, red zone defense more than red zone offense, special teams more than turnovers and turnovers more than penalties. Everything is tweaked and tweaked and tweaked each week.
Long story short, I went back over a few games I didn't play last week, and the Excel sheet is hitting at an incredible rate. I went back to the week before that, and it was more of the same and so on. Big plays, small plays, etc when I matched up line value for a lot of games that I layed off, the sheet was hitting at a near 85% clip on the games that I checked. It's way too time consuming to go back and check them all, but my sample size was about 40 plays - and obviously all of my wagers the past 3 years use the Excel sheet as a reference in some way.
That being said, I am going to add some of the plays that stand out on the Excel sheet as plays. I will also post some of the rankings that it gives based on the formulas that I have devised.
Sit tight.
