That’s all I have for the day games. I will add more later. I know the Reds game was supposed to start a few minutes ago, but they are in a rain delay. GL
I don’t really understand this price. Bello is the better pitcher and Boston can clinch a playoff spot with a win. I think they would like to sweep this series and have everything taken care of when they go home to play Detroit. They are going to make the playoffs, but this is an important game for them. They could see Toronto in the first or second round of the playoffs. A road sweep tonight would be a big statement for them. GL
I like this over whether Fried pitches well or not. I could see him going seven strong innings and scattering five or six singles. Not really being in any trouble. Or Boston could get to him and get five hits in the first 3-4 innings. GL
Lean under in the Dodgers game. These first three games have been grinds. I don’t know how effective the Reds will be against Snell. I’m not going to bet it because it will be my luck that is the one game that goes over. If I was going to play a prop in this game, I would look at Miguel Andujar over total bases or H+R+RBI’s. Something like that.
Just missed the Fried prop. The three walks ran up his pitch count and probably cost him pitching the entire seventh. Let’s hope the Red Sox hold on.
I lean Boston in this game at +160. I don’t know how you could feel good betting the Yankees at price. I have Boston to win the series and the Yankees are the deserved favorites. So I won’t bet the Red Sox tonight. But it’s getting tempting. GL
I think this number is low based off of how quickly Cora pulled Bello yesterday. Bello had not been sharp his last few starts and he didn’t get out to a good start. I think Early is going to be successful and will pitch 4-5 innings. He only made four big league starts in September but he was good. He has four pitches he can go too. He doesn’t walk a lot of guys. I think it’s very realistic for him to pitch better then Schlitter. Early has been similar to Maclean from the Mets in terms of a young pitcher who got promoted and has had very promising early returns. I would bet this out to -120 odds.
This might be my only bet tonight. I don’t really want anything to do with the Guardians game. And I have series bets riding on the Cubs and Red Sox already. I would pass the Cubs game even if I didn’t have a series bet on them. I would bet Boston at the current number. It is clearly an advantage to throw lefties at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees only lefty they have today is Tim Hill. Boston could throw up to six lefties in this game if they want. I think Boston finally being able to play their optimal lineup against a right handed pitcher also helps them. Just the Early prop for me. GL
This includes my two futures, which cancelled each other out. Game two was the one Boston needed to win. Should have sent Eaton from third on the ball Chisholm bounced to Rice. Duran dropped that sinking liner in left field. Rafaela didn’t get that bunt down. That’s the one that will keep them up at night.
I will look at the series prices tomorrow and post any bets I make Saturday morning for the divisional round.
Yankees to win series (-150), 1*
Dodgers to win series (-125), 1*
Cubs to win series (+105), 1*
Mariners to win game one & series (+100), 1*
Mariners to win series 3-1 (+300), 1*
My record includes my losing Seattle series bet. I’m essentially buying out of the other bet by betting Detroit today. I expected Seattle to win game one and game two would be the game they lost. The fact they lost game one in 11 innings and both bullpens were taxed favors the Tigers today who are throwing Skubal v Castillo. If Seattle wins game two, the Mariners 3-1 series bet is still alive and I can still net two units of profit. It’s just hard to feel good about the Mariners based on today’s pitching matchup. GL