Bowls, Playoffs, etc.

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Having a hard time on the Oklahoma-Bama game, so likely will be pretty small for me.

Somewhere between small and medium plays:

Memphis +4 (-115) Brendon Lewis is a true gamer and he just seems to will his team to win or at least compete closely. Even with a gimpy ankle, he kept his team close in their last 3 losses....all to good opponents. And then there are wins vs. USF and Arkansas. His ankle is likely healed or close to it. Memphis plays without their head coach and a couple of other coaches, but I've noticed that in the past few years, many teams do well anyways. NC State loses their top RB to the portal, and there is talk of CJ Bailey leaving after the bowl game. NC State's head coach, Dave Doeren, has a miserable record aas a bowl coach. I also get the sense that NC State boosters would like him to go- maybe players too? And I doubt NC State sees this bowl in Tampa as much to feel good about. Their D is pretty bad too. Memphis gets to erase some of their disappointment by beating a P4 team.

WMU -3 (-120) WMU has the formula for a winning bowl team- good in the trenches and a great run game. Both the MAC and Conference uSA are pretty bad conferences, but the top few of the MAC seem better than teams like Kennewick State. Kennewick State won so many close games that I wonder if they are overdue for a stinker. WMU has the better defense and I don't think it's close. WMU's head coach, Lance Taylor, was not poached and signed an extension so that might motivate his boys a bit. Hoping their young QB Broc Lowry uses the extra practice to refine his passes. He's young and talented and a great running QB.
 

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Small:

Alabama +1 This line slightly moved in Oklahoma's favor probably because Mateer has been seen without tape on his thumb. Probably, but that's speculation. I just can't put anything on an offense that bad. Mateer's thumb might be improved, but his decision making and poor play might not improve. Lots made of Alabama not running the ball, but the Sooners can't run the ball either. Same with the OL. Bama's getting a lot of criticism, but Oklahoma's OL might be worse. I also don't want to make too much of Alabama's game vs. a very good Georgia team. Ty Simpson has been off for a few games, but I still think he and his Wrs make some plays that are the difference here. Oklahoma at home, with an excellent defense, but I don't think that they'll get 3 TOs again.
 

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