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BoSox NBA Season Long Thread 2024-2025
- Thread starter BoSox04
- Start date
Clippers ML (-130), 1*
I have the Clippers to win the series. I could sit on the sidelines and hope LA wins. I believed in the Clippers going into this series and I feel the same way today. I like them to win tonight and close things out at home in game six. Denver escaped with a win in game four, but they are not the better team. I don’t trust Porter Jr. game to game. I’m not sure if Murray is healthy. Westbrook might miss another game. I like this Clippers team and I’m sticking with them in this spot. GL
I have the Clippers to win the series. I could sit on the sidelines and hope LA wins. I believed in the Clippers going into this series and I feel the same way today. I like them to win tonight and close things out at home in game six. Denver escaped with a win in game four, but they are not the better team. I don’t trust Porter Jr. game to game. I’m not sure if Murray is healthy. Westbrook might miss another game. I like this Clippers team and I’m sticking with them in this spot. GL
Yesterday: 0-2/YTD: 278-257, -8.54
May 1st
Knicks +1.5 (-110), 1*
I kind of think the Knicks are due for a well played game where their talent shines in a convincing win. They should have lost game four if the foul on Hardaway was called. They lost game five at home. I’m looking for a response from the Knicks in game six. The Celtics are waiting for them in Boston. If you are a team to be taken seriously, you go into Detroit and wrap this series up. You don’t want to have to play a game 7 on Saturday and then pivot directly into game one in Boston. Brunson and Towns should lead the way tonight. Bridges is looking to bounce back from a lackluster performance. Give me the Knicks.
I lean Clippers tonight, but I already have them in the series so I will pass that one. GL
May 1st
Knicks +1.5 (-110), 1*
I kind of think the Knicks are due for a well played game where their talent shines in a convincing win. They should have lost game four if the foul on Hardaway was called. They lost game five at home. I’m looking for a response from the Knicks in game six. The Celtics are waiting for them in Boston. If you are a team to be taken seriously, you go into Detroit and wrap this series up. You don’t want to have to play a game 7 on Saturday and then pivot directly into game one in Boston. Brunson and Towns should lead the way tonight. Bridges is looking to bounce back from a lackluster performance. Give me the Knicks.
I lean Clippers tonight, but I already have them in the series so I will pass that one. GL
Yesterday: 0-1/YTD: 279-258, -8.64
May 3rd
Clippers +1.5 (-110), 1*
I bet the Clippers before the series. I’m not backing away now. Jokic is the best player in the league, but the Clippers have the better team. There are more guys on the Clippers who I would trust to make a big shot late. Let’s hit this bet and series bet on the Clippers. Then somehow we have Houston +170 alive and we’ll tomorrow. GL
May 3rd
Clippers +1.5 (-110), 1*
I bet the Clippers before the series. I’m not backing away now. Jokic is the best player in the league, but the Clippers have the better team. There are more guys on the Clippers who I would trust to make a big shot late. Let’s hit this bet and series bet on the Clippers. Then somehow we have Houston +170 alive and we’ll tomorrow. GL
Yesterday: 0-1/YTD: 279-259, -9.74
May 4th
Series Bet
Pacers/Cavaliers over 5.5 games (-110), 1*
I think Indiana could win two, maybe three games in this series. Many people including myself thought they would have a much more difficult time with the Bucks or lose the series outright. Cleveland had a walkover in the first round, not much to take from that. I believe the Cavs get a real test in this series, possibly starting today.
I have the Rockets +170 to win the series with the Warriors. If you do too and want to hedge, you can easily bet the Warriors ML. I guess it depends how much you have on Houston and how confident you are in them winning tonight. I only have a unit on them, so I am letting it ride. No action for me side or total on either game today. Maybe a prop later.
May 4th
Series Bet
Pacers/Cavaliers over 5.5 games (-110), 1*
I think Indiana could win two, maybe three games in this series. Many people including myself thought they would have a much more difficult time with the Bucks or lose the series outright. Cleveland had a walkover in the first round, not much to take from that. I believe the Cavs get a real test in this series, possibly starting today.
I have the Rockets +170 to win the series with the Warriors. If you do too and want to hedge, you can easily bet the Warriors ML. I guess it depends how much you have on Houston and how confident you are in them winning tonight. I only have a unit on them, so I am letting it ride. No action for me side or total on either game today. Maybe a prop later.
Yesterday: 1-0/YTD: 280-259, -8.74
May 5th
Wolves -1.5 games (+120), 1*
Derrick White over 3.5 threes (+125), 1*
Nuggets 1H -6 (-108), 1*
Thunder haven’t played since April 26th. Maybe a little rust there. I don’t want to lay -175 with the Wolves when I think they will win in five or six. Golden State got a favorable round one matchup, I think they go down easily. Remember, Minnesota has home court advantage despite being the six seed.
I will update my futures from round one later tonight. GL
May 5th
Wolves -1.5 games (+120), 1*
Derrick White over 3.5 threes (+125), 1*
Nuggets 1H -6 (-108), 1*
Thunder haven’t played since April 26th. Maybe a little rust there. I don’t want to lay -175 with the Wolves when I think they will win in five or six. Golden State got a favorable round one matchup, I think they go down easily. Remember, Minnesota has home court advantage despite being the six seed.
I will update my futures from round one later tonight. GL
Series Bets
Nuggets +2.5 games (+125), 1*
Wolves to win game one & series (-115), 1*
Wolves +2.5 games (+220), 1*
The more I looked into the Minnesota series, the more I loved the Wolves. I think this is a gentleman’s sweep, so I’m going to bet them multiple ways. I also think Denver +2.5 games is mispriced. +125 seems valuable to me.
Nuggets +2.5 games (+125), 1*
Wolves to win game one & series (-115), 1*
Wolves +2.5 games (+220), 1*
The more I looked into the Minnesota series, the more I loved the Wolves. I think this is a gentleman’s sweep, so I’m going to bet them multiple ways. I also think Denver +2.5 games is mispriced. +125 seems valuable to me.
Underestimating Curry, good luckYesterday: 1-0/YTD: 280-259, -8.74
May 5th
Wolves -1.5 games (+120), 1*
Derrick White over 3.5 threes (+125), 1*
Nuggets 1H -6 (-108), 1*
Thunder haven’t played since April 26th. Maybe a little rust there. I don’t want to lay -175 with the Wolves when I think they will win in five or six. Golden State got a favorable round one matchup, I think they go down easily. Remember, Minnesota has home court advantage despite being the six seed.
I will update my futures from round one later tonight. GL
I’m not underestimating him. I’m just being realistic. They were a 7 seed in the regular season because they weren’t great. Their top three players are 35, 35 and 37. It took them seven games to beat Houston, who I never thought had a chance to win a title this year. And either did Vegas as Golden State was favored to win that series before it started. Now they are playing a team with a bona fide star who plays good defense and is well rested. We will let the series play out over the next couple weeks and see who is right. Although I have a funny feeling I won’t hear from you if I am.Underestimating Curry, good luck
Yesterday: 1-1/YTD: 283-263, -8.57
May 6th
Celtics -1.5 games (-110), 2*
I will happily jump in on Boston here for two units. The Celtics owned the Knicks in the regular season. They were up 20 and in control despite shooting a horrible percentage from three. After the Knicks made their comeback, Boston still had every opportunity to win. They just couldn’t get anything to fall. They are going to attack the basket more going forward and they are not going to miss that many threes or shoot that percentage again. It is clear that there is a gap between those two teams. I’m not going to let a 31-11 run in one game cloud my judgment on everything else that has happened this season. I still think it’s Boston in six games, maybe five. Back later with any bets for tonight.
May 6th
Celtics -1.5 games (-110), 2*
I will happily jump in on Boston here for two units. The Celtics owned the Knicks in the regular season. They were up 20 and in control despite shooting a horrible percentage from three. After the Knicks made their comeback, Boston still had every opportunity to win. They just couldn’t get anything to fall. They are going to attack the basket more going forward and they are not going to miss that many threes or shoot that percentage again. It is clear that there is a gap between those two teams. I’m not going to let a 31-11 run in one game cloud my judgment on everything else that has happened this season. I still think it’s Boston in six games, maybe five. Back later with any bets for tonight.
May 6th
Pacers/Cavaliers over 227.5 (-110), 1*
Im taking a contrarian over here. I was basically waiting until the last minute once Garland, Mobley and Hunter were all ruled out. Indiana is still going to play up-tempo. Mobley was the defensive player of the year. Cleveland is going to fire a ton of threes in this game. I think this game goes over. I have Minnesota to win game 1 and the series, no other action in that game. GL
Pacers/Cavaliers over 227.5 (-110), 1*
Im taking a contrarian over here. I was basically waiting until the last minute once Garland, Mobley and Hunter were all ruled out. Indiana is still going to play up-tempo. Mobley was the defensive player of the year. Cleveland is going to fire a ton of threes in this game. I think this game goes over. I have Minnesota to win game 1 and the series, no other action in that game. GL
Anthony Edwards over 5.5 assists (+115), 1*
Jimmy Butler under 22.5 points (-115), 1*
If I did not have multiple futures on Minnesota including needing them to win game one, I would lay the 6.5. I think there’s a world where Minnesota runs away with this game and the Warriors call off the dogs. Golden State just wrapped up a physical series on Sunday night. Now they are jumping in another one. I could see Kerr throwing in the towel to start the fourth if it’s a 15+ point game and easing the minutes on his three top guys. I believe this is a bad matchup for the Warriors as I have said. I look at Minnesota like a better version of Houston. They are physical and play good defense like Houston, but they can also score. They have a superstar, two huge bench assets in Divencenzo and Reid. They have excellent length. They really are just a more offensively talented version of Houston and we saw how much trouble they just gave Golden State. If the Warriors win tonight, then I will own being wrong about tonight’s game. You have to take a stand at this time of year, otherwise what was the point of watching all the games during regular season and developing opinions. GL
Jimmy Butler under 22.5 points (-115), 1*
If I did not have multiple futures on Minnesota including needing them to win game one, I would lay the 6.5. I think there’s a world where Minnesota runs away with this game and the Warriors call off the dogs. Golden State just wrapped up a physical series on Sunday night. Now they are jumping in another one. I could see Kerr throwing in the towel to start the fourth if it’s a 15+ point game and easing the minutes on his three top guys. I believe this is a bad matchup for the Warriors as I have said. I look at Minnesota like a better version of Houston. They are physical and play good defense like Houston, but they can also score. They have a superstar, two huge bench assets in Divencenzo and Reid. They have excellent length. They really are just a more offensively talented version of Houston and we saw how much trouble they just gave Golden State. If the Warriors win tonight, then I will own being wrong about tonight’s game. You have to take a stand at this time of year, otherwise what was the point of watching all the games during regular season and developing opinions. GL
Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 285-264, -7.57
May 7th
Payton Pritchard under 1.5 threes (+130), 1*
Nuggets +10 (-110), 1*
I can’t bet the Celtics at this number. I know this game could be a blowout. The regular season matchups combined with regression to the mean after game one could result in a Celtics blowout. I would rather bet the Celtics on the road where they have been excellent all season.
As for the Nuggets, I thought this series was going to be competitive. I also put a unit on the Nuggets +500 to win the series. There’s certainly a world where people crowned OKC too early. They don’t have a legit number two perhaps. Or they need to take their lumps in the postseason like the Celtics and most teams do before they get their ring. Who knows. I feel like I heard a lot of talk from people I respect about how OKC is going to win it all, how the analytics say they are the best team by margin. Maybe that is true, I’m not sold yet on their supporting cast and overall youth. So I will grab double digits with Denver and hope game one wasn’t a fluke. GL
May 7th
Payton Pritchard under 1.5 threes (+130), 1*
Nuggets +10 (-110), 1*
I can’t bet the Celtics at this number. I know this game could be a blowout. The regular season matchups combined with regression to the mean after game one could result in a Celtics blowout. I would rather bet the Celtics on the road where they have been excellent all season.
As for the Nuggets, I thought this series was going to be competitive. I also put a unit on the Nuggets +500 to win the series. There’s certainly a world where people crowned OKC too early. They don’t have a legit number two perhaps. Or they need to take their lumps in the postseason like the Celtics and most teams do before they get their ring. Who knows. I feel like I heard a lot of talk from people I respect about how OKC is going to win it all, how the analytics say they are the best team by margin. Maybe that is true, I’m not sold yet on their supporting cast and overall youth. So I will grab double digits with Denver and hope game one wasn’t a fluke. GL
