SizzleChest said:
Not that it may make much difference to you, but last year there was a stint where the Braves were having a very difficult run manufacturiong runs versus lefties. They did manage to finish nicely to balance their level versus lefties. Also Sosa performed well for the Braves last season. I would be more inclined for the under for this matchup. Good luck with your play.
Thanks for the input. Extra information always helps. Havn't looked at the game yet, but I am strictly fading soft tossing pitchers early in the year, and betting on harder throwers.
As a great baseball mentor of mine once said, "A hitter's bat will catch up with a 747 airplane if you give him enough looks at it, but it takes time."
Hitters will hit hard throwers, but they need to get looks and adjust. As the season progresses, the hard throwers will get hit.
Early in the season, hitters have that "slider bat speed", until they get back into mid-season form, their bat speed speeds up, and the crafty soft tossers get you out of your rythm. Early in the year, soft tossers or pitchers that rely on changeups get hit hard.
My play would be strictly a fade on Noah. I've had two plays similiar so far this year. Faded Johan Santana and his out pitch, his changeup. And I faded Towers today for the BlueJays. Both got hit.
Just sticking with what has been working, but I'll definitely give this one a 2nd look thanks to your comments. However, I usually don't put much weight into past trends. Last year's Braves, have nothing to do with this year's Braves.
Just like Freddy Garcia was the ultimate day game pitcher for the White Sox last year. He got shelled in his 1st day game. I try to leave past trends from other year's teams in the past.
Once again, thanks for your input.