Arizona State +8 (-110), 3*
Arizona State ML (+250), 1*
I like anything over 7 in this game for the Sun Devils. I was waiting on this play to get the best number possible. I didn't think there was any chance this game would get to 7. The line is between 7.5-8.5 depending on the book. The low total in this game also makes the dog more appetizing. If you look at Wisconsin's four losses, they scored 10, 13, 17 and 13 points. On the flip side, the fewest points they scored in victory was 20 against Army. If Arizona State turns it over zero or one time, there is a clear path to covering the spread and possibly winning outright. I may look for a middle in this game if Arizona State gets off to a quick start. I will update if necessary.
Good luck!
Arizona State ML (+250), 1*
I like anything over 7 in this game for the Sun Devils. I was waiting on this play to get the best number possible. I didn't think there was any chance this game would get to 7. The line is between 7.5-8.5 depending on the book. The low total in this game also makes the dog more appetizing. If you look at Wisconsin's four losses, they scored 10, 13, 17 and 13 points. On the flip side, the fewest points they scored in victory was 20 against Army. If Arizona State turns it over zero or one time, there is a clear path to covering the spread and possibly winning outright. I may look for a middle in this game if Arizona State gets off to a quick start. I will update if necessary.
Good luck!
December 30th
Cincinnati/Alabama under 57 (-105), 2*
This total has been moving in one direction and I could see it going down to 56 by kick-off. Even if I'm wrong and it goes up a point, there's typically not much of a difference between 57 and 58. I think the Bearcats defense might be better equipped based on their strengths to slow down Alabama. Cincinnati held Notre Dame to 13, SMU to 14 and Houston to 20, which were the three best teams they faced. The most points they gave up all season in a game was 28. I also expect Alabama to present some real challenges for Cincinnati's offense and it might take Cincinnati a while to find their rhythm.
I lean Georgia in the other semifinal game. I'm going to wait and see if Michigan gets bet and the line goes down to 7. I don't think it will, but you never know. The last memory people have of Michigan is winning the Big Ten title. On the flip side, the last time we saw Georgia, they got beat convincingly by Alabama.
Cincinnati/Alabama under 57 (-105), 2*
This total has been moving in one direction and I could see it going down to 56 by kick-off. Even if I'm wrong and it goes up a point, there's typically not much of a difference between 57 and 58. I think the Bearcats defense might be better equipped based on their strengths to slow down Alabama. Cincinnati held Notre Dame to 13, SMU to 14 and Houston to 20, which were the three best teams they faced. The most points they gave up all season in a game was 28. I also expect Alabama to present some real challenges for Cincinnati's offense and it might take Cincinnati a while to find their rhythm.
I lean Georgia in the other semifinal game. I'm going to wait and see if Michigan gets bet and the line goes down to 7. I don't think it will, but you never know. The last memory people have of Michigan is winning the Big Ten title. On the flip side, the last time we saw Georgia, they got beat convincingly by Alabama.
