BoSox 2025 NFL Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

December 11th

Egbuka 50+ receiving yards (-115), 1*

This is another game where I don’t love the side or total. I lean Atlanta, but I would need +6 to make the bet. Egbuka was at his best with Evans in the lineup. I don’t blame him for falling off lately. He has been the focal point of defenses in the pass game and he’s a rookie. Also, if you have watched the games you know Baker has missed him repeatedly when Egbuka was running open. Baker has really fallen off the last 4-6 weeks, which could be injury related. I think Egbuka will be more impactful tonight as he was earlier in the season. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Falcons +6 (-108), 1*

Now that we are at +6, I will jump in. This is a number bet for me more then an X’s and O’s handicap. Divisional game on a short week. We saw the Saints beat Tampa last week. New Orleans had nothing to play for other then pride and the divisional rivalry. Atlanta is in the same boat. As long as they show up, this should be a competitive game.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-0/YTD: 83-83, -5.97

Great start to the week. I felt like a split was coming when the Falcons were down 14. So many penalties, especially from Terrell and Matthews. Fortunately, Tampa didn’t put them away and not only did the cover, they won outright. Devastating loss for the Bucs. Two in a row really. Let’s carry this momentum into Sunday.

 

[BoSox04]

December 14th

Six Point Teaser: Bears -1.5 & Patriots +7.5 (-120), 1*

I don’t love the board, but I will add at least a couple bets tomorrow. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Packers ML (-120), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Vikings +5.5 (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 85-84, -5.17

December 15th

Dolphins +3 (+100), 1*
Achane 80+ rush yards (-120), 1*

I don’t think there is a lot of interest in Miami because of the temperature. The Dolphins did win at the Jets a couple weeks ago. This game will be a little colder, but that was a step in the right direction. I really don’t think there is a difference talent wise between these teams, particularly without Watt in the lineup for the Steelers. I certainly don’t think Rodgers has turned the clock back because he threw a couple dimes to Metcalf last week. Miami needs to win out to have a chance at a playoff berth. Once they are mathematically eliminated, I can see them packing it in. But they have been playing well and they are going to empty the bucket until that point. Since I like Miami, I was looking at their TD odds. I like Darren Waller and Jaylen Wright at their current prices. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 0-2/YTD: 85-86, -7.37

That game was a good reminder why people don’t bet Miami in those conditions. Tua and McDaniel need to go. Tua just doesn’t have it. The noodle arm interception. The lack of mobility and escapability. Coming up a yard short on a 3rd and 2 scramble. He just doesn’t have any elite tools and he gets exposed in games like the one last night.

 

[BoSox04]

December 18th

Rams/Seahawks under 42.5 (-110), 1*

The conditions aren’t supposed to be great tonight. 40-5mph wind gusts. I like both these defenses. These two teams know each other well. I think this is a 20-17 type game.

 

[skoda]

December 18th

Rams/Seahawks under 42.5 (-110), 1*

The conditions aren’t supposed to be great tonight. 40-5mph wind gusts. I like both these defenses. These two teams know each other well. I think this is a 20-17 type game.

And in last 7 games H2H under is 5-2 with winning team never over 6 points in those games. I’ll do an under 21 in 1st half and a wow #
Stafford 0.5 rushing +190 ??

one QB sneak with conditions….

 

[BoSox04]

And in last 7 games H2H under is 5-2 with winning team never over 6 points in those games. I’ll do an under 21 in 1st half and a wow #
Stafford 0.5 rushing +190 ??

one QB sneak with conditions….

Yea I don’t mind that bet on Stafford. I do think we see a lot of handoffs tonight. I don’t think this game is going to be lopsided one way or the other. Both teams have a good running back duo. Stafford might have to scramble in a big spot and pick up a few yards. He is certainly capable of picking up a yard on a sneak as you said. Good luck skoda.

 

[BoSox04]

Six Point Teaser: Rams +7.5 & Alabama +7.5 (-120), 1*

I rarely do cross-sport teasers. I’m only posting this here to keep it easy for record keeping purposes. I don’t want to post the same bet in the cfb forum because it’s only one bet. With that said, I think both these games are going to be close. Alabama heavily outgained Oklahoma in the first matchup, but they lost the turnover battle. I lean the Rams and Alabama in the game, however I wouldn’t be stunned if either team lost a close game. I would be surprised if they lost by more then seven. If Seattle was +1.5, I would have teased them with Alabama more then likely. I like being able to tease both teams through the key numbers of 3, 6 and 7. I will take a look at the prop market shortly and update if I see a bet or two I like. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Konata Mumpfield over 13.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

I also like Mumpfield anytime TD. There will be more targets and playing time available for guys like Mumpfield tonight without Davante Adams in the lineup. I like Mumpfield as a player and I think he gets 20+ receiving yards tonight. GL

 

[BoSox04]

December 21st

Giants +3 (-115), 1*

I think the Giants win this game as I sit here today. I might add them on the moneyline over the weekend. If you only have access to +2.5, I would recommend teasing them with Green Bay. But there are plenty of threes available.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-1/YTD: 86-87, -7.47

Way wrong on the total, way right on the prop. I have the teaser pending which I will add to my record at the conclusion of the Alabama game tomorrow night.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-0/YTD: 87-87, -6.47

That winner is for the teaser I posted yesterday with the Rams and Alabama. I will have at least one bet tomorrow.

 

[BoSox04]

December 20th

Six Point Teaser: Eagles -1 & Packers +7.5 (-120), 1*

I will be the square today. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-0/YTD: 88-87, -5.47

December 21st

Browns +10.5 (-115), 1*

Sandwich spot for Buffalo. They had a hard fought victory in New England. They have Philly on deck which is their last measuring stick game. Second straight road game this week. This is an easy game to get off to a slow start in. Or overlook your opponent. I think the Browns defense and run game are strong enough to keep them in this game.

I have a few bets I’m going to add, I just don’t know exactly how I’m going to bet them yet. I am going to do something with the Giants. If then stay at +2.5, I will tease them. Maybe I will tease them with Tennessee who I also like if they are at +2.5. The Panthers are another team with a spread in the 2.5/3 range. As dogs, I am happy to bet Carolina. As favorites, no thanks. Obviously if I can get any of those teams at +3, I will just take them straight. Speaking of +3, I like the Patriots. I might be able to get +3.5 by the time kickoff comes around. Also, the Patriots have a bunch of key defensive players who are questionable. If they hold those guys out, I will look at an over in this game. I am interested in Detroit -7, Jacksonville +3.5 and Raiders +14.5 in that window. Updates to come tomorrow.

 

[BoSox04]

Six Point Teaser: Giants +8.5 & Chargers +7.5 (-120), 1*
Panthers +3 (-115), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Six Point Teaser: Lions -1.5 & Jaguars +9.5 (-120), 1*

Lean Falcons, but I don’t like that the Cardinals have taken money recently. GL