BoSox 2025 MLB Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

Futures

Red Sox over 86.5 wins (-110), 2*
Red Sox to win AL East (+425), 1*
Red Sox to win pennant (+1000), .5*
Red Sox to win World Series (+2200), .5*
Diamondbacks over 86.5 wins (-110), 2*
Diamondbacks to win pennant (+1300), .5*
Diamondbacks to win World Series (+2500), .5*
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to hit 35+ home runs (+105), 1*

Thrilled that baseball season is back. I’m one of the rare guys in his 30’s who would say baseball is his favorite sport. I am clearly high on Boston and Arizona and I want to take positions on those two teams early. You will notice I did not bet Arizona to win their division. I have too much respect for the Dodgers over 162 games to be able to win that division. I think Arizona has a good mix for what it takes to win series and I expect them and the Red Sox to add to their teams and push them over the top. Guerrero is in a contract year and is looking for a 500 million dollar contract. I’m happy to bet on him to pop a lot of home runs with how motivated he should be to receive top dollar in the off-season. I think he is the guy to bet overs on and Santander might be someone to bet unders on. He had his contract year and career year last season. Could be some regression there.

I profited 22.5 units over the course of the 2024 baseball season, which was my best season ever. I hope to take the things that worked for me into this season and tweak the things that weren’t as successful. I don’t bet spring training games, but I expect to have a couple more futures for both win totals and awards at some point next month. Best of luck this season!

 

[stevelew1]

From the Boston area, I’ll tail for the fun of it

 

[BoSox04]

From the Boston area, I’ll tail for the fun of it

The numbers have improved if people bet them when I did. All the futures went down a little bit with the injuries to Cole, Stanton and Gil. I still like all the bets at the current numbers. I’m not going to quibble between 9/1 and 10/1 to win the pennant. Or 20/1 v 22/1 to win the World Series. If we hit those bets, we will be happy.

I will probably add a couple more futures right before the season starts. I kind of want to buy on the Reds. I could see Francona getting the most out of that group. He is a real leader and that’s a young team, which will be helpful for them. Francona will get the message out instead of the players having to do that part, like Cora did for the Red Sox last year. Now they have Bregman and a healthy Story, so the situation is different. Maybe Francona to win NL Manager of the Year is the way to go. Anyway, I will be back in a couple weeks.

 

[BoSox04]

Futures

Reds over 78.5 wins (-110), 1*
Athletics over 71.5 wins (-110), 1*
Yankees to miss the playoffs (+200), 1*

Framber Valdez to win AL Cy Young (+2000), .5*
Freddie Freeman to win NL Cy Young (+4500), .5*
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to win AL MVP (+1800), .5*

Freeman is 45/1 on FD. That’s the best number I see. This is it for my futures. I will have a bet for tomorrow in the next post.

 

[BoSox04]

March 27th

Astros ML (-135), 1*

I know the Mets have a great Opening Day record. I need to see this Clay Holmes experiment as a starter work before I v believe it. I am obviously high on Valdez based on my bet for him to win the Cy Young. I also like Cam Smith a lot who is the prospect they got back in the Tucker trade. GL

 

[indiana]

B. Sox.......here's to a solid and profitable season buddy....
BOL today......indy

 

[BoSox04]

Angels -1.5 (+105), 1*

Happy Opening Day!

 

[BoSox04]

Cubs ML (+105), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Gabriel Moreno, the Diamondbacks catcher is 7-8 in his career against Justin Steele. I’m not going to bet any of his props on night one. I also have the Cubs ML. But I thought I would mention for any of you who like to bet mlb player props.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 2-1, +1.05

March 28th

Tigers +1.5 (-110), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 0-1/YTD: 2-2, -0.05

Wow was that a beat. I thought the way I lost Michigan State -3.5 was gross. Tigers were down one in the ninth. Of course Dodgers blow the save. Tigers score another run, but it gets overturned. Then the Tigers go up 5-3 in the 10th. Dodgers score twice to tie the game. Betts comes up and hits a three run homer when all the Dodgers needed was a sac fly. 8-5 Dodgers, I lose. I could have won this game about four different times between the 9th and 10 innings. Instead, it’s a very frustrating loss, if you could not tell.

One trend I have noticed the last few years is the success rate of teams who lost their first game of the season. The Dodgers have beaten both their opponents twice in a row. And the Padres beat the Braves twice. Every other series has had a 1-1 split, which is consistent with results from last year. I’m not saying to blindly bet every team that lost on Opening Day and didn’t play on Friday. I’m just giving you the info. Teams who lost on Opening Day are 6-3 so far this year. There are seven 0-1 teams playing tomorrow. I will post some bets tomorrow once I see lineups.

 

[BoSox04]

March 29th

Brewers/Yankees over 8.5 (-120), 1*

One total for today. Some sides coming in an hour. GL

 

[indiana]

B. Sox....BOL with your play buddy.....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Angels -1.5 (EV), 1*
Twins ML (-115), 1*
Nationals ML (+140), 1*
Reds ML (-125), 1*
Royals ML (-122), 1*
Rockies ML (+160), 1*

I am betting six of the seven teams who are 0-1. I’m going to follow the trend that has been pretty apparent lately. The only one I’m passing on is Milwaukee, where I like the over more in that game. There are two other games I might bet that are later on in the day. I will update later if necessary.

 

[Bobbycap]

March 29th

Brewers/Yankees over 8.5 (-120), 1*

One total for today. Some sides coming in an hour. GL

Well, that was pretty easy!!! Nice call.

 

[BoSox04]

Well, that was pretty easy!!! Nice call.

Thanks. You don’t often hit an over in two innings. Glad I stayed away from the Brewers.

 

[indiana]

B. Sox......WOW.....sollid call....
a winner after 2 innings......indy

 

[BoSox04]

Red Sox (EV), 1*
Braves -1.5 (+110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 4-5/YTD: 6-7, -0.60

March 30th

Nationals ML (+124), 1*
Brewers ML (+120), 1*
Twins ML (-115), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Braves ML (+105), 1*