YTD: 3-3, +1.0 units
3* Colorado Rockies -110 (Cook)
Solid bet here, IMO, as I felt the Rockies would be in the -140+ range here today.
Aaron Cook is the younger of the 2 pitchers here, a little more in his prime. Sinkerballer pitching in a pitcher's ballpark and his sinkerball should be able to neutralize the free swinging Fielder from hitting any homeruns and take some of the thump out of the middle of the Brewers lineup today. Cook obviously pitches well at home in Coors because his sinkerball, but he has been slightly underrated as a pitcher because of his inflated ERA in the thin air. On the road, his ERA has been in the mid 3.00's, and pitching at a pitcher's park like Milwaukee, I expect him to be a high 2.00's kind of ERA guy today.
Brewers catcher Gregg Zaun is out today with a quad injury, so George Kottaras gets the start behind the dish. So you've got a young inexperienced catcher, calling the game for a veteran like Doug Davis and I don't expect them to be on the same page. Rockies have too solid of a team and too solid of a lineup to not be on your 'A' game on the mound. You've also got a Rockies team who was in the upper half of baseball last year swiping 100+ bases as a team, facing an inexperienced catcher. Davis being a lefty should help control the running game some, but again, it hurts not having Zaun back there.
Zaun also bats 6 hole for the Brewers, and Kottaras has been a low .200s hitter early in his career. So you've got Fielder getting minimized vs. the sinkerball, you've got Kottaras with a weak bat, and you've got the pitcher hitting, and I have a hard time seeing the Brewers putting together any strong innings and stringing together consecutive hits and plating innings of multiple runs with so many outs scattered throughout the lineup.
Rockies obviously own the Brewers, and they faced a tough veteran in Randy Wolf yesterday and were able to get 11 hits over the course of the game and consistently put up a run every few innings. They'll face another lefty today, so they get to see a lefty again after facing the better one yesterday. Doug Davis has struggled mightily vs. the Rockies in his career and guys like Helton, Tulowitzki etc have raked Davis.
While it is getaway day for the Rockies, they don't have a game tomorrow and they return home, so this is a big road series to come out and try to take. With no game tomorrow, they won't hold back any bullpen arms, and they should go for a big road series win here today.
3* Colorado Rockies -110 (Cook)
Solid bet here, IMO, as I felt the Rockies would be in the -140+ range here today.
Aaron Cook is the younger of the 2 pitchers here, a little more in his prime. Sinkerballer pitching in a pitcher's ballpark and his sinkerball should be able to neutralize the free swinging Fielder from hitting any homeruns and take some of the thump out of the middle of the Brewers lineup today. Cook obviously pitches well at home in Coors because his sinkerball, but he has been slightly underrated as a pitcher because of his inflated ERA in the thin air. On the road, his ERA has been in the mid 3.00's, and pitching at a pitcher's park like Milwaukee, I expect him to be a high 2.00's kind of ERA guy today.
Brewers catcher Gregg Zaun is out today with a quad injury, so George Kottaras gets the start behind the dish. So you've got a young inexperienced catcher, calling the game for a veteran like Doug Davis and I don't expect them to be on the same page. Rockies have too solid of a team and too solid of a lineup to not be on your 'A' game on the mound. You've also got a Rockies team who was in the upper half of baseball last year swiping 100+ bases as a team, facing an inexperienced catcher. Davis being a lefty should help control the running game some, but again, it hurts not having Zaun back there.
Zaun also bats 6 hole for the Brewers, and Kottaras has been a low .200s hitter early in his career. So you've got Fielder getting minimized vs. the sinkerball, you've got Kottaras with a weak bat, and you've got the pitcher hitting, and I have a hard time seeing the Brewers putting together any strong innings and stringing together consecutive hits and plating innings of multiple runs with so many outs scattered throughout the lineup.
Rockies obviously own the Brewers, and they faced a tough veteran in Randy Wolf yesterday and were able to get 11 hits over the course of the game and consistently put up a run every few innings. They'll face another lefty today, so they get to see a lefty again after facing the better one yesterday. Doug Davis has struggled mightily vs. the Rockies in his career and guys like Helton, Tulowitzki etc have raked Davis.
While it is getaway day for the Rockies, they don't have a game tomorrow and they return home, so this is a big road series to come out and try to take. With no game tomorrow, they won't hold back any bullpen arms, and they should go for a big road series win here today.
