Sorry for the delay...
Rahman-Maskaev
Rahman weighed in at 235 which is perfect for him and I know he trained hard for this one. Maskaev at 238 is a little heavier than his last few but he's still in top shape.
When these guys fought 7 years ago, Rahman was up 70-63/68-65/68-65 before he got overconfident and caught in the 8th round. Rahman is a Top Rank fighter who is hosting this fight in LV where Arum has plenty of pull. Given the scores of the first fight and the influence here, I think Rahman wins if it goes to the cards.
So the fight comes down to who has the better chin, both guys have power so it all depends on who can take others shot better. I'm almost positive that Rahman's chin will hold up this time, and Maskaev with his glass jaw is in serious trouble.
Just look at what has happened since these guys last fought. Rahman has gone the distance with Toney, Ruiz, and Tua. He took plenty of good shots from C. Sanders and L. Lewis before knocking them both out. The only time Rahman has been stopped since Oleg was by Lewis who was on a mission that night, no one could take those right hands.
Now lets look at Maskaev's chin, I recall reading an interview where Oleg said he was getting hurt by Rahman's punches prior to stopping him. Sounds like he knew he was about to be stopped so he went for the KO and got lucky. Just look at Oleg's losses since the Rahman fight, stopped by K. Johnson in the 4th round, stopped by Goofi Whitaker in the 2nd round, stopped by C. Sanders in the 8th round, the other C. Sanders who's fat and horrible. I didn't see the fights, but I read that Oleg was even hurt a few times by Sam and Defiagon in his last few outings. I think he's in big trouble tonight.
I played and posted Maskaev +298 and +250, also have Maskaev +16.5 points +137. All of which was based on value with full intensions of hedging or scalping later. If Rahman weighed in at 250, I'd be letting it ride, at 235 I know what to expect. With Rahman still -225 at Bet365 the time is now...
gl bl