Boston getting a handfull from kc

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only 7% on KC ML yesterday, even for RL, 91% are on Boston,
bookie's dream game, I guess :pucking:
 

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sunnyblue100 said:
not a very careful statistical result, but I have a feeling that those games with >+180 line for dogs tend to :realtongu usually traps


I don't necessarily agree...just looking at my records for MLB this year, I'm 13-15 on games at +180 or higher, or +10.52 units (at 1 unit per game). However, I should also point out that includes 0-6 on MLs above +225.

I'm not bragging or anything, I'm just trying to point out that the large dog MLs can be quite profitable
 

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goodcall said:
I don't necessarily agree...just looking at my records for MLB this year, I'm 13-15 on games at +180 or higher, or +10.52 units (at 1 unit per game). However, I should also point out that includes 0-6 on MLs above +225.

I'm not bragging or anything, I'm just trying to point out that the large dog MLs can be quite profitable


guess I didn't make myself clear, that's exactly what I mean, do not bet on games with +180, -200 those kinds of lines, usually trap, which means dog will win at quite high percentage, if overall > 33.3%, u will be a loser if bet -200 line in the long run, games with heavily favorited team are usually bookie's dream. Also I don't like to bet on a team which lost the previous game . chase win is better than chase loss
 

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sunnyblue100 said:
guess I didn't make myself clear, that's exactly what I mean, do not bet on games with +180, -200 those kinds of lines, usually trap, which means dog will win at quite high percentage, if overall > 33.3%, u will be a loser if bet -200 line in the long run, games with heavily favorited team are usually bookie's dream. Also I don't like to bet on a team which lost the previous game . chase win is better than chase loss

gotcha:103631605 after writing my post I was second-guessing what you meant...sorry I misunderstood you. best of luck
 

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goodcall said:
gotcha:103631605 after writing my post I was second-guessing what you meant...sorry I misunderstood you. best of luck


wish you the best luck too, sorry for the confusing wording

betting >180 underdog only needs around 36% hitting ratio to break even, 13-15 is an awesome record :toast:
 

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