BoSox Season Long CBB Thread 2024-2025

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-0/YTD: 186-166, +8.77

March 30th

Michigan State +5.5 (-115), 1*

I’m not going to be a square again today, although it worked yesterday. I think we could finally get an upset today. I almost bet Auburn in the first half and Michigan State for the full game. That has been the MO for Sparty. Get down early and then flip the switch in the second half. At some point they are going to get out to a quicker start or they aren’t going to be able to recover. You can’t play a lousy half against number one seeds and expect to roll them in the second half.

I wouldn’t mind betting a player prop in the Auburn game. I think Michigan State is going to have a tougher time getting points in the paint due to Auburn’s size and physicality. I expect a good amount of threes to be attempted by Michigan State. Someone like Jace Richardson over 1.5 threes feels like a good bet. You can get that somewhere around -110 to even money depending on the book. Akins and Holloway are both listed as well. Akins is around -110, Holloman is +165. I think I might bet each of those, try to hit two of three and turn a profit.

I lean under in the Tennessee game now that the total is 126.5. However, this was 123.5 yesterday. Clearly the people betting this total disagree with my thoughts on how this game will go. I also lean Houston -2.5. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Jase Richardson 2+ threes (-125), 1*
Jaden Akins 2+ threes (-115), 1*
Tre Holloman 2+ threes (+160), 1*

Richardson took some money since the last time I checked. Like I said, just hoping to go 2-1 with these.

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 187-169, +6.37

April 1st

Villanova -3.5 (-105), 1*
Loyola Chicago -2.5 (-110), 1*
USC -8.5 (-110), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 189-170, +7.27

April 2nd

Nebraska/Georgetown over 154.5 (-108), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 0-1/YTD: 189-171, +6.19

 

[BoSox04]

April 3rd

USC +4.5 (-105), 1*

I would like to see if I can get -3 on Cal Irvine. There is one book that has -3 so technically it’s available, but I don’t like to post a bet that is hard to find. A lot of us live in states where we only have a few sportsbooks to choose from. The game doesn’t start for an hour. I am going to bet Irvine either way. I will post the bet to make it official closer to tip. GL

 

[BoSox04]

UC Irvine ML (-120), 1*

Live line because I forgot to post the bet before the game started.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-1/YTD: 190-172, +5.99

Feels like this should have been a 2-0 night. Irvine did whatever they could to not close the game out in overtime and they ended up being successful. That was a frustrating one. Nothing tomorrow, back for the final four on Saturday.

 

[BoSox04]

April 5th

Auburn +2.5 (-110), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Houston +5 (-110), 1*
Houston/Duke under 136.5 (-110), 1*

I think this is a good matchup for Houston. Duke is a perimeter team who rebounds well and generates second chance points. Houston is the number one rebounding team and defends the perimeter pretty well. I don’t think either team is going to have an easy time scoring in this game. This is definitely the best defense Duke has seen all season. If you like Duke, I would recommend putting them in a parlay and betting them ML. This feels like it will be a one or two possession game either way coming down the stretch. The dogs have not been barking in this tournament. Now that we are down to the final four and the playing field is level, I think we are getting at least one upset today.

 

[BoSox04]

Houston +4.5 (-110), 1*

Adding one more unit.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-2/YTD: 192-174, +5.79

Great comeback by Houston. Could have done without losing the total by a half point. But Houston was the big one.

 

[BoSox04]

April 7th

Houston +1 (-110), 2*

Another two unit bet for me on Houston. I thought that they would have a chance to beat Duke because they could neutralize some of the things Duke does best. I just think this is a bad matchup for Florida. Clayton is going to have to be great again for Florida to have a chance. Houston will limit Florida’s effectiveness on the glass. Even if Houston doesn’t shoot well, their defense is stingy enough to keep them in any game as we saw against Duke. Florida’s defense is a clear step down from Duke’s which will enable Houston to at least get better looks at the basket. They still have to make the shots, but getting open looks is half the battle. As much as I like Florida’s team and their coach, I think Houston is going to get it done. I might add a couple player props tomorrow. I lean under 141.5, no play though. GL

 

[bmiller]

Nice write up

 

[BoSox04]

Houston/Florida under 140.5 (-110), 1*
Walter Clayton Jr. over 20.5 points (-110), 1*
J’Wan Roberts 8+ rebounds (+125), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-2/YTD: 194-176, +4.74

Tough loss with Houston. That game really showed who they are in a nutshell. They play hard every night. They don’t get blown out. Their defense and rebounding is always strong. They just don’t have the offensive firepower to pull away comfortably from good teams. They were fortunate to reach 70 against Duke and they only scored 63 last night. When you play close games, you need to have guys who can reliably get buckets. Houston has always been short on those players. Some people will blame the refs, but I can’t go there. This was a game Houston had every opportunity to close out, just like Duke on Saturday.

Thanks to everyone who tailed or stopped by to leave a comment throughout the season. You can catch me in the nba, nhl and mlb forums on a daily basis. Best of luck!

 

[bmiller]

You're right so many missed easy shots!