BoSox 2023-2024 NFL Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

Futures:

Ravens under 10.5 (-120), 2*
Bears under 7.5 (+110), 2*
Packers over 7.5 (-110), 2*
Patriots over 6.5 (-140), 2*
Eagles under 11.5 (-115), 2*
Steelers over 8.5 (-140), 2*
Commanders over 6.5 (+100), 2*

Bills to win the Super Bowl (+900), 2*
Cowboys to win the NFC East (+190), 2*
Packers to win the NFC North (+400), 2*
49ers to win the NFC West (-190), 2*

Mike Tomlin to win Coach of the Year (+2000), 1*
Nick Chubb to win OPOY (+1800), 1*

Here's my full list of futures for the upcoming season. I think Chubb is a good bet for OPOY. With Hunt gone, there is really nobody to take any carries from him. If he becomes a little more involved in the passing game this year and stays healthy, he has every opportunity to have a huge year. Also, if Watson has a better season, which I expect after coming off a normal offseason, that will force defenses to respect Cleveland's passing game, which they did not do last year. That takes one guy out of the box and opens things up a little more for Chubb. I hit Justin Jefferson for OPOY last year and I think my logic is sound to try to make it two years in a row. I gave Lamar Jackson some consideration, I just don't trust his health. I'm also on the Ravens under for their season win total. If Jackson wins OPOY, the Ravens are probably winning the North and going over their total. I will start posting any bets I have for week one next week. I want to wait until rosters are finalized between IR placements, waiver claims, free agent signings, etc.

I love the NFL and can't wait for Thursday night. Between this and college football, it is going to be a fun and busy next four months.

 

[BoSox04]

September 7th

Montgomery over 53.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*
Kadarius Toney over 30.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*

Couple small bets on props. I lean over, but I’m concerned about Goff not playing in the preseason. Last year, quarterbacks who didn’t play at all in the preseason almost all lost in week one and several really didn’t play well. I did put pizza money on Justin Watson and Khalif Raymond anytime TD, full disclosure.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-1/YTD: 1-1, -0.15

Toney did everything in his power to not go over. I couldn’t believe he kept dropping passes. At least I split the props, onto Sunday.

 

[BoSox04]

September 10th

Titans +3 (-110), 2*

 

[indiana]

B. Sox....BOL with your action this week buddy....indy

 

[BoSox04]

September 10th

Colts +4.5 (-110), 2*
Colts/Jaguars over 46 (-110), 2*
Raiders +3.5 (-115), 2*

September 11th

Bills/Jets under 45.5 (-110), 2*

I will add a few more bets tomorrow or Sunday. Just waiting on the right numbers in a few spots. I'm also considering betting either full game under's or team total under's in these games with quarterbacks who didn't play in the preseason. We saw it Thursday night with the Lions. While they squeaked out a win, their team total and full game both went under. The Ravens, Bengals, Vikings, Eagles, Chargers, Rams and Cowboys all fit this description. Not sure how I want to attack it quite yet, but there seems to be a trend developing between week one last year and the Thursday night game. GL!

 

[BoSox04]

Seahawks -4.5 (-110), 2*

I don't get this number. I have been hesitant to bet the game because I don't understand the betting interest on the Rams. I feel like I am missing something. I think this line should be Seattle -7/-7.5. I'm not going to wait any longer. There's a chance this is a set up where sharps are betting enough to lower the number and then they come in on Sunday and hammer the Seahawks when betting limits are at their highest. Even if that's not the case, I strongly disagree with this number. The Rams offensive line is shaky, no Kupp. I have to bet Seattle and I would be them for sure up to -5.5 if it gets there.

 

[BoSox04]

I'm not adding anything to Titans, Colts and the Colts/Jaguars over at 1pm. I'm going to monitor those spots I mentioned with qb's who didn't play in the preseason. Those would be the Ravens, Bengals and Vikings. If those games are under's then I'll move on the 4pm spots. I will have a bet or two to add for the next slate later on. GL!

 

[BoSox04]

Patriots/Eagles under 44.5 (-112), 2*
Packers +1.5 (-110), 2*
Dolphins/Chargers under 50.5 (-110), 1*
Chargers TT under 26.5 (-102), 1*
Rams/Seahawks under 45 (-110), 1*
Rams TT under 19.5 (+105), 1*

I’m going to play this under’s angle. I’m not going to take the Eagles team total under, but that’s more because I really like the full game under. The other two games I’m just going under because of the trend. In the three early games that qualified, the Bengals full game and TT went under. It looks like the Vikings TT and full game are going under. The Ravens game and TT are the only ones that could go over, although neither is a guarantee. GL

 

[BoSox04]

All of those full game and team totals went under at 1pm. Hope the trend continues.

 

[BoSox04]

Cowboys -3 (-120), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Bills -2.5 (-110), 2*
Cobb over 20.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*

I am adding these to the under that I posted on Saturday. I will update my record after tonight’s game. GL!

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 8-9, -.22

Hard to feel good about either team after that. Without Rodgers, the Jets are going exactly where they went previously with Zach Wilson. He led one TD drive and it took an amazing catch by Garrett Wilson. At some point you need a quarterback who can win you a big game and Wilson is not that guy. With that being said, the Bills have to be disgusted. All they had to do was play mistake free football and coast to a divisional win on the road. Instead, Allen threw three INT’s, fumbled twice and lost one.

Instead of finishing the week +4 units, I end up even. Long season ahead.

 

[BoSox04]

September 17th/18th

Chiefs/Jaguars over 51 (-110), 2*
Rams +7.5 (-110), 2*
2 Team 6 Point Teaser- Jets +15.5/Steelers +8.5 (-115), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Buccaneers -2.5 (-115), 2*

 

[indiana]

B.Sox......BOL with all your action this weekend buddy....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Stevenson over 51.5 rushing yards (-115), 2*
Henry anytime TD (+220), 1*
Dolphins/Jets over 46.5 (-110), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

September 18th

Panthers/Saints under 39.5 (-110), 2*
Panthers +3 (-102), 1*
Panthers 1H +1.5 (-112), 1*

There has been a pretty profitable MNF angle with betting the underdogs in the first half. I’ll split a normal bet size between the first half and full game. I will have a separate post for the Steelers game.

 

[BoSox04]

Steelers ML (+120), 1*
Steelers 1H +0.5 (-105), 1*
Steelers/Browns under 39 (-110), 2*

Good luck!

 

[doctorsuccess]

Great juice on Carolina.